Printable version of thread

Posted by: Oricon 27th January 2012, 11:59 PM

So which song has the best chance of WINNING the overall contest? Place your bets below...

SEMI FINAL 1:

01. Republic of Sass : DJ Snake feat. Eva Simons - Pressure in the club
02. Ashton : Tone Damli - Look back
03. Numayania : The Storm - My crown
04. People's Republic of Jester : Twintapes - Pluto
05. N-Lazone : Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
06. Dalisska : New Look - The ballad
07. Hendinia : Tatana feat. Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (If you don't get in my bed)
08. Daehun : moumoon - Sunshine girl
09. Allecian : Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
10. Aquafina : War Of Words - Battleground
11. Botanikka : Ria Ritchie - Only one
12. Armenijan : The Sounds - Tony the Beat
13. Juranabaijan : The 2 Bears - Work
14. Hogan-Burg Republic : Emily Osment - All the way up
15. Budtar : Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take me away
16. Sangria : Moonlight Breakfast - Still
17. Tinnmark : Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on
18. Elëdan : Pyramids + Horseback - A throne without a king pt. 2
19. ChrIseland : Donkeyboy - City boy
20. Isconia : Escort - Makeover
21. Batidas : Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer
22. B.a.N.G : Lydia Caesar - Lottery
23. Unovia : Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid


SEMI FINAL 2

01. New Caprica : B.A.P - Warrior
02. FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold : Le Kid - Human behaviour
03. Syndare : SoSo - Who's gonna love me
04. Kluminican Republic : Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night
05. Fljótavík : Foxes - Youth
06. Danaelanda : Radio Killer - Don't let the music end
07. Persephonia : The Wonder Villains - Zola
08. FSR Rontvia : Prance Faris - Flares
09. Lievant : Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar!
10. Caerfyrddia : Marigold - You and I know
11. Bignia-Zaragovina : Britt Daley - One and only
12. Zechonia : Meg Myers - Monster
13. Usfland : Jonas Alaska - October
14. Séyetana : Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids
15. Scherzland : Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
16. UnoShake : Skylar Grey - Words
17. Mdiče : MNDR - #1 in heaven
18. Kylienips : School of Seven Bells - The night
19. Farahtyn : Marirose - I want love
20. Espen : Moa Lignell - When I held ya
21. Ramrynia : Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe
22. Kopečka : Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
23. Ojnoj : Christina Grimmie - Advice

AQ

1. Greenfroze: Belanova - Mariposas

Posted by: Veriloquy 28th January 2012, 12:00 AM

Given we're missing the hosts...

Posted by: Oricon 28th January 2012, 12:03 AM

That'll be editted in once he uses his entry

Posted by: Silas 28th January 2012, 12:15 AM

Edited it in, the advantages of seeing the full entry list before everyone else.

Posted by: Oricon 28th January 2012, 12:16 AM

Going off to listen to the hosts own entry

Posted by: Ryan741 28th January 2012, 11:48 AM

I'm very interested as always to see the odds for this contest, especially given the positivity around my entry!

Posted by: Liаm 28th January 2012, 11:55 AM

I can't wait to see the odds for my entry, I think it could literally do anything

I'll do odds later in the week but glossing everything over, out of the ones I've heard I think we should watch out for The Storm, Mercedes & I, Foxes, Moa Lignell and Carley Rae Jepsen (watch as all of these flop ).

Posted by: LexC 28th January 2012, 11:57 AM

Major case of bandwagon jumping here but I'm interested to here the odds for Mercedes & I, I think it's definitely got crossover appeal but that doesn't always translate into votes.

Posted by: Jonjo 28th January 2012, 11:59 AM

The three songs I think who are going to win/have the best chance are all in semi 2. We need to watch out for Prance Faris, MNDR and (of course) Carly Rae Jepsen. (I still don't think CRJ will win though )

Posted by: Hitstastic 28th January 2012, 12:07 PM

Interestingly, the three tracks in SF2 I see doing well are Carly Rae Jepson (as Jonjo has mentioned) but the other two are Foxes and SoSo.

Posted by: LexC 28th January 2012, 03:01 PM

LecciBet will be revealing their opening odds later today, and as always take all odds with one or two tablespoons of salt!

Posted by: LexC 28th January 2012, 03:41 PM

LecciBet's opening odds:

3/1 Ramrynia : Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe
5/1 FSR Rontvia : Prance Faris - Flares
7/1 Ashton : Tone Damli - Look back
8/1 Numayania : The Storm - My crown
8/1 Syndare : SoSo - Who's gonna love me
17/2 Bignia-Zaragovina : Britt Daley - One and only
9/1 Allecian : Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
9/1 B.a.N.G : Lydia Caesar - Lottery
19/2 Fljótavík : Foxes - Youth
10/1 ChrIseland : Donkeyboy - City boy
10/1 Isconia : Escort - Makeover
10/1 Kopečka : Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
11/1 Mdiče : MNDR - #1 in heaven
12/1 Kluminican Republic : Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night
12/1 Tinnmark : Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on
13/1 Hendinia : Tatana feat. Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (If you don't get in my bed)
14/1 New Caprica : B.A.P - Warrior
15/1 Sangria : Moonlight Breakfast - Still
16/1 Scherzland : Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
17/1 Kylienips : School of Seven Bells - The night
17/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold : Le Kid - Human behaviour
18/1 Daehun : moumoon - Sunshine girl
18/1 Séyetana : Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids
19/1 Budtar : Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take me away
19/1 Dalisska : New Look - The ballad
39/2 Espen : Moa Lignell - When I held ya
20/1 Aquafina : War Of Words - Battleground
20/1 Farahtyn : Marirose - I want love
21/1 Usfland : Jonas Alaska - October
23/1 Botanikka : Ria Ritchie - Only one
24/1 Persephonia : The Wonder Villains - Zola
25/1 Hogan-Burg Republic : Emily Osment - All the way up
25/1 Lievant : Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar!
25/1 Republic of Sass : DJ Snake feat. Eva Simons - Pressure in the club
26/1 Unovia : Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid
27/1 UnoShake : Skylar Grey - Words
27/1 N-Lazone : Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
28/1 Armenijan : The Sounds - Tony the Beat
28/1 Danaelanda : Radio Killer - Don't let the music end
29/1 Greenfroze: Belanova - Mariposas
30/1 Caerfyrddia : Marigold - You and I know
30/1 Zechonia : Meg Myers - Monster
33/1 Batidas : Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer
35/1 Ojnoj : Christina Grimmie - Advice
40/1 People's Republic of Jester : Twintapes - Pluto
50/1 Juranabaijan : The 2 Bears - Work
100/1 Elëdan : Pyramids + Horseback - A throne without a king pt. 2

NOTES: Please Don't let the odds lead to a series of depressed/elated ramblings that contribute nothing to the discussion. These odds are by no mens a reflection of my onw tastes/votes merely what I think is likely to do well. Furthermore, LecciBet is a famously unreliable institution!

Posted by: Ryan741 28th January 2012, 03:49 PM

Well I them odds! My first ever time being 1st favourite on anyone's odds! I'm still aiming to qualify though, especially as my semi is of such high quality

Posted by: Juranamo 28th January 2012, 03:52 PM

Not at the bottom of the first set of odds! Promising! Rontvia near the top as usual, Rich has the 'BJSC taste' I think. (In that he doesn't intentionally think of what will do well, just what he likes, seems to be to the tastes of many others!)

Posted by: Tom Krystal Kay 28th January 2012, 03:52 PM

Wow, that's a good start, although maybe I should be more worried given the source

Posted by: Jester 28th January 2012, 04:12 PM

And what makes the fabulous Twintapes worthy of such bad odds? See, this is part of the reason why I stopped entering, some people just don't haver the ear for something a bit less mainstream.

Posted by: Hitstastic 28th January 2012, 04:17 PM

I shall be posting my own odds once I've had chance to hear the mp3s in full (yes, including Eledan's entry). There's one track in the top half of LexC's odds that I can't help but think it's a definite DNQ. Not gonna say which one as that'd be unfair but I'll be shocked if it qualifies.

Posted by: Veriloquy 28th January 2012, 04:20 PM

Careful Matt, you're doing a Mikey!

(Also, I wouldn't go into sulk mode off the back of one dubious set of odds!)

Posted by: LexC 28th January 2012, 04:25 PM

My thinking was that the worst odds should get posted first so as not to distract everyone once the more reputable ones are posted.

Posted by: Jester 28th January 2012, 04:29 PM

I know I am in danger of doing a Mikey here and apols of it seems like sour grapes, but when you really love a song it does rather miff me when I get the usual end of the odds place.

I have never really said anything before when my entries have DNQ or been so low (or last even ) as that is fair enough that my taste is different to the BJSC entrants, but as this my return of sorts it is a bit 'GRR' to get bad odds again.

Sulk mod *off*

Posted by: LexC 28th January 2012, 04:36 PM

I don't think that would be unfair, I'm interested to see which track youre thinking off. Better not be mine!

Posted by: Oricon 28th January 2012, 04:42 PM

I'm always at the 18-25/1 section, wish I can be higher at times

Posted by: Hitstastic 28th January 2012, 05:04 PM

Well, I can confirm it's not your entry I was thinking of.

Posted by: lee wallace 28th January 2012, 05:23 PM

THIS DOES NOT REFLECT MY VOTES.
These are Aquafina's first ever odds!

2/1 Ashton: Tone Damli - Look Back
3/1 Fsr Rontvia: Prance Faris - Flares
6/1 Numayania: The Storm - My Crown
6/1 Ramrynia: Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe
9/1 Hendina: Tatana Feat Natalie Kills - You Can't Get In My Head
9/1 B.a.N.G: Lydia Caesar - Lottery
10/1 Syndare : SoSo - Who's gonna love me
10/1 Bignia-Zaragovina : Britt Daley - One and only
12/1 Kluminican Republic : Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night
12/1 Tinnmark : Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on
15/1 Allecian: Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
15/1 Fljótavík : Foxes - Youth
16/1 Isconia : Escort - Makeover
16/1 Kopečka : Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
17/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold : Le Kid - Human behaviour
17/1 Unovia : Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid
17/1 UnoShake : Skylar Grey - Words
17.5/1 People's Republic of Jester : Twintapes - Pluto
18/1 Mdiče : MNDR - #1 in heaven
18/1 New Caprica : B.A.P - Warrior
18/1 Farahtyn : Marirose - I want love
18/1 Usfland : Jonas Alaska - October
19/1 Sangria : Moonlight Breakfast - Still
19/1 Ojnoj : Christina Grimmie - Advice
19/1 Aquafina : War Of Words - Battleground
20/1 ChrIseland : Donkeyboy - City boy
21/1 Dalisska : New Look - The ballad
22/1 Scherzland : Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
22/1 Kylienips : School of Seven Bells - The night
22/1 Budtar : Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take me away
23/1 Batidas : Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer
26/1 Daehun : moumoon - Sunshine girl
27/1 Séyetana : Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids
28/1 Espen : Moa Lignell - When I held ya
28/1 Lievant : Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar!
30/1 N-Lazone : Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
33/1 Juranabaijan : The 2 Bears - Work
36/1 Botanikka : Ria Ritchie - Only one
42/1 Persephonia : The Wonder Villains - Zola
43/1 Hogan-Burg Republic : Emily Osment - All the way up
51/1 Greenfroze: Belanova - Mariposas
55/1 Armenijan : The Sounds - Tony the Beat
56/1 Danaelanda : Radio Killer - Don't let the music end
60/1 Republic of Sass : DJ Snake feat. Eva Simons - Pressure in the club
70/1 Caerfyrddia : Marigold - You and I know
75/1 Zechonia : Meg Myers - Monster
1000/1 Elëdan : Pyramids + Horseback - A throne without a king pt. 2

I actually really like a couple of the songs in the bottom 10 and at least 3 of them will be getting points from me, I am just looking at the odds & predections.

Posted by: LexC 28th January 2012, 05:58 PM

Looking like FSR Ashmayania all stand to do rather well in this contest IMO

Posted by: Ljósið 28th January 2012, 06:10 PM

Yours was the song that stood out in the Semi the most, from the recap at least

And look new odds are in and PRoJ are miraculously at 35/2. MOOPYHA!

Posted by: » Marky 28th January 2012, 06:12 PM

Republic of Sass for suprise win

Posted by: Adn@n 28th January 2012, 06:39 PM

I agree...it stood out with me as well...I have to hear it the full thing though for fully judge.

And nothing against Emily Osment and/or Eva Simon songs, but seeing them getting higher odds over some other quality songs IMO (Eledan in this case) disgusts me and is shaking my trust on everything I have about this contest.

Posted by: Silas 28th January 2012, 06:47 PM

I am just thrilled to be at the top of Aquafina's debut odds and top3 in Allecian's odds.




A strong finish for FSR Ashvania would be rare and very pleasing to see.

Posted by: Ryan741 28th January 2012, 06:55 PM

Joint 3rd in Aquafina's odds! Good start so far

Posted by: Oricon 28th January 2012, 07:09 PM

Another bottom of the finals finish is not wanted

I'll wait for Rich's ultimate odds

Posted by: gooddelta 28th January 2012, 07:26 PM

Very pleased with 2nd in both sets of odds so far!

My odds won't be for a while, I haven't even started to listen yet and probably won't get around to it until Monday!

Posted by: Hitstastic 28th January 2012, 08:33 PM

Does 'Flares' contain a sample? (ie; the speeded up vocals). I wonder if 2012 will set a new glass ceiling for dance music - something like 1st place.

Posted by: gooddelta 28th January 2012, 08:50 PM

Not that I know of, I know very little about the song or act though to be honest, just that I love it! Why, do the vocals remind you of something else?

Posted by: Klumzee 28th January 2012, 08:54 PM

They do very much so! Their quite in vain of the vocals on 'Cry (Just A Little)' or your typical Euro dance plodder. Flares is very much the opposite of that though!

Posted by: Hitstastic 28th January 2012, 09:09 PM

It doesn't sound familiar but because it's the same one line repeated I was just under the impression the vocals had been sampled from another song.

I read in your FSR Rontvia how you've described Prance Faris as a cross between Avicci and Sash! so obviously this has made Batidas sit up and pay attention. I'm hoping the songs I'm liking the most in SF2 qualify.

Posted by: gooddelta 28th January 2012, 09:17 PM

I can see the similarity with that (strictly vocals only!) now you mention it. If there was a pure instrumental version available I'd have probably sent that but I've become very endeared to the vocals now, they're quite charming in a strange way



Maybe they were, I'll do a lyric search at some point and see what it throws up! I know NOTHING about this artist apart from the fact that he or they are Swedish

Indeed, it's like the 'sound' of Avicii meets the uplifting melody progression of something like La Primavera by Sash!, hence my comparison!

Posted by: Eyes 29th January 2012, 10:22 PM

Right, more odds now. SéyetBet gives the following opening odds to win, not one real frontrunner this month (Also, pleased with the odds I've been getting so far, I had no idea how Nightwish would be received, I just hope they get through):

4/1 Syndare : SoSo - Who's gonna love me
4/1 Ramrynia : Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe
5/1 Numayania : The Storm - My crown
13/2 FSR Rontvia : Prance Faris - Flares
7/1 Fljótavík : Foxes - Youth
8/1 Ashton : Tone Damli - Look back
8/1 ChrIseland : Donkeyboy - City boy
10/1 Kluminican Republic : Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night
12/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold : Le Kid - Human behaviour
12/1 Mdiče : MNDR - #1 in heaven
14/1 Allecian : Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
15/1 Batidas : Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer
15/1 Unovia : Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid
15/1 Ojnoj : Christina Grimmie - Advice
16/1 Caerfyrddia : Marigold - You and I know
18/1 Daehun : moumoon - Sunshine girl
18/1 Aquafina : War Of Words - Battleground
18/1 Espen : Moa Lignell - When I held ya
19/1 Kopečka : Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
19/1 Persephonia : The Wonder Villains - Zola
19/1 Séyetana : Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids
20/1 N-Lazone : Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
20/1 Juranabaijan : The 2 Bears - Work
20/1 Botanikka : Ria Ritchie - Only one
20/1 Bignia-Zaragovina : Britt Daley - One and only
21/1 Kylienips : School of Seven Bells - The night
22/1 Hendinia : Tatana feat. Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (If you don't get in my bed)
22/1 Isconia : Escort - Makeover
23/1 Scherzland : Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
24/1 Danaelanda : Radio Killer - Don't let the music end
25/1 Budtar : Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take me away
25/1 B.a.N.G : Lydia Caesar - Lottery
25/1 People's Republic of Jester : Twintapes - Pluto
51/2 Republic of Sass : DJ Snake feat. Eva Simons - Pressure in the club
27/1 Greenfroze: Belanova - Mariposas
27/1 Lievant : Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar!
29/1 Farahtyn : Marirose - I want love
30/1 Sangria : Moonlight Breakfast - Still
30/1 UnoShake : Skylar Grey - Words
30/1 Hogan-Burg Republic : Emily Osment - All the way up
32/1 Tinnmark : Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on
35/1 Dalisska : New Look - The ballad
35/1 Armenijan : The Sounds - Tony the Beat
40/1 Zechonia : Meg Myers - Monster
50/1 New Caprica : B.A.P - Warrior
90/1 Elëdan : Pyramids + Horseback - A throne without a king pt. 2
150/1 Usfland : Jonas Alaska - October

Posted by: Ryan741 29th January 2012, 10:27 PM

Another top 3! I have a feeling there could be a few surprises in this contest though, like you say it is very close with no 'Sober' (as you could call it!) and is of really good quality

Posted by: Liаm 29th January 2012, 10:33 PM

Middling again - not bad, more than I expected!

