Time for GE result predictions |
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7th June 2017, 03:06 PM
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#61
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,676 User: 3,272 |
I made a thing Basically that's details (for South England at least) on my revised prediction (which is actually just one above my original majority prediction in this thread funnily enough, honestly did not plan it like that), now I've had a brief glance at every seat, of: Conservatives: 351 Labour: 215 LD: 13 SNP: 45 Others: 26 I tried to talk about every seat but quickly realised that'd be crazy so I stopped that somewhere around the Midlands when I realised I knew so few details about anything further north than Swindon that I should just make predictions. I have a few outlandish individual things in there like Nuttall winning (reasoning: 50% a guess that anti-Tory and Leave votes will unite around HIM there, 50% by the time I got to Lincolnshire I was slightly bored) but the overall numbers are close to what I'm currently feeling will be the case, which is I'm feeling the slight Tory majority for sure but it'll be mostly small changes. Interesting stuff! We'll see how well you do. |
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7th June 2017, 03:28 PM
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#62
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 7 February 2013
Posts: 11,972 User: 18,293 |
Chester was 'only' 47% leave, but given the majority for Labour there (and the pulling out of UKIP) it's hard to see it being anything other than a CON GAIN really.. I think Labour should hold here. Chris Matheson is really popular here (there's loads of vote labour signs around) and he's he seems to be doing everything he can to remain the MP. I've hardly heard anything from the Conservative candidate and absolutely nothing from the Lib Dem one. Overall, I think the Conservatives will slightly increase their majority. But it's going to be nothing like May imagined when she first announced the election. |
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7th June 2017, 11:46 PM
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#63
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is in hibernation
Joined: 24 August 2014
Posts: 11,385 User: 21,161 |
The shy-Tory effect should (sadly ) still result in a fairly large majority for them with LibLab losing seats. I wouldn't know MUCH about English seat numbers so I'll just predict Scottish ones (optimistic face on ):
SNP: 47 (losing Dunartonshire two border seats, two Edinburgh seats, Fife Ne, Moray, West Aberdeenshire, Angus and North Perthshire to the tories) Tories: 10 Labour: 1 Liberal Democrat: 2 (Jo Swinson coming back, they also could possibly gain Edinburgh west from the SNP) |
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8th June 2017, 02:58 AM
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#64
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,157 User: 5,138 |
You think Robertson will lose his seat?
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8th June 2017, 01:57 PM
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#65
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Attack Dog/Sass Queen
Joined: 29 January 2008
Posts: 16,022 User: 5,342 |
The Lib Dems seem fairly confident from their canvassing returns that they'll scalp Kate Hoey
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