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| Early Predictions // Little Mix V Bruno Mars V Metallica, 18th of November album chart battle |
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 Oct 14 2016, 09:57 AM
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#1
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,023 User: 19,931 
    
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Unless you count Emeli Sande's release the week before, this is the biggest album release week in Q4 (unless there's more to announce).
Other releases that week include DNCE and Louisa Johnson. If you have the opinion of "I need to hear Little Mix's song", wait and vote after Sunday. |
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Oct 14 2016, 10:34 AM
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#2
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 🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,540 User: 11,746
            
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Metallica have a HUGE fambase so I think they'll get the number one. The other two are strong album sellers too but their sales will be more spread out.
About 70k for the number one I think considering the time of year |
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Oct 14 2016, 10:38 AM
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#3
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,023 User: 19,931
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Little Mix sold 60k in their first week last year and have grown in popularity hugely, so i think they'll do around 75k this year. i think Metallica could do around 90k though, unless they under-perform. I think Bruno might be the biggest overall seller, but as Dan said will be spread out.
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Oct 14 2016, 11:13 AM
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#4
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BuzzJack Idol
Joined: 8 December 2010
Posts: 50,947 User: 12,472
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Very hard to predict actually. I think Bruno, Little Mix and Metallica will have the Top 3 on lock, with Emeli Sande falling to #4 and Olly Murs falling to #5 (not taking into account any promo we're not yet aware of that could influence the matter) and I'd be inclined to say the Top 3 would be in the order I gave, although I feel it could be close. As Joe said, ~75k would be a sensible climb in sales from the debut sales of Little Mix's previous album; if Bruno was to sell half the debut sales of his previous album (136k) that would put him around the 70k mark; and Metallica's last studio album sold 75k to debut at #1 back in 2008 - I realise how the market has changed in that time but Metallica seem like the sort of act who can keep hold of their fanbase really well, plus I just feel like these sort of acts seem to defy the collapsing market anyway.
I feel like it could be too early for any of these albums to pass 100k in their first week (excluding Adele, it took until the w/e 17th December for albums to start hitting 100k) but I think 70k+ seems very likely. Maybe Bruno or Little Mix could come close to reaching 100k on Christmas week? Little Mix did after all reach 70k on that week last year. |
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Oct 14 2016, 11:22 AM
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#5
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,023 User: 19,931
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Expanding on what Liam said, even though I voted for a front-loaded Metallica, I do think Little Mix could surprise, especially with Bruno Mars' single not quite being the instant top 3 hit people were expecting.
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Oct 14 2016, 11:25 AM
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#6
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 23 September 2012
Posts: 2,177 User: 17,608 
 
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I have a feeling it'll be a repeat of the Little Mix/Ellie Goulding/Elvis situation last year, with Little Mix managing to outsell Bruno despite pre-release expectations, but then ultimately losing out to Metallica. I'd absolutely love the girls to nab their first #1 album though.
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Oct 14 2016, 07:33 PM
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#7
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3:23
Joined: 18 January 2008
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the way 2016 is going i fully expect metallica to take the #1 on sales of ~50k~~
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Oct 14 2016, 07:48 PM
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#8
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 4 November 2013
Posts: 30,513 User: 20,053
  
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Surely Metallica have this in the bag, massive sales too.
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Oct 14 2016, 07:49 PM
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#9
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 Break the tension
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 88,912 User: 51
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Something tells me Little Mix are gonna snatch this.
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Oct 14 2016, 10:03 PM
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#10
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 10 April 2016
Posts: 27,025 User: 23,155     
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A few predictions of mine...
LM will be even more HUGE this time around, debuting with about 80-90K! Bruno Mars will flop (for him, anyway), debuting with about 30-40K. Emeli Sandé will be lucky to scrape 20K. Regarding Louisa Johnson and DNCE, I'd say that they could both debut with 10M This post has been edited by cqmerqn: Oct 14 2016, 10:04 PM |
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Oct 15 2016, 12:06 AM
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#11
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 I found the love, I found the love in me
Pronouns: He/Him
Joined: 13 December 2007 Posts: 87,435 User: 5,042
 
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My predix
Bruno - 80k Metallica - 79k Little Mix - 73.5k I honestly believe it'll be THAT close. I hope Little Mix can surprise but I'm not so sure. Especially when they won't have XF the week the album is released so, unless they can nab Graham Norton then I doubt they'll be able to beat Metallica or Bruno. |
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Oct 15 2016, 04:46 AM
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#12
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 26 May 2016
Posts: 1,750 User: 23,311
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I think it'll be Metallica, Bruno and Little Mix, but I have hopes of Little Mix snatching that #1 that's long overdue. If that's not possible I'd love for them to debut higher than Bruno at least for a number of reasons, but mainly for people to stop dismissing the power of those negatively deemed as "local" acts.
This post has been edited by caseclosed: Oct 15 2016, 04:46 AM |
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Oct 15 2016, 07:37 AM
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#13
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 4 November 2009
Posts: 938 User: 9,878
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I've just checked I-Tunes and Bruno Mars's album release has been moved to the 19th. That is a strange move if that turns out to be true
I would love to see Little Mix nab the top spot as they have had a no.2, No. 3 and No. 4 album. I still think it will be a battle between Metallica and Bruno with Metallica nabbing it. |
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Oct 16 2016, 10:43 PM
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#14
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i can only do one normal thing a day
Joined: 25 July 2011
Posts: 19,618 User: 14,428
 
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Little Mix are my call~ could easily pass 100k given how big they are now. And I reckon the Bruno will get the #2 just ahead of Metallica in a fairly safe Top 3
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Oct 16 2016, 11:05 PM
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#15
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🙄
Joined: 14 February 2010
Posts: 53,654 User: 10,643
   
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Little Mix.
Although Bruno's album seems to be released a day later according to iTunes? If Bruno manages to get an X Factor slot / Graham Norton slot upon release then Bruno could snatch it. |
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Oct 16 2016, 11:12 PM
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#16
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 21 November 2009
Posts: 8,545 User: 10,030
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I think Bruno will get it quite easily.
#1 Bruno Mars 105k+ #2 Metallica 85k #3 Little Mix 75k Especially if Bruno performs on the X-factor. |
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Oct 16 2016, 11:32 PM
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#17
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,023 User: 19,931
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I reckon Little Mix will get either Graham Norton or even an itv special on release week to counteract a Buno X Factor performance.
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Oct 19 2016, 11:57 AM
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#18
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Am just a girl who wishes for the world - Marilyn Monroe ♥
Joined: 8 July 2010
Posts: 3,201 User: 11,449
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I think Little Mix could actually do this, They opened with 60k last year with get weird and have become alot more popular since then, We shall see though but I wouldn't rule them out.
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Oct 19 2016, 12:23 PM
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#19
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 29 January 2010
Posts: 1,287 User: 10,540
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Metallica have been available to pre-order for a lot longer but I think LIttle Mix might pinch it.
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Oct 19 2016, 12:47 PM
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#20
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 November 2015
Posts: 33,187 User: 22,665
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think it's between Little Mix and Metallica, think Bruno will under perform , he could debut under 50K at #3 while LM and Metallica will be closer to 100K. I'd say #1 LM #2 Metallica
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