Posted by: Tom Krystal Kay 29th January 2012, 10:38 PM

Wow, top 3 all around so far, EXCITE

Anyway these are the opening odds from PadisPouwer.ny for BJSCXXXXI:

3/1 Syndare : SoSo - Who's gonna love me
4/1 Ramrynia: Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe
4/1 Numayania: The Storm - My Crown
5/1 FSR Rontvia: Prance Faris - Flares
6/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold : Le Kid - Human behaviour
7/1 Fljótavík : Foxes - Youth
15/2 Ashton: Tone Damli - Look Back
8/1 Mdiče : MNDR - #1 in heaven
9/1 Unovia : Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid
10/1 Hendina: Tatana Feat Natalie Kills - You Can't Get In My Head
12/1 Bignia-Zaragovina : Britt Daley - One and only
25/2 Isconia : Escort - Makeover
14/1 ChrIseland : Donkeyboy - City boy
15/1 Batidas : Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer
16/1 UnoShake : Skylar Grey - Words
16/1 Kopečka : Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
17/1 People's Republic of Jester : Twintapes - Pluto
35/2 Allecian: Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
18/1 Aquafina : War Of Words - Battleground
19/1 Lievant : Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar!
20/1 Kluminican Republic : Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night
20/1 B.a.N.G: Lydia Caesar - Lottery
22/1 Sangria : Moonlight Breakfast - Still
26/1 Daehun : moumoon - Sunshine girl
70/1 Caerfyrddia : Marigold - You and I know
22/1 Scherzland : Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
30/1 N-Lazone : Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
22/1 Budtar : Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take me away
22/1 Kylienips : School of Seven Bells - The night
24/1 Greenfroze: Belanova - Mariposas
24/1 Danaelanda : Radio Killer - Don't let the music end
25/1 Botanikka : Ria Ritchie - Only one
25/1 Séyetana : Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids
26/1 Juranabaijan : The 2 Bears - Work
55/2 Hogan-Burg Republic : Emily Osment - All the way up
28/1 Ojnoj : Christina Grimmie - Advice
30/1 Tinnmark : Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on
32/1 Espen : Moa Lignell - When I held ya
100/3 New Caprica : B.A.P - Warrior
35/1 Armenijan : The Sounds - Tony the Beat
40/1 Farahtyn : Marirose - I want love
45/1 Republic of Sass : DJ Snake feat. Eva Simons - Pressure in the club
50/1 Dalisska : New Look - The ballad
60/1 Usfland : Jonas Alaska - October
70/1 Persephonia : The Wonder Villains - Zola
75/1 Zechonia : Meg Myers - Monster
150/1 Elëdan : Pyramids + Horseback - A throne without a king pt. 2

Indeed. Though actually I prefer Ashmaynia

Posted by: Liаm 29th January 2012, 10:39 PM

9/1, that's fab

Posted by: gooddelta 29th January 2012, 10:54 PM

Opening odds from FSR Rontvia's RontBet;

2/1 Ramrynia : Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe
4/1 FSR Rontvia : Prance Faris - Flares
4/1 Numayania : The Storm - My crown
4/1 Ashton : Tone Damli - Look back
5/1 Fljótavík : Foxes - Youth
6/1 Syndare : SoSo - Who's gonna love me
-------------------
10/1 Kopečka : Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
10/1 Espen : Moa Lignell - When I held ya
12/1 Batidas : Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer
12/1 Caerfyrddia : Marigold - You and I know
12/1 Kluminican Republic : Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night
14/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold : Le Kid - Human behaviour
14/1 ChrIseland : Donkeyboy - City boy
14/1 Danaelanda : Radio Killer - Don't let the music end
15/1 Mdiče : MNDR - #1 in heaven
15/1 Botanikka : Ria Ritchie - Only one
15/1 Séyetana : Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids
15/1 Allecian : Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
18/1 Persephonia : The Wonder Villains - Zola
18/1 Unovia : Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid
18/1 Daehun : moumoon - Sunshine girl
20/1 Juranabaijan : The 2 Bears - Work
22/1 Aquafina : War Of Words - Battleground
22/1 Ojnoj : Christina Grimmie - Advice
25/1 N-Lazone : Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
25/1 Bignia-Zaragovina : Britt Daley - One and only
25/1 Isconia : Escort - Makeover
25/1 Zechonia : Meg Myers - Monster
25/1 Hendinia : Tatana feat. Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (If you don't get in my bed)
25/1 Budtar : Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take me away
28/1 Hogan-Burg Republic : Emily Osment - All the way up
28/1 Kylienips : School of Seven Bells - The night
30/1 Scherzland : Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
30/1 Republic of Sass : DJ Snake feat. Eva Simons - Pressure in the club
30/1 People's Republic of Jester : Twintapes - Pluto
30/1 B.a.N.G : Lydia Caesar - Lottery
35/1 Lievant : Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar!
35/1 Sangria : Moonlight Breakfast - Still
35/1 Farahtyn : Marirose - I want love
35/1 Greenfroze: Belanova - Mariposas
40/1 New Caprica : B.A.P - Warrior
40/1 Armenijan : The Sounds - Tony the Beat
40/1 UnoShake : Skylar Grey - Words
40/1 Tinnmark : Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on
50/1 Dalisska : New Look - The ballad
70/1 Usfland : Jonas Alaska - October
100/1 Elëdan : Pyramids + Horseback - A throne without a king pt. 2

Potential winners above the line, but I think it's probably Ramrynia's to lose. Close contests ALWAYS throw up a charming catchy solo female pop winner and it stands out FAR more than the majority of the pop songs in this month's contest (it's all about the strings etc...).

Posted by: Liаm 29th January 2012, 10:58 PM

*hears the sound of Ryan spontaneously combusting*

Hmm meh for me the TELL-ALL prophecy, hopefully I pull off a shock

Posted by: Eyes 29th January 2012, 11:08 PM

15/1 is not bad, not bad at all!

I'd probably agree with all those winners, it's got to be one of those 6 this month, unless someone throws up a serious dark horse.

Posted by: Ryan741 29th January 2012, 11:15 PM

I can't believe these amazing odds - especially 2-1 favourite from gooddelta/Rich ! Like I've said all along I would just be happy with another qualification
You did say Liam, as well as some others during my decision process, it could do well - and hopefully it will! I won't get too excited yet though

It does look possible that Syndare may be able to pull off a debut win as well - so well done there

Posted by: gooddelta 29th January 2012, 11:17 PM

It stands out, but in a melodic way, which is always a good thing! Hopefully you'll get the votes

Posted by: Ghosthunter 29th January 2012, 11:19 PM

Not getting this Carly Rae Jepsen love at all! . Probably a good sign though considering I thought Lana Del Rey was going to DNQ

Bit of a mixed bag of odds for Marigold!

Posted by: gooddelta 29th January 2012, 11:22 PM

Ever since I first heard it I thought 'this could be a BJSC winner/top five', and for that reason I considered it briefly in October. But it never really made it high enough up my personal chart (initially at least, maybe it could get a second wind?) for it to be one of my serious contenders. It ticks all of the boxes though, and with no likely runaway winner this month I can see it snatching the win.

As for Syndare, it's a very strong debut entry, and a definite top ten debut, probably top five. I'm not sure it'll get *quite* enough widespread support to steal a debut win for them (I'm seeing something close to Vanbot's 4th place - very similar sound), but it shows signs of real promise from a nation that's sure to be one of the most successful of 2012!

Posted by: Liаm 29th January 2012, 11:24 PM

Tbh I can see it winning I'm just glad I was right And that it's a good song looking like doing well of course!

Posted by: Ryan741 29th January 2012, 11:34 PM

I love this positivity! After My previous entries finishing in the bottom half of the final it is exciting that my entry has a chance to make the top 10 I still have a feeling I could DNQ with people calling SF2 a bloodbath So I'm not going to get ahead of myself!

Posted by: gooddelta 29th January 2012, 11:41 PM

All it takes to win BJSC is the perfect song choice (and the occasional bit of luck that there's no juggernaut in the way!). Past form means very little when you have an entry with obvious widespread appeal - I'll confidently bet all of my belongings that you won't DNQ

Posted by: Scherz 29th January 2012, 11:46 PM

Definitely! There's no way you're not qualifying

Posted by: Liаm 29th January 2012, 11:46 PM

CAUSE BABY BOO BOO YOU BEEN HEADHUNTED.

#justsayin'


(I can also confidently bet all my belongings that Call Me Maybe won't DNQ however)

Posted by: Ryan741 29th January 2012, 11:53 PM

I hope you are all right

Posted by: gooddelta 30th January 2012, 12:03 AM

Headhunted was different, it was very vocally love/hate (22 people commented on it in the Semi voting thread and it was split evenly between fans and haters - the majority of the fans being in the opposite semi, the haters being in mine ) and although it's looked back on as a surprise DNQ, taking account all of the mass hate for it and my 'wrong semi' misfortune, it wasn't really that much of a shock!

Posted by: Liаm 30th January 2012, 12:09 AM

Oh, obviously I wasn't competing at the time so had no idea about Headhunted, I thought it was a Loreen-esque 'obvious winner' (on a lesser scale), but I've learnt something new tonight then

Posted by: Silas 30th January 2012, 03:46 AM

Headhunted was spectacularly Love/Hate to the point that no song since has been able to come anywhere near it.


I was very firmly on the Love side of the fence. Bloody glorious song and video.


Thrilled with Tone's odds, similar odds to those that Butterflies got on it's way to 4th place (I'm still shocked that it got a 12 from Mdice)

Posted by: Adn@n 30th January 2012, 05:29 AM

woohoo odds are just getting better for Ria Ritchie

Posted by: gooddelta 30th January 2012, 09:05 AM

Indeed, pages 11-14 http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=76914&st=200 are BJSC GOLD, Jack got the ball rolling and then the haters wouldn't stop crawling out of the woodwork! Note the retrospective Mikey of the week in there too! I was midly horrified but at the same time found it hilarious, it split opinion down the middle and we've still never seen a more talked about song prior to the results being revealed! I was being overconfident about its chances for sure but had it managed the extra few points it would have needed to get to the final, and the majority of its fans in the other semi, I'm sure it could have challenged for the top ten. Vincent's DNQ is the only one I accept graciously, Headhunted is a Rontvian classic, and still up there amongst my favourite entries that I've ever sent

Posted by: Tom Krystal Kay 30th January 2012, 11:43 AM

Never saw that before, it's brilliant Personally that said Miss Blue >>> Headhunted, but mostly because he was cute

I never saw any open hate for Feel 4 U so I found it a total shock when I had my first (and only, touch wood) DNQ

Posted by: gooddelta 30th January 2012, 12:22 PM

It's only in extreme cases I guess. Vincent attracted no real opinion either way iirc, and DNQ'd from being too average against the competition I guess. It's not like I was expecting it to go top five but Miss Blue was more than good enough for a place in the final, imo. But I guess everyone feels that way about their DNQ's, we wouldn't send them if we didn't like them (apart from a few countries who have admitted to sending songs that they don't like ).

Posted by: Jonjo 30th January 2012, 03:00 PM

Well. My opinion has changed from the "don't LOVE it but like it" opinion I had back then (I really can't stand it now - but it's not really relevant anymore )

Posted by: Silas 30th January 2012, 03:17 PM

Ah yes, BJSC X.


I remember after FSR Ashvia DNQ'd we teamed up with Pavel an launched a Money Note appreciation giving it 36 points between us

Posted by: Ljósið 30th January 2012, 03:24 PM

Posted by: Tom Krystal Kay 30th January 2012, 03:38 PM

Now Money Note is, was, and ever shall be MAGNIFICENT

Posted by: Jonjo 30th January 2012, 03:50 PM

That's one song I never have (and never likely will) get the love for. Horrific. Everything about it/her is too strange for my liking! I really don't see the appeal at all.

Posted by: Liаm 30th January 2012, 04:14 PM

Money Note is amazing I've not really been taken by anything else I've heard from her though.

Posted by: gooddelta 30th January 2012, 04:19 PM

Money Note was fully deserving of the FSR Ashedan triple whammy of 36 points, easily the best song in BJSCX, yes I prefer it to Paparazzi. The album was great too!

Posted by: Juranamo 30th January 2012, 04:22 PM

I didn't like it in BJSC10 and haven't had a desire to listen to Headhunted since. I can't remember how it goes.

Posted by: Liаm 30th January 2012, 04:27 PM

As for Headhunted, of all the BJSC songs I've heard, it would be among my favourites I'd probably go as far to say that it's my favourite Rontvian entry - it's certainly in my top 3!

Posted by: gooddelta 30th January 2012, 04:29 PM

Vocal Headhunted hate is so 2000 and late I'm afraid, the bandwagon rolled away a long time ago

Why don't people start publicly insulting all of the entries that they don't like from this contest instead, see how others react to their entry being slated by the masses?



You either get it or you don't, this applies to Mira Craig herself, not just Headhunted! I think she's a genius In fact I suddenly have a desire to go and listen to I'll Take You High

Posted by: Liаm 30th January 2012, 04:34 PM

I definitely agree, Headhunted excluded Mira is still pretty much a love/hate figure - and I happen to be on the love side, especially Headhunted and I'm The One

Posted by: gooddelta 30th January 2012, 04:41 PM

Mine All Mine was her only BJSC hit to date, and thanks to Maria lets face it (although I'm not sure that I'd have enjoyed that half as much as a Maria solo!) I can't fathom why people continue to send Mira periodically, she's clearly never going to be very liked on Buzzjack!

Posted by: Mart!n 30th January 2012, 04:46 PM

Unless they are smoking the wrong backy wacky couldn't resist.

Posted by: gooddelta 30th January 2012, 04:56 PM

You stole Kath's line

Posted by: Casey__ 30th January 2012, 05:31 PM

X is probably in my top three favourite contests ever. I miss how much I loved BJSC back then.

Odds are pretty scattered for 'Lottery' - really not usually my type of music, but i love it. <3

Posted by: Dandy* 30th January 2012, 06:06 PM

Good to see everyone predicting Foxes will do well. I can't get over just how much I'm in love with the track at the moment, I'm feeling very wary about it's chances though as it's the first entry that I've really cared about in such a manner since Watch The World Go By back in my debut contest.

Normally I'd try and be all cool and aloof ( ) about it but this time I will actually be GUTTED if it DNQs!

Posted by: Liаm 30th January 2012, 06:52 PM

So more odds to implode/cry/orgasm/slit your wrists over (delete as approriate):

3/1 Ramyrnia: Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe
3/1 Numayania: The Storm - My Crown
5/1 Ashton: Tone Damli - Look Back
6/1 Syndare: SoSo - Who's Gonna Love Me
8/1 Fljótavík : Foxes - Youth
10/1 FSR Rontvia: Prance Faris - Flares
10/1 ChrIseland: Donkeyboy - City Boy
12/1 Allecian: Mercedes & I - Wintersnow
12/1 Kopečka: Lena Phillipsson - Live Tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
14/1 Espen: Moa Lignell - When I Held Ya
16/1 Mdiče: MNDR - #1 In Heaven
16/1 FYR Vodjvodnia-On-The-Wold: Le Kid - Human Behaviour
16/1 Unovia: Dia Frampton - Billy THe Kid
16/1 Persephonia: The Wonder Villians - Zola
18/1 Danaelanda: Radio Killler - Don't Let The Music End
18/1 Seyetana: Nightwish - Turn Loose The Mermaids
18/1 Kluminican Republic: Paulina Rubio - Heat Of The Night
20/1 Ojnoj: Christina Grimmie - Advice
20/1 Daehun: moumoon - Sunshine Girl
20/1 Bignia-Zaragovina: Britt Daley - One And Only
20/1 Batidas: Studio Killers - Ode To The Bouncer
22/1 Caerfryddia: Marigold - You And I Know
25/1 Botanikka: Ria Ritchie - Only One
25/1 Aquafina: War Of Words - Battleground
25/1 Hendinia: Tatana ft. Natalia Kills - You Can't Get In My Head (If You Don't Get In My Bed)
25/1 Scherzland: Voxhalo ft. LaDolla - Criminal
28/1 Juranabaijan: The 2 Bears - Work
28/1 B.a.N.G.: Lydia Ceasar - Lottery
30/1 Kylienips: School Of Seven Bells - The Night
30/1 N-Lazone: Ian Carey & Rossette ft. Timbalanda & Brasco - Amnesia
30/1 Zechonia: Meg Myers - Monster
30/1 Republic Of Sass: DJ Snake ft. Eva Simons - Pressure In The Club
33/1 Hogan-Burg Republic: Emily Osment - All The Way Up
33/1 Budtar: Marvin Priest ft. Wynter Gordon - Take Me Away
33/1 People's Republic Of Jester: Twintapes - Pluto
35/1 Isconia: Escort - Makeover
35/1 Lievant: Mullyhaus ft. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar Liar
35/1 Greenfroze: Belanova: Mariposas
38/1 Armenijan: The Sounds - Tony The Beat
38/1 Unoshake: Skylar Grey - Words
40/1 Sangria: Moonlight Breakfast - Still
40/1 Farathyn: Marirose - I Want Love
45/1 New Caprica : B.A.P - Warrior
45/1 Dalisska: New Look - The Ballad
50/1 Tinmark: Andremo ft. Coco - Music Is Turning Me On
75/1 Usfland : Jonas Alaska - October
125/1 Elëdan : Pyramids + Horseback - A throne without a king pt. 2

Posted by: Ryan741 30th January 2012, 07:00 PM

Another set of odds that Carly is at the top of! I'm definitely looking forward to doing the average odds I do this time around - I might finally be near the top!

