Brexit: auf wiedersehen.. ? |
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Oct 20 2019, 05:14 PM
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#241
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Cœur poids plume
Joined: 3 November 2007
Posts: 18,129 User: 4,718 |
A full UK-wide CU amendment (tabled by Ken Clarke in April, and just 3 votes short of a majority) might be the most likely outcome next week.. Don't know if it's possible as last time, in the spring, the Lib Dems, TIG, Caroline Lucas and the most hardcore Labour pro-Europeans voted against anything that didn't involve a second referendum/revoke. See options 1 and 3 here. Just like the 'Spartans' who want No Deal realise that they have to vote for the withdrawal agreement that they still hate, else endanger Brexit, the Remainers have to realise that this could be their last chance to amend the withdrawal agreement as Johnson's withdrawal agreement is inevitable now that there is a majority for it. The CU amendment wasn't voted on by May's cabinet in April, most of whom would vote it down this time. But if the Lib Dems and TIG are on board, there is probably still a majority. Also a good few dozen Tory MPs voted for the CU amendment in the indicative votes, but I doubt many would now if it's whipped, especially since we know that the Withdrawal Agreement will just pass without amendments when presented later. This post has been edited by Harve: Oct 20 2019, 05:18 PM |
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Oct 20 2019, 05:18 PM
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#242
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,037 User: 18,639 |
The best three options are revoke, 2nd ref, or the softest brexit possible whilst telling the leavers we left lol.
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Oct 20 2019, 05:22 PM
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#243
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 22,001 User: 53 |
The best three options are revoke, 2nd ref, or the softest brexit possible whilst telling the leavers we left lol. No, Boris's deal is the best and will hopefully go through tomorrow or this week. Bercow may insist they debate the Queen's Speech tomorrow as planned. |
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Oct 20 2019, 05:24 PM
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#244
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 1 June 2013
Posts: 527 User: 19,091 |
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Oct 20 2019, 05:24 PM
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#245
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,655 User: 3,272 |
No, Boris's deal is the best and will hopefully go through tomorrow or this week. Bercow may insist they debate the Queen's Speech tomorrow as planned. How is it better than May's deal? Johnson himself said that no government would accept a customs border between two parts of the UK. Why has that concept changed from unthinkable to "a great deal"? |
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Oct 20 2019, 05:25 PM
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#246
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,037 User: 18,639 |
God sake.
The deal is worse than Mad May's shit deal and is one that they BOTH said no British pm could ever accept. It is a surrender deal. Bojo's deal couldn't be the best, as Mad May's was better, but still atrocious. |
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Oct 20 2019, 05:26 PM
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#247
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 1 June 2013
Posts: 527 User: 19,091 |
Chris´ hard on for Boris is permanent. No point in trying to make him see sense.
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Oct 20 2019, 05:27 PM
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#248
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 22,001 User: 53 |
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Oct 20 2019, 05:31 PM
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#249
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 22,001 User: 53 |
Chris´ hard on for Boris is permanent. No point in trying to make him see sense. Oh don't bring such filth in to the debate. I really admire how he's got a deal against all the odds. I see Gina Miller's slagging it off and saying it's only very slightly different to May's and Boris is trying to trick MP's to pass it. This post has been edited by Freddie Kruger: Oct 20 2019, 05:31 PM |
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Oct 20 2019, 05:54 PM
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#250
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Radical Pink Troll
Joined: 11 March 2006
Posts: 26,599 User: 177 |
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Oct 20 2019, 05:55 PM
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#251
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#38BBE0 otherwise known as 'sky blue'
Joined: 27 October 2008
Posts: 16,170 User: 7,561 |
Sounds like the EU will extend Article 50 until February 2020 if the deal (e.g. all of the legislation, as per Letwin) is not agreed by the end of this week.
