Christmas Number One Single Odds, X Factor to get another Christmas #1? |
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Nov 20 2016, 10:11 PM
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#1
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🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,532 User: 11,746 |
do we think it's X Factor's turn again this year or will something pop out?
Paddy Power 13/8 X Factor Winner 5/1 James Corden 8/1 Jollyboys and The King Lot 8/1 Gareth Malone 14/1 Vaults 14/1 Drake 18/1 Leonard Cohen 20/1 Justin Timberlake and Anna Kendrick 25/1 David Bowie 25/1 Spice Girls 25/1 Zayn Malik 25/1 Kylie Minogue Bet365 13/8 X Factor Winner 6/1 James Corden 8/1 James Shinny Davenport 8/1 Calvin Harris 8/1 Gareth Malone 10/1 Military Wives Choir 12/1 Stormzy 12/1 David Bowie 12/1 Justin Bieber 14/1 Vaults 16/1 Leonard Cohen 16/1 Spice Girls 16/1 Emeli Sandé |
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Nov 20 2016, 10:23 PM
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#2
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Radical Pink Troll
Joined: 11 March 2006
Posts: 26,599 User: 177 |
Surely Christmas no.1 barely means anything anymore.
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Nov 20 2016, 10:28 PM
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#3
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Schlagerdrottningen
Joined: 23 August 2010
Posts: 31,875 User: 11,709 |
The X Factor winner depends on WHO wins this year more than ever. Given that it's probably Matt, then I'd say the odds are a lot lower than that. I'd guess Corden *shudder*
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Nov 20 2016, 10:28 PM
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#4
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BuzzJack Legend
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 25 July 2013 Posts: 25,991 User: 19,585 |
I'm intrigued to know what the songs are!
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Nov 20 2016, 10:30 PM
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#5
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Break the tension
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 88,874 User: 51 |
James Corden is actually releasing music? Oh good heavens.
I blame Kylie for this, she opened the floodgates last year. |
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Nov 20 2016, 10:35 PM
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#6
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BuzzJack Idol
Joined: 8 December 2010
Posts: 50,947 User: 12,472 |
Do we know when the X Factor final is this year and whether it'll mean the winner's single is released in time for Christmas Week? I'd say the winner stands a better chance this year if it's true that Ed Sheeran is writing the winner's single, given everything he touches seems to be guaranteed success.
Fingers crossed we finally get a 'normal' song hitting #1 this year after 'Uptown Funk' and 'Love Yourself' posing a threat in the past couple of years. I can't think of any potential campaigns that could gain particular interest, unless someone is planning an anti-Trump style campaign or something. |
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Nov 20 2016, 10:36 PM
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#7
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 20 November 2014
Posts: 12,632 User: 21,386 |
Do we know when the X Factor final is this year and whether it'll mean the winner's single is released in time for Christmas Week? I'd say the winner stands a better chance this year if it's true that Ed Sheeran is writing the winner's single, given everything he touches seems to be guaranteed success. Fingers crossed we finally get a 'normal' song hitting #1 this year after 'Uptown Funk' and 'Love Yourself' posing a threat in the past couple of years. I can't think of any potential campaigns that could gain particular interest, unless someone is planning an anti-Trump style campaign or something. X Factor final is 11th December which means that the winning single will enter the chart on 16th December, a week before the Xmas chart |
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Nov 20 2016, 10:42 PM
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#8
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The owls are not what they seem
Pronouns: He/him
Joined: 11 July 2009 Posts: 37,105 User: 9,232 |
Given the X Factor winner didn't get anywhere near Christmas number 1 last year, I'm surprised odds are that short, unless this year is that different in terms of quality (and of the one show I've seen, that didn't seem to be the case)? I'd say it's more likely to be the song that was there the previous week, maybe Rae Sremmurd *shudders*, barring an unexpected campaign. This really doesn't mean anything anymore.
James Corden is actually releasing music? Oh good heavens. I blame Kylie for this, she opened the floodgates last year. I think it's his song on the Sainsburys advert that premiered this week...which is utter crap, so let's not make that a contender This post has been edited by Chez Wombat: Nov 20 2016, 10:43 PM |
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Nov 20 2016, 10:44 PM
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#9
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 4 November 2013
Posts: 30,510 User: 20,053 |
It'll be another charity single. X Factor has minimal effect these days & the public still aren't ready for a "normal" Xmas #1 yet...