Posted by: ROBOT 30th January 2012, 07:09 PM

HMMMM, not great odds at all, but oh well

Posted by: LexC 30th January 2012, 07:48 PM

I like Liam's odds the most so far Hoping to get a top 15 with Mercedes & I, seems like enough people think that would be realistic!

Posted by: Jerick 30th January 2012, 08:08 PM

I dont enjoy these odds....

Posted by: Hitstastic 30th January 2012, 08:21 PM

Opening odds from BETidas.

3/1 Syndare : SoSo - Who's gonna love me
7/2 Ramrynia : Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe
4/1 Numayania : The Storm - My crown
4/1 FSR Rontvia : Prance Faris - Flares
9/2 Ashton : Tone Damli - Look back
7/1 Fljótavík : Foxes - Youth
10/1 ChrIseland : Donkeyboy - City boy
12/1 Aquafina : War Of Words - Battleground
12/1 Unovia : Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid
14/1 Batidas : Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer
14/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold : Le Kid - Human behaviour
14/1 Mdiče : MNDR - #1 in heaven
15/1 Daehun : moumoon - Sunshine girl
16/1 Isconia : Escort - Makeover
18/1 Kopečka : Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
20/1 Dalisska : New Look - The ballad
20/1 N-Lazone : Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
22/1 Séyetana : Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids
24/1 Caerfyrddia : Marigold - You and I know
24/1 B.a.N.G : Lydia Caesar - Lottery
25/1 Espen : Moa Lignell - When I held ya
25/1 Greenfroze: Belanova - Mariposas
26/1 Kluminican Republic : Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night
28/1 Zechonia : Meg Myers - Monster
28/1 Botanikka : Ria Ritchie - Only one
30/1 Kylienips : School of Seven Bells - The night
30/1 Hendinia : Tatana feat. Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (If you don't get in my bed)
32/1 Ojnoj : Christina Grimmie - Advice
34/1 Budtar : Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take me away
34/1 Tinnmark : Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on
38/1 Farahtyn : Marirose - I want love
38/1 Scherzland : Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
40/1 Bignia-Zaragovina : Britt Daley - One and only
40/1 Allecian : Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
42/1 Juranabaijan : The 2 Bears - Work
44/1 New Caprica : B.A.P - Warrior
44/1 Republic of Sass : DJ Snake feat. Eva Simons - Pressure in the club
46/1 Sangria : Moonlight Breakfast - Still
46/1 Danaelanda : Radio Killer - Don't let the music end
48/1 Lievant : Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar!
50/1 Armenijan : The Sounds - Tony the Beat
50/1 UnoShake : Skylar Grey - Words
52/1 People's Republic of Jester : Twintapes - Pluto
55/1 Persephonia : The Wonder Villains - Zola
60/1 Usfland : Jonas Alaska - October
75/1 Hogan-Burg Republic : Emily Osment - All the way up
100/1 Elëdan : Pyramids + Horseback - A throne without a king pt. 2

Posted by: Ryan741 30th January 2012, 08:29 PM

2nd in those odds! This is brilliant so far!

Still looking very good for a debut win for Syndare as well at the moment!

Posted by: Liаm 30th January 2012, 08:29 PM

Ooh great odds there I was thinking Dia would DNQ, but I'm a bit more confident as the week goes on.

Posted by: Klumzee 30th January 2012, 08:32 PM

If anything it's getting under-predicted! It sounds like a definite top 10 to me!

Posted by: Jerick 30th January 2012, 08:42 PM

tbh I'm so jealous at Numayania and Ashton I wanted to send those two entries that are doing really good in the odds

Posted by: Silas 30th January 2012, 08:44 PM

To be fair, it was my turn. You had I Love You.

Posted by: Hitstastic 30th January 2012, 08:47 PM

Your entry is practically 0.5 off being my joint favourite. I think the winner of BJSC XLI is most likely going to be one of the top 5 nations in my odds.

Posted by: Dandy* 30th January 2012, 08:49 PM

I personally think it's going to be another Rontvian victory this month, I can imagine it picking up votes from many different quarters.

Posted by: ukchartstatsfan 30th January 2012, 08:49 PM

Not great odds for Jonas for Usfland, but you never know what will happen

Posted by: LexC 30th January 2012, 08:53 PM

And back down to earth

Posted by: Ryan741 30th January 2012, 08:57 PM

The top 5 or 6 in the odds are very close, and it seems to be the same ones popping up at the top of most people's! I hope this is a good sign for another Ramrynia qualification to the final at least!

Posted by: Jerick 30th January 2012, 09:06 PM

True, but you got Butterflies... OMG I remember how much we were back and farward about sending that song

Posted by: råndomfurlöng 30th January 2012, 09:16 PM

I'm quite surprised and very pleased at how well SoSo is fairing in the odds - seems to be a consensus top six so far, and I'm ecstatic to be part of it! I'd still be shocked at a win, but even a top ten on my first competition would be fantastic. So thank you; especially Iz, Tom and Hits for putting me at the top of the odds!

Sad that my personal favourite discovery (I'm not telling!) seems to be at risk of not even qualifying, but you can't have everything.

Posted by: gooddelta 30th January 2012, 09:22 PM

Luckily the song's in the semi where it has two guaranteed HUGE fans, I'm sure it can rack up another 15-20 points needed to qualify from the remaining 22 voting countries!

Assuming I'm thinking of the same song as you that is

Posted by: Silas 30th January 2012, 09:24 PM

The one thing I hate more than know it all busy bodies, is people who say 'oooooh I just hope I qualify' when the song is quite CLEARLY a cert for top5.


Fucking annoying.

Posted by: LexC 30th January 2012, 09:25 PM

THIS. (No offence Ryan )

Posted by: Liаm 30th January 2012, 09:31 PM

EXACTLY what I've been dying to say!

(again, no offence Ryan, just try and cut it down )

Posted by: råndomfurlöng 30th January 2012, 09:32 PM

I'm pretty sure which song you mean, and it actually wasn't the one I meant - but only because I'd already discovered it before this week, it's still assured a hefty amount of points from me!

Posted by: Cal 30th January 2012, 09:34 PM

Happy with the odds so far! Although I do seem to be falling into the habit of sending Scandinavians with guitars. It's a good formula though.

Posted by: Ryan741 30th January 2012, 09:40 PM

No offence taken I'm still in the mindset that it's not really that different to Demi and Katie (in a strange way) as it is still pop except being a bit more mainstream, so I'm seriously shocked to have what looks to be a good chance at doing well and getting top 5 as you say - but I'll happily take it!

I'll stop going on in future starting now!

Posted by: gooddelta 30th January 2012, 09:41 PM

BJSC has always been the home of modesty, Nonsuch, Simondly and Kingdom of Shadow perfected the trait of underplaying their entries, often to the point that you wondered if they were bluffing. I don't find it annoying as such but if you genuinely believe that your entry has a great shot at doing well then I don't believe that there's any shame in admitting it. I often plop my song into the business end of the odds if I believe that it has a chance of going top five!

Obviously some months I'll send something with a glass ceiling of crossover appeal just for the sake of variety or introducing something to a select few who like a niche genre (Caro Emerald, Markoolio and Linda, Elsiane) and in those cases I adjust accordingly and put myself mid-table or lower...Aside from a few cases (Headhunted, Not A Love Song) I'm never that far out with my own predictions of my own entries and their eventual finishing positions.

Posted by: gooddelta 30th January 2012, 09:43 PM

Awkward

But yeah, there are quite a few songs this month that I LOVE but that have had DNQ predictions which I hope don't come to fruition.

Posted by: Hitstastic 30th January 2012, 09:59 PM

Well, I remember putting 'Riverside' comfortably inside my top 5 nations to win BJSC when I made my debut. I was convinced 'Punk Rock Song' was going to win but deep down inside I wanted Agnes to win purely because I adored the song so much. I still didn't think I'd win but be a top 5 contender. Winning was both brilliant but also a shock. It's difficult to explain how you feel when you win something like this with a song you personally love so much.

That's what made me laugh about Peter30 when 'Louder' won the BJSC I hosted, and he said the song didn't deserve to win compared to 'Release Me'. When someone wins and the first thing they post is "it isn't deserved compared to my last winner" it generates a moment.

Posted by: Oricon 30th January 2012, 10:01 PM

Our odds seems to be our best so far .

Posted by: gooddelta 30th January 2012, 10:17 PM

I can appreciate the feeling, it's a sense of pride combined with elation that a lot of people have made a fantastic discovery purely thanks to you. Which is why I could never understand people sending 'cheap' songs, for me BJSC is about discovering great new music and introducing people to great new music, not sending any old song to see how high I can finish. Each to their own but I don't think I'd feel any sense of pride or elation in finishing top three with some new leak by one of the world's biggest stars

Peter's always been brutally honest but I can see where he was coming from. Release Me was a landmark winner, Louder was the most forgettable of 2011. Sometimes other people just end up liking your entry more than you do!

Posted by: gooddelta 30th January 2012, 11:48 PM

An update from RontBet, with a number of songs having their odds shortened after a flurry of bets;

6/4 Ramrynia : Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe
3/1 Syndare : SoSo - Who's gonna love me
4/1 FSR Rontvia : Prance Faris - Flares
4/1 Ashton : Tone Damli - Look back
4/1 Numayania : The Storm - My crown
5/1 Fljótavík : Foxes - Youth
-------------------
10/1 Espen : Moa Lignell - When I held ya
10/1 Batidas : Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer
10/1 Kopečka : Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
12/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold : Le Kid - Human behaviour
12/1 Caerfyrddia : Marigold - You and I know
12/1 ChrIseland : Donkeyboy - City boy
14/1 Unovia : Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid
14/1 Kluminican Republic : Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night
14/1 Danaelanda : Radio Killer - Don't let the music end
15/1 Mdiče : MNDR - #1 in heaven
15/1 Botanikka : Ria Ritchie - Only one
15/1 Séyetana : Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids
15/1 Allecian : Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
18/1 Persephonia : The Wonder Villains - Zola
18/1 Daehun : moumoon - Sunshine girl
20/1 Juranabaijan : The 2 Bears - Work
22/1 Aquafina : War Of Words - Battleground
22/1 Republic of Sass : DJ Snake feat. Eva Simons - Pressure in the club
22/1 Ojnoj : Christina Grimmie - Advice
25/1 N-Lazone : Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
25/1 Bignia-Zaragovina : Britt Daley - One and only
25/1 Isconia : Escort - Makeover
25/1 Zechonia : Meg Myers - Monster
25/1 Hendinia : Tatana feat. Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (If you don't get in my bed)
28/1 Budtar : Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take me away
28/1 Hogan-Burg Republic : Emily Osment - All the way up
30/1 Kylienips : School of Seven Bells - The night
30/1 Scherzland : Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
30/1 People's Republic of Jester : Twintapes - Pluto
30/1 B.a.N.G : Lydia Caesar - Lottery
35/1 Lievant : Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar!
35/1 Sangria : Moonlight Breakfast - Still
35/1 Farahtyn : Marirose - I want love
35/1 Greenfroze: Belanova - Mariposas
40/1 New Caprica : B.A.P - Warrior
40/1 Armenijan : The Sounds - Tony the Beat
40/1 UnoShake : Skylar Grey - Words
40/1 Tinnmark : Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on
50/1 Dalisska : New Look - The ballad
70/1 Usfland : Jonas Alaska - October
100/1 Elëdan : Pyramids + Horseback - A throne without a king pt. 2

Posted by: Cal 31st January 2012, 08:18 AM

Rich's sets of odds are always the best.

Posted by: Juranamo 31st January 2012, 09:38 AM

The odds for me started low of course, but they seem better now! I'm feeling optimistic!

Posted by: Freeze 31st January 2012, 09:55 AM

Do you think Belanova is THAT bad?

Posted by: Ryan741 31st January 2012, 11:41 AM

Wow at RontBet! Down to 6/4 fo Carly!

Posted by: LexC 31st January 2012, 02:54 PM

I'm worrying now, pretty sure the last time I got odds like this was with Breanne Duren. Not a good omen.

Posted by: Jerick 31st January 2012, 06:29 PM

Freeze, if the odds are correct about Tinnmark, you can look farward for a great results for Greenfroze

For your information, The Tinnmark Project 2012 isn't fully developed. We are just running a BETA test

Posted by: Hitstastic 31st January 2012, 07:09 PM

Clearly I do.

I shall amend my odds and include your entry.

Posted by: Ghosthunter 31st January 2012, 09:43 PM

Odds to qualify from Bwci-Fyrddin (in decimal form otherwise I know I'll get confused)

Semi Final 1:

1.10 Batidas : Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer
1.10 Ashton : Tone Damli - Look back
1.10 ChrIseland : Donkeyboy - City boy
1.15 Numayania : The Storm - My crown
1.15 Botanikka : Ria Ritchie - Only one
1.25 Hendinia : Tatana feat. Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (If you don't get in my bed)
1.25 N-Lazone : Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
1.30 Daehun : moumoon - Sunshine girl
1.30 Allecian : Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
1.35 Unovia : Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid
1.40 Hogan-Burg Republic : Emily Osment - All the way up
1.45 Aquafina : War Of Words - Battleground
1.45 Tinnmark : Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on
1.60 Republic of Sass : DJ Snake feat. Eva Simons - Pressure in the club
1.60 Budtar : Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take me away
1.90 B.a.N.G : Lydia Caesar - Lottery
2.10 Juranabaijan : The 2 Bears - Work
2.10 Isconia : Escort - Makeover
2.15 Armenijan : The Sounds - Tony the Beat
3.00 Sangria : Moonlight Breakfast - Still
4.25 Dalisska : New Look - The ballad
5.00 People's Republic of Jester : Twintapes - Pluto
8.00 Elëdan : Pyramids + Horseback - A throne without a king pt. 2

Semi Final 2:

1.05 Syndare : SoSo - Who's gonna love me
1.05 Ramrynia : Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe
1.05 FSR Rontvia : Prance Faris - Flares
1.10 Fljótavík : Foxes - Youth
1.15 Mdiče : MNDR - #1 in heaven
1.20 Kopečka : Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
1.30 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold : Le Kid - Human behaviour
1.35 Séyetana : Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids
1.50 Persephonia : The Wonder Villains - Zola
1.50 Ojnoj : Christina Grimmie - Advice
1.55 Danaelanda : Radio Killer - Don't let the music end
1.60 Scherzland : Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
1.60 Kluminican Republic : Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night
1.75 Caerfyrddia : Marigold - You and I know
1.80 Zechonia : Meg Myers - Monster
1.85 Espen : Moa Lignell - When I held ya
1.90 Kylienips : School of Seven Bells - The night
2.00 Lievant : Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar!
2.50 Bignia-Zaragovina : Britt Daley - One and only
2.50 Farahtyn : Marirose - I want love
3.10 UnoShake : Skylar Grey - Words
4.90 Usfland : Jonas Alaska - October
7.00 New Caprica : B.A.P - Warrior

Odds to Win: (using ratios)

2/1 Syndare : SoSo - Who's gonna love me
5/2 Ramrynia : Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe
3/1 FSR Rontvia : Prance Faris - Flares
4/1 Batidas : Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer
5/1 Numayania : The Storm - My crown
11/2 Fljótavík : Foxes - Youth
6/1 Mdiče : MNDR - #1 in heaven
8/1 Séyetana : Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids
10/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold : Le Kid - Human behaviour
10/1 Ashton : Tone Damli - Look back
12/1 ChrIseland : Donkeyboy - City boy
14/1 Kopečka : Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
14/1 Botanikka : Ria Ritchie - Only one
15/1 N-Lazone : Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
15/1 Scherzland : Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
16/1 Daehun : moumoon - Sunshine girl
18/1 Allecian : Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
18/1 Tinnmark : Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on
20/1 Unovia : Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid
22/1 Aquafina : War Of Words - Battleground
25/1 Danaelanda : Radio Killer - Don't let the music end
25/1 Ojnoj : Christina Grimmie - Advice
25/1 Kluminican Republic : Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night
27/1 Hendinia : Tatana feat. Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (If you don't get in my bed)
30/1 Hogan-Burg Republic : Emily Osment - All the way up
33/1 Caerfyrddia : Marigold - You and I know
35/1 Republic of Sass : DJ Snake feat. Eva Simons - Pressure in the club
35/1 Budtar : Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take me away
37/1 Isconia : Escort - Makeover
40/1 Espen : Moa Lignell - When I held ya
40/1 Juranabaijan : The 2 Bears - Work
40/1 Greenfroze : Belanova - Mariposas
40/1 Lievant : Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar!
45/1 Dalisska : New Look - The ballad
50/1 Kylienips : School of Seven Bells - The night
50/1 Persephonia : The Wonder Villains - Zola
50/1 Sangria : Moonlight Breakfast - Still
55/1 B.a.N.G : Lydia Caesar - Lottery
60/1 Bignia-Zaragovina : Britt Daley - One and only
60/1 Farahtyn : Marirose - I want love
65/1 Zechonia : Meg Myers - Monster
70/1 UnoShake : Skylar Grey - Words
80/1 People's Republic of Jester : Twintapes - Pluto
85/1 Armenijan : The Sounds - Tony the Beat
90/1 Usfland : Jonas Alaska - October
100/1 Elëdan : Pyramids + Horseback - A throne without a king pt. 2
100/1 New Caprica : B.A.P - Warrior

Posted by: Ryan741 31st January 2012, 09:45 PM

Brilliant odds again for Carly! And it seems to be the same ones at the top, but with a couple of others there too such as Seyetana and Batidas

Posted by: Eyes 31st January 2012, 09:52 PM

I think the decimal form makes it more confusing. Odds can go below 1 if they are more likely to happen than not. It does still make sense though!

