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Steve201
post 23rd February 2019, 04:23 PM
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Advisory or not it was a clear choice which Mr Cameron made clear (for his own political and self party reasons) when he announced it. There was no way the result was going to come and the leaders were going to ignore it as advisory. Nearly all politicians called for article 50 to be put forward the morning after the referendum. If they didn't ukip would have walked the next GE!
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vidcapper
post 23rd February 2019, 04:33 PM
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QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ Feb 23 2019, 04:21 PM) *
If the referendum is advisory (as it was), the government is perfectly entitled to ignore the result.


But that would have nonetheless been utterly foolish.

You don't spend millions on a referendum, only to say 'you voted the wrong way so we are going to ignore you!'
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Suedehead2
post 23rd February 2019, 05:18 PM
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Feb 23 2019, 04:33 PM) *
But that would have nonetheless been utterly foolish.

You don't spend millions on a referendum, only to say 'you voted the wrong way so we are going to ignore you!'

Utterly foolish is a pretty good description of Cameron.
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Suedehead2
post 23rd February 2019, 05:19 PM
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Feb 23 2019, 04:33 PM) *
But that would have nonetheless been utterly foolish.

You don't spend millions on a referendum, only to say 'you voted the wrong way so we are going to ignore you!'

It would have been perfectly legitimate to say that the outcome was too close to be used as justification for such a huge change. The fact that the Leave campaign broke the law merely adds to the justification for not going ahead.
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Popchartfreak
post 23rd February 2019, 07:19 PM
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Feb 23 2019, 04:33 PM) *
But that would have nonetheless been utterly foolish.

You don't spend millions on a referendum, only to say 'you voted the wrong way so we are going to ignore you!'


....which is why we have a final referendum on the final deal to test whether the public is happy with what they got vs what they were promised.

That's what Rees-Mogg wanted before he saw pound signs in front of his eyes (and he thought he needed to get people on board). The reason there won't be rioting in the streets in that scenario is because it's called "democracy" and you can't argue that Leave were crooks and lied and accepted foreign money, that the government failed to deliver, that the country is split and every argument that will last for eternity between the two sides when you can conclusively prove via a bona fide unambiguous question about a document that everyone can read and decide on, no doubts, no lies, no foreign cash, no bias. Whichever side wins, wins fairly, and that is conclusively the end of the matter for a generation.
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J00prstar
post 23rd February 2019, 10:16 PM
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QUOTE(Popchartfreak @ Feb 23 2019, 07:53 AM) *
Hi Steve!

I think 2008 was more democratic and inclusive and tolerant than 2019 is. The banking crisis gave birth, as economic downturns always do, to intolerance and extremism. The problem was people in power who believed in self-monitoring against all previous laws and common sense and greed. Politics in 2019 is very very broken in the UK & in the US. If you have mainstream parties attacking their own members for believing in consensus politics and reason then there is something seriously wrong with those parties, cos that ain't democracy in any shape or form, it's bullying into submission. If they can't win their argument using calm reason and by being tolerant then they have already lost the argument.

If you make a decision to economically self-harm (Hard No-deal Brexit) then democracy will be the first casualty, and society will get even less democratic and extreme and desperate people turn to ever-increasing extreme liars using them to gain power. That's the history of the world I'm afraid.


Such a good comment. Just wanted to agree wholeheartedly.
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vidcapper
post 24th February 2019, 06:43 AM
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QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ Feb 23 2019, 05:19 PM) *
It would have been perfectly legitimate to say that the outcome was too close to be used as justification for such a huge change.

The fact that the Leave campaign broke the law merely adds to the justification for not going ahead.


1. Then they should have inserted such a clause in the referendum bill - but they didn't.

2. Correct me if I'm wrong, but there hasn't been a formal legal challenge to the legitimacy of the result on that basis?

QUOTE(Popchartfreak @ Feb 23 2019, 07:19 PM) *
....which is why we have a final referendum on the final deal to test whether the public is happy with what they got vs what they were promised.


You're talking as if that had already been decided... tongue.gif
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Popchartfreak
post 24th February 2019, 08:25 AM
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QUOTE(Pëpé Le Pew @ Feb 23 2019, 10:16 PM) *
Such a good comment. Just wanted to agree wholeheartedly.


awww thanks Pepe! heart.gif
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Popchartfreak
post 24th February 2019, 08:30 AM
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Feb 24 2019, 06:43 AM) *
1. Then they should have inserted such a clause in the referendum bill - but they didn't.