(Source: Sunday Times) Crucially, that is not enough time for a second referendum. |
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Oct 20 2019, 05:56 PM
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#252
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 22,001 User: 53 |
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Oct 20 2019, 05:58 PM
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#253
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 22,001 User: 53 |
Sounds like the EU will extend Article 50 until February 2020 if the deal (e.g. all of the legislation, as per Letwin) is not agreed by the end of this week. (Source: Sunday Times) Crucially, that is not enough time for a second referendum. Good. A second referendum wouldn't get through anyway, according to Sky. Too many Labour against it, the DUP and many Tories too. They're very admirable in thinking the first one should be honoured. This post has been edited by Freddie Kruger: Oct 20 2019, 05:58 PM |
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Oct 20 2019, 06:11 PM
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#254
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 21 November 2009
Posts: 8,545 User: 10,030 |
Sounds like the EU will extend Article 50 until February 2020 if the deal (e.g. all of the legislation, as per Letwin) is not agreed by the end of this week. (Source: Sunday Times) Crucially, that is not enough time for a second referendum. In the event of a second referendum, I'm 100% sure the EU would allow another extension (A second referendum would take ~6 months of preparation/planning). |
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Oct 20 2019, 06:12 PM
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#255
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Queen of Soon
Joined: 24 May 2007
Posts: 74,077 User: 3,474 |
The referendum should be this deal or no deal and that way we implement the result of the first one but find out how we want to leave. As someone said on DS earlier, if remain win the second one do you then have the best of three? Why should the result of a second referendum trump the result of the first one? It’s nothing to do with “trumping” the result of the first one. (Which was actually the second one so a people’s vote would be three of three if we want to go down that route of stupid arguments) A people’s vote merely confirms that the deal that has been negotiated is something that leavers are happy with. It would be democracy in action because there was no plan, no manifesto, no clue for what happened on June 24th 2016 if we voted leave. Further to that, as previously mentioned every single mouthpiece for the leave campaign said we’d never leave the single market or customs union. Doing exactly that can’t be the “will of the people” if the people were explicitly told it’d never happen. I keep harping on about 2014 but the difference is stark. We had a 700+ page manual on absolutely everything that would happen. From mundane shit like stamps to serious shit like EU and NATO membership. Every single voter knew exactly what they were voting for and exactly what would happen immediately after a yes vote and over the next 2 years. Brexit didn’t have this, there was no planning or organisation or thought beyond an abstract idea. That’s why it’s been so deeply damaging and why a second referendum now we know what Brexit looks like is the fair and democratic outcome Sounds like the EU will extend Article 50 until February 2020 if the deal (e.g. all of the legislation, as per Letwin) is not agreed by the end of this week. (Source: Sunday Times) Crucially, that is not enough time for a second referendum. I’d take Feb 2020 though. Quite happily. That’s enough time for Indyref2 so should be enough time for EURef2. Don’t need a lengthy campaign really seeing as it’s all the country has focused on since 2015 Edit - thanks to Environment above!! Forgot about the required passage of enabling legislation. It’s almost fully in place for Scotland but for EURef2 we’d need to start from scratch. So yeah not long enough. Sorry! |
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Oct 20 2019, 06:14 PM
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#256
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,037 User: 18,639 |
It’s nothing to do with “trumping” the result of the first one. (Which was actually the second one so a people’s vote would be three of three if we want to go down that route of stupid arguments) A people’s vote merely confirms that the deal that has been negotiated is something that leavers are happy with. It would be democracy in action because there was no plan, no manifesto, no clue for what happened on June 24th 2016 if we voted leave. Further to that, as previously mentioned every single mouthpiece for the leave campaign said we’d never leave the single market or customs union. Doing exactly that can’t be the “will of the people” if the people were explicitly told it’d never happen. I keep harping on about 2014 but the difference is stark. We had a 700+ page manual on absolutely everything that would happen. From mundane shit like stamps to serious shit like EU and NATO membership. Every single voter knew exactly what they were voting for and exactly what would happen immediately after a yes vote and over the next 2 years. Brexit didn’t have this, there was no planning or organisation or thought beyond an abstract idea. That’s why it’s been so deeply damaging and why a second referendum now we know what Brexit looks like is the fair and democratic outcome I’d take Feb 2020 though. Quite happily. That’s enough time for Indyref2 so should be enough time for EURef2. Don’t need a lengthy campaign really seeing as it’s all the country has focused on since 2015 THIS to everything!! |
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Oct 20 2019, 06:17 PM
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#257
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 22,001 User: 53 |
Look, call me a broken record if you like. Am taking the dog out so won't see your replies until later. We had a decisive vote in 2016 where the UK electorate voted to leave the EU. That must be honoured. Ex PM May said that and the current PM says that as well as many MP's. So we have the decision already made to leave the EU. Okay let's now define how we want to leave: Boris's deal, all the detail and fine print explained to the voters with no lies, or NO DEAL. Remain shouldn't come in to it as it was rejected by a million votes in 2016.
This post has been edited by Freddie Kruger: Oct 20 2019, 06:20 PM |
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Oct 20 2019, 06:19 PM
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#258
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 22,001 User: 53 |
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Oct 20 2019, 06:31 PM
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#259
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Radical Pink Troll
Joined: 11 March 2006
Posts: 26,599 User: 177 |
Look, call me a broken record if you like. Am taking the dog out so won't see your replies until later. We had a decisive vote in 2016 where the UK electorate voted to leave the EU. That must be honoured. Ex PM May said that and the current PM says that as well as many MP's. So we have the decision already made to leave the EU. Okay let's now define how we want to leave: Boris's deal, all the detail and fine print explained to the voters with no lies, or NO DEAL. Remain shouldn't come in to it as it was rejected by a million votes in 2016. 52% is hardly decisive. We have gained NEW INFORMATION since then that means we will be much worse off outside of the EU. We have 3 years worth of the voting population that never got a say the first time. It seems you only see this as winning or losing but to those of us with at least 10th of a brain, it’s not a game. It’s our lives and we should be able to have a say on this deal. If people choose to leave even after all this, fine, but the union will break up and when Boris forces you into work, I don’t want to hear you complain. I know you have depression but your naive if you think that makes a difference to him. |
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Oct 20 2019, 06:43 PM
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#260
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 22,001 User: 53 |
when Boris forces you into work, I don’t want to hear you complain. I know you have depression but your naive if you think that makes a difference to him. Sorry but he doesn't have the final say. The DWP has tried to stop my disability benefits three times now and they've always been overruled on appeal. Even the "evil" Tories wouldn't dare deny us the right of appeal to a judicial tribunal headed by a judge. This post has been edited by Freddie Kruger: Oct 20 2019, 06:45 PM |
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