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 By-elections 2015 - 2020 |
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 14th September 2016, 03:21 PM
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#81
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 #38BBE0 otherwise known as 'sky blue'
Joined: 27 October 2008
Posts: 16,173 User: 7,561 
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QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ Sep 12 2016, 08:42 PM)  The Bank of England have spent £70bn so far on mitigating the effects of the result. That's £1,000 per person already. Needlessly. We haven't even LEFT the EU yet! Cameron isn't a coward, but he just couldn't be arsed to drag himself in to the lobby and prop up the piss weak majority he achieved for the Conservatives. |
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14th September 2016, 07:07 PM
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#82
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 18 July 2012
Posts: 22,856 User: 17,376
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QUOTE(Brett-Butler @ Sep 14 2016, 04:18 PM) Read on Twitter than Jim Davidson (yes, that one) has put his name forward for contention to run for the Conservatives in David Cameron's seat. Couldn't be anything more than a rumour, surely? I'm shocked! Felt sure it would be UKIP if any.... |
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15th September 2016, 09:16 AM
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#83
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,679 User: 3,272
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The by-elections in Batley & Spen (Jo Cox) and Witney (Cameron) will be on 20 October.
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23rd September 2016, 09:37 AM
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#84
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,679 User: 3,272
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The Tories have passed on the opportunity to provide some variety in the parliamentary party by selecting a local barrister to contest Witney. For what it's worth, Labour and Lib Dems have each selected a local councillor. The Green candidate is Larry Sanders, brother of Bernie.
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23rd September 2016, 06:56 PM
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#85
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Howdy, disco citizens
Joined: 16 January 2010
Posts: 12,775 User: 10,455
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Rob Courts sure is an apt name for a barrister.
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23rd September 2016, 09:56 PM
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#86
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Howdy, disco citizens
Joined: 16 January 2010
Posts: 12,775 User: 10,455
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Tracy Brabin, who played Tricia Armstrong in Coronation Street in the 90s, has been confirmed as Labour's candidate for the Bartley & Spen by-election, which means that she will almost definitely be elected as MP on 21st October, given that the major parties aren't running out of respect, and only a handful of minor parties on the right to far-right have put forward a candidate for the constituency.
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27th September 2016, 09:54 PM
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#87
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Howdy, disco citizens
Joined: 16 January 2010
Posts: 12,775 User: 10,455
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Full list of candidates taking part in Batley & Spen By-election -
Prediction: Labour will win with 85% of the vote. Meanwhile, the candidates for the Witney by-election, called due to the resignation of some man, are as follows -
Prediction - Rob Courts to win with 55% of the vote, giving the Tories their first by-election win of this parliament. |
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21st October 2016, 09:30 PM
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#88
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Howdy, disco citizens
Joined: 16 January 2010
Posts: 12,775 User: 10,455
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QUOTE(Brett-Butler @ Sep 27 2016, 10:54 PM) Prediction: Labour will win with 85% of the vote. Ooh, was agonizingly close with this one. Labour won the seat in Batley & Spen with 85.8% of the vote, with all other candidates losing their deposits. The English Democrats (which has gradually shifted to the far-right over the past few years after an influx of ex-BNP members swelled its ranks), had its best placing in a general election by coming 2nd, although it wasn't their best result by %s - their best result to date by that metric was in the 2009 Haltemprice and Howden election, which itself was a by-election in which many of the major parties declined to stand. As for the Witney By-election, the Conservatives retained David Cameron's old seat, albeit with a reduced majority. Interestingly, 2nd place in this by-election were the Liberal Democrats, increasing their share by 23% with a whopping 30% of the vote, which they will hope will lead to a resurgence of support for them. The Great British public do indeed have short memories. Elsewhere, the Ukip vote crashed, dropping off more than 1/2 of 2015's figures and losing their deposit, and ex-CBB "star" Winston McKenzie received a grand total of 52 votes. |
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21st October 2016, 09:43 PM
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#89
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Buzzjack's Finest Alcoholic.
Joined: 19 November 2011
Posts: 10,367 User: 15,367
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G'won Lib Dems!
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22nd October 2016, 06:53 PM
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#90
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 18 July 2012
Posts: 22,856 User: 17,376
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QUOTE(Brett-Butler @ Oct 21 2016, 10:30 PM) As for the Witney By-election, the Conservatives retained David Cameron's old seat, albeit with a reduced majority. Interestingly, 2nd place in this by-election were the Liberal Democrats, increasing their share by 23% with a whopping 30% of the vote, which they will hope will lead to a resurgence of support for them. The Great British public do indeed have short memories. Or, more likely, the public have realised that given the alternatives the Lib Dems were never actually that bad (just stupidly naive faced with backstabbing lying rich tosspots to deal with) and are preferable to a party bent on self-destruction or another one bent on nation-destruction. Labour: presided over the Banking Crisis, and stoked the fires of the Housing Crisis, which in combination with an unregulated sector led to disaster along with illegal foreign wars. Tory: supported all of the above policies, started the mega-banking which led to the above, then had no solutions to the above other than more of the same, and ended up failing to understand the scale of the subsequent revolution in politics such that they took us out of the EU, which will be disastrous. LibDems: supported Tory student fee increases introduced by Labour. What complete bast*rds. Let's just ignore the LibDem policies the Tories took credit for that actually assisted the poor, to boot. All a question of relative scale. |
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22nd October 2016, 07:49 PM
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#91
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,679 User: 3,272
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The Lib Dems put a lot of money and effort into the Witney campaign. They ran a very pro-EU campaign in a constituency that voted Remain and against a Tory who voted Leave. They will be pleased with the result. Obviously they did a lot better than in 2015, but they also did a good deal better than in 2010 (30% against 20%). I suspect the tabloids have barely mentioned it (if they even reported it at all), but it (combined with over 20 gains in local by-elections since May) will have done a lot to boost party morale.
