Printable version of thread
Click here to view this topic in its original format
BuzzJack Music Forum _ Eurovision Song Contest _ Eurovision Odds/Betting 2024
Posted by: Jαsє 19th December 2023, 01:56 PM
Starting this early because I simply want to document the fact we're JOINT FAVOURITE TO WIN 
I don't recall that ever happening?
7/1 Ukraine
7/1 United Kingdom
8/1 Israel
8/1 Italy
10/1 Sweden
14/1 Norway
16/1 Spain
20/1 Australia
20/1 Azerbaijan
20/1 Finland
20/1 France
20/1 Lithuania
20/1 Portugal
20/1 Serbia
22/1 Denmark
25/1 Germany
25/1 Greece
25/1 Iceland
25/1 Netherlands
33/1 Armenia
33/1 Austria
33/1 Estonia
33/1 Poland
33/1 Switzerland
40/1 Belgium
40/1 Bulgaria
50/1 Cyprus
50/1 Malta
50/1 Moldova
50/1 Romania
66/1 Croatia
66/1 Luxembourg
66/1 Slovenia
80/1 Albania
80/1 Georgia
80/1 Latvia
100/1 Czech Republic
100/1 Ireland
100/1 North Macedonia
125/1 Montenegro
150/1 San Marino
Posted by: Dancemberlexa 19th December 2023, 02:38 PM
quite impressive although with us sending an established performer for once I suppose that's not really to be a surprise.
hopefully it's not too long before we get the song announced now.
Posted by: JackFrost's Nips 19th December 2023, 02:42 PM
We'll be 100 - 1 come competition time, as always 
Posted by: Herbs 19th December 2023, 05:08 PM
At least the UK is getting some initial kudos for choosing an established artist
Posted by: uhsting 4th April 2024, 04:31 PM
The semi-final odds are out and I think there are probably a couple that would be wrong x
SF1: Finland, Luxembourg and Cyprus are too high while Ireland should probably be safe after the pre-party performance
SF2: The top 6 look set to qualify. Denmark, Latvia and Malta are all in for a chance, so SF2 looks like the more open semi to me x
Posted by: Anita Hanjaab 4th April 2024, 04:42 PM
160/1 for San Marino!! When it's gonna be top 3!! The oddsmakers are gonna have egg on their face
Posted by: Mack. 4th April 2024, 05:03 PM
Katrina and the Waves was the bookies favourite.
Posted by: Anita Hanjaab 4th April 2024, 05:12 PM
Have these updated yet?
Posted by: RobBot 4th April 2024, 05:42 PM
SF1: Finland, Luxembourg and Cyprus are too high while Ireland should probably be safe after the pre-party performance
SF2: The top 6 look set to qualify. Denmark, Latvia and Malta are all in for a chance, so SF2 looks like the more open semi to me x
I'd say all Finland, Luxembourg and Cyprus feel like definite qualifiers to me, so I see why they're that high. Definitely the first two anyway.
Posted by: Padamic Tension 4th April 2024, 11:42 PM
SF1: Finland, Luxembourg and Cyprus are too high while Ireland should probably be safe after the pre-party performance
SF2: The top 6 look set to qualify. Denmark, Latvia and Malta are all in for a chance, so SF2 looks like the more open semi to me x
Did the pre party performance for Ireland go down well, i dont know much about it but saw your post.
Posted by: uhsting 4th April 2024, 11:45 PM
Well the staging is already better than the NF, and the camera cuts are really fitting. Can see they are heading in the right direction come May
Posted by: Padamic Tension 9th April 2024, 11:12 PM
Ive high hopes for good staging for Ireland this year, its the type of song that they can really play with the staging.