I'm into single figures now! Lovely.

Posted by: Hitstastic 31st January 2012, 10:08 PM

Loving the odds from Bwci-Fyrddin My best odds so far at 4/1 but I still have a gut feeling Numayania and Ashton will perform better in the final (oh dear, I'm posting this as if we've already qualified )

Posted by: JohnMK 31st January 2012, 10:47 PM

If SoSo does win, I am going to be positively LIVID.

Posted by: Ghosthunter 31st January 2012, 10:47 PM

Oh, I wasn't aware of that, but that does make sense! I only chose to go down the decimal route as I knew doing ratios for qualifiers would throw me completely!

Posted by: råndomfurlöng 1st February 2012, 12:11 AM

Oh my god, I have a hater already. Now I know I've made it.

And thank you Ghosty! Astounding odds.

Posted by: Adn@n 1st February 2012, 05:03 AM

I'm pleased with Ria odds from Ghosthunter

Posted by: Tom Krystal Kay 1st February 2012, 10:20 AM

Soooo... I'm the only one who just makes shit up based on what I think each song is going to do?

Anyway nice odds, thanks Martin

Posted by: ukchartstatsfan 1st February 2012, 10:25 AM

On average, Usfland are about 68-1 with the bookies.

Being realistic: I don't think we'll qualify for the final.

Posted by: Ghosthunter 1st February 2012, 07:27 PM

Oh no, I do that too, they're certainly not based on mathematical probability

I only did decimals for the semi finals as I can't get my head around odds-on ratios . The decimal odds are based on a £1 stake, the profit you make is the decimal minus £1. So odds of 1.10 on a £1 stake would mean you get your £1 back, as well as 10p profit. Someone please tell me if I've got that wrong!

Posted by: Liаm 1st February 2012, 07:33 PM

Exactly my logic too

Posted by: Ljósið 1st February 2012, 07:39 PM

Ghosty, your odds for qualification are rather LOOSE. Lievant EVENS and my entry is only 7/1?

Posted by: Ghosthunter 1st February 2012, 08:10 PM

Well as far as semi finals are concerned, anything could happen . I've kept the odds lower for the semis as each song is competing for one of 15 qualifying spots rather than in the odds to win where all the entries are competing for the one winning place.

And I actually do think Lievant has a 50/50 chance of qualifying!

Posted by: Oricon 1st February 2012, 08:38 PM

I agree as well, the song is absolutely BLAND for my liking. Don't get the love for it

Carly on the other hand.....

Posted by: Dandy* 1st February 2012, 08:41 PM

Methinks people are misinterpreting John...

Posted by: Liаm 1st February 2012, 08:46 PM

Indeed, I'm guessing he'll be livid because he lost a winner

I have to say I'm really liking ALL the favourites right now

Posted by: Ryan741 1st February 2012, 08:57 PM

Ooh, glad to see another fan!



I guess that includes Carly?

I will post the average odds at some point as usual, so if anyone else want their odds including make sure you post them in the next couple of days so I can post them before the Semi results

Posted by: Hitstastic 1st February 2012, 09:01 PM

If all my faves make the final, I'll have a nightmare allocating points. There are a good 5 songs here that would get my 12 points in an average contest. Then there's a few others that I'm liking that in any other contest would be an easy 10 points.

Posted by: JohnMK 1st February 2012, 09:03 PM

Bingo

I'll just have to add Syndare to the enemies of Vojvodina list, they'll be in good company with the likes of Olly Murs and Diana Vickers.

Posted by: Jester 1st February 2012, 09:07 PM

OUCH at those odds.

Posted by: Ryan741 1st February 2012, 09:07 PM

I'm going to restrain myself from starting my daily Diana Vickers discussion! Why is Olly Murs on your enemy list? I think enemies should be changed to favourites - how can Diana be anyone's enemy!

Posted by: JohnMK 1st February 2012, 09:22 PM

The best description for those on said list is: c*nt, Olly is there for his sub-par Robbie Williams shtick and God knows one of those is far more than the world ever needed and his disgusting voice, body and music.

Posted by: råndomfurlöng 1st February 2012, 09:38 PM

Sounds suspiciously like hell

However, with the money flowing in from the sales SoSo is accruing through various nation's download sites, Syndare will be well positioned to fight back if such an occasion should arise. You have been warned.

Posted by: Silas 1st February 2012, 09:40 PM

Those noted cunts are also on Ashton's Shoot Upon Sight list.

Posted by: Ryan741 1st February 2012, 10:11 PM

I think the people of Syndare would be very happy to enjoy company with Olly and particularly Diana! I certainly would (in Diana's case!)

Posted by: råndomfurlöng 1st February 2012, 10:25 PM

Since her flagrant endorsement of leather clothing, Diana has been banned from Syndarian territories. Any televised repeats featuring the songstress have been edited in case the conscientious Syndarian public should be confronted with her again.

Olly however is free to move as he pleases, although radio stations refuse to play anything except 'Heart Skips A Beat', which gathered such popularity on pirate radio broadcasts that Syndarian officials granted a pardon on his previous offences.

Posted by: JohnMK 1st February 2012, 11:52 PM

What a forgiving bunch you Syndarian's are, anyone caught expressing anything other than utter revulsion upon the mention of his name in Vojvodina is shot.

Posted by: råndomfurlöng 2nd February 2012, 12:43 AM

What this thread needs is MORE ODDS. And some sure-to-be ridiculous ones at that.

Odds to win from Syndare's premier betting shop, Synbrokes:

3/1 (Ashton) Tone Damli - Look Back
7/2 (Ramrynia) Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe
4/1 (Fljótavík) Foxes - Youth
4/1 (Syndare) Soso - Who's Gonna Love Me
5/1 (Numayania) The Storm - My Crown
7/1 (Unovia) Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid
7/1 (ChrIseland) Donkeyboy - City Boy
8/1 (FSR Rontvia) Prance Faris - Flares
8/1 (Botanikka) Ria Ritchie - Only One
10/1 (Daehun) moumoon - Sunshine Girl
12/1 (FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold) Le Kid - Human Behaviour
12/1 (Caerfyddia) Marigold - You and I Know
12/1 (Batidas) Studio Killers - Ode to the Bouncer
12/1 (Kopečka) Lena Philipsson - Live Tomorrow (Sthlm mix)
14/1 (Allecian) Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
14/1 (Mdiče) MNDR - #1 in Heaven
15/1 (Ojnoj) Christina Grimmie - Advice
15/1 (Kluminican Republic) Paulina Rubio - Heat of the Night
16/1 (Aquafina) War Of Words - Battleground
18/1 (Séyetana) Nightwish - Turn Loose the Mermaids
18/1 (Persephonia) The Wonder Villains - Zola
18/1 (Lievant) Mollyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar Liar
20/1 (Bignia-Zaragovina) Britt Daley - One and Only
20/1 (Farahtyn) Marirose - I Want Love
22/1 (N-Lazone) Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
24/1 (Juranabaijan) The 2 Bears - Work
25/1 (Republic of Sass) DJ Snake feat. Eva Simons - Pressure in the Club
25/1 (B.a.N.G) Lydia Caesar - Lottery
25/1 (Sangria) Moonlight Breakfast - Still
26/1 (Isconia) Escort - Makeover
28/1 (Espen) Moa Lignell - When I Held Ya
28/1 (Hendinia) Tatana feat. Natalia Kills - You Can't Get In My Head
28/1 (Scherzland) Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
30/1 (Tinnmark) Andremo feat. Coco - Music is Turning Me On
30/1 (Budtar) Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take Me Away
30/1 (Danaelanda) Radio Killer - Don't Let The Music End
32/1 (Greenfroze) Belanova - Mariposas
32/1 (Zechonia) Meg Myers - Monster
35/1 (UnoShake) Skylar Grey - Words
40/1 (Hogan-Burg Republic) Emily Osment - All the Way Up
40/1 (Usfland) Jonas Alaska - October
40/1 (Armenijan) The Sounds - Tony the Beat
50/1 (Dalisska) New Look - The Ballad
50/1 (Kylienips) School of Seven Bells - The Night
60/1 (New Caprica) B.A.P - Warrior
60/1 (People's Republic of Jester) Twintapes - Pluto
100/1 (Elëdan) Pyramids + Horseback - A Throne Without A King Pt. 2

Synbrokes' odds in no way reflect the personal tastes of anyone involved in their inception.

Posted by: Oricon 2nd February 2012, 12:59 AM

I like them odds BEST

Posted by: lee wallace 2nd February 2012, 02:07 AM

1/1 Ashton: Tone Damli - Look Back
2/1 Fsr Rontvia: Prance Faris - Flares
3/1 Numayania: The Storm - My Crown
3/1 Ramrynia Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe
9/1 B.a.N.G: Lydia Caesar - Lottery
10/1 Syndare : SoSo - Who's gonna love me
10/1 Bignia-Zaragovina : Britt Daley - One and only
11/1 Unovia : Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid Highest Climbers
12/1 Kluminican Republic : Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night
12/1 Tinnmark : Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on
13/1 Hendina: Tatana Feat Natalie Kills - You Can't Get In My Head
15/1 Allecian: Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
15/1 Fljótavík : Foxes - Youth
16/1 Batidas : Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer
16/1 Isconia : Escort - Makeover
16/1 Kopečka : Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
17/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold : Le Kid - Human behaviour
17/1 UnoShake : Skylar Grey - Words
17.5/1 People's Republic of Jester : Twintapes - Pluto
18/1 Mdiče : MNDR - #1 in heaven
18/1 New Caprica : B.A.P - Warrior
18/1 Farahtyn : Marirose - I want love
18/1 Usfland : Jonas Alaska - October
19/1 Sangria : Moonlight Breakfast - Still
19/1 Ojnoj : Christina Grimmie - Advice
19/1 Aquafina : War Of Words - Battleground
20/1 ChrIseland : Donkeyboy - City boy
21/1 Dalisska : New Look - The ballad
22/1 Scherzland : Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
22/1 Kylienips : School of Seven Bells - The night
22/1 Budtar : Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take me away
26/1 Daehun : moumoon - Sunshine girl
27/1 Séyetana : Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids
28/1 Espen : Moa Lignell - When I held ya
28/1 Lievant : Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar!
31/1 N-Lazone : Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
33/1 Juranabaijan : The 2 Bears - Work
36/1 Botanikka : Ria Ritchie - Only one
40/1 Republic of Sass : DJ Snake feat. Eva Simons - Pressure in the club
42/1 Persephonia : The Wonder Villains - Zola
47/1 Hogan-Burg Republic : Emily Osment - All the way up
51/1 Greenfroze: Belanova - Mariposas
55/1 Armenijan : The Sounds - Tony the Beat
56/1 Danaelanda : Radio Killer - Don't let the music end
80/1 Caerfyrddia : Marigold - You and I know
80/1 Zechonia : Meg Myers - Monster
1150/1 Elëdan : Pyramids + Horseback - A throne without a king pt. 2

Posted by: Ryan741 2nd February 2012, 09:08 AM

I like these odds too!

Posted by: Tom Krystal Kay 2nd February 2012, 09:40 AM

So you're saying Ashton is literally CERTAIN to win Lee? Anyway loving the FSR Ashavania dominance at the top

Revised odds from PadisPouwer.ny coming soon!

Posted by: Eyes 2nd February 2012, 10:13 AM

Nope, he's giving it evens, which means 50% chance to win. A certainty would technically be 0/1, but you'll never see odds like that, so it's more likely to be something ridiculous like 1/250 for an outcome you are certain about (and yes, the 1 is on the left here).

Posted by: Adn@n 2nd February 2012, 11:47 AM

Varying odds for Ria...from 8/1 to 36/1

Posted by: Ghosthunter 2nd February 2012, 12:50 PM

12/1 and 80/1. Interesting

Posted by: Liаm 2nd February 2012, 01:03 PM

Brilliant last two odds

Posted by: lee wallace 2nd February 2012, 02:37 PM

No, I think it's going to be tight between the top four, but I think this is Ashton do have a fantastic chance to win and It's also one of my five favorite songs. I actually love 2 songs that have poor odds for me. Infact all odds are closing in on Ashton for me, especially Call Me Maybe.

I do think Unovia are due a win soon and for me remain the dark horses of this competition, but I don't think they will win this BJSC, also think their is a better song from their artist.

If I was a betting man I would put 10p on Elden. It's going to be a really, really close battle and I for one is looking forward to this. I just hope that Ashton's song has a greater appeal as in previous competitions they don't seem to get the votes from the pop lovers.

Rontvia is the biggest challanger as I've stated as their odds have them on good odds, it seems anything Rich enters will always guarantee top 10 though.

Posted by: gooddelta 2nd February 2012, 02:51 PM

I came 18th last month If Flares does well I'd like to hope it's because of its own merit and not because of any feeling of loyalty from anybody towards me. I guess Adaline flopping last month proved that if I send something that the majority don't care for, then it will fail, and quite rightfully so!

As for Tone Damli, it's hard to tell because Butterflies, her signature track, finished 4th, and Tone's other BJSC entries - all with a similar 'sound' - had varying levels of success (one even DNQ'd). That said, the contest is a LOT more pop dominated than it was when Butterflies was entered, practically all of the new countries love their pure female pop. This will benefit both Tone and Call Me Maybe, which I doubt would have had a chance of winning a 2009 contest, just because of the different makeup of the participating countries' music tastes. I do think that Look Back is a certainty for the top ten though, incredibly likely to go top five and a possible winner.

Posted by: lee wallace 2nd February 2012, 02:57 PM

I didin't mean it to come across like that you get high loyality from people. I always like your choices and you would see that through my votes. I didin't take part last month so I apoligise.

I would be shocked if Ashton did miss the top 5 though, like I said It's a five horse race I believe with Yourself, Ashton, Ramryina, Numayania and I believe we will see a shock finish from someone who I believe could be Unovia, Tinmark or Allecian.

Posted by: gooddelta 2nd February 2012, 03:14 PM

No need to apologise! No offence taken, and I'm glad that you like a lot of my choices! But I've noticed comments in the past (not from you!) that seem to suggest that a lot of my entries do well because of my popularity on Buzzjack. I don't see why that should transfer over to a song contest but who knows how other people vote? All I know is that I personally vote for my 10 favourite songs each month, regardless of who is sending them.

What about Syndare? I'd be surprised to see them miss the top three

Posted by: Hitstastic 2nd February 2012, 03:33 PM

I always vote for the songs, not the person sending the song. Otherwise I'd have given 'Strawberry Shake' my 12 points just because it was GD sending the song. Instead, it was one of the songs that got an early exit when whittling down my faves in that contest.

Other than that, most of FSR Ronvia's entries in 2011 got some Batidas love. Only Ria and Adaline (spelling?) didn't quite make the cut when it came to allocating points in the final.

Posted by: lee wallace 2nd February 2012, 04:04 PM

Syndare's entry is also very good, It's going to be a close call, and I for one can't wait to see the outcome and who wins, it's going to be very intresting. But I do think it will be a five horse race. I am optimistic about Aquafina's chances of qualifying as I do have an awful record 4/5 DNQ but the songs seems to be getting average odds, think I played it too safe this month.

Posted by: Ryan741 2nd February 2012, 04:05 PM

Glad to see Call Me Maybe still being one of the front-runners and doing even better on Aquafina's odds!

I think I'll post the average odds later tonight, so you'll have time to look at them properly before the results on Saturday. So if you want to update your odds or post any new ones, please do so in the next few hours to be included in the averages

Posted by: ROBOT 2nd February 2012, 04:10 PM

I'm pretty sure that I will be one of the people that you think has said this, as I've made comments about FSR Rontvia's popularity in the past, but I haven't meant it to come out in a way about your popularity yourself on the site, but more than now Rontvia are this 'notorious Top 10' finisher, people are more interested to hear your entries.

Posted by: gooddelta 2nd February 2012, 04:26 PM

I can see why people might go to listen to my entries first, based on this 'regular top 10 finisher' status. However this does add a huge amount of pressure, it's almost as if I'm expected to be coming up with some incredible, inspired song every month that will appeal to everybody If only! Ria and Britanny McDonald proved that even I like to indulge in some generic female pop sometimes, even if it didn't do my diversity much good. I always get called out on it if I send something generic but they were genuinely my favourite non-charting songs at the time!

But certainly Kopecka, Ashton and Numayania and more recently Batidas, Espen and Caerfyrddia's entries are usually the first ones I listen to each month, purely based on past form. Not that that means that they're any more or less likely to get points from me that month just because of I've listened to them first! Sometimes I'll think 'oh...was that it', whilst others I'll think 'my God, they've done it again! ' I rate each song out of 10 as I go along anyway so the order that I listen to them is irrelevant.

Posted by: ROBOT 2nd February 2012, 06:08 PM

Yeah, I'm not saying anything bad about how you choose your songs, and saying you don't deserve success - I was just saying they were more my thoughts on things, opposed to people voting for you because of you being Gooddelta.

Posted by: Oricon 2nd February 2012, 06:19 PM

Tbh I was one of them people who thought a lot of people voted for Rich because of his status in BJSC but was proven wrong when Adaline (?) didn't finish as successful as people predicted.

