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 UK By-election Thread, 2017-2018 |
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 Jan 15 2018, 06:48 PM
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#1
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 Howdy, disco citizens
Joined: 16 January 2010
Posts: 12,775 User: 10,455 
    
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We're going to have our first by-election of the 2017 parliament, as Barry McElduff of Sinn Fein has resigned his West Tyrone seat after the fallout of a video he posted that appeared to mock the victims of the IRA Kingsmill Massacre.
It's more than likely that Sinn Fein will still hold the seat in the by-election, they won 50% of the vote in the General Election so it would be surprising if they lost it. There has been early rumblings of a "unity" candidate being run against Sinn Fein, although unlike previous pacts, instead of a unionist candidate it would be a non-partisan, cross community candidate to represent all victims of the conflict in Northern Ireland. Not very likely to happen though. |
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Jan 15 2018, 07:16 PM
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#2
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 is in hibernation
Joined: 24 August 2014
Posts: 11,385 User: 21,161
  
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As it’s a strong nationalist seat I doubt they’re be much change but nevertheless it’ll be interesting to see how the confidence and supply deal with the Tories will affect the DUP!
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Jan 15 2018, 08:15 PM
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#3
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,651 User: 3,272
      
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Time for a pro-Battenberg candidate.
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Jan 16 2018, 07:05 AM
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#4
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ Jan 15 2018, 08:15 PM)  Time for a pro-Battenberg candidate. I love that cake. 
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May 8 2018, 11:49 AM
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#5
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Howdy, disco citizens
Joined: 16 January 2010
Posts: 12,775 User: 10,455
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Sinn Fein won, unsurprisingly.
Heidi Alexander is resigning as an MP to work for the Mayor of London, so there’ll be a by-election in Lewisham East. An easy win for Labour one suspects - she had a majority of 20,000 |
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May 8 2018, 12:59 PM
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#6
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,651 User: 3,272
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Lewisham East was held by the Tories in 1983 and 1992 after they had reduced the Labour majority to 1,600 in 1979. The MP was Colin Moynihan who was minster (or miniature) for sport for three years. However, it has now become a solid Labour seat. Incidentally, the SDP candidate in 1983 was Polly Toynbee. It's hard to see anything other than a comfortable Labour win in the by-election unless they pick a hard-line Leave supporter for a constituency that voted 62% to Remain.
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May 8 2018, 01:01 PM
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#7
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 Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,025 User: 18,639
   
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Why is it by election but BYE laws?
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May 8 2018, 03:34 PM
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#8
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,651 User: 3,272
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QUOTE(Queef of Peace @ May 8 2018, 02:01 PM) Why is it by election but BYE laws? This is English. Logic doesn't come into it 
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May 8 2018, 11:49 PM
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#9
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,651 User: 3,272
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The votes in Lewisham East in last weeks's local elections were
Labour 58.6% Conservative 19.2% Lib Dem 13.4% Green 6.8% Various others 2% The Greens did not have a full slate of candidates. |
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May 9 2018, 06:15 AM
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#10
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ May 9 2018, 12:49 AM) The votes in Lewisham East in last weeks's local elections were Labour 58.6% Conservative 19.2% Lib Dem 13.4% Green 6.8% Various others 2% The Greens did not have a full slate of candidates. How many wards were up for election? |
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May 9 2018, 09:00 PM
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#11
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,651 User: 3,272
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ May 9 2018, 07:15 AM) How many wards were up for election? All of them. |
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May 9 2018, 09:10 PM
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#12
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,025 User: 18,639
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Tories are done.
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May 10 2018, 05:35 AM
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#13
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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QUOTE(Queef of Peace @ May 9 2018, 10:10 PM) Tories are done. In what respect? |
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May 13 2018, 06:49 PM
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#14
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
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The by-election will be on 14 June. This has pissed off some members of the local Labour party as it means the selection process will be severely truncated. Nominations will close on 17 May.
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May 16 2018, 10:32 PM
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#15
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BUY Phoenix on Amazon / STREAM Phoenix on Spotify
Joined: 12 April 2009
Posts: 27,431 User: 8,661
  
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QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ May 13 2018, 07:49 PM) The by-election will be on 14 June. This has pissed off some members of the local Labour party as it means the selection process will be severely truncated. Nominations will close on 17 May. The party decided on an all female shortlist, with all four candidates coming from BAME backgrounds. They are Janet Daby, Brenda Dacres, Sakina Sheikh and Claudia Webbe and the vote will take place this Saturday. |
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May 17 2018, 05:54 AM
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#16
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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QUOTE(Theo. @ May 16 2018, 11:32 PM) The party decided on an all female shortlist, with all four candidates coming from BAME backgrounds. They are Janet Daby, Brenda Dacres, Sakina Sheikh and Claudia Webbe and the vote will take place this Saturday. A very easy Labour win seems likely, albeit on a very low turnout. |
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Jun 7 2018, 11:39 AM
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#17
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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Lewisham East by-election predictions :
What will Labour's majority be? Who will finish second? What will the turnout be? ********************* I will say 40% Tory 35% This post has been edited by vidcapper: Jun 7 2018, 11:41 AM |
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Jun 13 2018, 09:48 PM
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#18
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,651 User: 3,272
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My predictions...
Labour majority - comfortable Second place - Lib Dems Turnout - dismal |
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Jun 14 2018, 05:34 AM
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#19
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ Jun 13 2018, 10:48 PM) My predictions... Labour majority - comfortable Second place - Lib Dems Turnout - dismal I'd be surprised if the LD's come 2nd, if only because I can't see where there vote would come from. 
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Jun 14 2018, 10:44 PM
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#20
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Howdy, disco citizens
Joined: 16 January 2010
Posts: 12,775 User: 10,455
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Should be an easy Labour win.
It's nice to see a large, diverse range of parties taking part in this by-election. Besides the established names, there's the Libertarians, Radical, Young People's Party, Christian People's Party, as well as at least two UKIP off-shoots, the Democrats & Veterans Party, and the far-right Morrissey favourite For Britain, with Anne Marie Waters preparing to lose her first of many deposits. |
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