If there was no 'big 5', since the inception of the semi finals & also no 'if you were top X the year before, you're through', which of the Big 5 entries would've qualified and which wouldn't?
United Kingdom is an easy place to start the focus.
I literally can't think of any of ours that would've qualified other than:
2009 - Jade Ewen - It's My Time
2011 - Blue - I Can
2017 - Lucie Jones - Never Give Up On You
I think we’d have long since given up before that but I think Children Of The Universe would have made it through also.
Italy would obviously have the best qualification record, with only La Mia Citta possibly missing. Germany would be similarly dismal to us, only getting through in their big hit years.
The problems we have are also prevalent in France and Germany when either of them aren’t on a good run, Germany especially but France had it too for a few years after the failure of Sognu. It’s clear that some of these entries wouldn’t have been picked or sent if there was a risk for the broadcaster that their entry would miss out on the final. Spain too to an extent but more of their bad results can be chalked up to only them and Portugal really appreciating Latin-style music.
Germany came fourth last year, they have won once this decade as well (being only of the big 5 to do so), so they are more like hit or miss where UK is just "miss" basically.
If we had to qualify for the final, maybe more effort would be put into producing a decent song. The BBC would not want to risk devoting four hours on a Saturday night to a contest with no British interest. They would have to accept that it might happen occasionally, but wouldn't want it to be the norm.
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