Posted by: Silas 2nd February 2012, 09:41 PM

Everyone thought I used to give Rich 12's constantly because it was Rich and we had some form of voting alliance thing, but I genuinely love those tracks. 2011 has proven that Rich get's it on merit alone as that was the single worst year for points from Ashton to Rontvia.



I am LOVING those odds and being top of them. That is very lovely to see. I personally expected Tone to do rather well, but winning would be exceeding my expectations. I would love a top5, and like Rich said that's where Butterflies made got to (Although there was some shock indie fans) and not as many pop fans. I'd like to be able to say I'm a cert for top5, but I've entered so many tracks in the past I thought would sail into the top 10 then either DNQ'd (Nevio/Cilmi - Although I agree with TiP, have that qualified it'd have done very well) or flopped into the 20's hence the era of flop for Ashton. Although, now looking back I can see a quality increase starting in the middle of my DNQ streak and feel more deserving of last years success.

Posted by: gooddelta 2nd February 2012, 09:45 PM

Indeed, it's one thing to attract good odds based on past performance - I guess I tend to subconsciously bump up the likes of Mdice and Batidas based on past form regardless of what they send - but converting those predictions into results is an altogether more difficult task! Adaline probably WAS getting blanket top ten predictions last month because everyone always expects me to finish top ten but in the end odds mean nothing if people don't actually care for the song when it comes down to the voting!

Posted by: gooddelta 2nd February 2012, 10:09 PM

FSR Ashvia fell apart a bit in 2011, 2012 is where it gets back on track Admittedly though, I can see why you didn't like some of my entries last year - whereas in 2010 my entries would have generally appealed to the same people each time, in 2011 I was changing things up nearly every month genre wise and it would have been nigh on impossible for anybody to love all ten and I wouldn't have expected anyone to.

I actually liked most of your entries in 2011, it was only Electric and Every Time (You Look At Me) which didn't get any support from me - most of the others got 6's and 7's although a couple got 1 or 2 points I think...Look Back is my favourite entry of yours since Forget Your Name I think, which you'll recall got my full 18 points!

Posted by: lee wallace 2nd February 2012, 11:53 PM

I think the more victories and the more experience you have with BJSC the more hype you have around your name as Rich says when songs are released you jump and look at nations that have intrested you in the past.

Posted by: Oricon 3rd February 2012, 12:36 AM

^ That and in general the countries whom you vote for most, some people tend to jump and listen to their tracks first.

I admit for example I tend to listen to the likes of Numayania, Séyetana, Unovia, Ramrynia, Kluminican Republic first because I have a tendency to like their entries quite often. That doesn't mean I'll like their all their entries though, as people will see this time round

Posted by: Silas 3rd February 2012, 12:39 AM

41st contest bitches

Ashton, Kopecka, Kylienips & FSR Rontvia have all never missed a contest We're the proper old guard.

Posted by: Ljósið 3rd February 2012, 05:57 AM

Well done for so effortlessly alienating the others.

Posted by: Sabrewulf 3rd February 2012, 07:36 AM

I always listen to the songs in the order they are listed on voting page. Doesn't matter if I've loved dozens of your entries in the past you're still last if you are listed last.

Posted by: gooddelta 3rd February 2012, 09:00 AM

I just put them all onto my iPod and listen to them in whichever order they come up on there. If the host hasn't tagged/numbered the MP3's in line with the draw then that usually means that I listen to them by alphabetical order of the artist names by default.

It's only occasionally that I purposefully go to listen to certain countries entries first, a lot of the time I've already heard the songs that they're sending before anyway None of the six countries that I listed earlier have sent a song this month that I didn't already know before confirmation opened.

Posted by: Hitstastic 3rd February 2012, 07:27 PM

Although judging from their form in 2011, Kylienips does look out of place. The others made up the top 3 most successful nations of 2011.

Posted by: Silas 3rd February 2012, 09:40 PM

Ojnoj knocked me down to 4th right at the end.


Kylienips have always done worse than us three, oddly enough. Even when Ashton hit a slump we were still riding high in the overall rankings.

Posted by: Ryan741 4th February 2012, 11:18 AM

BJSC XLI Average Odds

Here we go then! I have averaged out the 9 sets of odds given (and rounded to the nearest whole number - so if a country is higher than another, they do have better odds but have been rounded for the sake of being more "odds-like") - any odds that were updated afterwards were the odds that were used and not the originals. Also, in one case - the odds to win have been used, and not the odds to qualify.Finally, I have split them into the 2 semi finals, so we can see who the odds predict to qualify. Remember the odds are to win the final and not each semi.

Here are the overall BJSC odds at the moment...

Semi Final 1 Entrants (Average odds to win the final)
01. 5/1 - Numayania
02. 6/1 - Ashton
03. 12/1 - ChrIseland
04. 14/1 - Unovia
05. 16/1 - Batidas
06. 17/1 - Allecian
07. 19/1 - Daehun
08. 19/1 - Aquafina
09. 21/1 - Hendinia
10. 22/1 - Botanikka
11. 22/1 - Isconia
12. 24/1 - N-Lazone
13. 25/1 - B.a.N.G
14. 27/1 - Budtar
15. 29/1 - Tinnmark
-----------------------------------------------------
16. 31/1 - Sangria
17. 31/1 - Juranabaijan
18. 32/1 - Republic of Sass *
19. 37/1 - Hogan-Burg Republic
20. 37/1 - Dalisska
21. 39/1 - People's Republic of Jester *
22. 45/1 - Armenijain
23. 109/1 - Eledan

Semi Final 2 Entrants (Average odds to win the final)
01. 3/1 - Ramrynia
02. 5/1 - Syndare
03. 5/1 - FSR Rontvia
04. 8/1 - Fljotavik
05. 13/1 - Mdice
06. 13/1 - FYR Vojvodina-on-the-Wold
07. 14/1 - Kopecka
08. 17/1 - Kluminican Republic
09. 19/1 - Seyetana
10. 23/1 - Ojnoj
11. 24/1 - Espen
12. 24/1 - Bignia-Zaragovina
13. 24/1 - Scherzland
14. 29/1 - Danaelanda
15. 30/1 - Kylienips
------------------------------------------------------
16. 31/1 - Lievant
17. 33/1 - Caerfyrddia
18. 33/1 - Farahtyn
19. 35/1 - Persephonia *
20. 36/1 - UnoShake
21. 44/1 - Zechonia
22. 45/1 - New Caprica
23. 65/1 - Usfland

In semi final 1, one set of odds had Eledan down at 1150/1, I changed this to 115/1 to avoid an average which would have been extremely high due to this.

In terms of overall odds, 6 countries seem to be pulling out in front, these being Ramrynia, Numayania, Syndare, FSR Rontvia, Ashton and Fljotavik. Will one of these be the ultimate winner, or will there be a surprise in store?

* Also, the 3 countries that have yet to vote are all in the bottom 8 of their respective semi finals. And will any surprise countries qualify? And can Eledan spring the biggest surprise in BJSC history?

Hope you find it interesting, and are you surprised by anyone's average odds? Also so far Greenfroze have average odds to win the final of 34/1.

Posted by: Liаm 4th February 2012, 11:22 AM

14/1 - not bad... People seem to be upping their expectations for Dia though so pressure is on

Posted by: Ljósið 4th February 2012, 11:30 AM

I hope I qualify.

Posted by: Tom Titanium Kay 4th February 2012, 11:32 AM

OMG OMG OMG

Of course odds for PRoJ and Persephonia will need revising now...

Posted by: Juranamo 4th February 2012, 01:18 PM

I think I'll get through, but I agree that I have like no likeliness of winning.

Posted by: Oricon 4th February 2012, 01:36 PM

19/1

Posted by: gooddelta 5th February 2012, 12:01 AM

Opening odds for the final from RontBet;

Ashton - Tone Damli - Look back 6/4
Ramrynia - Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe 5/2
Syndare - SoSo - Who's gonna love me 5/1
FSR Rontvia - Prance Faris - Flares 5/1
Numayania - The Storm - My crown 6/1
----------------
Fljótavík - Foxes - Youth 10/1
Unovia - Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid 10/1
Séyetana - Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids 10/1
Batidas - Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer 12/1
Kopečka - Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix) 12/1
Kluminican Republic - Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night 15/1
ChrIseland - Donkeyboy - City boy 15/1
Caerfyrddia – Marigold – You and I know 15/1
Botanikka - Ria Ritchie - Only one 15/1
Espen - Moa Lignell - When I held ya 15/1
FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold - Le Kid - Human behaviour 18/1
Mdiče - MNDR - #1 in heaven 18/1
Daehun – moumoon – Sunshine girl 20/1
Hendinia - DJ Tatana feat Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (if you don't get in my bed) 22/1
Lievant - Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar 22/1
Allecian - Mercedes and I - Wintersnow 22/1
B.a.N.G - Lydia Caesar - Lottery 22/1
N-Lazone - Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia 22/1
Tinnmark - Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on 25/1
Bignia-Zaragovina - Britt Daley - One and only 25/1
Scherzland - Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal 25/1
Budtar – Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon – Take me away 25/1
Kylienips - School of Seven Bells - The night 28/1
Sangria - Moonlight Breakfast - Still 30/1
Greenfroze - Belanova - Mariposas 30/1
Hogan-Burg Republic - Emily Osment - All the way up 30/1

Posted by: ROBOT 5th February 2012, 12:05 AM

Fairly in the middle

Posted by: LexC 5th February 2012, 12:06 AM

IMHO, I think It's Ashton's to lose now, and deservedly so Also, Mercedes & I will, I Imagine, will finish mid-table at best. #fingerscrossed

Posted by: Silas 5th February 2012, 12:07 AM

Very rare odds from AshBet! Ashton's leading, and state owned, bookies:



Ashton - Tone Damli - Look Back || 3/2
Ramrynia - Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe || 4/1
FSR Rontvia - Prance Faris - Flares || 5/1
Syndare - SoSo - Who's gonna love me || 6/1
Numayania - The Storm - My crown || 7/1
---------
Fljótavík - Foxes - Youth || 12/1
Tinnmark - Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on || 15/1
Botanikka - Ria Ritchie - Only one || 15/1
Hendinia - DJ Tatana feat Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (if you don't get in my bed) || 20/1
Unovia - Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid || 20/1
Greenfroze - Belanova - Mariposas || 22/1
FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold - Le Kid - Human behaviour || 55/2
Budtar – Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon – Take me away || 25/1
Caerfyrddia – Marigold – You and I know || 25/1
Kluminican Republic - Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night || 28/1
Mdiče - MNDR - #1 in heaven || 30/1
Allecian - Mercedes and I - Wintersnow || 30/1
Kopečka - Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix) || 33/1
Espen - Moa Lignell - When I held ya || 33/1
Sangria - Moonlight Breakfast - Still || 35/1
Hogan-Burg Republic - Emily Osment - All the way up || 45/1
Bignia-Zaragovina - Britt Daley - One and only || 45/1
B.a.N.G - Lydia Caesar - Lottery || 45/1
N-Lazone - Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia || 50/1
Batidas - Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer || 50/1
Lievant - Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar || 55/1
Séyetana - Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids || 66/1
Scherzland - Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal || 66/1
ChrIseland - Donkeyboy - City boy || 70/1
Daehun – moumoon – Sunshine girl || 75/1
Kylienips - School of Seven Bells - The night || 100/1


----

Some of the songs with longer odds (See Kopecka/Mdice) I think will do well, but have no shot of winning. I reckon 7-12 beckons for them.

Yes, I did just put myself top of my own odds We are starting to get more confident in our own entry. Above the line is the likely top5 but I can see this being a straight Tone vs Carly fight, which I naturally want to win.

Posted by: Liаm 5th February 2012, 12:09 AM

10/1 and joint 6th?

I agree though, this is Ashton's to lose My final odds will be up tomorrow!

Posted by: gooddelta 5th February 2012, 12:09 AM

It does seem to be where the momentum is at the moment, only Ramrynia might get in the way of an easy victory for Ashton, depends how much Call Me Maybe appeals to the Semi 1 voters, I'm going to assume that they'll more or less appeal to the same voters for the most part.

As a side note, I would love to bag another top five this month, but I'd be content with a return to the top ten after last month's minor disaster

Posted by: lee wallace 5th February 2012, 12:10 AM

Looks like everyone is believing Ashton will win, I am delighted I've always had it at a front runner.

Our Updates odds will be up later.

Posted by: LexC 5th February 2012, 12:12 AM

Come to think of it, both Tone and Carly both seem like the two people least likely to get into an actual fight

Posted by: Oricon 5th February 2012, 12:12 AM

I hate Ashtons bets

But seriously I better not come Bottom 5 AGAIN.

Posted by: gooddelta 5th February 2012, 12:13 AM

It's sort of crept up on the outside for me, despite always being a strong contender from the off. My only doubts came from the fact that Tone's BJSC record is patchy, with even Butterflies 'only' finishing 4th. However, as I stated before, the landscape of the contest has completely changed since she was last entered and the pure pop lovers really rule the roost now, purely by virute of vastly outnumbering everybody else.

Posted by: Silas 5th February 2012, 12:32 AM

Topping the odds from the renowned RontBet is wonderful news! Also with the same odds as AshBet



Thanks!


Y'all are making this very hard for me to be modest.


Cross-over appeal is likely to be where this contest is won, and I just can't see Call Me Maybe crossing over as well as Look Back (Not that I think Look Back is going to cross over well at all)



Your support is most appreciated!


Very true! Both seem to sweet/nice to get into a scrap.
The odds get very long, very quickly because realistically there is little chance of anyone outside the top5 winning and a lot of the songs have basically no chance of winning.

The newer people here need to break the link between position on the odds and finishing position. Both Kopecka and Mdice are in the 30's but I expect them to be around the bottom of the top 10, I don't think they'll win which is why they have long odds.


I like how it wasn't mentioned in the list of front runners to begin with and was just kind of near the top at the start. Then as the week's progressed it's built up into a proper front runner.

I Love You did alright in the end and tbf it should have finished lower than Butterflies as it's not as good. I Know is a disastrous DNQ and I don't think the Live video helped it's cause in a NGDA situation.

Posted by: lee wallace 5th February 2012, 12:35 AM

Just be thankful you qualified.

Posted by: Oricon 5th February 2012, 12:37 AM

You're excused as I like your entry

Posted by: Silas 5th February 2012, 01:10 AM

Who is excused?

Posted by: Oricon 5th February 2012, 01:18 AM

Nvm

Posted by: lee wallace 5th February 2012, 03:31 AM

Aquafina's News

" Aquafina have recieved a record breaking bets in the past two days with the public favouring Ashton closely followed by Ramyrina & Rontvia. Aqufian's betting shops could only hope we see an underdog winning "

Ashton - Tone Damli - Look Back 1/1
FSR Rontvia - Prance Faris - Flares 3/1
Ramrynia - Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe 3/1
Numayania - The Storm - My crown 6/1
Syndare - SoSo - Who's gonna love me 7/1

Tinmark - Andremo Feat Coco - Music Is Turning Me On 14/1
Hendina - Dj Tatana Feat Natalia Kills - You Can't Get In My Hed 14/1
Unovia - Dia Frampton - Billy The Kid 17/1
Fljótavík - Foxes - Youth 19/1
Greenfroze - Belanova - Mariposas 20/1
Batidas - Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer 25/1 (Greatest Gainer)
Kluminican Republic - Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night 27/1
Botanikka - Ria Ritchie - Only one 28/1
FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold - Le Kid - Human behaviour 30/1
B.a.N.G - Lydia Caesar - Lottery 30/1
Budtar – Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon – Take me away 30/1
Allecian - Mercedes and I - Wintersnow 61/2
Caerfyrddia – Marigold – You and I know 32/1
Mdiče - MNDR - #1 in heaven 34/1
Hogan-Burg Republic - Emily Osment - All the way up 34/1
Lievant - Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar 35/1
Kopečka - Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix) || 37/1
Espen - Moa Lignell - When I held ya || 42/1
Sangria - Moonlight Breakfast - Still || 45/1
Bignia-Zaragovina - Britt Daley - One and only 63/1
N-Lazone - Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia 65/1
Séyetana - Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids 70/1
Scherzland - Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal 72/1
Daehun – moumoon – Sunshine girl 90/1
ChrIseland - Donkeyboy - City boy 120/1
Kylienips - School of Seven Bells - The night 1000/1

Posted by: Silas 5th February 2012, 03:47 AM

Three in a row


yes I know the middle one is mine and I put it there

Posted by: gooddelta 5th February 2012, 08:47 AM

To be fair, your second win should have come with Jag Kommer so it's a bit overdue!



Who knows, maybe Mdice could wade in with another unexpected Tone Damli 12? Call Me Maybe might have quite a bit of crossover appeal, I saw it in West's chart in the personal chart forum and he's quite indie in his tastes usually. A strong pop song, which Look Back is, should always have a degree of crossover appeal. And if not then you could just twelve it to victory by not even appealing to the majority of the voters (until the UK release of course ) a la Video Games!



It's been a firm third in my odds throughout the week but as the hype for SoSo has petered off a bit (although I still can't envisage it outside the top five), the hype for Tone has only grown and grown, from comments I've seen in this and other threads it seems like you've already got five or six guaranteed 12's in the bag! More to the point, although the song is really instant, it's also an incredible grower. So people won't get bored of it after the first listen, but it's instantly likeable enough to know that you want to support it. And the sky's the limit on subsequent listens.



