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> Sunday Chart Predictions (Friday Update + Sales)
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fchd
post 4th November 2014, 02:14 PM
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QUOTE(sajjadali @ Nov 4 2014, 12:59 PM) *
I think i speak for everyone when i say COME ON CHERYL!!!!!!!!!


You don't speak me for me, and it's breathtaking arrogance to assume you do.
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fiesta
post 4th November 2014, 02:30 PM
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Cheryls new song is pants, I hope it flops
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omrimayo
post 4th November 2014, 02:35 PM
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QUOTE(Joe. @ Nov 4 2014, 04:41 PM) *
JAMES INGHAM @JAMESINREHAB · 16m 16 minutes ago
CHERYL expected to face tough competition from Ed Sheeran as she aims to claim her 5th UK No.1 with I don't Care @CherylOfficial

JAMES INGHAM @JAMESINREHAB · 18m 18 minutes ago
Huge rises expected for John Legend in both the singles & album charts following his @TheXFactor performance. Watch this space @johnlegend
---

I worry that streaming could really do some damage this week to Cheryl.


She's falling hard on iTunes and he has like 16k for streaming... She will have 2k? She's very weak there. I guess he will win at the end.
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omrimayo
post 4th November 2014, 02:36 PM
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All I want this week is Calvin at number 1 on the album chart.. But I think that Ed will get it AGAIN.
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crazy chris
post 4th November 2014, 02:44 PM
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I'd love for Ed to hold Cheryl off this week.
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365
post 4th November 2014, 02:45 PM
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QUOTE(omrimayo @ Nov 4 2014, 02:35 PM) *
She's falling hard on iTunes and he has like 16k for streaming... She will have 2k? She's very weak there. I guess he will win at the end.



After saying that, she's had quite a rise on streaming, I think her fans will multi stream for her. And her lead is still quite significant on iTunes. I think she will have an easy #1, but it could be quite a fall in its second week.
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JosephBoone
post 4th November 2014, 02:53 PM
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QUOTE(omrimayo @ Nov 4 2014, 02:35 PM) *
She's falling hard on iTunes and he has like 16k for streaming... She will have 2k? She's very weak there. I guess he will win at the end.


Correction: the clean version is falling hard on iTunes. As expected. The explicit version is gaining lots, however.
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Envoirment
post 4th November 2014, 02:56 PM
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QUOTE(CherylStyles @ Nov 4 2014, 02:53 PM) *
Correction: the clean version is falling hard on iTunes. As expected. The explicit version is gaining lots, however.


The explicit isn't gaining enough to offset the losses by the clean version though.

Really hoping Ed will hold on this week. Given the rate at which Cheryl is starting to fall, I think Ed will put up a good fight.
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JosephBoone
post 4th November 2014, 02:58 PM
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QUOTE(Envoirment @ Nov 4 2014, 02:56 PM) *
The explicit isn't gaining enough to offset the losses by the clean version though.

Really hoping Ed will hold on this week. Given the rate at which Cheryl is starting to fall, I think Ed will put up a good fight.


Hayzayy's compared I Don't Care to Crazy Stupid Love at this point in the week over in the GA forum, it's around the same point in terms of Kworb numbers. I can definitely see her keeping #1.
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Envoirment
post 4th November 2014, 03:03 PM
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QUOTE(CherylStyles @ Nov 4 2014, 02:58 PM) *
Hayzayy's compared I Don't Care to Crazy Stupid Love at this point in the week over in the GA forum, it's around the same point in terms of Kworb numbers. I can definitely see her keeping #1.


But this time round streaming is a much bigger factor against her and could potentially offset her lead as the week goes on and Ed starts outselling her (Which I think he'll start doing late tomorrow/early Thursday, giving him about 3-4 days to close the gap).

This post has been edited by Envoirment: 4th November 2014, 03:11 PM
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JosephBoone
post 4th November 2014, 03:05 PM
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QUOTE(Envoirment @ Nov 4 2014, 03:03 PM) *
But this time round streaming is a much bigger factor against her and could potentially offset her lead as the week goes on and Ed starts outselling her (Which I think he'll start doing later tomorrow, giving him about 4-5 days to close the gap).


Crazy Stupid Love wasn't off #1 until Thursday at least so I can see this being ahead combined until then at least. Streaming is bigger but Rude still had huge streams and higher sales too than Ed will be getting.
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girl_from_oz
post 4th November 2014, 03:05 PM
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Expect Taylor to fall quite a few places in the singles chart because of the removal of Shake It Off from pretty much every streaming service
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Hayzayy
post 4th November 2014, 03:07 PM
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QUOTE(Envoirment @ Nov 4 2014, 03:03 PM) *
But this time round streaming is a much bigger factor against her and could potentially offset her lead as the week goes on and Ed starts outselling her (Which I think he'll start doing late tomorrow/early Wednesday, giving him about 4-5 days to close the gap).


MAGIC!'s streaming was HUGE at the time too though. They had 12k of streaming (Cheryl had 4k) and Cheryl still had a 11k lead over them in the end.

This post has been edited by Hayzayy: 4th November 2014, 03:08 PM
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365
post 4th November 2014, 03:09 PM
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Also, CSL got off to a MUCH quicker and stronger start than IDC.

But saying that I think both versions of the songs together will balance out eventually. Even if she loses her overall lead tomorrow, which she Still comfortably has, I still think the front-loaded start will save her. I can't see her missing her 5th #1
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Mart!n
post 4th November 2014, 03:11 PM
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We have mids cheer.gif cheryl on 24.6 not very frontloaded blink.gif
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JosephBoone
post 4th November 2014, 03:12 PM
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That figure seems oddly low for Cheryl, wondering if there's any data missing for her. Ed's only 6k behind and she pushed him right down to 0.6 on Kworb, combined unsure.gif
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Envoirment
post 4th November 2014, 03:14 PM
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QUOTE(CherylStyles @ Nov 4 2014, 03:05 PM) *
Crazy Stupid Love wasn't off #1 until Thursday at least so I can see this being ahead combined until then at least. Streaming is bigger but Rude still had huge streams and higher sales too than Ed will be getting.


But "I Don't Care" is going to get less sales than "Crazy Stupid Love" as well, so that evens it out. And I'm sure Ed's streaming is stronger than "Rude"? Plus, Ed has the #1 benefit and CSL went to #1 right away where as IDC took a little while to get to #1 combined.

This post has been edited by Envoirment: 4th November 2014, 03:14 PM
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Markbr
post 4th November 2014, 03:15 PM
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Omg... I expected 28k+ for Cheryl

sad.gif
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365
post 4th November 2014, 03:15 PM
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QUOTE(▬Mart!n▬ @ Nov 4 2014, 03:11 PM) *
We have mids cheer.gif cheryl on 24.6 not very frontloaded blink.gif



I saw 35k/25k on twitter but I guess that was wrong. 24k seems very low for Cheryl. I bet either one of the versions hasn't been added yet and we'll get better mids tomorrow.
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JosephBoone
post 4th November 2014, 03:16 PM
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QUOTE(Joe. @ Nov 4 2014, 03:15 PM) *
I saw 35k/25k on twitter but I guess that was wrong. 24k seems very low for Cheryl. I bet either one of the versions hasn't been added yet and we'll get better mids tomorrow.


This sounds about right to me. The Tuesday mids are known for having some errors in. I won't write her off until I see tomorrow's figures ~
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