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 تنبؤ BJSC 85 PREDICTA |
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  23rd June 2016, 04:20 PM
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#1
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 🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,572 User: 11,746 
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BJSC 85
predicta discussion.  TOP 10 PREDICTIONS predict what you think the top 10 of the final will look like 001 ♦ 002 ♦ 003 ♦ 004 ♦ 005 ♦ 006 ♦ 007 ♦ 008 ♦ 009 ♦ 010 ♦ BOTTOM 10 predict what you think the bottom 10 of the final will look like 032 ♦ 033 ♦ 034 ♦ 035 ♦ 036 ♦ 037 ♦ 038 ♦ 039 ♦ 040 ♦ 041 ♦ OTHER NOTABLE PREDICTIONS state here any other predictions for any other positionings / nations Where will the autoqualifiers place? FARC ♦ Where will this contest's first-time qualifiers place? Brechtoria ♦ Medhelnia ♦ Who will place higher out of the following? Altyr Muunilinst VS D'yermaker ♦ Hendinia VS Pupok ♦ Quintessa VS Unovia ♦ Skall VS Ethanola ♦ Summericia VS Kylienips ♦ Yehesi VS Danaelanda ♦ Séyetana VS FKA π ♦ Tartford VS Botanikka ♦ --- ♦ POINTS SCORING What will the Top 3 nations score? 001 ♦ 002 ♦ 003 ♦ What will the bottom nation score? 041 ♦ What nation will get the most maximum scores [18 pts], with how many? --- ♦ VOTES COUNT What nation will receive the most votes, with how many? --- ♦ What nation will receive the least votes, with how many? --- ♦ SEMI FINALS Who won each semi final? [include points predictions if you wish] Semi Final 01 ♦ Semi Final 02 ♦ Any other notable semi-final predictions? --- ♦ ANYTHING ELSE? Do you think there will be any obvious points swapping? Who do you think has the power to surprise? What is the TEA regarding the results that you can see in your mind's eye? SPILL! |
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23rd June 2016, 04:39 PM
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#2
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 Alone and wounded
Pronouns: She/her
Joined: 18 January 2011 Posts: 60,172 User: 12,810 
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Gonna do this for the first time!
TOP 10 PREDICTIONS predict what you think the top 10 of the final will look like 001 ♦ Beaverdonia 002 ♦ New Lexico 003 ♦ Hendinia 004 ♦ N DNTN 005 ♦ Yehesi 006 ♦ Medhelnia 007 ♦ #00274E 008 ♦ Pupok 009 ♦ Aeroche 010 ♦ Séyetana BOTTOM 10 predict what you think the bottom 10 of the final will look like 032 ♦ Danaelanda 033 ♦ Terra Avium 034 ♦ FARC 035 ♦ Cumulonimbia 036 ♦ Daehun 037 ♦ Summericia 038 ♦ Tartford 039 ♦ Altyr Muunilinst 040 ♦ Quintessa 041 ♦ Land of DW OTHER NOTABLE PREDICTIONS 11th Cadelicia 12th The Actual Republic of Bellamia 13th Ultraviolenceland 14th Jadakissnia 15th Brechtoria 16th Unovia 17th Hushkanukia 18th Taahino 19th Skall 20th Kylienips Where will the autoqualifiers place? FARC ♦ 34th Where will this contest's first-time qualifiers place? Brechtoria ♦ 15th Medhelnia ♦ 6th Who will place higher out of the following? Altyr Muunilinst VS D'yermaker ♦ D'yermak'er Hendinia VS Pupok ♦ Hendinia Quintessa VS Unovia ♦ Unovia Skall VS Ethanola ♦ Skall Summericia VS Kylienips ♦ Kylienips Yehesi VS Danaelanda ♦ Yehesi Séyetana VS FKA π ♦ Séyetana Tartford VS Botanikka ♦ Botanikka --- ♦ POINTS SCORING What will the Top 3 nations score? 001 ♦ 340 002 ♦ 318 003 ♦ 302 What will the bottom nation score? 041 ♦ 84 What nation will get the most maximum scores [18 pts], with how many? Pupok ♦ 5 VOTES COUNT What nation will receive the most votes, with how many? Beaverdonia ♦ 37 What nation will receive the least votes, with how many? Land of DW ♦ 11 SEMI FINALS Who won each semi final? [include points predictions if you wish] Semi Final 01 ♦ New Lexico Semi Final 02 ♦ Beaverdonia |
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23rd June 2016, 04:51 PM
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#3
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🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,572 User: 11,746
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QUOTE(Jade @ Jun 23 2016, 05:39 PM)  Gonna do this for the first time! BOTTOM 10 predict what you think the bottom 10 of the final will look like 032 ♦ Danaelanda well it is your first attempt so I'll forgive you but 
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23rd June 2016, 04:57 PM
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#4
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Alone and wounded
Pronouns: She/her
Joined: 18 January 2011 Posts: 60,172 User: 12,810
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QUOTE(danG @ Jun 23 2016, 05:51 PM) well it is your first attempt so I'll forgive you but  You'll most likely prove me wrong tbh. Found it hard to predict the 32-35 region, just ultimately went with songs i haven't see too much hype for.