I always appreciate seeing honesty over modesty in the odds. And it's great to see odds from AshBet, you really should do them every month! People that are worried about looking big headed by giving themselves good odds with a great song should just remember that if the UK had a stunning entry to Eurovision, a certain winner, I can guarantee that William Hill would restrict the odds to as narrow as possible, 6/4 or something, because everybody would rush to put money on their home country if they believed that we had a chance in a display of misplaced patriotism. British bookies always get the most money put on the United Kingdom, because Joe Public has never heard any of the other songs pre-contest and put a small bet on it just in case.

There's no room for modesty at a bookmakers, you'd lose too much money. Which is why I never understood why the likes of Nonsuch and Kingdom of Shadow would downplay one of their many top 3's to a 40/1 along with a 'oh no, it's never going to do as well as you all think because...' type comment. Admittedly the former was proven correct with Never Leave You finishing 'only' 9th, which he hailed one of the greatest pop songs of the noughties when it leaked and he confirmed it. That's not delusion, that's incredible hyperbole.

Posted by: ROBOT 5th February 2012, 11:30 AM

Look Back is SO much better than Butterflies - I found Butterflies too twee for my liking, but the chorus to Look Back is superb.

Posted by: Liаm 5th February 2012, 11:33 AM

Final odds from BetVia:

Ashton: Tone Damli - Look Back - 2/1
Ramyrnia: Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe - 4/1
Numayania: The Storm - My Crown - 5/1
FSR Rontvia: Prance Faris - Flares - 5/1
Syndare: SoSo - Who's Gonna Love Me - 6/1
------------------------------
Fljótavík: Foxes - Youth - 8/1
Unovia: Dia Frampton - Billy The Kid - 10/1
Séyetana: Nightwish - Turn Loose The Mermaids - 12/1
Batidas: Studio Killers - Ode To The Bouncer - 12/1
Kopečka: Lena Phillipsson -Live Tomorrow (Sthlm Mix) - 14/1
FYR-Vodjvodnia-On-The-Wold: Le Kid - Human Behaviour - 14/1
Botanikka: Ria Ritchie - Only One - 16/1
Mdiče: MNDR - #1 In Heaven - 16/1
Espen: Moa Lignell - When I Held Ya - 18/1
ChrIseland: Donkeyboy - City Boy - 18/1
Allecian: Mercedes & I - Wintersnow - 20/1
Kluminican Republic: Paulina Rubio - Heat Of The Night - 20/1
Caerfryddia: Marigold - You And I Know - 20/1
B.a.N.G.: Lydia Caesar - Lottery - 22/1
Daehun: moumoon - Sunshine Girl - 22/1
Hendinia: DJ Tatana ft. Natalia Kills - You Can't Get In My Head (If You Don't Get In My Bed - 25/1
Scherzland: Vox Halo ft. LaDolla - Criminal - 25/1
N-Lazone: Ian Carey & Rosette ft. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia - 25/1
Lievant: Mullyhaus ft. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar Liar - 25/1
Kylienips: School Of Seven Bells - The Night - 28/1
Bignia-Zaragovina: Britt Daley - One And Only - 30/1
Greenfroze: Belanova - Mariposas - 30/1
Budtar: Marvin Priest ft. Wynter Gordon - Take Me Away - 33/1
Tinmark: Andremo ft. Coco - Music Is Turning Me On - 35/1
Hogan-Burg Republic: Emily Osment - All The Way Up - 38/1
Sangria: Moonlight Breakfast - Still - 40/1

Posted by: Freeze 5th February 2012, 11:54 AM

Such different odds for me!

Posted by: gooddelta 5th February 2012, 11:59 AM

It's a good song (I almost sent a Belanova song to BJSC before actually ) but auto-qualifying countries always have an uphill struggle to do well in the final unless the song is outstanding, purely because the 15 qualifying from each semi have a ton of existing support already and hence have a massive headstart. It's why I decided to opt out of AQ'ing when I was hosting the last couple of times, I was also sending growers to both of those contests and the extra week of people hearing it definitely helps out a grower imo!

Posted by: Mart!n 5th February 2012, 12:14 PM

I'm above Greenfroze track in Liam's odds I can see myself finishing bottom 5 though

Posted by: Hitstastic 5th February 2012, 01:02 PM

Updated odds from BETidas:

3/1 Ashton : Tone Damli - Look back
7/2 Ramrynia : Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe
5/1 Syndare : SoSo - Who's gonna love me
5/1 FSR Rontvia : Prance Faris - Flares
8/1 Numayania : The Storm - My crown
10/1 Fljótavík : Foxes - Youth
12/1 ChrIseland : Donkeyboy - City boy
12/1 Unovia : Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid
14/1 Batidas : Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer
14/1 Mdiče : MNDR - #1 in heaven
16/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold : Le Kid - Human behaviour
16/1 Daehun : moumoon - Sunshine girl
18/1 Kopečka : Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
18/1 Séyetana : Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids
20/1 N-Lazone : Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
22/1 Caerfyrddia : Marigold - You and I know
24/1 B.a.N.G : Lydia Caesar - Lottery
24/1 Espen : Moa Lignell - When I held ya
25/1 Greenfroze: Belanova - Mariposas
25/1 Kluminican Republic : Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night
28/1 Botanikka : Ria Ritchie - Only one
28/1 Kylienips : School of Seven Bells - The night
30/1 Hendinia : Tatana feat. Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (If you don't get in my bed)
30/1 Budtar : Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take me away
32/1 Tinnmark : Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on
34/1 Scherzland : Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
34/1 Bignia-Zaragovina : Britt Daley - One and only
36/1 Allecian : Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
38/1 Sangria : Moonlight Breakfast - Still
40/1 Lievant : Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar!
45/1 Hogan-Burg Republic : Emily Osment - All the way up

Posted by: LexC 5th February 2012, 01:04 PM

Call me a pessimist but I'm more inclined to believe the odds from BETidas

Posted by: Ryan741 5th February 2012, 01:07 PM

Ramrynia still seems to be 2nd favourite on everyone's odds behind Ashton! Very happy with that

Posted by: Freeze 5th February 2012, 01:07 PM

Ooh? What did you almost send? Nada de más?

I see what you mean, though. I don't expect to have a following support, but.. if people like my song I hope they'd like to vote for it as well even if it wasn't in their semi.

Posted by: Eyes 5th February 2012, 01:13 PM

Mixed odds for me so far varying from 10/1 - 70/1 , I would quite happily put some money on myself at AshBet and Aquafina's betting shops right now though.

SéyetBet:

Ashton - Tone Damli - Look back 2/1
Numayania - The Storm - My crown 5/2
Ramrynia - Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe 3/1
Syndare - SoSo - Who's gonna love me 5/1

--------------

Fljótavík - Foxes - Youth 8/1
Kopečka - Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix) 17/2
FSR Rontvia - Prance Faris - Flares 9/1
Séyetana - Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids 10/1
Unovia - Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid 10/1
Mdiče - MNDR - #1 in heaven 12/1
Kluminican Republic - Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night 15/1
Batidas - Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer 15/1
ChrIseland - Donkeyboy - City boy 15/1
FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold - Le Kid - Human behaviour 18/1
Daehun – moumoon – Sunshine girl 18/1
Allecian - Mercedes and I - Wintersnow 18/1
Budtar – Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon – Take me away 20/1
Bignia-Zaragovina - Britt Daley - One and only 20/1
Espen - Moa Lignell - When I held ya 22/1
Kylienips - School of Seven Bells - The night 25/1
Caerfyrddia – Marigold – You and I know 25/1
Greenfroze - Belanova - Mariposas 30/1
Botanikka - Ria Ritchie - Only one 30/1
N-Lazone - Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia 30/1
Lievant - Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar 36/1
Hendinia - DJ Tatana feat Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (if you don't get in my bed) 40/1
B.a.N.G - Lydia Caesar - Lottery 45/1
Hogan-Burg Republic - Emily Osment - All the way up 50/1
Scherzland - Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal 60/1
Sangria - Moonlight Breakfast - Still 70/1
Tinnmark - Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on 80/1

Ashton's to lose at this point, they definitely seem to be gaining momentum. It'd be a huge shock for me if it was anyone other than the top 4 though.

Posted by: gooddelta 5th February 2012, 01:15 PM

Indeed, I like quite a few songs by them. I also strongly considered Inevitable by Dulce Maria (a similar act) once but I never ended up liking these songs quite as much as my eventual entries.

You'll definitely get points of course, it won't put people off voting for it if they really like it. Loads of auto-qualifiers have done well in the past to prove this point!

AQ's are at a disadvantage to everybody else but it doesn't mean that they can't do well. The same rule applies to Eurovision, all of the qualifiers from the semis have existing supporters but with a fantastic song - Satellite, It's My Time etc...this can be overcome. However, AQ's are also most likely to finish bottom five if they don't have a strong song. Step forward Spain or the UK most years

Posted by: ROBOT 5th February 2012, 01:24 PM

It's slowly getting worse and worse

Posted by: råndomfurlöng 5th February 2012, 01:53 PM

Updated odds from Synbrokes:

2/1 (Ashton) Tone Damli - Look Back
4/1 (Fljótavík) Foxes - Youth
5/1 (Ramrynia) Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe
5/1 (Numayania) The Storm - My Crown
6/1 (Unovia) Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid
7/1 (Syndare) SoSo - Who's Gonna Love Me
---
10/1 (FSR Rontvia) Prance Faris - Flares
10/1 (Botanikka) Ria Ritchie - Only One
12/1 (ChrIseland) Donkeyboy - City Boy
12/1 (Séyetana) Nightwish - Turn Loose the Mermaids
14/1 (Kopečka) Lena Philipsson - Live Tomorrow (Sthlm mix)
15/1 (Caerfyrddia) Marigold - You and I Know
16/1 (Espen) Moa Lignell - When I Held Ya
16/1 (B.a.N.G) Lydia Caesar - Lottery
18/1 (FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold) Le Kid - Human Behaviour
18/1 (N-Lazone) Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
18/1 (Lievant) Mollyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar Liar
20/1 (Daehun) moumoon - Sunshine Girl
20/1 (Batidas) Studio Killers - Ode to the Bouncer
22/1 (Mdiče) MNDR - #1 in Heaven
22/1 (Bignia-Zaragovina) Britt Daley - One and Only
24/1 (Hendinia) Tatana feat. Natalia Kills - You Can't Get In My Head
25/1 (Allecian) Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
28/1 (Kluminican Republic) Paulina Rubio - Heat of the Night
28/1 (Scherzland) Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
30/1 (Kylienips) School of Seven Bells - The Night
30/1 (Sangria) Moonlight Breakfast - Still
32/1 (Tinnmark) Andremo feat. Coco - Music is Turning Me On
35/1 (Budtar) Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take Me Away
35/1 (Greenfroze) Belanova - Mariposas
50/1 (Hogan-Burg Republic) Emily Osment - All the Way Up

Posted by: Liаm 5th February 2012, 01:58 PM

6/1?

VERY happy with that!

Posted by: Adn@n 5th February 2012, 04:30 PM

LOL.

Very mixed odds for Ria...some odds are too good, some too bad.

Soon I will post BotaBet odds.

Posted by: Silas 5th February 2012, 06:48 PM

A win for Jag Kommer would have been nice, but I can't complain as I did really like the winner (just not as much as I love Forget Your Name ).

West I always saw as being pop when he participated here and very pro Canada as iirc he sent Lights. I think Carly Rae being big in Canada right now may have more to do with that than it's cross over appeal I also can't see lightning striking twice on a Mdice 12 for Ashton.


I found Look Back to be an instant 10.5/10 on first listen of the clip on Norwegian iTunes, but I am a complete loon for her. The full song bumped it up to a 11/10 straight off the bat. While I did fall instantly, I find that I keep coming back to it and I keep falling in love with new bits and new lyrics and just loving it more and more. I must admit I don't get the hype for SoSo as a winner. It's good but I just don't see it winning, there's something missing. Unlike Raining Diamonds, the second I heard that I knew it would walk away with the win. Was totally gutted I got beaten to that.

I can't remember the last time I actually did odds, it's very rare we actually bother. Oh yeah, each country's own nation should figure quite well in their odds as in reality most people will put some money on their own country to win.


Never Leave You wasn't helped by the Ashtonise hate campaign. I don't think the songs likely biggest fan speaking rather blatantly against it inspired much faith in his odds.
I am so glad we have the veto and no reservation thread anymore. I'm not exaggerating when I say that the reservation thread is the single worst thing this contest has ever put up with re:format. When we did the reboot, I made it quite clear when I suggested the changes that it was under no circumstances to stay. Ruined the contest.

I like to see stuff like this more than the odds. I keep saying it, but I only entered Tone to try and introduce her to new people and to show off a song I adore.








From my point of view, I think your entry doesn't have wide enough appeal to win but you are in for a good chance at a top10.

Also

The momentum the songs getting outside of BJSC is AMAZING to see, in here it's slightly terrifying as I really don't want to be tarred with the Overhyped brush like I was in XII (Even though it was only the old guard big 3 of me, Tyron and Rich that supported it)





This has to be easily the best odds Ashton has ever gotten! With the highest being a 3/1 the average is going to be insane and below what our previous lowest odd have been. I think the 1/1-3/1 might produce the lowest average odd BJSC has seen post-veto.

Posted by: Hitstastic 5th February 2012, 07:17 PM

You got 2/1 from BetVia.

Should we just announce the winner now?

Posted by: Liаm 5th February 2012, 07:22 PM

Highest meaning longest/less likely. So 3/1 is correct 2/1 is more likely.

Posted by: Silas 5th February 2012, 07:23 PM

Only BETidas have odds of more than 2/1 and Aquafina have us at Evens with RontBet and AshBet both at 3/2, all shorter than the three 2/1's. As Liam said I was meaning longest.


If we're crowning me victorious now, I'd quite like the same amount of points THE SANDÉN got please

Posted by: Hitstastic 5th February 2012, 07:25 PM

Urgh!!! My knowledge of betting odds letting me down right there.

Posted by: Silas 5th February 2012, 07:47 PM

For the first time ever Ashton's leading, and state owned, bookies have released a revised set of odds!


Latest odds to win from AshBet:


Ashton - Tone Damli - Look Back || 1/3
FSR Rontvia - Prance Faris - Flares || 3/1
Ramrynia - Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe || 4/1
----
Fljótavík - Foxes - Youth || 7/1
Syndare - SoSo - Who's gonna love me || 8/1
Numayania - The Storm - My crown || 10/1
Tinnmark - Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on || 12/1
Unovia - Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid || 12/1
Botanikka - Ria Ritchie - Only one || 15/1
FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold - Le Kid - Human behaviour || 18/1
Scherzland - Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal || 20/1
Greenfroze - Belanova - Mariposas || 25/1
Caerfyrddia – Marigold – You and I know || 25/1
Kluminican Republic - Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night || 28/1
Mdiče - MNDR - #1 in heaven || 30/1
Séyetana - Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids || 30/1
Allecian - Mercedes and I - Wintersnow || 33/1
Kopečka - Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix) || 33/1
Espen - Moa Lignell - When I held ya || 33/1
Hendinia - DJ Tatana feat Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (if you don't get in my bed) || 35/1
Budtar – Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon – Take me away || 35/1
Sangria - Moonlight Breakfast - Still || 35/1
Bignia-Zaragovina - Britt Daley - One and only || 45/1
B.a.N.G - Lydia Caesar - Lottery || 45/1
Batidas - Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer || 50/1
Lievant - Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar || 55/1
Hogan-Burg Republic - Emily Osment - All the way up || 60/1
N-Lazone - Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia || 75/1
ChrIseland - Donkeyboy - City boy || 100/1
Daehun – moumoon – Sunshine girl || 150/1
Kylienips - School of Seven Bells - The night || 250/1
----
The Federal Republic of Ashton to gain more than 200 points || 3/1
FSR Rontvia to gain Ashton's 12 points || EVENS
Botanikka and Ashton to exchange points || 2/1
The XLI winner being a debut winner || 25/1
Scherzland to throw a fit in the event of a poor finish, once more thinking their song is the equal of Call Me Maybe, Look Back and Flares || 1/15,000
Mdice to award Ashton points || 200/1
FSR Ashvackia to all exchange points || 3/1


Some have stayed the same, but a flurry of bets from oversea's have prompted a tweaking in the odds. Also, some special odds.

Posted by: Veriloquy 5th February 2012, 07:49 PM

Really? It wasn't ideal but I wouldn't have it down as the worst thing we've ever had. I'd say the free-for-all before the banlist/veto where ANYTHING could be sent aside from NF entries (before we got that overturned - remember when that was somehow an issue? ) was the worst.

Posted by: Silas 5th February 2012, 07:50 PM

As horrendously annoying as that was (it was a close second) I just couldn't stand the Reservation Thread.

Posted by: Veriloquy 5th February 2012, 07:51 PM

Oh Phil, don't get your hopes up too much - you can only ever either match them or disappoint yourself, it's not worth it!

Posted by: Silas 5th February 2012, 07:54 PM

I don't expect it to win at all, but the sheer momentum in here has put it as the clear front runner.

Posted by: Veriloquy 5th February 2012, 07:57 PM

'I don't expect it to win at all' *gives 75% chance of winning in odds*

Posted by: gooddelta 5th February 2012, 07:58 PM

Start expecting, I haven't seen this much hype and mass love for a song since



Every BJSC song that's had this much positive attention, to the point where people have ventured purposefully into your national thread to say how much they love it, has practically won it. Hitstastic might keep his opinions to himself so as to not give away his favourites, but the majority don't No haters *yet* either!

Posted by: Ljósið 5th February 2012, 08:04 PM

No 'Look Back' haters? What about me?

