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| Straw poll - Adele v One Direction |
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 Sep 23 2015, 06:25 AM
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#1
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 Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364 
 
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Just idle speculation, as their respective record companies would never risk releasing an album on the same week, but if they *did*, who would end up #1?
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Sep 23 2015, 08:23 AM
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#2
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 Why do today, what you can do tomorrow?
Joined: 7 November 2008
Posts: 10,466 User: 7,645
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Adele will slaughter 1D.
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Sep 23 2015, 09:05 AM
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#3
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 13 July 2013
Posts: 3,234 User: 19,531
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I'd hope Adele would thrash 1D but sadly I could see it being a close battle as I'm sure both acts highest first week sales have been about 250k.
I know 1D only sold 140k last year but with this being their last album anything could happen but I've gone for Adele as she is in another league! |
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Sep 23 2015, 10:36 AM
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#4
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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QUOTE(James1987 @ Sep 23 2015, 10:05 AM)  I'd hope Adele would thrash 1D but sadly I could see it being a close battle as I'm sure both acts highest first week sales have been about 250k. I know 1D only sold 140k last year but with this being their last album anything could happen but I've gone for Adele as she is in another league! No contest, Adele's '21' has sold more than all of OD albums combined  , and with good marketing, I could see Adele selling up to 500k on week one!
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Sep 23 2015, 10:40 AM
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#5
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 10 March 2006
Posts: 19,141 User: 151
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Sep 23 2015, 11:36 AM) No contest, Adele's '21' has sold more than all of OD albums combined , and with good marketing, I could see Adele selling up to 500k on week one!I think 500k is VERY optimistic in this day and age, it won't sell anywhere near that. But yes if they were released on the same day, Adele would easily outsell 1D. |
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Sep 23 2015, 10:56 AM
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#6
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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QUOTE(Mango @ Sep 23 2015, 11:40 AM) I think 500k is VERY optimistic in this day and age, it won't sell anywhere near that. But yes if they were released on the same day, Adele would easily outsell 1D. Of course, if back in 2011 before '21' was released you'd have suggested *any* album could sell 4.75m, that would have seemed equally optimistic... 
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Sep 23 2015, 11:05 AM
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#7
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 10 March 2006
Posts: 19,141 User: 151
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Sep 23 2015, 11:56 AM) Of course, if back in 2011 before '21' was released you'd have suggested *any* album could sell 4.75m, that would have seemed equally optimistic... True, but album sales were much healthier in 2011 than they are now. Some big artists have under-performed with new albums this year, and that's just down to a general decline in album sales. I know Adele's album will be the most hotly anticipated of the year but I still think 500k on its first week is wildly optimistic. Obviously it also depends on how good the first single is. What did her last album open with anyway? |
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Sep 23 2015, 11:36 AM
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#8
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 29 January 2010
Posts: 1,287 User: 10,540 
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Adele but it isn't going to happen, I think it's going to be 1d verses Justin Bieber instead
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Sep 23 2015, 11:51 AM
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#9
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 Ciao, 911? E 'Quagmire. Sģ, č preso nella finestra di questo
Joined: 25 March 2011
Posts: 17,941 User: 13,341
   
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QUOTE(Mango @ Sep 23 2015, 12:05 PM) What did her last album open with anyway? 208k 
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Sep 23 2015, 11:55 AM
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#10
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 Break the tension
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 88,868 User: 51
  
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Adele would trump them, but I really am not certain her album will be released this year...
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Sep 23 2015, 12:11 PM
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#11
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You don't have to be fabulous to be good
Joined: 10 March 2008
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Adele will of course have very strong sales on name alone, but it will vastly depend on music quality. She can easily do 100-200k on week one, but everything above will depend how the single(s) catch up with the public.
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Sep 23 2015, 12:42 PM
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#12
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 10 March 2006
Posts: 19,141 User: 151
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QUOTE(Gezza @ Sep 23 2015, 12:51 PM) 208k That makes the 500k suggestion even more ridiculous then 
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Sep 23 2015, 01:42 PM
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#13
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 20 July 2007
Posts: 748 User: 3,951
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Sep 23 2015, 01:52 PM
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#14
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Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
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Nice, with Now 92 out the same day that will be a good week for music sales (if it's true).
I'd anticipate an opening sale of around 300k, even if that does sound ridiculous in today's market, I reckon enough hype will be there. This post has been edited by gooddelta: Sep 23 2015, 01:52 PM |
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Sep 23 2015, 02:08 PM
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#15
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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QUOTE(Mango @ Sep 23 2015, 01:42 PM) That makes the 500k suggestion even more ridiculous then Technically, I did say 'anything up to 500k' in order to cover myself...  |
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Sep 23 2015, 02:35 PM
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#16
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BuzzJack Regular
Joined: 27 December 2012
Posts: 290 User: 18,060
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With this release date I can see Adele selling consistently high sales leading up to Xmas
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Sep 23 2015, 02:40 PM
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#17
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Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 83,008 User: 116
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Traditionally mega selling acts like Mumford & Sons and Michael Buble have really not benefitted from early-mid year releases over the last couple of years so Adele is sensible to release in the run up to Xmas to ensure it doesn't look like a flop if it 'only' sells 1 million copies if it was released in April or something. If it's released on 20th November it could easily shift a million, if not a lot more if I'm underestimating the hype, within five weeks.
The Corrs will of course knock her off for a week on November 27th though 
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Sep 23 2015, 03:00 PM
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#18
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 9 January 2007
Posts: 1,244 User: 2,478
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QUOTE(Mango @ Sep 23 2015, 01:42 PM) That makes the 500k suggestion even more ridiculous then Yes but it sold that in January, and the fact that it went on to sell 4m copies suggests that people hadn't caught on to the Adele phenomenon in the week of release. Released in the lead up to Christmas, and off the back of one of the biggest albums of all time, I could easily see 300k + first week. |
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Sep 23 2015, 03:43 PM
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#19
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 🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,519 User: 11,746
     
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Adele will easily get the highest first week sale of the year, it'll probably outdo the opening sales of '21' too as it's in Q4 and a new Adele album has been long awaited for and will be hyped a lot. 500k is pushing it but 200k+ seems doable.
One Direction could neva |
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Sep 23 2015, 03:50 PM
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#20
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 Alone and wounded
Pronouns: She/her
Joined: 18 January 2011 Posts: 60,098 User: 12,810
        
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Oh Adele for sure, the hype has been ongoing basically ever since the colossal '21' era for more. The one thing 1D would have in their favour would be the whole 'final album' tag but not even that would be enough to overcome Adele's sales, especially in Q4.
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