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| Friday Chart Predictions, More Adele, more Bieber |
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 28th November 2015, 09:46 AM
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#1
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,026 User: 19,931 
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     After the record breaking results of last week's chart, we're looking at the second many weeks of Adele domination in the album charts. The Vamps and The Corrs also have new records out which could possibly make a dent in the albums top 5. No big releases this week but 00s garage hitmaker Craig David makes a comeback return with 'When the Bassline Drops' (with Big Narstie) and we have an instant grat, 'Everglow' from Coldplay's upcoming album. We also pass the first of December this week, could Mariah make the top 40? As far as number 1 is concerned, Justin Bieber battles it out with himself for the top spot. Will it be 'Sorry' or will 'Love Yourself' climb to the top spot? iIt's looking likely that the latter will finish 'Sorry's two week stay at #2. Breakdown of the week Monday: OCC Top 100 + Radio 1 Chart Update 5:30pm to 5:45pm Tuesday: Top 40 update as and when we receive them with requests, this is NOT 100% guaranteed however. The OCC may publish sales flashes of their own accord but likewise, this is not guaranteed. Twitter and social media is your friend for today. Please post any information you find with a source. Wednesday: Top 40 update from Music Week from 5:45, and potential top 5 sales but this is not guaranteed. Thursday: See Tuesday. Please do not demand a midweek update, one will be posted as and when we receive the information. Patience is a virtue. To keep everyone in the loop of all chart action, please refer to the iTunes and Spotify threads. |
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28th November 2015, 10:08 AM
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#2
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,026 User: 19,931
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 Official Singles/Albums Chart Update Top 100 Source: OCC Top 100 Singles 1 Justin Bieber - Love Yourself 2 Justin Bieber - Sorry 3 Adele - Hello 4 Justin Bieber - What Do You Mean? 5 Fleur East - Sax ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Top 100 Albums 1 Adele - 25 (200k+) 2 Elvis Presley - If I Can Dream 3 Justin Bieber - Purpose 4 Little Mix - Get Weird 5 The Vamps - Wake Up * Click on the above relevant links |
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28th November 2015, 10:08 AM
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#3
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,026 User: 19,931
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 Tuesday Update Top 40 Only Missing Data: Apple Music (Monday), Spotify (Monday) Singles 1 Justin Bieber - Love Yourself (59.4k) 2 Justin Bieber - Sorry (52.7k) 3 Adele - Hello (47.2k) 4 Justin Bieber - What Do You Mean? (28.5k) 5 Fleur East - Sax (22.7k) 6-10 6 Grace feat. G-Eazy - You Don't Own Me * 9 Olly Murs - Kiss Me 11-20 16 Coldplay - Adventure of a Lifetime 17 Naughty Boy feat. Beyoncé & Arrow Benjamin - Runnin' (Lose It All) 20 Jamie Lawson - Wasn't Expecting That 21-30 27 Years & Years - Eyes Shut 28 Sigma & Rita Ora - Coming Home * 29 99 Souls feat. Destiny's Child & Brandy - The Girl Is Mine * 31-40 35 Robin Schulz feat. Francesco Yates - Sugar * 36 Craig David & Big Narstie - When The Bassline Drops * 37 Sigala - Easy Love 40 Coldplay - Everglow * ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Albums 1 Adele - 25 (291.9k) 2 Elvis Presley - If I Can Dream (58.4k) 3 Justin Bieber - Purpose (47.7k) 4 Little Mix - Get Weird (32.4k) 5 Jess Glynne - I Cry When I Laugh (28.8k) 6-10 6 The Vamps - Wake Up * 9 The Corrs - White Light * 11-20 13 Il Divo - Amor & Pasion * 15 James Bay - Chaos and the Calm 19 The Overtones - Good Ol' Fashioned Christmas * 21-30 23 Michael Bublé - Christmas 24 Taylor Swift - 1989 28 Kylie Minogue - Kylie Christmas 30 Florence + The Machine - How Big, How Blue, How Beautiful ^ 31-40 33 David Gilmour - Rattle That Lock 35 Hozier - Hozier ^ 36 Jamie Lawson - Jamie Lawson 37 Rudimental - We The Generation ^ 39 Mumford & Sons - Wilder Mind ^ |
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28th November 2015, 10:08 AM
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#4
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,026 User: 19,931