I would lol if it was actually Rae Sremmurd but surely they'll have faded away by then (at least from the top spot). |
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Nov 20 2016, 10:46 PM
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#10
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you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 121,537 User: 13,530 |
Ed Sheeran has apparently written the winning single that will be used for three of the final 5 (not Honey G or 5AM), that will surely make it quite current sounding and if Matt wins like is expected, I could see it going to #1 although I'm not sure it'd last a second week to nab the Christmas #1? Hard to call right now!
(edit: oops, Liam has mentioned Ed already that teaches me for skim-reading) |
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Nov 20 2016, 10:48 PM
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#11
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 3 August 2006
Posts: 8,209 User: 1,031 |
I seriously hope it's not X factor. It only attracts 5-6 million viewers now so impact is much less than it used to be. Somebody release a decent original Christmas song and give the X factor a run for their money!
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Nov 20 2016, 10:51 PM
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#12
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,139 User: 5,138 |
Mariah for the top spot
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Nov 20 2016, 10:54 PM
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#13
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Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 83,013 User: 116 |
God knows, I'd love to think there are still a couple of big surprise releases left this year and that it won't just be Clean Bandit or Rae Sremmud on sales of 55k if X Factor fails again and no charity songs click this year (they'd need to grab large download sales in a dying market to make an impact).
That said, I'm sure Simon has learnt his lesson and expect this year's X Factor winning song will be much more current and streaming friendly. If it really is an original song, for the first time since...That's My Goal in 2005?...then it could do surprisingly well. I'm 95% sure at this point it will be Matt Terry too, who seems to have reasonable commercial appeal assuming he's got a decent song. |
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Nov 20 2016, 10:56 PM
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#14
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you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 121,537 User: 13,530 |
I seriously hope it's not X factor. It only attracts 5-6 million viewers now so impact is much less than it used to be. Somebody release a decent original Christmas song and give the X factor a run for their money! Make that 7-8 million for the official figures! Its viewership is still strong, the media exaggerate. |
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Nov 20 2016, 11:02 PM
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#15
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I found the love, I found the love in me
Pronouns: He/Him
Joined: 13 December 2007 Posts: 87,422 User: 5,042 |
Can Little Mix hurry up, release 'Touch' to radio, perform it on the XF final with Ariana and release that remix of it in time for Christmas number 1?
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Nov 20 2016, 11:03 PM
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#16
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 12 March 2006
Posts: 2,145 User: 194 |
On Xtra factor they were discussing how they all recorded winners singles this week.
Matt said his song contained the word 'cheer' whilst 5AM said their song contained the word 'Christmas' (neither appear in the title). Still unclear if they are originals or covers, or if they are different to each other but it appears we may finally be getting a Christmas winners single This post has been edited by -SCOTT-: Nov 20 2016, 11:04 PM |
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Nov 20 2016, 11:06 PM
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#17
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,030 User: 18,639 |
25/1 Spice Girls
OMG!! It's been EXACTLY 16 YEARS ALMOST TO THE DAY!!! that I last saw this!!! Back in 2000, people were (stupidly) betting on Spice Girls' cancelled flop If You Wanna (Have Some Fun) (Something On Your Mind) - yes, it is as bad as the title suggests - to beat Westlife etc to be Christmas 2000 no.1. They were also at 25/1 for that. They had aboot as much chance as this year then too!! XD |
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Nov 20 2016, 11:08 PM
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#18
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,030 User: 18,639 |
Clearly Cheer and Christmas will be in the same song! 'Let's bring some Christmas Cheeer!'
I bet Cowell & Co. are betting on a new novelty slant: an Xmas song to cheer everyone up after Brexit and Trumpzilla to get the no.1. |
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Nov 20 2016, 11:10 PM
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#19
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Rob aah
Joined: 3 July 2007
Posts: 38,225 User: 3,804 |
I really am against X Factor and a charity track for #1 personally.
Tbh i don't know why Ed didn't keep the track for himself to release (as a one off Christmas track then release new material a few months later) as he'd certainly get there being another streaming force. "Awaits Drake springing a Christmas track out of the woodworks" or Bieber recording a new Christmas track. As they'd be our only shot at getting an original track at the top even if partially we are relying on their streaming advantages/popularity! I'd expect The X Factor will surely grab the #1 the week before though. I can sense they'll be back in force but whether that transfers over to the Christmas #1 is doubtful! This post has been edited by Rob S~: Nov 20 2016, 11:13 PM |
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Nov 20 2016, 11:10 PM
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#20
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 12 March 2006
Posts: 2,145 User: 194 |
Perhaps they are thinking its easy to be added to Christmas playlists on Spotify?
This post has been edited by -SCOTT-: Nov 20 2016, 11:11 PM |
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