Posted by: Jαsє 28th April 2024, 08:56 PM
To win (top 10);
9/4 Switzerland
15/4 Croatia
5/1 Netherlands
6/1 Italy
9/1 Ukraine
20/1 France
25/1 Israel
40/1 Greece
50/1 Ireland
66/1 Belgium
To win (other);
100/1 Norway
125/1 Austria
125/1 United Kingdom
150/1 Finland
150/1 Lithuania
150/1 Sweden
200/1 Georgia
250/1 Estonia
300/1 Cyprus
300/1 Denmark
300/1 Slovenia
300/1 Spain
400/1 Albania
400/1 Australia
400/1 Czech Republic
400/1 Germany
400/1 Luxembourg
400/1 Portugal
400/1 San Marino
500/1 Azerbaijan
500/1 Iceland
500/1 Latvia
500/1 Malta
500/1 Moldova
500/1 Poland
Posted by: Long Dong Silver 28th April 2024, 10:33 PM
125/1 for UK seems generous!! The song flopped in charts across Europe, including in UK! No one wants it. San Marino should be tied with Italy at the top with Switzerland's odds.
Posted by: gooddelta 28th April 2024, 10:39 PM
I put £20 on Netherlands a few weeks ago and £5 on Italy.
I’m still not completely sold on Switzerland’s chances on the televote. Then again, Netherlands would need to be at least top ten on the jury vote to stand any chance, which may not happen. Italy seems like the song most likely to appeal reasonably highly to the jury and public, but I don’t expect that it will be top on either vote.
Posted by: Padamic Tension 29th April 2024, 12:17 AM
9/4 Switzerland
15/4 Croatia
5/1 Netherlands
6/1 Italy
9/1 Ukraine
20/1 France
25/1 Israel
40/1 Greece
50/1 Ireland
66/1 Belgium
To win (other);
100/1 Norway
125/1 Austria
125/1 United Kingdom
150/1 Finland
150/1 Lithuania
150/1 Sweden
200/1 Georgia
250/1 Estonia
300/1 Cyprus
300/1 Denmark
300/1 Slovenia
300/1 Spain
400/1 Albania
400/1 Australia
400/1 Czech Republic
400/1 Germany
400/1 Luxembourg
400/1 Portugal
400/1 San Marino
500/1 Azerbaijan
500/1 Iceland
500/1 Latvia
500/1 Malta
500/1 Moldova
500/1 Poland
Ireland seem to be moving up in the betting, I think some of the pre contest performances are propelling it.
Posted by: Jαsє 2nd May 2024, 04:32 PM
Croatia now fave!
Top 10;
5/2 Croatia
17/5 Switzerland
11/2 Ukraine
6/1 Italy
9/1 Netherlands
22/1 Israel
25/1 France
40/1 Ireland
50/1 Greece
100/1 Norway
UK @ 100/1
Posted by: Padamic Tension 2nd May 2024, 11:55 PM
Ireland improving 
Posted by: Jason 3rd May 2024, 03:41 PM
Top 10;
5/2 Croatia
17/5 Switzerland
11/2 Ukraine
6/1 Italy
Oh yeah, I love to see Croatia at the top since I'm not a big fan of the swiss song.
Also Ukraine this high at #3 again only by the war. Angelina deserves much more the top 3.
Posted by: uhsting 3rd May 2024, 03:44 PM
Umm Ukraine has a great song and staging this year??
Posted by: Juranamo 3rd May 2024, 04:01 PM
Currently...
9/4 Croatia
18/5 Switzerland
5/1 Ukraine
11/2 Italy
9/1 Netherlands
20/1 France
25/1 Ireland
25/1 Israel
55/1 Greece
80/1 United Kingdom
And then a massive gap to 150/1 for Sweden/Norway/Austria.
Ireland and UK rehearsals showing promise!
Posted by: Colm 3rd May 2024, 05:41 PM
What planet are you currently on, Jason?
Posted by: Padamic Tension 4th May 2024, 01:45 AM
Another improvement for Ireland is great, I put a bet on when bambie thug were first selected at 100/1 I done an each way bet.
Posted by: Dobbo 4th May 2024, 09:51 AM
I mean Jason's not exactly wrong. The bookies aren't naive in that they'd completely ignore such a situation that will always bring about a pocket of sympathy voters.