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 Wednesday Update Top 40 Only Singles 1 Justin Bieber - Love Yourself (74,121) 2 Justin Bieber - Sorry (63,533) 3 Adele - Hello 4 Justin Bieber - What Do You Mean? 5 Grace feat. G-Eazy - You Don't Own Me * 6-10 9 WSTRN - In2 10 Olly Murs - Kiss Me 11-20 16 Coldplay - Adventure of a Lifetime 17 Naughty Boy feat. Beyoncé & Arrow Benjamin - Runnin' (Lose It All) 21-30 26 Sigma & Rita Ora - Coming Home * 27 Years & Years - Eyes Shut 29 99 Souls feat. Destiny's Child & Brandy - The Girl Is Mine * 31-40 35 Robin Schulz feat. Francesco Yates - Sugar * 36 Sigala - Easy Love 38 Craig David & Big Narstie - When The Bassline Drops * 40 Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You ^ ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Albums 1 Adele - 25 (331,513) 2 Elvis Presley - If I Can Dream (67,176) 3 Justin Bieber - Purpose 4 Little Mix - Get Weird 5 Jess Glynne - I Cry When I Laugh 6-10 7 The Vamps - Wake Up * 9 Rod Stewart - Another Country 11-20 11 The Corrs - White Light * 13 Il Divo - Amor & Pasion * 15 James Bay - Chaos and the Calm 19 Michael Bublé - Christmas 21-30 21 The Overtones - Good Ol' Fashioned Christmas * 25 Taylor Swift - 1989 26 Kylie Minogue - Kylie Christmas 30 Florence + The Machine - How Big, How Blue, How Beautiful ^ 31-40 34 Hozier - Hozier ^ 36 Jamie Lawson - Jamie Lawson 38 Rudimental - We The Generation ^ 39 Mumford & Sons - Wilder Mind ^ 40 Simply Red - Big Love ^ |
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28th November 2015, 10:21 AM
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#5
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,026 User: 19,931
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Mint Royale might not have much to report on today, but feel free to post any updates if he does.
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28th November 2015, 10:46 AM
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#6
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,026 User: 19,931
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QUOTE @MintRoyale: Adele still selling more than 60,000 copies a day. Should break the million mark on Monday.
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28th November 2015, 10:49 AM
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#7
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 28 April 2008
Posts: 6,112 User: 5,974
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So around 300K second week? Good I guess...
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28th November 2015, 10:59 AM
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#8
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 I found the love, I found the love in me
Pronouns: He/Him
Joined: 13 December 2007 Posts: 87,447 User: 5,042
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She'll sell about ~100k over today I reckon. But a very consistent run of 50k-60k throughout the rest of the week.
How much do we think Coldplay will do next week? Over 200k? |
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28th November 2015, 11:00 AM
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#9
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 3 August 2006
Posts: 8,209 User: 1,031
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Coldplay might get the number one album next week if Adele's sales decline more.
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28th November 2015, 11:03 AM
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#10
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,026 User: 19,931
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QUOTE(Jonjeur East 🎷 @ Nov 28 2015, 10:59 AM)  She'll sell about ~100k over today I reckon. But a very consistent run of 50k-60k throughout the rest of the week. How much do we think Coldplay will do next week? Over 200k? I think 200k is possible for them, maybe more. Their last album managed 170k and that wasn't even Q4. |
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28th November 2015, 11:05 AM
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#11
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I found the love, I found the love in me
Pronouns: He/Him
Joined: 13 December 2007 Posts: 87,447 User: 5,042
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I can see Adele selling more next week than this week, just coz we'll be getting closer to Chrimbo. But yeah I think 250k for Coldplay and about 360k for Adele next week.