Posted by: gooddelta 5th February 2012, 08:06 PM

Posted by: Ljósið 5th February 2012, 08:08 PM

In fact I publicly told about my hatred towards this track before Semi-finals were even revealed! In the Pop forum.

Posted by: Scherz 5th February 2012, 08:19 PM

Get over yourself! You're acting as though you wrote, sang & produced the song.
Anybody can find a song.. Like I said earlier, I planned to send 'Call Me Maybe' but I was too late.

This isn't my first contest. I haven't even made it into the final in some of them, I wouldn't throw a fit if Scherzland came last.
Speaking of finishes, I do hope 'Call Me Maybe' finishes first. Fantastic song

Posted by: Silas 5th February 2012, 08:26 PM

Oh lighten up. Special odds are supposed to poke fun and for the most part aren't serious. And where did I say that your song wasn't actually an equal of them? I did just drop it to 20/1 in the odds.

Posted by: Silas 5th February 2012, 08:34 PM

That's still a 25% chance of not winning!





Yeah, people venturing into my national thread to say they like it outside of you is a novelty.


I'm still refusing to expect it to win.

You don't count

You so rarely vote Ashton anyway and not only that but you hate Tone Damli so your dislike was already assumed.

Posted by: Jerick 5th February 2012, 08:35 PM

Odds for 6th and 7th place from some, and bottom results from others midtable equals it I guess?

Posted by: Ryan741 5th February 2012, 08:55 PM

Glad you are a fan of Call Me Maybe!

Posted by: Tom Titanium Kay 5th February 2012, 10:54 PM

The Storm doesn't have any haters AFAIK Although it may be old news to some people now.

Anyway, opening odds for the final of CCBJXXXXI from PadisPouwer.ny:

5/2 Ashton - Tone Damli - Look back
3/1 Ramrynia - Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe
5/1 Numayania - The Storm - My crown
5/1 Syndare - SoSo - Who's gonna love me
6/1 FSR Rontvia - Prance Faris - Flares
7/1 Unovia - Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid
15/2 Botanikka - Ria Ritchie - Only one
---
10/1 Batidas - Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer
10/1 Caerfyrddia – Marigold – You and I know
12/1 ChrIseland - Donkeyboy - City boy
25/2 Fljótavík - Foxes - Youth
14/1 Mdiče - MNDR - #1 in heaven
15/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold - Le Kid - Human behaviour
16/1 Kopečka - Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
35/2 Espen - Moa Lignell - When I held ya
18/1 Séyetana - Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids
20/1 Lievant - Mollyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar
22/1 Kluminican Republic - Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night
22/1 Daehun – moumoon – Sunshine girl
45/2 Allecian - Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
24/1 Hendinia - DJ Tatana feat Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (if you don't get in my bed)
25/1 Bignia-Zaragovina - Britt Daley - One and only
26/1 B.a.N.G - Lydia Caesar - Lottery
28/1 N-Lazone - Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
32/1 Tinnmark - Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on
100/3 Greenfroze - Belanova - Mariposas
35/1 Sangria - Moonlight Breakfast - Still
36/1 Scherzland - Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
115/3 Kylienips - School of Seven Bells - The night
45/1 Budtar – Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon – Take me away
60/1 Hogan-Burg Republic - Emily Osment - All the way up

Posted by: Ljósið 6th February 2012, 05:59 AM

Taking my hatred for granted

Posted by: Addy K!ng 6th February 2012, 07:32 AM

wow, Ria received best set of odds from Tom

She could well be a dark horse.

Posted by: Tom Titanium Kay 6th February 2012, 10:38 AM

Yep I can definitely see that Your best entry for me since 2NE1

Posted by: Ghosthunter 6th February 2012, 03:48 PM

Odds to win from Bwci-Fyrddin:

3/1 Syndare - SoSo - Who's gonna love me
3/1 Ashton - Tone Damli - Look back
4/1 Ramrynia - Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe
5/1 FSR Rontvia - Prance Faris - Flares
5/1 Numayania - The Storm - My crown
5/1 Fljótavík - Foxes - Youth
5/1 Botanikka - Ria Ritchie - Only one
8/1 Mdiče - MNDR - #1 in heaven
10/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold - Le Kid - Human behaviour
10/1 Séyetana - Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids
12/1 Batidas - Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer
12/1 Kopečka - Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
12/1 N-Lazone - Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
12/1 ChrIseland - Donkeyboy - City boy
14/1 Daehun – moumoon – Sunshine girl
15/1 Scherzland - Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
18/1 Kluminican Republic - Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night
18/1 Tinnmark - Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on
20/1 Hendinia - DJ Tatana feat Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (if you don't get in my bed)
25/1 Allecian - Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
25/1 Unovia - Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid
33/1 Caerfyrddia – Marigold – You and I know
33/1 Espen - Moa Lignell - When I held ya
40/1 Budtar – Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon – Take me away
40/1 Hogan-Burg Republic - Emily Osment - All the way up
50/1 Lievant - Mollyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar
50/1 Bignia-Zaragovina - Britt Daley - One and only
60/1 B.a.N.G - Lydia Caesar - Lottery
75/1 Sangria - Moonlight Breakfast - Still
80/1 Greenfroze - Belanova - Mariposas
100/1 Kylienips - School of Seven Bells - The night

Posted by: Juranamo 6th February 2012, 11:55 PM

I hate (that I love) it.

Posted by: råndomfurlöng 7th February 2012, 12:52 AM

Nice to have a bit of attention back having slipped down everyone else's odds!

Posted by: Addy K!ng 7th February 2012, 05:32 PM

BotaBet odds for XLI.


2/1 Numayania - The Storm - My crown
5/2 Ramrynia - Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe
5/2 Ashton - Tone Damli - Look back
3/1 Fljótavík - Foxes - Youth
--------------------------------------------------

5/1 Caerfyrddia – Marigold – You and I know
11/2 Syndare - SoSo - Who's gonna love me
6/1 FSR Rontvia - Prance Faris - Flares
7/1 Unovia - Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid
12/1 Botanikka - Ria Ritchie - Only one
14/1 Batidas - Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer
16/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold - Le Kid - Human behaviour
18/1 Kopečka - Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
20/1 Séyetana - Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids
22/1 Sangria - Moonlight Breakfast - Still
24/1 N-Lazone - Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
26/1 Budtar – Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon – Take me away
28/1 Hendinia - DJ Tatana feat Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (if you don't get in my bed)
30/1 ChrIseland - Donkeyboy - City boy
32/1 Mdiče - MNDR - #1 in heaven
35/1 Espen - Moa Lignell - When I held ya
35/1 Tinnmark - Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on
38/1 Greenfroze - Belanova - Mariposas
40/1 Lievant - Mollyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar
44/1 Kluminican Republic - Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night
45/1 Daehun – moumoon – Sunshine girl
45/1 Allecian - Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
50/1 Bignia-Zaragovina - Britt Daley - One and only
50/1 B.a.N.G - Lydia Caesar - Lottery
52/1 Scherzland - Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
110/2 Kylienips - School of Seven Bells - The night
60/1 Hogan-Burg Republic - Emily Osment - All the way up

We believe that one of the top 4 odds will have the crown of XLI

Posted by: Ghosthunter 7th February 2012, 06:36 PM

5/1 Wow!

Posted by: Dandy* 7th February 2012, 07:45 PM

I'm struggling to see past an Ashton victory now as it just seems to be in contention for about 10 people's 12 points slot, if I were to do odds then their entry would be pretty much evens.

To be honest I'm kind of disappointed too, primarily as at the beginning this looked like the first contest in a while where there were genuinely about 10 contenders... although at least there's still about 9 tracks in contention for 2nd.

Posted by: Oricon 7th February 2012, 07:48 PM

Off topic but I thought Tone Damli was Ashley Tisdale in Phil's avatar, only to realize now it isn't. Should've known better

Also, is it just me or a part of the song sounds like David Guetta's When Love Takes Over starting at 2:26.

Posted by: gooddelta 7th February 2012, 07:50 PM

This is why I think they're walking it. How often do people venture purposely into somebody's national thread to say how great their entry is during the voting stage. Very rarely, and they're clearly all handing it a 12 on a plate along with the people who said similar things about it in a number of other threads...Looks like it's on course to comfortably be our most successful winner in a while. Although we differ in that I'd be quite happy with that outcome!

The other songs that are at the top of people's odds don't even have a tenth of the buzz surrounding them or general vocal support, so I just don't see how they can overcome Look Back, unless their supporters are all keeping deathly silent! Odds are so much easier to call the closer we get to the results, we're not allowed to give away our exact points but most people basically reveal their 12 in a roundabout way, either during the semi results or by waltzing into somebody's national thread to gush over their entry!

Posted by: Freeze 7th February 2012, 07:56 PM

Posted by: Dandy* 7th February 2012, 07:59 PM

I bet it's weird seeing all of our speculation whilst knowing the semi results and how the final voting has gone so far.

Posted by: Freeze 7th February 2012, 08:01 PM

It is weird, indeed But it's also quite fun!

Posted by: Dandy* 7th February 2012, 08:05 PM

Oh I'm not specifically against an Ashton victory (although the track isn't totally to my taste, I guess that much would be obvious to all!), it's more that I was hoping for a close and exciting results thread.

I agree with you, it would take all the silent voters (like me!) to all love the same track for anything to stand a chance - and that's clearly very unlikely indeed.

Posted by: gooddelta 7th February 2012, 08:14 PM

And there's nothing to say that the silent voters won't all be loving Look Back too I'm seeing a Sheelah situation here, The Last Time won exactly a year ago by basically appealing massively to those that loved it. Most of the people that voted for it (which was around two thirds of the voters, so a clear majority) placed it in their top three, it picked up very few 1's and 2's in comparisons to 18's, 15's and 12's, which was the voting system at the time.

Based on the overwhelming vocal support that it's attracted thus far, I can see Look Back appearing in the top three or thereabouts of nearly everyone that decides to vote for it - which by the sounds of it could be most people here!

Posted by: Tom Titanium Kay 7th February 2012, 08:19 PM

OMG Falënderim I still think this is a three horse race between Syndare, Ramryina and Ashton though. I might do more odds later, if I can be bothered

Posted by: Hitstastic 7th February 2012, 08:22 PM

It was interesting when I hosted BJSC and most people made an early prediction for Le Kid 'America' to dominate the entire contest yet it didn't come anywhere near close.

I do wonder if all this hype around 'Look Back' will lead to an anti climax and it actually does end up coming 2nd behind another track that hasn't had as much vocal support but is generally popular with the vast majority of voters.

Posted by: gooddelta 7th February 2012, 08:33 PM

A THREE horse race? Here's how I see it;

Posted by: Silas 7th February 2012, 08:34 PM

I'd rather stall into 3rd thank you! I already have a 2nd and I need a 3rd to complete my top5 set


I'm still not expecting to win at all. The only reason it's at 1/3 in my odds is that it does have a large amount of vocal support (far more than any of my 40 previous entries, quite possibly combined) and the momentum its gained thanks to people falling in love with a track I adore and sheer speculation that it won SF1. That alone seems to be driving most of the songs momentum.

Posted by: Ryan741 7th February 2012, 08:34 PM

That's great!! Hopefully Ramrynia can find a last minute speed boost

Posted by: Hitstastic 7th February 2012, 08:36 PM

If you zoom in 400% in that picture you can just about make out an arrow with the word "Batidas" written above it.

Posted by: Klumzee 7th February 2012, 08:36 PM

Finally listened to 'Look Back' to see what the hype was all about. Very overrated. 'Call Me Maybe' is far superior in terms of fempop in this contest. I think it's because the earlier odds had it at/near the top and people have been influenced by those odds.

I'm not going to do a set of odds, but I think it will be inbetween Fljotavik, FSR Rontvia, Ramyrnia and Syndare for the win!

Posted by: Silas 7th February 2012, 08:38 PM

HA!


That's epic.


I personally see it as Ashton, FSR Rontvia, Ramrynia and Fljótavík as the contenders. Me for the obvious reasons, You because Flares is incredible, Ramrynia for being the early favourite and the sheer number of people that wanted the song and Fljótavík for entering a great track that actually has cross over appeal to the pure pop fans (and we all know that indiepop does well).

Posted by: gooddelta 7th February 2012, 08:41 PM

I've not been influenced by anybody's odds when estimating how well Look Back will do, moreso the 15 or so people who like it so much that they've been screaming it from the rooftops across the forum. 150+ points potentially bagged right there without even taking the other 30 odd voting countries into account.

Posted by: Silas 7th February 2012, 08:48 PM

*bans Klumzee*


*considers banning Oricon for mixing up Tone 'GODDESS' Damli with The Tis, decided to await outcome of Deahun votes before banning*





Lol, being serious for a second. I really hate hype for this reason. Mind you last time my track was labelled overrated it was done so unfairly as only 3 people actually said they through it was good. Me, Rich and Tyron. I have no problem with people not liking my track as much as others. I only care that I (hopefully) introduced a great song by a fantastic artist to someone. That's the reasoning behind all my entries and will always be.

People haven't been influenced by the odds or Call Me Maybe would still be on top, I think they are driven by the belief that Look Back is the song that kicked SF1's ass. In which case, statistically the song that won SF1 by that amount would be favourite to walk the whole thing.

Posted by: Silas 7th February 2012, 08:49 PM

IF



And that is a very big if,

Look back does happen to be the song that won SF1 with 144 points, that would be roughly the same amount of points Jag Kommer got on it's way to 2nd.

Posted by: Hitstastic 7th February 2012, 08:52 PM

...and 13 points less than what 'Riverside' collected when I won BJSC. I know there are a few more countries taking part this month but 144 points in SF1 is still incredible regardless.

Edit; Charice 'Louder' won BJSC with 146 points!!!

Posted by: Ryan741 7th February 2012, 08:56 PM

144 points is fantastic and I understand why it is the favourite! However, remember the SF2 winner still got 133 (something like that) which is too far off - that could have been a number of countries - possibly Syndare or Fljotavik (or Ramrynia I guess, but I don't think it'd manage to do that well) based on the odds.

Saying that, I do think Ashton is the favourite with FSR Rontvia, Numayania, Syndare, Fljotavik and Ramrynia (according to others' odds) chasing behind as may people have said

Posted by: Silas 7th February 2012, 08:58 PM

Butterflies won SF2 in BJSC XX with 98 points. (Took 160 in the final en route to 4th)


144 is one point less than Loreen took (in the semi, 210 in final) when Sober whitewashed the competition and is the 5th highest amount of points scored in a semi-final in BJSC history.

Posted by: Hitstastic 7th February 2012, 08:59 PM

Unless I've misunderstood you, I don't think that's quite how odds work. I don't think Fljotavik will regard 'Look Back' as their personal fave entry. Possibly Syndare as well. FSR Rontvia and Numayania are guaranteed 12s though I predict.

My odds are based on what I think will be popular and doesn't reflect which songs I like the most - although it's safe to say that my main faves are amongst the big contenders this month anyways.

Posted by: Ryan741 7th February 2012, 09:02 PM

No, I know how odds work.

I'm just basing what I said on what other people think are popular as I'm not experienced enough in the contest to have as good an idea as others That's why I said that seeing as Syndare, Fljotavik etc. are towards the top of people's odds, so they must think it does have a good chance of winning overall

EDIT: I don't know if you interpreted what I said that I think Ashton will be Fljotavik etc. personal favourites - I think I phrased my sentence badly

Posted by: Juranamo 7th February 2012, 09:05 PM

I'm 24 songs into my voting and have found many songs that I love (Look Back may or may not be one of them. ), I can't wait for the results to unfold. I'd imagine, Rontvia, Batidas and Unovia (just off the top of my head) will be amongst the front runners though!

Posted by: Hitstastic 7th February 2012, 09:05 PM

What are the 4 most successful semi final entries in terms of most points collected?

Posted by: Ryan741 7th February 2012, 09:06 PM

Here's my rephrased sentence!

Saying that, I do think Ashton is the favourite. Then FSR Rontvia, Numayania, Syndare, Fljotavik and Ramrynia chasing behind due to being popular with several odds indicating that their tracks are popular

Does that make better sense?

Posted by: Hitstastic 7th February 2012, 09:07 PM

Yep!!! That's how I read it.

I understand what you mean now.

Posted by: Ryan741 7th February 2012, 09:08 PM

I read myself afterwards and interpreted the same way you did - I need to improve my English

Posted by: Silas 7th February 2012, 09:15 PM

BJSC V: 01: Eledan - t.A.T.u - Gomenasai - 114 [SF1 // 155] (The single semi/10AQ's/Final system was vastly different back then. All 10AQ's voted in the semi so the points were more concentrated than in the final, hence the 41point drop)

BJSX XV: 01: Mdiče - Röyksopp; Robyn - The Girl And The Robot - 207 [SF1: 1 // 157]

BJSC XVII: 02: M.K.L - Livvi Franc – Now I’m That Bitch [Nevins Rhythmic Remix] – 179 [SF2: 1 // 152] (Beaten by Robots In Love//FSR Rontvia who won SF1)

BJSC XXXVIII: 01 .: 202 :. Kopečka // Loreen - Sober [SF2: 1 // 145] (4% Deduction - Originally 210)


There is a pattern emerging there.

Posted by: Klumzee 7th February 2012, 09:19 PM

But that's all assuming that Look Back won SF1. If it was revealed it had done, then I would perfectly understand where all the hype is coming from, but it seems that people are just getting carried away with the idea.