I haven't heard their entry this year but I think it's fair to say their entry last year was pretty unremarkable yet that was still given pretty good odds pre-contest.
Posted by: Scene 4th May 2024, 10:06 AM
Olly must be super nervous atm. I’m just hoping the performance can sell the song on the night.
Posted by: Colm 4th May 2024, 11:50 AM
I haven't heard their entry this year but I think it's fair to say their entry last year was pretty unremarkable yet that was still given pretty good odds pre-contest.
But you know how odds work?
And even if there was no war, this is a remarkable entry from a country that does very well at Eurovision. To dismiss it as a sympathy vote contender is misguided. Most commentators judge it as a song that will finish in the top 5 based on quality and arresting visuals.
Posted by: Jαsє 4th May 2024, 03:24 PM
To win;
9/4 Croatia
4/1 Switzerland
5/1 Italy
5/1 Ukraine
12/1 Netherlands
20/1 France
25/1 Ireland
30/1 Israel
50/1 Greece
70/1 United Kingdom
Posted by: Long Dong Silver 4th May 2024, 04:06 PM
Omg ig Ukraine wins, they'll be gidting Eurovidion to Liverpool again!!! Only way it would ever come to UK tbh
Posted by: Jason 4th May 2024, 04:52 PM
I'll never understand why Liverpool and not London.
Posted by: Colm 4th May 2024, 04:54 PM
Tourism numbers.
That's why Turin hosted and not Rome
Posted by: Long Dong Silver 4th May 2024, 05:13 PM
Also Liverpool is such a great city and perfect for Eurovision. The Eurivisionhead honchos said they wished Eurovision could be helf in Liverpool every single year!
Posted by: gooddelta 6th May 2024, 06:01 PM
I've also put £10 on Ireland to win at 12/1 and £5 on Austria to finish last at 10/1. And that's it for my betting this year!
Ireland just looks spectacular, if Bambie gets a great final draw then that could surprise on the televote.
Austria I believe should still just about qualify, but I don't really see the juries backing it much and its public vote in the final will be diluted by the likes of Netherlands and maybe Finland, especially if they end up in the first half. It's pretty much always an auto-qualifer last, but France and Italy clearly won't be, Sweden should get decent jury support, UK just looks too good to be a last placer, and Germany could get solid jury support. Spain could very well be last, but you never know.
Posted by: Padamic Tension 6th May 2024, 07:49 PM
Irelands odds are almost improving by the day now, I really hope it translates into votes.
Posted by: witchsting 6th May 2024, 08:14 PM
Posted by: Jαsє 7th May 2024, 03:01 PM
To win;
5/4 Croatia
4/1 Switzerland
7/1 Italy
9/1 Ukraine
12/1 Ireland
14/1 Netherlands
25/1 France
35/1 Israel
66/1 Greece
100/1 Lithuania
100/1 United Kingdom
Ireland!!! Croatia as low as 1/1.
Posted by: ___∆___ 7th May 2024, 03:07 PM
The bookies are usually right but I just don’t see it being Croatia’s this year - lots of hype etc., but not convinced it’ll clinch the win.
Posted by: Mack. 7th May 2024, 11:18 PM
To Win (Coral)
Croatia 1/1f
Switzerland 10/3
Italy 6/1
Ukraine 10/1
Netherlands 12/1
Ireland 14/1
France 20/1
Israel 20/1
Finland 66/1
Greece 66/1
UK 66/1
Sweden 80/1
Austria 100/1
Belgium 100/1
Georgia 100/1
Lithuania 100/1
Armenia 150/1
Germany 150/1
Norway 150/1
Slovenia 150/1
Albania 200/1
Cyprus 200/1
Denmark 200/1
Estonia 200/1
Luxembourg 200/1
Spain 200/1
Serbia 250/1
Czech Republic 300/1
Portugal 300/1
San Marino 300/1
Latvia 500/1
Malta 500/1
Posted by: Jαsє 8th May 2024, 10:30 PM
To win;
10/11 Croatia
5/1 Switzerland
9/1 Ukraine
12/1 Ireland
13/1 Italy
22/1 Netherlands
28/1 France
50/1 Israel
125/1 Greece
150/1 United Kingdom
Bookies seem to think Croatia have it in the bag now.