I just wanna know where/how Little Mix are doing this week tbh. Lol. |
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28th November 2015, 12:09 PM
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#12
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BuzzJack Climber
Joined: 24 November 2015
Posts: 68 User: 22,697
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Hope Little Mix overtake One Direction in the albums this week!
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28th November 2015, 12:33 PM
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#13
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 16 November 2009
Posts: 7,600 User: 9,988
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No way will Coldplay sell that much, I'm going for 130k for them. Adele will easily beat them.
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28th November 2015, 12:40 PM
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#14
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 🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,565 User: 11,746
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I wonder if the Black Friday sales are helping Adele this week, she should be on for another massive week in any case
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28th November 2015, 12:42 PM
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#15
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 Break the tension
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 88,955 User: 51
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I'm really interested to see how The Corrs fare with this comeback.
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28th November 2015, 12:52 PM
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#16
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New Entry
Joined: 8 March 2009
Posts: 16 User: 8,442
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QUOTE(mr_pmt @ Nov 28 2015, 06:42 AM) I'm really interested to see how The Corrs fare with this comeback. As am I. Media exposure hasn't been great which makes me think that it's likely to be a very front loaded affair and not something that sells much beyond their core fanbase. Still though judging from iTunes (always risky but here goes) it looks like they could well enter inside the top 5. That's likely to mean a 40K opening at this time of year. They'll need to have booked a lot of telly slots over the chrimbo if they don't want to get lost in the crowd though. |
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28th November 2015, 01:25 PM
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#17
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Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 83,040 User: 116
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40k would be astonishing. I'm thinking 25k, which may be enough to scrape No.10, though even that seems crazy as that would have given them a No.1 in the summer. Trying not to get my hopes up too much anyway.
I don't recall what Borrowed Heaven opened with in 2004, anyone remember? |
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28th November 2015, 04:52 PM
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#18
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 29 August 2009
Posts: 820 User: 9,520
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If Adele sells 60k over the next six days as well, we're looking at a second week of 420k, which is (obviously) very outstanding. She could start increasing from there onwards, you know. No way are Coldplay getting that #1.
The Vamps probably won't sell much more than The Corrs, which is unfortunate for them as The Corrs' sales will be only decent. A 30k start for both, which I think is realistic, would put them somewhere between 6-10. That would be down from the 47k that Meet the Vamps sold in its opening week to hit #2 in April of last year. I don't think they made a good decision to release this far into the year. |
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28th November 2015, 04:55 PM
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#19
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New Entry
Joined: 8 March 2009
Posts: 16 User: 8,442
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QUOTE(gooddelta @ Nov 28 2015, 07:25 AM) 40k would be astonishing. I'm thinking 25k, which may be enough to scrape No.10, though even that seems crazy as that would have given them a No.1 in the summer. Trying not to get my hopes up too much anyway. I don't recall what Borrowed Heaven opened with in 2004, anyone remember? They opened with just under 58K at just about the softest time of year to release a new album (the end of May). So far the new album is holding at #8 on iTunes but 5 of the titles above it are either various artist compilations or Coldplays prerelease. So early indicators from iTunes are good. I expect physicals to be good because their fanbase is a little older. I expect their streaming to points to be utterly worthless. On Amazon they are at #7 with 2 various artist compilations ahead of them on the digital chart. They are at #23 on amazons physical chart. If they have good TV promo during the week (I'm in Chicago so I have no visibility to that) then I could see a 40K opening week on the high side. This is also the week where UK album sales really start to increase rapidly every year. |
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28th November 2015, 04:55 PM
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#20
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 you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 121,681 User: 13,530 
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In all honesty I'm not sure The Vamps would sell much more at any other time of the year
 Wake Up the single didn't do particularly well which was a shame, and they're only just following it up now. Best I can hope for is a top 5 album I guess.
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