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23rd June 2016, 05:12 PM
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#5
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🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,572 User: 11,746
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TOP 10 PREDICTIONS
predict what you think the top 10 of the final will look like 001 ♦ BEAVERDONIA / BANG LA DECKS 002 ♦ HENDINIA / MIKE PERRY 003 ♦ NEW LEXICO / CELTIC WOMAN 004 ♦ PUPOK / HASCHAK SISTERS 005 ♦ JADAKISSNIA / OVERWERK 006 ♦ AEROCHE / KALI UCHIS 007 ♦ YEHESI / NIGHTCALL 008 ♦ MEDHELNIA / PARADE OF LIGHTS 009 ♦ #00274E / INFINITY INK 010 ♦ FSR RONTVIA / REAL LIES BOTTOM 10 predict what you think the bottom 10 of the final will look like 032 ♦ FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF ASHTON 033 ♦ SUMMERICIA 034 ♦ DAEHUN 035 ♦ FARC 036 ♦ TERRA AVIUM 037 ♦ CUMULONIMBIA 038 ♦ QUINTESSA 039 ♦ TARTFORD 040 ♦ SYNDARE 041 ♦ LAND OF DW OTHER NOTABLE PREDICTIONS state here any other predictions for any other positionings / nations Where will the autoqualifiers place? FARC ♦ 35th Where will this contest's first-time qualifiers place? Brechtoria ♦ 16th Medhelnia ♦ 8th Who will place higher out of the following? Altyr Muunilinst VS D'yermaker ♦ Hendinia VS Pupok ♦ Quintessa VS Unovia ♦ Skall VS Ethanola ♦ Summericia VS Kylienips ♦ Yehesi VS Danaelanda ♦ Séyetana VS FKA π ♦ Tartford VS Botanikka ♦ --- ♦ POINTS SCORING What will the Top 3 nations score? 001 ♦ 355 002 ♦ 330 003 ♦ 310 What will the bottom nation score? 041 ♦ 070 What nation will get the most maximum scores [18 pts], with how many? --- ♦ PUPOK, 5 VOTES COUNT What nation will receive the most votes, with how many? --- ♦ HENDINIA, 38 What nation will receive the least votes, with how many? --- ♦ LAND OF DW, 9 SEMI FINALS Who won each semi final? [include points predictions if you wish] Semi Final 01 ♦ HENDINIA Semi Final 02 ♦ BEAVERDONIA Any other notable semi-final predictions? --- ♦ ANYTHING ELSE? Do you think there will be any obvious points swapping? Who do you think has the power to surprise? What is the TEA regarding the results that you can see in your mind's eye? SPILL! |
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23rd June 2016, 05:13 PM
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#6
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 The owls are not what they seem
Pronouns: He/him
Joined: 11 July 2009 Posts: 37,128 User: 9,232
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Guys, really :'(
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23rd June 2016, 05:27 PM
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#7
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 I'm in a vewy bad mood, Bwadley.
Joined: 24 September 2008
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I haven't really had many 2nds ever so I'd take that! I don't expect to be that high but still, as far as I can remember, I only have one 2nd.