Posted by: Jason 9th May 2024, 12:00 AM
Ireland overtook Italy
Posted by: 152chris 9th May 2024, 10:15 AM
i don’t see croatia getting it either. ireland are being a lil overhyped too unfortunately . if italy get a good running spot i think its theirs, or its just gonna be israel ����
if it wasn’t such an uncommon opinion i would shove austria up in the potentials too tbh
Posted by: 152chris 9th May 2024, 10:19 AM
anyway all that to say i won’t be watching but following from afar lol. pls, if you’re thinking about it, boycott!
Posted by: ___∆___ 9th May 2024, 10:33 AM
I think the odds always go mad at this point as the Bookies react to social media etc., - I remember when they had Hera Bjork as a hot favourite (still an iconic song and deserved better).
Posted by: Sour Candy 9th May 2024, 10:40 AM
That is also before Switzerland has performed in the semi final - they will improve after tonight.
Posted by: Colm 9th May 2024, 12:39 PM
Ireland are totally being over hyped. Yes - it's an astonishing performance but the jury won't give it enough love and it'll still trail behind Netherlands and Croatia in the televote.
...or so I believe.
Posted by: SemiDongContest 9th May 2024, 01:15 PM
Well you're WRONG!!!
#crownthewitch
Posted by: Jαsє 9th May 2024, 01:38 PM
My friend shoved a tenner on Israel @ 66/1
We're now @ 200/1. Poor Olly 
Posted by: Jαsє 9th May 2024, 01:41 PM
To win;
10/11 Croatia
3/1 Switzerland
11/1 Ukraine
18/1 Ireland
25/1 Italy
28/1 France
33/1 Netherlands
66/1 Israel
150/1 Greece
200/1 United Kingdom
Posted by: Silas 9th May 2024, 01:47 PM
#crownthewitch
Where are the points coming from huh? Show your receipts or halt die fresse
Posted by: BillyH 9th May 2024, 02:59 PM
From memory it’s about now in 2018 when Fuego overtook Toy in the odds, causing many to think there’d be the third shock winner in a row after Ukraine and Portugal (beating long time odds favourites Russia and Italy respectively) but Netta held on in the end. That year also had a huge rise for Ireland in the odds from the moment they qualified that didn’t translate into a big result in the final.
The only other close year in recent times, 2021, I think Italy had reached #1 in the odds by now (getting ahead of the battle between Switzerland, Malta and France) but it still came as a great surprise when that huge public vote came in. I’ll be very happy for a Croatia win this time, a cheap country who’ve never won before (1989 doesn’t count) would be ideal for next year!
Posted by: SemiDongContest 9th May 2024, 06:07 PM
It's rhe best sang!
Posted by: zenon 9th May 2024, 06:09 PM
Israel now 22/1 with a few bookies.
Posted by: SemiDongContest 9th May 2024, 06:12 PM
Israel won't win. It's just ok and there is a lot of controversy surrounding the entry being in thr contest at all.
Poland was actually relaly good!! Shoulda qualified
Posted by: Jαsє 9th May 2024, 07:17 PM
Croatia as low as 4/6
Posted by: Mack. 9th May 2024, 07:26 PM
Good to see most bookies paying out 4 places for each-way punters for the Eurovision final.
Posted by: Jαsє 9th May 2024, 09:46 PM
Israel keep shortening. As low as 4/1 at the minute and second fave to win with some bookies
Switzerland now drifting out to 8/1.
Posted by: Crown_The_Witch. 9th May 2024, 10:50 PM
Just basing Israel on the song and performance i dont see the big appeal its a fairly forgettable ballad.
