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| Sunday Chart Predictions (Friday Update + Sales) |
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 Nov 4 2014, 03:19 PM
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#41
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 Who's Daniel btw ?
Joined: 28 October 2006
Posts: 15,593 User: 1,804 
   
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It doesn't sound too wrong, that means he's sold like 0.75 of Cheryl on Sunday and Monday, including streaming.
Sales are weirdly low though. In comparaison, same update for CSL release week : 1 Cheryl Cole feat. Tinie Tempah - Crazy Stupid Love (66.3k) * 2 MAGIC! - Rude (44.7k) * |
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Nov 4 2014, 03:20 PM
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#42
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 21 November 2009
Posts: 8,541 User: 10,030
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QUOTE(CherylStyles @ Nov 4 2014, 03:12 PM)  That figure seems oddly low for Cheryl, wondering if there's any data missing for her. Ed's only 6k behind and she pushed him right down to 0.6 on Kworb, combined  "I Don't Care" climbed to #1 (didn't get to #1 until around mid-sunday), plus Ed's streaming is a lot stronger so I guess that's why he's only 6k behind? Also Ed has a second version at #49 and I'm not sure if people have been including that version when doing the combined updates of Cheryl vs Ed (It's another 7% to add to Ed's total). Also, I think you guys are overlooking Amazon. Cheryl is #4 + #43 compared to Ed at #2 + #25, so Ed is outselling her there to help make up for Cheryl's lead on iTunes. I believe CSL was #1 on amazon MP3. This post has been edited by Envoirment: Nov 4 2014, 03:21 PM |
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Nov 4 2014, 03:21 PM
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#43
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,140 User: 5,138
 
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QUOTE(CherylStyles @ Nov 4 2014, 03:16 PM) This sounds about right to me. The Tuesday mids are known for having some errors in. I won't write her off until I see tomorrow's figures ~ Id be shocked if Cheryl is only on 24k in the first mids there must be data missing she had 2 entries in the top 5 on itunes and over 50% lead alot of the time  I thought it would have been on as high as 50k by the first mids(heavily upfront heavy sales) and sell 105k or something.If she is ONLY on 24k she wont be No1 by Sunday! |
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Nov 4 2014, 03:22 PM
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#44
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 you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 121,537 User: 13,530               
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Amazon has a muuuuch lower proportion of sales than iTunes, it's not gonna make a huge difference.
It does seem very low - Ed's streaming is being overestimated a bit here, it's gonna be huge but not enough to make up for Cheryl selling not too far off double of him on iTunes at one point. Fairly sure one version is missing from the total, a la The Vamps a few weeks ago only being #34 or so on Tuesday with Oh Cecilia, as the single version was missed out. |
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Nov 4 2014, 03:22 PM
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#45
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BuzzJack Climber
Joined: 22 July 2014
Posts: 84 User: 21,092
 
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Rixton did 28.7k on Tuesday update thought
This post has been edited by Markbr: Nov 4 2014, 03:23 PM |
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Nov 4 2014, 03:23 PM
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#46
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,140 User: 5,138
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QUOTE(CherylStyles @ Nov 4 2014, 03:22 PM) Amazon has a muuuuch lower proportion of sales than iTunes, it's not gonna make a huge difference. It does seem very low - Ed's streaming is being overestimated a bit here, it's gonna be huge but not enough to make up for Cheryl selling not too far off double of him on iTunes at one point. Fairly sure one version is missing from the total, a la The Vamps a few weeks ago only being #34 or so on Tuesday with Oh Cecilia, as the single version was missed out. Ed sold 15k in streams last week with streaming accounting for another record 56%! |
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Nov 4 2014, 03:25 PM
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#47
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Infamy Infamy they all got it in for me
Joined: 5 March 2006
Posts: 129,134 User: 2
  
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Tuesday Update Top 40 Only
Singles 1 Cheryl - I Don't Care (24.6k) * 2 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud (19.8k) 3 Megan Trainor - All About That Bass (13.4k) 4 John Legend - All Of Me (10.5k) 5 Taylor Swift - Shake It Off (8.6k) 6-10 10 Calvin Harris feat. Big Sean - Open Wide 11-20 12 The Script - No Good In Goodbye * 16 Henry Krinkle - Stay * 18 Nicki Minaj feat. Drake, Lil Wayne and Chris Brown - Only * 20 Sia - Chandelier 21-30 23 Calvin Harris feat. Ellie Goulding - Outside * 25 OneRepublic - I Lived 27 Joss Stone feat. Jeff Beck - No Man's Land (Green Fields Of France) * 30 The 1975 - Medicine * 31-40 34 Idina Menzel - Let It Go 37 James Blunt - When I Find Love Again * 39 John Legend - Ordinary People ^ 40 Katy Perry feat. Juicy J - Dark Horse ^ ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Albums 1 Calvin Harris - Motion (14.4k) * 2 Ed Sheeran - x (12.6k) 3 Taylor Swift - 1989 (9.3k) 4 Damien Rice - My Favourite Faded Fantasy (7k) * 5 John Legend - Love In The Future (6.6k) ^ 6-10 6 André Rieu And His Johann Strauss Orchestra - Love In Venice * 8 Simple Minds - Big Music * 9 The Script - No Sound Without Silence 11-20 11 Bob Dylan and The Band - The Basement Tapes Complete - The Bootleg Series Vol. 11 * 13 London Grammar - If You Wait 15 Neil Young - Storytone * 16 The Who - The Who Hits 50! * 21-30 21 Fuse ODG - TINA * 22 Sia - 1000 Forms Of Fear 25 Wings - Venus And Mars ^ 26 Calvin Harris - 18 Months ^ (99p on Google Play) 31-40 32 Wings - Wings At The Speed Of Sound ^ 38 Angel - Possession With Intent * 39 Robert Plant And The Sensational Space Shifters - lullaby and... The Ceaseless Roar ^ |
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Nov 4 2014, 03:26 PM
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#48
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you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 121,537 User: 13,530
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QUOTE(steve201 @ Nov 4 2014, 03:23 PM) Ed sold 15k in streams last week with streaming accounting for another record 56%! Oh I know he's HUGE on streaming but I don't think it's gonna make up this much of Cheryl's lead at this stage, that's all 
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Nov 4 2014, 03:26 PM
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#49
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 4 November 2013
Posts: 30,513 User: 20,053
   