Posted by: Silas 7th February 2012, 09:22 PM

Assumption already noted. Despite much claiming it is Look Back that won SF1, I still don't believe it's my entry. (Although that may be because I'm still placing Ashton as a tier 2 country)

Posted by: Hitstastic 7th February 2012, 09:23 PM

This is true. For all we know Freeze might be reading all this discussion and just LOLing at how wrong we all are.

Posted by: Oricon 7th February 2012, 09:32 PM

My votes are being delayed for ONE reason and it's related to ASHTON.

Look Back was rubbish at first listen and then it grew hence I gave it some points in the semi. And then it got overshadowed by other tracks once the final began with quality tracks in Semi 2. Finally at this point, it's growing too fast on me that I'm confused on how to allocate points or not on the track as I'm afraid that it might grow off me again. What to do..

Posted by: Silas 7th February 2012, 09:39 PM

It's growing too fast and growing off you? Not entirely sure what you mean there.


I say just give it the 12 I do have a vested interest though so I may be slightly bias.

Posted by: Oricon 7th February 2012, 09:52 PM

Yes, you know you're getting to a point where u overplay something to the max and then liking it too much that it might kill it for you

I think I'll just vote last minute on how I feel about it tbh

Posted by: Mart!n 7th February 2012, 09:53 PM

HA, Kylienips last

Posted by: Silas 7th February 2012, 10:01 PM

I see. In that case, one suggests you cease listening before it gets over played

Posted by: Casey__ 7th February 2012, 10:15 PM

'Butterflies' is so much better than 'Look Back' I'm shocked that it's the favourite personally.

Posted by: Freeze 8th February 2012, 12:24 AM

Posted by: Oricon 8th February 2012, 01:37 AM

I can't see anything other than Ashton being #1 now with the hype. It's charted in some personal charts already and has been receiving praise at Ashton's thread AND further discussion of it in the Odds and Final thread further boosts it. Also can't see anything else other than Ramrynia being #2 as well. Around 3-4 people (I think?) were wanting to send that song but missed out. Plus I can see the pop voters voting for the song with heavy points.

A lot of votes might go like:

12 Ashton/Ramrynia
10 Ramrynia/Ashton

Unless as Rich says... people have been dead silent for the majority of the time and keeping their favourites sealed until the final results.

Posted by: JohnMK 8th February 2012, 08:42 AM

*Crawls out of the woodwork*

I don't think Look Back is all that, and there's a few songs I'd much rather see triumph.

*crawls back in*

Posted by: Ljósið 8th February 2012, 09:23 AM

HA!

DEAD.

Posted by: Silas 8th February 2012, 03:19 PM

I agree that Butterflies is better than Look Back, but Look Back is the closest she's been since Butterflies to recreating it's genius.

Well, clearly you are dead inside.






I blame Rich. I was happy in tier 2, nobody crawled out of the woodwork to bash my entries. One of the really good things about Molly winning was that it literally came out of no where.

Posted by: ROBOT 8th February 2012, 04:12 PM

I really want a song to come out of nowhere to win, with all of this certainty

Posted by: Freeze 8th February 2012, 05:16 PM

I know I can't say much at this point.. but well.. what I CAN say, though, is that you're all forgetting to talk about any dark horses this contest may or may not have

Posted by: Addy K!ng 8th February 2012, 05:25 PM

Marigold for the dark horse.

Posted by: Ljósið 8th February 2012, 05:26 PM

Yes! Making random.org look not SO RANDOM.

Posted by: Oricon 8th February 2012, 05:32 PM

Dark Horse..? That would probably be one of the Top 10 predicted contenders at the Odds/Predicta tbh.

Posted by: Addy K!ng 8th February 2012, 05:33 PM

I don't recall Marigold being hyped or discussed in any thread.

IMO, it is top 5 finisher in silence.

Posted by: Klumzee 8th February 2012, 05:34 PM

I'm pretty sure Seyetana will end up a lot higher than most are predicting

Posted by: gooddelta 8th February 2012, 05:41 PM

I was thinking 5th-8th, what were you thinking?

I echo the Marigold support too, it's such a great song, I'd be devastated to see it not at least come top half.

Posted by: Ghosthunter 8th February 2012, 05:43 PM

I'd like to think Marigold could dark horse it, but I really doubt it, glad to hear some support for it though! I'm thinking Nightwish or SoSo could be serious contenders at this point, maybe Foxes and MNDR too.

Posted by: Addy K!ng 8th February 2012, 05:45 PM

but SoSo and Foxes were predicted to do well from the start of the contest.

Posted by: Klumzee 8th February 2012, 05:47 PM

I was thinking it could do similar to 'Ein' and pick up quite a few 12's. Perhaps not win, but certainly be in the mix right at the top there!

And I've just voted! Which means there will be some odds from KlumBet arriving soon!

Posted by: Klumzee 8th February 2012, 05:49 PM

Opening (and closing) odds from KlumBet:

4/1 Ramrynia - Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe
4/1 Fljótavík - Foxes - Youth
5/1 Syndare - SoSo - Who's gonna love me
7/1 Séyetana - Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids
7/1 Ashton - Tone Damli - Look back
---------------------------------------------------------
8/1 FSR Rontvia - Prance Faris - Flares
10/1 Unovia - Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid
11/1 Batidas - Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer
13/1 Numayania - The Storm - My crown
15/1 ChrIseland - Donkeyboy - City boy
15/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold - Le Kid - Human behaviour
18/1 Mdiče - MNDR - #1 in heaven
19/1 Kopečka - Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
21/1 Kluminican Republic - Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night
22/1 Espen - Moa Lignell - When I held ya
24/1 Caerfyrddia – Marigold – You and I know
25/1 Hendinia - DJ Tatana feat Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head
28/1 Botanikka - Ria Ritchie - Only one
28/1 B.a.N.G - Lydia Caesar - Lottery
30/1 Budtar – Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon – Take me away
32/1 Tinnmark - Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on
35/1 Bignia-Zaragovina - Britt Daley - One and only
35/1 Daehun – moumoon – Sunshine girl
36/1 Allecian - Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
40/1 Scherzland - Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
40/1 N-Lazone - Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
43/1 Hogan-Burg Republic - Emily Osment - All the way up
44/1 Greenfroze - Belanova - Mariposas
47/1 Lievant - Mollyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar
48/1 Sangria - Moonlight Breakfast - Still
55/1 Kylienips - School of Seven Bells - The night

Posted by: Eyes 8th February 2012, 05:54 PM

And I'm going to be out when the final results arrive! Should be an interesting read when I stumble in at midnight (or later) then. Being compared to 'Ein' is very good in my book.

On dark horses, I think Ria Ritchie could just about get herself into the top 10, or at least finish top half. I'm not sure about Marigold, I hope they do do well, but I can see them languishing in 19th or something.

Posted by: LexC 8th February 2012, 06:05 PM

Doing an 'Ein' is essentialy leading for most of the voting and then falling out of the top 3 (oh the memories )

In terms of dark horses, one that springs to mind for me is possibly Mercedes & I Britt Daley.

Posted by: Ryan741 8th February 2012, 06:10 PM

Back on top of the odds with Klumzee

Also, I think Seyetana could manage a top 5, and at the very least a top 10

Posted by: Oricon 8th February 2012, 06:24 PM

I was quick enough to see the initial odds you posted but I fell on the revised version From 22/1 to 35/1

Posted by: Klumzee 8th February 2012, 06:25 PM

The original odds I posted were actually Tom Kay's. I pressed enter too many times and accidently sent them

Posted by: Tom Titanium Kay 8th February 2012, 06:53 PM

I wish you had My worst odds so far. I take it you're not a fan

Posted by: Ghosthunter 8th February 2012, 06:53 PM

And have since got a bit lost in the mix. Hardly anyone is talking about both those entries, but I think either one of them could return from nowhere and clinch a victory.

Posted by: Liаm 8th February 2012, 07:21 PM

Dia for dark horse pweeeaaasse Failing that, Nightwish.

But seriously, I'm begining to think it isn't as certain as we think that Tone will win. I still think she will, but I think's it very possible that SoSo, Foxes or Prance Faris might win rather than the obvious Tone or Carly.

Posted by: Eyes 8th February 2012, 07:42 PM

Eyes likes this post.

I've been wondering about Tone. I still think she's in with a very good chance, but I'd be surprised if she ran away with it Sober-style, particularly as there ARE so many other contenders. When Loreen won, there were really only two other contenders for the top, Red Hot and Call My Name. It was an excellent contest, but we were so dry of potential winners, at least two of the songs we were predicting to easily come top 10 flopped on their arses majorly because they had no vocal support behind them. I remember, I was one of them , the other main one being Love Struck, who everyone was predicting to take up the top 4 with the other 3. I can't see any of this month's contenders flopping in the same way, all of them have some form of support behind them.

Here I can imagine Tone taking it, she's still the favourite, but I can just as easily see 6 or 7 others potentially at the top, SoSo, Foxes, Carly, Prance Faris, Dia, The Storm, even Nightwish. (those 7 are in the order of what I'm expecting)

As an aside, what's happened to Kopecka? I wouldn't mind seeing them dark horse it either, and they're perfectly capable of making it to the top 10 I think.

Posted by: Mart!n 8th February 2012, 07:45 PM

I'll take it there isn't much love for School Of Seven Bells virtually at the bottom of most odds apart from Pavel's

Posted by: Freeze 8th February 2012, 07:53 PM

Oh no, another person who's not going to be here for my fabulous results I do hope you read it all when you come back?

Posted by: Eyes 8th February 2012, 07:55 PM

Of course. I shall read it all, my heart pounding as I get nearer to finding out my result. I would read it all anyway, it's far more exciting that way.

(It's a friend's 18th, hopefully I won't be too wasted when I get back in)

Posted by: Oricon 8th February 2012, 07:55 PM

On Sunday I might not be here as well, but I can take slight glimpses of it during work secretly to see how I'm getting on

Posted by: Dandy* 8th February 2012, 08:04 PM

I'd love to see a Lievant victory, fingers crossed for them!

Posted by: Martyn 8th February 2012, 09:36 PM

Here is how the odds look from Farahtyn's betting company Bet-Far

To Win
2/1 Ashton - Tone Damli - Look back
3/1 Numayania - The Storm - My crown
7/2 Ramrynia - Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe
8/1 FSR Rontvia - Prance Faris - Flares
100000/1 Hogan-Burg Republic - Emily Osment - All the way up
------------------------------------------------------
22/1 Anyone Else

Events

1/25 A country in the final not to vote

2/1 Ashton, Kopecka and FSR Rontvia to all finish in the top 10

Posted by: Juranamo 8th February 2012, 09:36 PM

I think it definitely stands a bigger chance of winning that some songs... I've listened to most of the songs now, and yours doesn't seem THAT BJSC-unfriendly compared to some other songs. I would do odds, but I can't be bothered to think of how likely EVERY song is to win.

Posted by: Oricon 8th February 2012, 11:22 PM

Another interesting note on the BJ Personal Multichart..

52 (**) 186 Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe (52)
55 (60) 171 Prance Faris - Flares (73-60-55)
67 (**) 138 Tone Damli - Look Back (67)
71 (**) 130 Foxes - Youth (71)
72 (65) 130 Le Kid - Human Behaviour (65-72)

Dark horse being Le Kid is a possibility.

Posted by: Veriloquy 9th February 2012, 12:14 AM

I've been quietly thinking this for a while now! I think this is another Jody scenario - everyone insists it's a mid-table or low top ten at best, but it goes on to outperform the predictions. I had thought it was a potential winner when I confirmed it, but since the start of the contest it seems to have been written off. I certainly think top five is still possible though!

Posted by: gooddelta 9th February 2012, 12:23 AM

I'd like to see you get a comfortable top ten, it's a pretty great remix of a great cover and the odds for it have been a bit underwhelming so far. I've been predicting between 7th-9th in all of my odds and I still think that this is quite possible!

A potential winner might be stretching it though, it's not as 'in your face' as the usual sort of Scandipop that does well here...it didn't even hit me until the second listen and I'm a huge Lena AND Scandipop fan!

Posted by: Veriloquy 9th February 2012, 12:37 AM

If anything I thought it might have been a little TOO in-your-face! The production's quite similar to Popular in the chorus, I'd thought it would draw the same sorts of haters that that did...

Posted by: Alexxxandro 9th February 2012, 01:30 AM

welcome in the club

Posted by: gooddelta 9th February 2012, 11:05 AM

BJSC entries in the multichart;

52 (**) 186 Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe (52)
55 (60) 171 Prance Faris - Flares (73-60-55)
67 (**) 138 Tone Damli - Look Back (67)
71 (**) 130 Foxes - Youth (71)
72 (65) 130 Le Kid - Human Behaviour (65-72)

Any significance to these odds wise?

Posted by: Tom Titanium Kay 9th February 2012, 11:26 AM

I'm sure Oricon already mentioned this somewhere Don't know if there's much in it. Weird how it's weighted towards SF2 tho.

Posted by: gooddelta 9th February 2012, 12:00 PM

Oops, I wasn't paying enough attention Be interesting to see how it compares to the results, some of these songs are also being charted by a few non BJSC participants which skews things a bit though...

Posted by: gooddelta 11th February 2012, 08:38 AM

Closing odds for the final from RontBet;

Ashton - Tone Damli - Look back 2/1
Ramrynia - Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe 7/2
Syndare - SoSo - Who's gonna love me 4/1
Fljótavík - Foxes - Youth 5/1
Numayania - The Storm - My crown 7/1
FSR Rontvia - Prance Faris - Flares 7/1
Séyetana - Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids 9/1
Unovia - Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid 9/1
Lievant - Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar 10/1
Botanikka - Ria Ritchie - Only one 10/1
Batidas - Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer 12/1
Kopečka - Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix) 12/1
Caerfyrddia – Marigold – You and I know 12/1
Mdiče - MNDR - #1 in heaven 12/1
Kluminican Republic - Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night 18/1
FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold - Le Kid - Human behaviour 18/1
ChrIseland - Donkeyboy - City boy 18/1
Espen - Moa Lignell - When I held ya 18/1
N-Lazone - Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia 20/1
Daehun – moumoon – Sunshine girl 25/1
Hendinia - DJ Tatana feat Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (if you don't get in my bed) 22/1
Tinnmark - Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on 25/1
Allecian - Mercedes and I - Wintersnow 30/1
B.a.N.G - Lydia Caesar - Lottery 30/1
Scherzland - Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal 30/1
1Bignia-Zaragovina - Britt Daley - One and only 30/1
Budtar – Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon – Take me away 30/1
Kylienips - School of Seven Bells - The night 35/1
Greenfroze - Belanova - Mariposas 35/1
Sangria - Moonlight Breakfast - Still 40/1
Hogan-Burg Republic - Emily Osment - All the way up 75/1

I hope I'm wrong about some of those in the bottom half, a few of my favourites are in there! A few dark horses in the shape of Lievant, Caerfyrddia and Botanikka...Drawn the line this time under songs I think could be top ten, which is 14 of them!

Posted by: Ryan741 11th February 2012, 11:56 AM

I don't have time to type the average odds out properly, but here's a screenshot of them:



Hope you find them interesting!

Posted by: ROBOT 11th February 2012, 12:22 PM

BetHendinia Odds //

2/1 // Ashton: Tone Damli - Look Back
5/1 // Syndare: SoSo - Who's Gonna Love You?
5/1 // FSR Rontvia: Prance Faris - Flares
8/1 // Ramrynia: Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe
9/1 // Fljotavik: Foxes - Youth
21/2 // Kopecka: Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
12/1 // Numayania: The Storm - My Crown
12/1 // FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold: Le Kid - Human Behaviour
25/2 // Lievant: Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar Liar
14/1 // Mdice: MNDR - #1 In Heaven
15/1 // Botanikka: Ria Ritchie - Only One
18/1 // ChrIseland: Donkeyboy - City Boy
18/1 // Séyetana: Nightwish: Turn Loose The Mermaids
18/1 // Caerfyrddia: Marigold - You And I Know
20/1 // Allecian: Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
20/1 // Unovia: Dia Frampton - Billy The Kid
22/1 // Batidas: Studio Killers - Ode To The Bouncer
25/1 // Espen: Moa Lignell - When I Held Ya
28/1 // Hendinia: DJ Tatana feat Natalia Kills - You Can't Get In My Head (If You Don't Get In My Bed)
28/1 // N-Lazone: Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
35/1 // Kluminican Republic - Paulina Rubio - Heat Of The Night
35/1 // Scherzland: Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
36/1 // Budtar: Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon – Take Me Away
40/1 // Tinnmark: Andremo feat. Coco - Music Is Turning Me On
48/1 // Greenfroze: Belanova - Mariposas
50/1 // B.a.N.G: Lydia Caesar - Lottery
66/1 // Sangria: Moonlight Breakfast - Still
66/1 // Daehun: Moumoon – Sunshine Girl
75/1 // Bignia-Zaragovina: Britt Daley - One And Only
100/1 // Kylienips: School of Seven Bells - The night
500/1 // Hogan-Burg Republic: Emily Osment - All The Way Up

It's been like... FOREVER since I've done odds.

Posted by: Oricon 11th February 2012, 02:03 PM

We sincerely hope tomorrow we'll finish higher than Bottom 5

Posted by: gooddelta 11th February 2012, 09:07 PM

Niiiice odds from Hendinia, I've resigned myself to another 6th place now a la Eric Amarillo but I'd LOVE to see Flares sneak into the top five. Five certain other songs seem to have a lot of support on the forum though...although Flares isn't without its fans! Tough final, so many great songs at the very top end of quality!

Posted by: Casey__ 12th February 2012, 03:13 AM

Flares is one of your best entries for ages Rich! Hope it does well