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| Predict Only Human's debut sales, Cheryl's new album |
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 Nov 5 2014, 11:59 PM
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#1
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 [Finest Š”asual Dating Authentic Damsels]
Joined: 25 November 2012
Posts: 288 User: 17,886 
 
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She's releasing 10th November following the (likely) back-to-back #1 singles Crazy Stupid Love & I Don't Care
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Nov 6 2014, 12:10 AM
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#2
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 21 November 2009
Posts: 8,541 User: 10,030
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I'm going to go with 41-45k. I can't see her doing much more than A Million Lights (that sold 35k in its first week I believe) given that it was released after "Call My Name" which was a much bigger hit than both "Crazy Stupid Love" & "I Don't Care".
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Nov 6 2014, 01:04 AM
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#3
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 27 November 2008
Posts: 641 User: 7,808
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Between 30,000 and 35,000. Although I could be overstimating her sales.
This post has been edited by Carlos V: Nov 6 2014, 01:05 AM |
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Nov 6 2014, 01:42 AM
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#4
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 29 August 2009
Posts: 820 User: 9,520
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41-45k and a #5 or #6 debut. Pink Floyd, Foo Fighters, Queen and Ed Sheeran will all outsell her, and I wouldn't put it past Sam Smith to outsell her as well after his X Factor performance on Sunday night.
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Nov 6 2014, 07:53 AM
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#5
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Why do today, what you can do tomorrow?
Joined: 7 November 2008
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She's not a big album seller, so I'm gonna go with 40k tops.
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Nov 6 2014, 08:05 AM
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#6
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BuzzJack Climber
Joined: 22 July 2014
Posts: 102 User: 21,091
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I think she will have something around 40k-50k.
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Nov 6 2014, 08:15 AM
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#7
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 9 March 2006
Posts: 20,230 User: 140 
  
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30-35k
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Nov 6 2014, 08:58 AM
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#8
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changed the game with that digital drop
Joined: 26 September 2010
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31-35k with a #3 or #4 debut.
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Nov 6 2014, 09:35 AM
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#9
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 10 November 2010
Posts: 4,017 User: 12,273
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30k I think
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Nov 6 2014, 10:48 AM
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#10
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 29 August 2009
Posts: 820 User: 9,520
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4 people predicting 21-30k... The album is doomed for eternity if it sells 30,000 or less. DOOMED.
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Nov 6 2014, 12:08 PM
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#11
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 5 February 2010
Posts: 613 User: 10,589
 
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QUOTE(gavindeejay @ Nov 6 2014, 07:53 AM)  She's not a big album seller, so I'm gonna go with 40k tops. She was at one point: 3 Words 1,000,000 Messy Little Raindrops 500,000 A Million Lights 100,000 I'm guessing 40-50k first week. |
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Nov 6 2014, 12:16 PM
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#12
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 3 August 2006
Posts: 8,209 User: 1,031
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50k maximum in first week. Her last album barely sold 100k in total and album sales have been in decline since then.
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Nov 6 2014, 12:42 PM
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#13
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 9 March 2006
Posts: 20,230 User: 140
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Even with her high profile on X Factor I'm not sure this album can achieve platinum sales.
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Nov 6 2014, 12:51 PM
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#14
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 10 March 2006
Posts: 19,145 User: 151
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QUOTE(Envoirment @ Nov 6 2014, 12:10 AM) I'm going to go with 41-45k. I can't see her doing much more than A Million Lights (that sold 35k in its first week I believe) given that it was released after "Call My Name" which was a much bigger hit than both "Crazy Stupid Love" & "I Don't Care". Did 'Million Lights' really only open with 35k? I thought it was more than that. Should have been more, it's actually one of the best pop albums of recent years. I really can't see 'Only Human' doing much tbh, it will be lucky to match 35k. |
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Nov 6 2014, 04:15 PM
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#15
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 "Jayrusaleminians" - Umi.
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 4 April 2007 Posts: 41,412 User: 3,217
       
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Are people taking into account that 'A Million Lights' was released in Q2 (June 2012)? Sales are usually much lower at that time of year than in Q4. In fact that album was the third best selling June release of 2012, but only the 103rd best selling album of the year overall, so that shows what a low selling month June was that year for new releases.
Her prior two albums were released in Q4. I'd be surprised if 'Only Human' sold less in its first week than 'A Million Lights', but I guess we shall see. People here have underestimated how she'd do with 'Crazy Stupid Love' and 'I Don't Care', so perhaps she could surprise us with her new album. I'm hopeful for 50k+. |
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Nov 6 2014, 04:24 PM
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#16
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Who's Daniel btw ?
Joined: 28 October 2006
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I have low expectations for the album sadly, the market is so competitivite lately, but as you say we could be surprised.
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Nov 6 2014, 04:26 PM
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#17
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 23 December 2010
Posts: 24,411 User: 12,608
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I'd only predict around 25k for this I think.
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Nov 8 2014, 12:01 AM
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#18
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 4 March 2011
Posts: 5,262 User: 13,126
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I'm going with 41-45k - with sales picking up a tad in the run up to Christmas and promotion from X-Factor, if she couldn't sell that at the least I'd be quite embarrassed.
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Nov 8 2014, 01:17 PM
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#19
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 29 August 2009
Posts: 820 User: 9,520
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I know that this might seem like a strange comparison, but I'm just noticing its iTunes and Amazon positions in relation with where Calvin Harris's album was at this point lask week:
Motion was #14 on iTunes; Only Human is currently #66 (it was in the late 20s earlier in the week following the releases of the promo singles). Motion was in the 40s on Amazon; Only Human is #77 at the moment. Based on this it's not looking likely that she will sell 40k, which is about what Calvin will do this week. Once again, I know that Calvin and Cheryl cater to different audiences, but as both are seemingly underperforming it's perhaps something to take into account. This post has been edited by MrIndependent: Nov 8 2014, 01:18 PM |
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