2. Correct me if I'm wrong, but there hasn't been a formal legal challenge to the legitimacy of the result on that basis?
You're talking as if that had already been decided... tongue.gif


No there hasnt been legal challenge to the result in the UK - the case in the States is ongoing and delving ever-deeper into evidence and has spilled-out into people involved in Brexit being required. That our government chooses to allow foreign interference in the democratic process without comment says it all. Pretty sure if it were reversed, and the result reversed, Brexiteers would have forced Cameron into an enquiry by now and demanded another referendum (as Farage was doing anyway when he thought he'd lost by a whisker, and Rees-Mogg did too when he thought that might swing more votes his way giving the public a final say)

YCT me: just grammatical error laugh.gif
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vidcapper
post 24th February 2019, 08:33 AM
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QUOTE(Popchartfreak @ Feb 24 2019, 08:30 AM) *
No there hasnt been legal challenge to the result in the UK - the case in the States is ongoing and delving ever-deeper into evidence and has spilled-out into people involved in Brexit being required. That our government chooses to allow foreign interference in the democratic process without comment says it all. Pretty sure if it were reversed, and the result reversed, Brexiteers would have forced Cameron into an enquiry by now and demanded another referendum (as Farage was doing anyway when he thought he'd lost by a whisker, and Rees-Mogg did too when he thought that might swing more votes his way giving the public a final say)

YCT me: just grammatical error laugh.gif


Only a month left for a challenge anyway...
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Suedehead2
post 24th February 2019, 08:59 AM
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Feb 24 2019, 06:43 AM) *
1. Then they should have inserted such a clause in the referendum bill - but they didn't.

2. Correct me if I'm wrong, but there hasn't been a formal legal challenge to the legitimacy of the result on that basis?
You're talking as if that had already been decided... tongue.gif

No, it’s the other way round. If the referendum was to be binding, there would have been a clause to say so. There would also have been provision for overturning the result. The concept of overturning an opinion poll is illogical.
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vidcapper
post 24th February 2019, 09:24 AM
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QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ Feb 24 2019, 08:59 AM) *
No, it’s the other way round. If the referendum was to be binding, there would have been a clause to say so. There would also have been provision for overturning the result. The concept of overturning an opinion poll is illogical.


I have no idea why Remainers are so fixated on the 'advisory' nature of referendums, because anyone with common sense can see that it would be political suicide to dare to actually ignore the result of one...
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Suedehead2
post 24th February 2019, 09:47 AM
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Feb 24 2019, 09:24 AM) *
I have no idea why Remainers are so fixated on the 'advisory' nature of referendums, because anyone with common sense can see that it would be political suicide to dare to actually ignore the result of one...

How many more times?

A binding referendum would have had a threshold.

A binding referendum would have had provision for the result to be annulled if the winning side broke the law.

The Leave side would have been under more pressure to produce something vaguely resembling a plan if the vote was to be binding.
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Steve201
post 24th February 2019, 10:27 AM
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Anyway let's not get carried away with Brexit this is about the new Independent group.

As I said they really are just a 2019 cover version of Blairism/New Labour/Centrism. Let's face it centrism is simply Thatcherism with diversity quotas, right wing economics with a splattering of left wing social views. A political slight of hand by appointing a cabinet with the most females ever then selling off the NHS or being friendly with private water firms and letting new them take you out for lunch while opposing water nationalisation. Or like a former compassionate Tory PM who ushers in same sex marriage while pushing the poorest to the brink with horrendous austerity. The reason they support remaining in the EU is to continue this consensus which has failed so many northern English towns where the people have no future and has led them to seek the extreme avenue of leaving the EU as the only way of teaching the Ummunas/Soubreys/Campbell's a lesson as they've never listened before.
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Iz 🌟
post 24th February 2019, 10:35 AM
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Also there's the notion of political suicide. You know how short the memories of the public are? The referendum was about as far away from another election as could have been planned, had we stuck to the Fixed Term Act like the government was supposed to.

All the government had to do was announce that due to the close result they were 'taking it under advisement', and that they would enact Article 50 when they had a clear, workable plan and deal for Leaving that would benefit everyone. If that didn't happen by 2020, I guarantee you that the vast majority of the public that isn't ardent Eurosceptics by nature would have forgotten it happened, as it would not have dominated news cycles for the entire intervening period. Who was talking about the AV referendum in 2015 besides political nerds?