The Tories have pointed out that their vote share is roughly the same as it was when Cameron was first elected. That is true, but he was first elected in 2001. In that election they won one more seat than they got in 1997, their worst performance since WWII. So, if they are happy to have matched what they got in one of their worst ever election results, I'm very pleased for them. The more I think about it, the more I am convinced that Cameron's statement at the beginning of the summer that he would stay on as an MP and intended to fight the next election was a deliberate lie (yes, another one). If he had stood down in July, it is fairly likely that the by-election would still have been held this week. That would have given the Lib Dems a lot longer to build up momentum. They wouldn't necessarily have won, but they could have made the Tories very nervous. The result will make the Tories even more worried about the consequences of the decision on Heathrow (if they ever make one). Zac Goldsmith has consistently said that he would resign as MP for Richmond and fight a by-election in a seat held by the Lib Dems up to 2010 if the government gives the go-ahead for a new runway. At the start of the year, his personal vote may have been enough to keep the seat, but his disgraceful London Mayoral campaign may well have damaged his reputation. A combination of that and a boost in Lib Dem confidence will mean the Tories will be fearful of losing the seat. |
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23rd October 2016, 03:10 PM
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#92
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 DROTTNING!
Joined: 15 April 2006
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I don't think Cameron's resignation timing was based at all on a fear of how the Lib Dems would do. For a start, he said he would stay on as MP when he announced he would step down as Prime Minister - to then resign as MP just two weeks later would've been a little transparent. I think it's more likely he did it for a few weeks and it felt a bit too much like low level drudgery for his liking.
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25th October 2016, 07:49 PM
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#93
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#38BBE0 otherwise known as 'sky blue'
Joined: 27 October 2008
Posts: 16,173 User: 7,561
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Son of billionaire Sir James Goldsmith, and general all-round twat-weasel Zac Goldsmith has resigned his seat in Richmond Park forcing a by-election to be held in the near future.
Here he is in 2010 being his moronic self : This post has been edited by Doctor Blind: 25th October 2016, 07:50 PM |
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25th October 2016, 08:06 PM
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#94
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Howdy, disco citizens
Joined: 16 January 2010
Posts: 12,775 User: 10,455
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The last time an MP triggered a by-election to stand again against a single issue was David Davis in 2008 (as erroneously mentioned above), the other major parties refused to stand, gifting him the win. I can't see them being as magnanimous this time around though, although one imagines that he'll still hold on to his seat.
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25th October 2016, 08:22 PM
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#95
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,679 User: 3,272
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Goldsmith will be standing as an independent. Assuming there is also an official Tory candidate, it could be interesting. Goldsmith had a huge majority last year but, apart from that election, it has been a marginal for decades. If the Lib Dems have got their act together, they may well have been out delivering leaflets this evening.
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25th October 2016, 08:41 PM
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#96
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Howdy, disco citizens
Joined: 16 January 2010
Posts: 12,775 User: 10,455
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Ah, I didn't realise that Goldsmith was running as an indie. Although having read the BBC report about his resignation, it seems as if the Tories aren't going to put up a candidate against him, so it looks like the Lib Dems will be the nearest competition, as you say.
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25th October 2016, 08:43 PM
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#97
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#38BBE0 otherwise known as 'sky blue'
Joined: 27 October 2008
Posts: 16,173 User: 7,561
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You'd hope that the Liberal Democrats would take this seat, especially after the way Goldsmith acted in the recent vitriolic London mayoral campaign.
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25th October 2016, 09:06 PM
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#98
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,679 User: 3,272
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QUOTE(Doctor Blind @ Oct 25 2016, 09:43 PM) You'd hope that the Liberal Democrats would take this seat, especially after the way Goldsmith acted in the recent vitriolic London mayoral campaign. As I said after the Witney by-election, that may prove to be his downfall. Maybe the Lib Dems should select a Muslim woman as their candidate. |
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25th October 2016, 09:45 PM
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#99
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Queen of Soon
Joined: 24 May 2007
Posts: 74,093 User: 3,474
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I would love to see him lose his seat over this. I heavily doubt he cares one iota about this runway and is just using it as a ploy to ensure reelection in 2020
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26th October 2016, 08:02 AM
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#100
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My mother said, to get things done, you better not mess with Maj
Joined: 28 October 2014
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Since he's running as an independent, either he loses his seat or the Tories are down to 330 seats in Parliament. Or even better, both of those things happen and the Lib Dems better an additionnal seat.
Anyway, apparently some Tory voters in the areas affected by the Heathrow expansion have said they will no longer vote Conservative due to the "no ifs, no buts" promise David Cameron made being broken, so they could flock to the Lib Dems as they're anti-expansion. So regardless of whether the third runway gets built, the decision made yesterday could be the difference being the Tories having a majority and there being another coalition in 2020 (but maybe I'm just being optimistic). |
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