Posted by: Liаm 9th May 2024, 11:03 PM
Closest odds have Hurricane at 3.75 and Rim Tim Tagi Dim at 2.1, the former is pretty much shortening across the board and the latter is lengthening :/
Posted by: My... WAP?? 9th May 2024, 11:07 PM
9/4 Switzerland
15/4 Croatia
5/1 Netherlands
6/1 Italy
9/1 Ukraine
20/1 France
25/1 Israel
40/1 Greece
50/1 Ireland
66/1 Belgium
To win (other);
100/1 Norway
125/1 Austria
125/1 United Kingdom
150/1 Finland
150/1 Lithuania
150/1 Sweden
200/1 Georgia
250/1 Estonia
300/1 Cyprus
300/1 Denmark
300/1 Slovenia
300/1 Spain
400/1 Albania
400/1 Australia
400/1 Czech Republic
400/1 Germany
400/1 Luxembourg
400/1 Portugal
400/1 San Marino
500/1 Azerbaijan
500/1 Iceland
500/1 Latvia
500/1 Malta
500/1 Moldova
500/1 Poland
Honestly with some of these odds i'd almost be willing to chuck a tenner away on a bet on Azerbaijan or something and hope for a Leicester City moment with my returns.
Posted by: SemiDongContest 9th May 2024, 11:08 PM
It'll be between San Marino Italy Ukraine Croatia Switzwrland and Ireland for the win.
Posted by: gooddelta 9th May 2024, 11:08 PM
I did see the odds shortening quickly an hour ago when they were still out at 12/1, but I've got no interest in profiteering from their participation.
I will cross my fingers for a miracle.
Hurricane is already No.27 on UK iTunes too, I know it means little ultimately but The Code and Europapa are not top 100 (Kaleen is top 40 interestingly, but that's very UK-coded).
Posted by: Liаm 9th May 2024, 11:16 PM
I expect to wake up and see Israel overtaking Croatia :/
Posted by: Jαsє 9th May 2024, 11:22 PM
Israel now as low as 3/1
Posted by: gooddelta 9th May 2024, 11:48 PM
Assuming juries only give Israel, say 80 points, and they then hypothetically get a clean sweep on the televote, would any other entry really be able to collect 500 points overall? If Croatia are to do it then they’d need all the 10s, which won’t happen, and at least 150 points from the juries. Quite a tall order to say the least and I don’t see anyone else managing it.
The jury would have to really get well behind Croatia or Ukraine in a big 200-250 points way I guess.
Posted by: ___∆___ 10th May 2024, 12:08 AM
If Israel win it’ll change the contest totally - over to EBU who banned Russia and Belarus and will now have to deal with the fallout out of a potential Israel win and host.
Posted by: Harve 10th May 2024, 07:03 AM
We'll see what happens both diplomatically and in terms of public mood but on the current trajectory I don't see how the contest can be hosted by Israel next year, if it stays on the current trajectory that is.
All evidence points to this year's Israel vote as being minoritarian but I'm still cynical because it's difficult to imagine the situation being anymore catastrophic than it is now, and I fear that in a year's time fatigue will have set in and large swathes of the public just wouldn't care.
If the geopolitical situation with Ukraine had been different (and therefore, like Israel, Russian had never been banned in 2022) and Russia won this year, would the general population care enough about war crimes to be outraged at a Russia 2025 host now that the war is long gone from headlines?
Posted by: Jαsє 10th May 2024, 12:46 PM
To win;
6/5 Croatia
3/1 Israel
15/2 Switzerland
16/1 France
22/1 Ukraine
25/1 Ireland
35/1 Italy
80/1 Netherlands
250/1 Finland
250/1 United Kingdom
Israel as low as 2/1.