It would have been a perfect chance for Corbyn to go full eurosceptic in 2020, but then the Tories could point how their plan for leaving is getting along and we could have a reasonable debate about the future that isn't 'tear it all down by this arbitrary date'. I think a hypothetical 2020 election based around how we are continuing with the aim of leaving the European project wouldn't have been so bad and not necessarily political suicide for the Tories. But sadly, politicians are shortsighted and very zero-sum. Also there is the problem of the 2019 EU elections but I don't think it's a stretch to say that the overlap between people who vote in those and those who thought we've 'left Europe already' is quite small.

The way it's happened has just thrown a load of 'obviously apocalyptic' doom in because of how it's been mishandled and how hopeless it seems, and that's not good for anyone.
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Iz 🌟
post 24th February 2019, 10:42 AM
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QUOTE(Steve201 @ Feb 24 2019, 10:27 AM) *
Anyway let's not get carried away with Brexit this is about the new Independent group.

As I said they really are just a 2019 cover version of Blairism/New Labour/Centrism. Let's face it centrism is simply Thatcherism with diversity quotas, right wing economics with a splattering of left wing social views. A political slight of hand by appointing a cabinet with the most females ever then selling off the NHS or being friendly with private water firms and letting new them take you out for lunch while opposing water nationalisation. Or like a former compassionate Tory PM who ushers in same sex marriage while pushing the poorest to the brink with horrendous austerity. The reason they support remaining in the EU is to continue this consensus which has failed so many northern English towns where the people have no future and has led them to seek the extreme avenue of leaving the EU as the only way of teaching the Ummunas/Soubreys/Campbell's a lesson as they've never listened before.


All of that is true, and centrism isn't without its problems as an ideology, but considering so much of the public is selfish and will vote for right-wing ideas that benefit themselves over others no matter what, I'd much rather have a group like this fronting that side of the spectrum than the currently corrupt and power-crazed Tory party.

Nearly every country has this centrist party that isn't necessarily just holding onto power for the sake of it but is just widely popular because of being a bit big-tent. In other European countries they have those that are members of the EPP - the standard centre-right group in the European Parliament. Notably, our nominally centre-right party left that to found their own more right-wing group. Which says something about a gap in the market that should be filled here.

(and a potentially powerful TIG certainly wouldn't join S&D, maybe ALDE but it depends how liberal they're feeling and I don't get the impression that they'd actually be all that liberal UNLESS a merger with the Lib Dems happens)
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Popchartfreak
post 24th February 2019, 11:21 AM
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No. Centrism is not a bad thing. Extremism and intolerance is a bad thing. It is totally justifiable to criticise both sides of an argument in a 2-party system where both sides are moving ever-more extreme and anyone pointing that out is the enemy:

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2...tain-all-at-sea

Accusing anyone that doesn't agree with their personal view of what is right and wrong of being selfish is just egotistical in the extreme. I believe in social care policies and support them, but I don't believe in Corbynism which is his own view of the world that was tried in the 80's and allowed the rise of Thatcher. Thatcher wasn't centrist, she was right-wing. May is right-wing. Blair was not right-wing, he had many centrist and left policies, achieved peace in Northern Ireland and now the left under Corbyn is throwing that away willingly risking troubles again. Lib-Dems are centrist and were against the Iraq war, along with Corbyn, while both Labour and Tories supported it. Corby loves Venezuelan politics despite the absolute mess it's in, as it clings on to power and policies that have failed the people and made them worse off - despite having oil riches! Blinkered.

Labels are just handy slagging-off points for one-dimensional arguments that fail to see the world is complex, much as the Left and the Right insist it is in their simplistic "I'm right and f*** everyone who disagrees" attitudes that should be listened to. One thing Vidcapper and I agree on 100% is that the UK political system is geared around the 2 parties keeping their stranglehold on power.
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Iz 🌟
post 24th February 2019, 01:32 PM
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A problem with centrism, I find, is that it seems to be often used (quite often unfaithfully by those pretending to be centrists) to support a 'both sides are equally bad' mantra, which is just as one-dimensional and incorrect. At times, in history, people following leftist ideologies have done worse things, and at times, it has been right ideologies. Right now, with the left tending towards social democracy, and the right tending towards disaster capitalism, I know which broad grouping I think is better... right now, on a general scale, and which is healthier for the world to support. It's not egotistical to have a preferred side that you believe to be more generally correct. My comment about right selfishness is not actually meant to be an entirely negative dig, but more the generic principle of 'you vote right to benefit yourself, left to benefit society', hence why there will always be elements of the two sides in everything as long as our political systems remain intact.

QUOTE(Popchartfreak @ Feb 24 2019, 11:21 AM) *
Labels are just handy slagging-off points for one-dimensional arguments that fail to see the world is complex, much as the Left and the Right insist it is in their simplistic "I'm right and f*** everyone who disagrees" attitudes that should be listened to. One thing Vidcapper and I agree on 100% is that the UK political system is geared around the 2 parties keeping their stranglehold on power.


