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| How many weeks will 'Drivers License' spend at number one? |
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 Feb 4 2021, 02:11 PM
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#1
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 BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 10 March 2006
Posts: 19,166 User: 151 
  
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So Olivia Rodrigo is on course to secure a 4th week at number one this Friday, but how long do we think she'll spend at the top in total? It's clear that it will take something huge to dethrone her so will she do the unimaginable and challenge Bryan Adams' record (16 weeks), as some are predicting? Or will ACR kick in and dethrone her at the earliest opportunity?
This post has been edited by Mangø: Feb 4 2021, 03:03 PM |
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Feb 4 2021, 02:13 PM
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#2
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 🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,549 User: 11,746
           
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9 weeks then an ACR-induced fall seems most likely. Unless this new Cardi B song really takes off, or Drake releases a huge instant smash soon.
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Feb 4 2021, 03:05 PM
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#3
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 4 November 2013
Posts: 30,513 User: 20,053
  
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14 weeks let's say.
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Feb 4 2021, 03:05 PM
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#4
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 20 April 2009
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I went for 7-9 weeks and then knocked off organically. At the moment Drivers License is losing around 20% per week. That drop off should reduce in the weeks to come but even so in a few weeks it won't take something that big to knock it off. That's unless she gets a boost from somewhere or stabilises very soon.
At the moment I'd say it's looking more like a Head & Heart sized hit than a Blinding Lights sized hit in the long run (even though neither of those had a six figure week like Drivers License). |
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Feb 26 2021, 05:40 PM
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#5
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This custom member title has been edited by jimwatts
Joined: 28 August 2017
Posts: 10,676 User: 38,591
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3 people definitely got it wrong so far...
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Feb 26 2021, 05:43 PM
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#6
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 4 November 2013
Posts: 30,513 User: 20,053
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QUOTE(Dobbo. @ Feb 4 2021, 03:05 PM)  14 weeks let's say. Haha we're only just half way through its reign if this actually happens 
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Feb 26 2021, 05:53 PM
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#7
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 19 November 2014
Posts: 1,409 User: 21,383
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I’ve said before that she’s coming for Bryan Adams and I’m standing by that hahaha
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Feb 26 2021, 08:52 PM
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#8
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 22 December 2009
Posts: 30,307 User: 10,275
  
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9 wks and ACR is probably happening.
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Feb 26 2021, 08:54 PM
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#9
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THE BLAZE *.*
Joined: 27 December 2012
Posts: 24,309 User: 18,061
   
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Tbh, I am not massive on the song but I am glad that it is a female getting this success rather than the random male rappers and Ed Sheeran.
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Feb 26 2021, 08:57 PM
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#10
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 you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 121,605 User: 13,530           
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The last song to spend longer at #1 was... Dance Monkey
 I'm just glad it's happening to a good song  
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Feb 26 2021, 09:01 PM
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#11
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Infamy Infamy they all got it in for me
Joined: 5 March 2006
Posts: 129,134 User: 2
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QUOTE(chartjack2 @ Feb 26 2021, 05:53 PM) I’ve said before that she’s coming for Bryan Adams and I’m standing by that hahaha Not likely to happen, but I shall bookmark this page   |
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Feb 26 2021, 10:58 PM
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#12
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🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,549 User: 11,746
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QUOTE(dan :: G @ Feb 4 2021, 02:13 PM) 9 weeks then an ACR-induced fall seems most likely. Unless this new Cardi B song really takes off, or Drake releases a huge instant smash soon. well it's week 7 and she's had a decline, so it looks like my initial suspicion of 9 weeks is going to be right - unless she gets some boost out of nowhere. I can't see Drake releasing in the next 2 weeks, and there's no guarantee that he'll go straight to #1 either. Her closest competition in Lil Tjay is declining faster than she is, so it's unlikely he'll overtake. The only thing that could unseat her before ACR is if another surprise instant smash gets put out. |
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Feb 26 2021, 11:03 PM
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#13
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 10 March 2006
Posts: 19,166 User: 151
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QUOTE(Mart!n @ Feb 26 2021, 09:01 PM) Not likely to happen, but I shall bookmark this page 'Friday' will be the song to knock Olivia off the top and you can bookmark that
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Feb 27 2021, 12:20 AM
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#14
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 is my brain across your walls?
Joined: 14 February 2009
Posts: 115,055 User: 8,300
       
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QUOTE(dan :: G @ Feb 26 2021, 10:58 PM) well it's week 7 and she's had a decline, so it looks like my initial suspicion of 9 weeks is going to be right - unless she gets some boost out of nowhere. I can't see Drake releasing in the next 2 weeks, and there's no guarantee that he'll go straight to #1 either. Her closest competition in Lil Tjay is declining faster than she is, so it's unlikely he'll overtake. The only thing that could unseat her before ACR is if another surprise instant smash gets put out. Possible that Joel Corry could blow up quickly again? (That's certainly the only new release this week that has even the tiniest chance of being a contender and it'll be next week if at all). Agreeing it's most likely now that she'll get to 9 weeks then get ACRed off the top though unless there is a big release next week that we don't know about yet. QUOTE(Mangø @ Feb 26 2021, 11:03 PM) 'Friday' will be the song to knock Olivia off the top and you can bookmark that God willing, no xx |
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Feb 27 2021, 01:24 AM
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#15
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 10 March 2006
Posts: 19,166 User: 151
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Yeah I guess if we're being objective then Joel Corry is probably the most likely contender to topple her.
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Feb 27 2021, 12:55 PM
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#16
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Radical Pink Troll
Joined: 11 March 2006
Posts: 26,599 User: 177
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At this point, too many weeks. I wasn’t fussed with it to start with but it’s really grating now.
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Mar 12 2021, 07:48 PM
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#17
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 20 April 2009
Posts: 8,516 User: 8,705
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Well we pretty much have our answer to this now, though we still need to find out whether it would have had a 10th week if not for ACR (quite likely not it seems).
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Mar 19 2021, 05:48 PM
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#18
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This custom member title has been edited by jimwatts
Joined: 28 August 2017
Posts: 10,676 User: 38,591
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Everyone who voted 7-9 weeks and No (as I did) was correct. Even without ACR, Olivia would have fallen to #4 this week!
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