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> Eurovision Song Contest 2024 · Model predictions
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uhsting
post 17th March 2024, 12:42 AM
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Eurovoix is using big data to run a statistical model to predict which countries will qualify and which country will win ohmy.gif

Here is the first prediction: https://eurovoix.com/2024/03/16/the-model-p...urovision-2024/




Feel free to use this thread to post any predictions from statistical models you've made x
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Long Dong Silver
post 17th March 2024, 01:07 AM
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It's WRONG mad.gif San Marino is 50% to WIN and Italy the other 50% and we ALL know it!!!!
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eurovision4ever
post 17th March 2024, 02:33 AM
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Semi 2 looks about right but in semi 1 Serbia will be in over Ireland for sure
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Long Dong Silver
post 17th March 2024, 12:08 PM
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Cha Cha Cha man should have released it this year, but his huge ego meant hr was obsessed with beating Loraine, ans he just fell flat on his face and made loads of bad feelin in the last contest
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gooddelta
post 17th March 2024, 12:27 PM
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Very interesting, though my initial thoughts were that Netherlands will be top three easily in a televote semi and no way is every song getting 15 points or more.
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RobBot
post 18th March 2024, 05:49 PM
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The model seems flawed in that it bases a lot off previous trends.

So, naturally, Croatia and Netherlands are WAY lower in the televote than they will end up. And if Tattoo is factored into their jury model, it also explains why they think Unforgettable will win the jury votes again. Which I highly doubt it will.
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uhsting
post 18th March 2024, 05:51 PM
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It also skews heavily towards present odds, so it is not very representative atm
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Colm
post 18th March 2024, 06:08 PM
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Basically, rubbish.
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uhsting
post 27th March 2024, 08:16 PM
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New prediction released:
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uhsting
post 19th April 2024, 07:13 PM
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Some changes:
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*Tim
post Yesterday, 06:45 AM
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Malta ☠️☠️☠️☠️
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