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 2015 Election - who'll be the highest profile seat loser? |
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 16th March 2015, 06:46 PM
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#1
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 Howdy, disco citizens
Joined: 16 January 2010
Posts: 12,775 User: 10,455 
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We've had lots of serious discussion regarding the upcoming May General Election in this forum, so let's have a little bit light hearted "fun".
At each General Election, there's usually a few high-profile MPs who end up losing their seat. In 2010 we saw former Cabinet Ministers Charles Clarke and Jacqui Smith, and Northern Ireland First Minister Peter Robinson being voted out, and in 1997 a large raft of high profile Tories (the most prominent one being Michael Portillo) ended up being de-seated. Which brings us on to 2015 - who do you think will be the highest profile political scalp at the General Election in May? There's been a lot of talk around Nick Clegg possibly losing his Sheffield seat, but will there be any other big "Portillo moments" to be had? Ready, set, speculate! |
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16th March 2015, 07:10 PM
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#2
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 DROTTNING!
Joined: 15 April 2006
Posts: 63,953 User: 480
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Nick Clegg
Danny Alexander Vince Cable Nigel Farage (not certain but there's a big chance he could miss out) Basically any prominent Scottish Labour MPs (hopefully not including Jim Murphy, insh'allah) Anna Soubry |
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16th March 2015, 07:19 PM
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#3
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 11 April 2006
Posts: 4,259 User: 457
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Esther McVey and her fake Scouse accent has a decent chance of being booted out.
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16th March 2015, 07:39 PM
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#4
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,670 User: 3,272
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QUOTE(Qassändra @ Mar 16 2015, 07:10 PM)  Nick Clegg Danny Alexander Vince Cable Nigel Farage (not certain but there's a big chance he could miss out) Basically any prominent Scottish Labour MPs (hopefully not including Jim Murphy, insh'allah) Anna Soubry Do you really think there is any chance of Vince Cable losing his seat? According to firstpastthepost.net, the bookies disagree. I suspect Clegg will hold on but Danny Alexander will lose. Of the Tory Cabinet ministers, Nicky Morgan must be one of the most vulnerable. Of the junior ministers, Anna Soubry should lose but she is hardly high-profile. Her performance on QT last week was awful. |
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16th March 2015, 07:50 PM
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#5
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DROTTNING!
Joined: 15 April 2006
Posts: 63,953 User: 480
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The bookies may disagree but it doesn't mean there isn't any chance of him losing it! The Tories had their biggest gains in Twickenham last year.
Nicky Morgan is vulnerable, but she's currently polling ahead of Labour in Loughborough - the Tories do a lot of work locally, and as the student population goes it's egregiously Tory (mostly down to being a lot of Sports Science students whose parents could afford specialist training). |
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16th March 2015, 07:51 PM
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#6
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 11 April 2006
Posts: 4,259 User: 457
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Cable should probably be saved by the fact he's pretty much the only Lib Dem still in any way well-regarded (well, nationally, don't know if he is in his constituency).
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16th March 2015, 07:55 PM
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#7
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DROTTNING!
Joined: 15 April 2006
Posts: 63,953 User: 480
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Oh, and Charles Kennedy's probably losing
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16th March 2015, 08:27 PM
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Queen of Soon
Joined: 24 May 2007
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Every mainland LibDem in Scotland is losing their seat.
Would just love to see Jim Murphy lose his seat though. That'd be spectacular and fitting. |
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16th March 2015, 09:28 PM
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#9
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I'm so lonely, I paid a hobo to spoon with me
Joined: 6 February 2010
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If Clegg and McVey go, I can deal with pretty much anything.
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17th March 2015, 10:07 AM
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#10
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
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QUOTE(Danny @ Mar 16 2015, 07:51 PM) Cable should probably be saved by the fact he's pretty much the only Lib Dem still in any way well-regarded (well, nationally, don't know if he is in his constituency). The Tories are planning to announce plans to make significant cuts to Inheritance Tax on a person's main home. The Guardian quote a "government source" as saying "This looks like a policy to buy more Tory votes to help the wealthy and would be highly regressive in its impact on society". Who else thinks that the "government source" is Vince Cable? |
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17th March 2015, 12:41 PM
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DROTTNING!
Joined: 15 April 2006
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QUOTE(Danny @ Mar 16 2015, 08:19 PM) Esther McVey and her fake Scouse accent has a decent chance of being booted out. 6% Labour lead in Wirral West according to Lord Ashcroft today *.* |
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17th March 2015, 03:12 PM
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#12
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
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QUOTE(Soy Adrián @ Mar 16 2015, 09:28 PM) If Clegg and McVey go, I can deal with pretty much anything. I'm buying a bottle of champagne to open only if Clegg goes.  It'll be middle of the night but worth it!
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17th March 2015, 03:41 PM
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#13
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I'm so lonely, I paid a hobo to spoon with me
Joined: 6 February 2010
Posts: 12,908 User: 10,596
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QUOTE(Common Sense @ Mar 17 2015, 03:12 PM) I'm buying a bottle of champagne to open only if Clegg goes. It'll be middle of the night but worth it!I'll probably be at the count! |
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17th March 2015, 04:38 PM
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#14
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 18 July 2012
Posts: 22,821 User: 17,376
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QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ Mar 17 2015, 10:07 AM) The Tories are planning to announce plans to make significant cuts to Inheritance Tax on a person's main home. The Guardian quote a "government source" as saying "This looks like a policy to buy more Tory votes to help the wealthy and would be highly regressive in its impact on society". Who else thinks that the "government source" is Vince Cable? Me, and if there were any justice in the world (there isn't) Cable would be last man standing in a wholesale clearout of MP's of all parties, starting with all liars, 2nd jobbers, hypocrites, line-toe-ers, cliche-pushers, and anyone using the phrase hard-working families. That should be all of them then... 
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17th March 2015, 04:39 PM
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#15
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 18 July 2012
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QUOTE(Soy Adrián @ Mar 17 2015, 03:41 PM) I'll probably be at the count! I'll watch out for you rushing the stage if he keeps his seat then... 
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17th March 2015, 06:48 PM
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#16
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
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QUOTE(Soy Adrián @ Mar 17 2015, 03:41 PM) I'll probably be at the count! You can bet your house that BBC, ITV and Sky will ALL show that Declaration live! |
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17th March 2015, 07:51 PM
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#17
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,670 User: 3,272
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QUOTE(Common Sense @ Mar 17 2015, 06:48 PM) You can bet your house that BBC, ITV and Sky will ALL show that Declaration live! Given that they have shown the party leaders' counts live in every election for decades, that is hardly a brave prediction. They will show it, even if polls in the campaign show that Clegg is set to win easily. |
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20th March 2015, 09:38 PM
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
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This is getting me really excited for election night it's a 12 hourer for me every 5 years. I'm in my living room with a 6 pack of lucozade sand supplies for the whole night just in time for the exit polls and stick with it until 9am the following morning - love it lol
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2nd April 2015, 03:43 PM
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#19
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UKs Biggest European Music fan
Joined: 20 March 2006
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If there was any justice it would be Iain Duncan Smith - he's such an arrogant bas***d.
Just laughs at the poor. I'd love to slap him with a wet fish. |
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2nd April 2015, 05:19 PM
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#20
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I'm so lonely, I paid a hobo to spoon with me
Joined: 6 February 2010
Posts: 12,908 User: 10,596
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Another Hallam poll has Labour ahead (by two points now, compared to 3 in November) with both contenders squeezing the Green and Tory votes considerably. Clegg's future is on a knife edge.
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