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23rd June 2016, 05:33 PM
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#8
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new hair, new tee, new Levii’s Jeans
Joined: 24 October 2014
Posts: 39,311 User: 21,308
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Okay let's do this
BJSC 85 predicta discussion. TOP 10 PREDICTIONS predict what you think the top 10 of the final will look like 001 ♦ Celtic Woman f/Oonagh - "Tír na nÓg" (New Lexico) 002 ♦ Mike Perry f/Shy Martin - "The Ocean" (Hendinia) 003 ♦ Bang La Decks - "Aide" (Beaverdonia) 004 ♦ Haschak Sisters - "Daddy Says No" (Pupok) 005 ♦ Kali Uchis f/Tory Lanez - "Ridin' Round (oshi redo)" (Aeroche) 006 ♦ OVERWERK - "Toccata" (Jadakissnia) 007 ♦ Plaitum - "Jagwa" (N DNTN) 008 ♦ Nightcall f/Dreamhour - "Dead V (Vocal Version)" (Yehesi) 009 ♦ Kristina Si - "Kosmos" (Hushkanukia) 010 ♦ Parade Of Lights - "Feeling Electric" (Medhelnia) BOTTOM 10 predict what you think the bottom 10 of the final will look like 032 ♦ Youngr - "Out Of My System" (Altyr Muunilinst) 033 ♦ Real Lies - "North Circular" (FSR Rontvia) 034 ♦ Delhi 2 Dublin - "Apples" (Terra Avium) 035 ♦ KAYTRANADA - "Lite Sports" (Cumulonimbia) 036 ♦ LP - "Lost On You" (Botanikka) 037 ♦ Lemon Demon - "Touch-Tone Telephone" (Trifoski) 038 ♦ Invader Girl - "Stuck On You" (Summericia) 039 ♦ Elektra - "I Don't Do Boys" (Quintessa) 040 ♦ JR JR - "Gone (Robert DeLong Remix)" (Cor Lupus) 041 ♦ Antti Tuisku - "Pyydä Multa Anteeks Kunnolla" (Land Of DW) OTHER NOTABLE PREDICTIONS state here any other predictions for any other positionings / nations 011 ♦ CAPPA - "I'm Good" (D'yermak'er) 012 ♦ Jess Kent - "Get Down" (Cadelicia) 013 ♦ Billie Eilish - "Ocean Eyes (Young Bombs Remix)" (Kluminican Republic) 014 ♦ Annalisa - "Se avessi un cuore" (Unovia) 015 ♦ Beautiful Bodies - "Capture & Release" (Taahino) 016 ♦ Infinity Ink f/Yasmin - "How Do I Love You?" (#00274E) 017 ♦ trippple nippples - "LSD" (Séyetana) 018 ♦ LUH - "$ORO" (FKA π) 019 ♦ Tigertown - "Lonely Cities" (Brechtoria) 020 ♦ Ana Mena - "No Soy Como Tú Crees" (Ultraviolenceland) 021 ♦ Croatia Squad & Lika Morgan - "Make Your Move" (Danaelanda) 022 ♦ Madison Beer f/Jack & Jack - "All For Love" (Federal Republic Of Ashton) 023 ♦ LUNA - "Free Somebody" (Daehun) 024 ♦ Jesper Jenset - "High" (TARO Bellamia) 025 ♦ Color Guard - "In Your Bones" (Persephonia) 026 ♦ Juventa f/Kelly Sweet - "Superhuman (Culture Code Remix)" (Kylienips) 027 ♦ Kwamie Liv - "Higher" (Syndare) 028 ♦ Cigarettes After Sex - "Keep On Loving You" (Tartford) 029 ♦ Billie Black - "I've Waited For You" (Ethanola) 030 ♦ JONES - "Hoops" (FARC) 031 ♦ BICEP - "Just" (Skall) Where will the autoqualifiers place? FARC ♦ 30th Where will this contest's first-time qualifiers place? Brechtoria ♦ 19th Medhelnia ♦ 10th Who will place higher out of the following? Altyr Muunilinst VS D'yermak'er♦ (this will be by the biggest margin) Hendinia VS Pupok ♦ Quintessa VS Unovia ♦ Skall VS Ethanola ♦ Summericia VS Kylienips ♦ Yehesi VS Danaelanda ♦ Séyetana VS FKA π ♦ Tartford VS Botanikka ♦ --- ♦ POINTS SCORING What will the Top 3 nations score? 001 ♦ 331 002 ♦ 303 003 ♦ 286 What will the bottom nation score? 041 ♦ 079 What nation will get the most maximum scores [18 pts], with how many? Pupok ♦ 6 VOTES COUNT What nation will receive the most votes, with how many? Jadakissnia ♦ 34 What nation will receive the least votes, with how many? Land Of DW ♦ 14 (with probably a substantial fraction of its points coming from Tinnmark) SEMI FINALS Who won each semi final? [include points predictions if you wish] Semi Final 01 ♦ Aeroche [100 points] Semi Final 02 ♦ Pupok [127 points] Any other notable semi-final predictions? Given the low points threshold for qualification in semi 1, I imagine that the voting will be pretty split, with the more indie/inspired entries getting some leverage against the more poppy entries. Whoever got 20th must be one lucky son of a gun. ( ANYTHING ELSE? Do you think there will be any obvious points swapping? Who do you think has the power to surprise? What is the TEA regarding the results that you can see in your mind's eye? SPILL! Biggest Progression from semi to final: Skall (Unovia in a close second) Biggest Regression from semi to final: Summericia (who was probably in the right semi for their song to qualify) |
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23rd June 2016, 06:12 PM
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#9
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 BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 22 December 2009
Posts: 1,863 User: 10,284
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Let me kindly remind all of you, that Land of DW qualified with at least 50 points, while the 20th in semi 1 got only 37 points.