This, I do agree with. We use them as it's convenient, but at differing times I consider myself to hold both left and centrist views, the latter when I recognise that some of my wants are not pragmatic. But ultimately I also dislike using such overplayed labels as it does indeed tribalise things too much.

I do find it astonishing when so many parties I would probably support devour each other over what seems like minutiae. That latest defection, Ian Austin, not joining the new group really set some eyebrows raising. It's not pragmatic in the slightest and ultimately gives me the feeling that this experiment will fizzle out if they cannot unite around SOMETHING.
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Popchartfreak
post 24th February 2019, 02:06 PM
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QUOTE(Iz~ @ Feb 24 2019, 01:32 PM) *
A problem with centrism, I find, is that it seems to be often used (quite often unfaithfully by those pretending to be centrists) to support a 'both sides are equally bad' mantra, which is just as one-dimensional and incorrect. At times, in history, people following leftist ideologies have done worse things, and at times, it has been right ideologies. Right now, with the left tending towards social democracy, and the right tending towards disaster capitalism, I know which broad grouping I think is better... right now, on a general scale, and which is healthier for the world to support. It's not egotistical to have a preferred side that you believe to be more generally correct. My comment about right selfishness is not actually meant to be an entirely negative dig, but more the generic principle of 'you vote right to benefit yourself, left to benefit society', hence why there will always be elements of the two sides in everything as long as our political systems remain intact.
This, I do agree with. We use them as it's convenient, but at differing times I consider myself to hold both left and centrist views, the latter when I recognise that some of my wants are not pragmatic. But ultimately I also dislike using such overplayed labels as it does indeed tribalise things too much.

I do find it astonishing when so many parties I would probably support devour each other over what seems like minutiae. That latest defection, Ian Austin, not joining the new group really set some eyebrows raising. It's not pragmatic in the slightest and ultimately gives me the feeling that this experiment will fizzle out if they cannot unite around SOMETHING.


Sorry Iz, I wasn't focusing on any particular comment by you, or Steve, sorry if that's how it came over.

I agree with your overview that broadly-speaking disaster-capitalism is wrong, and I slagged off New Labour (and Blair in particular) relentlessly for clinging to Thatcherite banking obsessions - Blair's 2 massive mistakes were Iraq and not sorting out soaring debt levels and greed-based dangerous loans and megabanks after Thatcher allowed them to do anything they liked, followed by half the Western world who had learned nothing about the 20's and 30's and consequential legislation designed to avoid it happening again. That economic disaster led to Nazis and World War. Further economic disasters could lead anywhere.

Most of Western Europe has achieved social-based policies and fairness, arguably more so than the UK at times, without having 2-party far-left centre-left centre-right far-right animosity, and to boot set a template for much of the former Soviet states, which were not in any sense free & democratic. Communism failed in every place it was tried because it was state-imposed undemocratic and ultimately corrupt and nepotism-based, so it's astonishing that suddenly Labour is allowing in former discredited anti-democratic people while losing sight of the main point of Labour: to counter the Tories excesses by not becoming unelectable and looking after those who need help. 32% currently suggests that two-thirds of the nation don't view them as serious government-material despite 10 years of austerity and misery. That's not good for Labour and it's not good for the country.

Any new party would need to avoid the main problems with the existing ones, and pick up on the policies that most sane people agree with. I'm not optimistic they will do anything other than fizzle out at the next election, but in a democracy people should be free to follow their conscience and take that risk, even if it means they lose everything and piss off their party, if the alternative is standing by, saying nothing while disagreeable policies are being carried out.
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Doctor Blind
post 24th February 2019, 02:17 PM
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QUOTE(Iz~ @ Feb 24 2019, 01:32 PM) *
That latest defection, Ian Austin, not joining the new group really set some eyebrows raising. It's not pragmatic in the slightest and ultimately gives me the feeling that this experiment will fizzle out if they cannot unite around SOMETHING.


Not really- he has recently been voting with the government.. he was one of 14 Labour MPs to vote against Yvette Cooper's no-deal amendment last month and only 4 to vote with the government - when they lost the other week on this motion: that this House welcomes the Prime Minister’s statement of 12 February 2019; reiterates support for the approach to leaving the EU expressed by this House on 29 January 2019 and notes that discussions between the UK and the EU on the Northern Ireland backstop are ongoing.

His majority in the 2017 election plummeted to a PERILOUS 22. So he'll be gone soon anyway..
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