Posted by: Herbs 10th May 2024, 01:06 PM
Can totally see France and Switzerland being top on the jury vote & then it’s all down to the public
Posted by: SemiDongContest 10th May 2024, 01:15 PM
Francw will flop again. Ireland will top the jury vote. If this DOES become political voring, ans I doubt it, then Ireland will also get a lor of votes
Posted by: Mack. 10th May 2024, 01:33 PM
Odds: (Coral)
Croatia 5-6f
Israel 9-4
Switzerland 6-1
France 12-1
Ukraine 14-1
Ireland 16-1
Italy 25-1
Netherlands 50-1
Austria 150-1
Cyprus 150-1
Finland 150-1
Georgia 150-1
Greece 150-1
UK 150-1
Armenia 200-1
Estonia 200-1
Lithuania 200-1
Norway 200-1
Spain 200-1
Sweden 200-1
Germany 300-1
Slovenia 300-1
Luxembourg 400-1
Portugal 400-1
Latvia 500-1
Serbia 500-1
Posted by: Lukuzz 10th May 2024, 01:43 PM
Really hope Isreal aren’t in the top 10 at all, the fact they are second is a joke. Hoping the running order will knock them down and hoping the jury don’t give them loads of votes
Posted by: Mack. 10th May 2024, 01:48 PM
Israel, were 20/1 with Coral now down to 9/4, the way this is going they could challenge Croatia for favouritism.
Posted by: SemiDongContest 10th May 2024, 01:58 PM
I can't see Israel getting much from the televote or the jury. Ireland will win jury vote. France's latest ballad is overhyped. Juries still haven't caught on tot he fact that those always flop these days.you can remove it from the odds for a clearer picture.
I think Israel is getting spammed in the bookies due to people thinking it eill ge tthe sympsthy vote after being booed. It eon't. If the vote DOES!! turn political, then Ireland will ALSO heavily benefit.
Posted by: *Tim 10th May 2024, 02:30 PM
Did you miss the part where they got 39% of the votes in Italy?
Posted by: SemiDongContest 10th May 2024, 02:36 PM
Who did
Posted by: ___∆___ 10th May 2024, 03:31 PM
Have you seen the follow up statement from Italy?
Posted by: The Dong Contest 10th May 2024, 03:57 PM
Imagine thr propaganda win for Putin if Israel does win though!! He can scream about wrstern double standards and demand to be let back in!!!
Posted by: Scene 10th May 2024, 05:28 PM
I think Israel is getting spammed in the bookies due to people thinking it eill ge tthe sympsthy vote after being booed. It eon't. If the vote DOES!! turn political, then Ireland will ALSO heavily benefit.
I’m actually so tempted to place a £10 bet on Ireland at 25/1.
something about it screams winner.
Posted by: Mack. 10th May 2024, 06:15 PM
Tips from the Racing Post on Eurovision
https://www.racingpost.com/sport/special-events/eurovision/2024-eurovision-song-contest-predictions-odds-betting-tips-where-to-watch-aOptT8K3EgLk/
Posted by: Jαsє 11th May 2024, 12:48 PM
To win;
17/20 Croatia
3/1 Israel
9/2 Switzerland
22/1 Ireland
25/1 France
33/1 Ukraine
50/1 Italy
250/1 Armenia
250/1 Finland
250/1 Greece
250/1 Sweden
250/1 United Kingdom
300/1 Austria
300/1 Georgia
300/1 Norway
375/1 Lithuania
400/1 Spain
500/1 Cyprus
500/1 Estonia
500/1 Germany
500/1 Latvia
500/1 Luxembourg
500/1 Portugal
500/1 Serbia
500/1 Slovenia
Posted by: Mack. 11th May 2024, 10:16 PM
Switzerland 4/5f
Croatia 11/8
France 14/1
Ireland 16/1
Israel 20/1
Italy 100/1
Posted by: J❄️hq 12th May 2024, 10:52 AM
Got Switzerland at 22/1 on the day it came out, and made £113. Think this was my first successful Eurovision bet since an each way on Bulgaria in 2016. Think Liam may have done even better from this win?
Powered by Invision Power Board
© Invision Power Services