Predicting me being deadlast virtually everywhere with noone else in the distance is just beyond f***ing r00d. |
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23rd June 2016, 06:33 PM
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#10
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THE BLAZE *.*
Joined: 27 December 2012
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I will take that top 10 please *.*
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23rd June 2016, 06:50 PM
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#11
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new hair, new tee, new Levii’s Jeans
Joined: 24 October 2014
Posts: 39,311 User: 21,308
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QUOTE(FrankLuck @ Jun 23 2016, 11:12 AM) Let me kindly remind all of you, that Land of DW qualified with at least 50 points, while the 20th in semi 1 got only 37 points. The semi thresholds usually don't determine placing though. Even with the abnormally low qualifying threshold for semi 1, chances are the points were probably skewed towards the upper end, with probably the top 6 or so getting over 85 points. 19th there probably got 50+ points even with the skew.It's also pretty rare that the song projected last actually DOES come last. The most recent example I can think of is "Missing Disco" and that was a year ago. Not saying that there is a chance you'll defy the odds. Hell you might at this stage. It just... doesn't seem that likely, sorry. QUOTE(Cameron @ Jun 23 2016, 11:33 AM) I will take that top 10 please *.* I did say yesterday you might come 9th again
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23rd June 2016, 07:38 PM
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#12
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thanks for being a sarcy lil bitch
Joined: 25 September 2007
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The voters in each semi don't consist of the same people so saying stuff like this is very unfounded.
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23rd June 2016, 08:08 PM
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#13
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is my brain across your walls?
Joined: 14 February 2009
Posts: 115,078 User: 8,300
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Geek stats: whoever it was that came 20th in semi 1 has only the 9th song to ever qualify with 37 or fewer points, and the first to do so since BJSC 41 ;o
37 Greenfroze XVI // Manian - Welcome To The Club 37 Lievant XXXIV // Bon Iver - Calgary 36 B.a.N.G XLI // Lydia Caesar - Lottery 36 Botanikka XXXIX // Guinevere - Crazy Crazy 36 Daehun XXXIX // Brown Eyed Girls - Sixth Sense 34 N-Lazone XXXIV // Baker - All I'm Gonna Say 34 Quotosibb XXXIV // Keri Hilson - Break The Ice 34 Skall XL // AlunaGeorge - You Know You Like It (AlunaGeorge actually went on to finish 9th in the final though, so luckily scraping through on a very low total does not necessarily mean they'll do badly in the final) |
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23rd June 2016, 08:11 PM
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#14
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new hair, new tee, new Levii’s Jeans
Joined: 24 October 2014
Posts: 39,311 User: 21,308
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"You Know You Like It" is GLORIOUS
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23rd June 2016, 08:50 PM
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#15
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laugh 'til we cry
Pronouns: she/her
Joined: 29 August 2014 Posts: 13,706 User: 21,176
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BRAY how do you know so much about all of the stats, even like the random little details, you have them sussed?!?!!
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23rd June 2016, 09:35 PM
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#16
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Former iconic poster with no consistent posting style
Pronouns: Don't take em seriously tbh
Joined: 20 June 2014 Posts: 20,582 User: 21,005 
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QUOTE(ℒ𝓲𝓷⻤ @ Jun 23 2016, 09:50 PM) BRAY how do you know so much about all of the stats, even like the random little details, you have them sussed?!?!! I think he's mentioned keeping a spreadsheet (probably more than one :') ) containing all these stats and he's probably using special formulas to work out these stats. Stats tho  Youngr and JR JR to not flop tho  Phoebe Ryan of last month teas
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23rd June 2016, 10:00 PM
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#17
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new hair, new tee, new Levii’s Jeans
Joined: 24 October 2014
Posts: 39,311 User: 21,308
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BLESS YOU ADAM
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23rd June 2016, 10:14 PM
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#18
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is my brain across your walls?
Joined: 14 February 2009
Posts: 115,078 User: 8,300
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QUOTE(ℒ𝓲𝓷⻤ @ Jun 23 2016, 09:50 PM) BRAY how do you know so much about all of the stats, even like the random little details, you have them sussed?!?!! Many many hours of trawling through all the old BJSC threads and putting every number I found into a spreadsheet. I had a lot of free time and nothing constructive to do with it 
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23rd June 2016, 10:25 PM
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#19
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thanks for being a sarcy lil bitch
Joined: 25 September 2007
Posts: 79,277 User: 4,397 |
Past tense tho?
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23rd June 2016, 10:27 PM
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#20
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is my brain across your walls?
Joined: 14 February 2009
Posts: 115,078 User: 8,300
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QUOTE(🍑💦🍌 @ Jun 23 2016, 11:25 PM) Past tense tho? Well yeah I still do pretty much x but all the thread trawling was in the past lol ~ |
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