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James Blunt???
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Nov 4 2014, 03:27 PM
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#50
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c:
Joined: 12 March 2014
Posts: 13,150 User: 20,692
 
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Calvin isn't going to hang on is he ?
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Nov 4 2014, 03:28 PM
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#51
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Infamy Infamy they all got it in for me
Joined: 5 March 2006
Posts: 129,134 User: 2
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QUOTE(Joe. @ Nov 4 2014, 03:15 PM) I saw 35k/25k on twitter but I guess that was wrong. 24k seems very low for Cheryl. I bet either one of the versions hasn't been added yet and we'll get better mids tomorrow. Its definitely not one of my typos  got the genuine article in front of me
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Nov 4 2014, 03:28 PM
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#52
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 21 November 2009
Posts: 8,541 User: 10,030
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QUOTE(CherylStyles @ Nov 4 2014, 03:22 PM) Amazon has a muuuuch lower proportion of sales than iTunes, it's not gonna make a huge difference. It does seem very low - Ed's streaming is being overestimated a bit here, it's gonna be huge but not enough to make up for Cheryl selling not too far off double of him on iTunes at one point. Fairly sure one version is missing from the total, a la The Vamps a few weeks ago only being #34 or so on Tuesday with Oh Cecilia, as the single version was missed out. Amazon MP3 had a 22% market share in 2013 and it's been growing year on year since around 2009, so it's significant enough to make a decent impact on the charts, especially in a week where it looks to be quite close. The sales on Amazon MP3 could mean the difference between Cheryl getting #1 or #2. |
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Nov 4 2014, 03:29 PM
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#53
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,140 User: 5,138
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QUOTE(CherylStyles @ Nov 4 2014, 03:26 PM) Oh I know he's HUGE on streaming but I don't think it's gonna make up this much of Cheryl's lead at this stage, that's all Itll be a great chart battle at any rate IF the 24k turns out to be Cheryls total Tues mids figure. I was expecting her to be double that tbf. The point i was trying to make was that streaming is becoming bigger each week it seems. |
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Nov 4 2014, 03:30 PM
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#54
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[Finest Сasual Dating Authentic Damsels]
Joined: 25 November 2012
Posts: 288 User: 17,886
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Surely there is missing data for Cheryl's sales? ....
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Nov 4 2014, 03:30 PM
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#55
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,140 User: 5,138
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QUOTE(▬Mart!n▬ @ Nov 4 2014, 03:28 PM) Its definitely not one of my typos got the genuine article in front of meThanks for the mids Martin - do you have positions for Hozier & Animals by Maroon 5? |
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Nov 4 2014, 03:31 PM
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#56
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Bitch of t seet
Joined: 2 April 2012
Posts: 27,395 User: 16,660
 
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Mess Taylor fell to #7 I assume?
Does anyone know where Wicked Games is? |
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Nov 4 2014, 03:31 PM
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#57
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BuzzJack Climber
Joined: 26 May 2009
Posts: 126 User: 8,911
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Are U2 still in top 40 ?thanks
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Nov 4 2014, 03:31 PM
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#58
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,023 User: 19,931
 
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QUOTE(BlazingLovatic @ Nov 4 2014, 03:30 PM) Surely there is missing data for Cheryl's sales? .... My guess is that they haven't added the explicit version yet, which could be an extra 8 - 12k to her total. QUOTE(▬Mart!n▬ @ Nov 4 2014, 03:28 PM) Its definitely not one of my typos got the genuine article in front of meNot questioning you at all. I just know your source occasionally has missing data on the Tuesday. 
This post has been edited by Joe.: Nov 4 2014, 03:32 PM |
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Nov 4 2014, 03:31 PM
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#59
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Who's Daniel btw ?
Joined: 28 October 2006
Posts: 15,593 User: 1,804
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If the second version is missing we could add an extra 50% sales to Cheryl, that would put her around 36k and would sound about right.
Damn, tomorrow midweeks are gonna be so important. 
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Nov 4 2014, 03:31 PM
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#60
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you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 121,537 User: 13,530
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QUOTE(BlazingLovatic @ Nov 4 2014, 03:30 PM) Surely there is missing data for Cheryl's sales? .... Pretty certain there is, we'll see for definite tomorrow anyway! |
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