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> Eurovision Song Contest 2016 · Running Order Discussion
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LexC
post 1st April 2016, 03:05 PM
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trolololololol

The ACTUAL order is allegedly coming out on Tuesday.
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AdamAloud
post 4th April 2016, 04:13 PM
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The running order will be published on Friday.
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Ryan.
post 4th April 2016, 04:28 PM
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What a mess! Rumours are the Reference Group actually rejected the order and swapped a couple of countries around, and with the news of the delay it could be true.
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AdamAloud
post 4th April 2016, 04:32 PM
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Perhaps their running order was quite biased towards their Nordic friends.
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LexC
post 4th April 2016, 04:39 PM
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I don't really get why you'd reject an order/how random it'd have to be for TPTB to throw it out so I'm more inclined to believe it just isn't finalised yet.
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AdamAloud
post 8th April 2016, 07:02 AM
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RUNNING ORDER

Semi-Final 1
1. Finland
2. Greece
3. Moldova
4. Hungary
5. Croatia
6. The Netherlands
7. Armenia
8. San Marino
9. Russia
10. Czech Republic
11. Cyprus
12. Austria
13. Estonia
14. Azerbaijan
15. Montenegro
16. Iceland
17. Bosnia & Herzegovina
18. Malta

Semi-Final 2
1. Latvia
2. Poland
3. Switzerland
4. Israel
5. Belarus
6. Serbia
7. Ireland
8. FYR Macedonia
9. Lithuania
10. Australia
11. Slovenia
12. Romania
13. Bulgaria
14. Denmark
15. Ukraine
16. Norway
17. Georgia
18. Albania
19. Belgium
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p a v
post 8th April 2016, 12:07 PM
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russia going right after san marino. i think this seals the deal for both of the countries haha

if this undermines czech republic's chances for going through i will not be happy tho

the first ~12 minutes in the semi one are going to be pretty bleak ;_; but hopefully with one of the top 3 songs of the year (hungary, duh) going next, situation will change~
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Iz 🌟
post 8th April 2016, 12:34 PM
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Well I just hope the longer semi has people setting in for fatigue for the last two songs in semi 2. Macedonia may have got a chance back.

If this sees Greece out I won't be happy. All countries with 100% Q records to keep them please.
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Ryan.
post 8th April 2016, 01:39 PM
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I think we will lose one of the group of Hungary, Croatia, The Netherlands and Armenia now that they are all drawn together and I'd probably have to go with Hungary missing out. Czech Republic will stand out very nicely between Russia and Cyprus, but I'd still have preferred a later running order for them as they are very borderline. Bosnia & Herzegovina are even safer now with that draw and love the fact that the most recent addition to Warner Music Sweden's artist roster has got the pimp slot, although it was always going to be between Malta and Iceland anyway you would've thought.

Didn't see the Latvia opening coming, but listening to the recap that draw does wonders for Israel as it really stands out and I think that could be sneaking through now. Lithuania are even safer now, and I'm still shocked Donny has such poor odds - if this was Sweden's entry everyone would be calling top 10 in the final. Macedonia look safer now too, originally had them sneaking through and I still think they will. Australia of course get the best slot possible and Bulgaria should hopefully stand out in that 11-15 area as long as Romania don't become too novelty in their staging and take all the attention. So pleased for Laura and I think she could be going through now as I don't think none of the last three in a semi have ever not qualified at least since 2009 and I can't see Georgia and Albania doing it.
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AdamAloud
post 8th April 2016, 01:52 PM
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QUOTE(Ryan. @ Apr 8 2016, 02:39 PM) *
and love the fact that the most recent addition to Warner Music Sweden's artist roster has got the pimp slot


biggrin.gif

Never change Ryan
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ScottyEm
post 8th April 2016, 03:13 PM
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Greece in the death slot will hopefully help get kicked out of the final, they really are at the mercy of the dyaspora. Relatively strong year, I'll be furious if his gets in even over a complete outsider like Moldova.

This post has been edited by ScottyEm: 8th April 2016, 03:14 PM
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LexC
post 8th April 2016, 04:41 PM
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Bosnia and Belgium are the obvious biggest winners from that draw with Greece, Hungary and probably Poland as the biggest losers. I'd hazard a guess at the breaks being after the 6th and 13th songs so the Dutch and Bulgarians ought to be a bit more confident if that's the case.
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AdamAloud
post 18th April 2016, 01:46 PM
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Fans of STATS, look this way!!

I've compiled a chart of the semis since the two semi final system was introduced and highlighted all the qualifiers, to see if there are any patterns for qualifying from the running order.



Best position to qualify: #14 (7 Q's out of 8), #07, #10, #12, #15 (6 Q's out of 8)
Worst position to qualify: #04, #11 (1 Q out of 8), #01, #03 (2 Q's out of 8)

Also worth to note that positions #17, #18 and #19 have all qualified when there has been enough participants, so good news for Bosnia & Herzegovina and Malta!



Best position to qualify: #13 (7 Q's out of 8), #01, #06, #14 (6 Q's out of 8)
Worst position to qualify: #05 (2 Q's out of 8)

Interestingly, the only time a song hasn't qualified from #13 was Bulgaria with Miro!

I know running order isn't the be all and end all for qualifying, as a good song will qualify from any position, but I find it interesting that going first in semi 1 is usually a bad thing but going first in semi 2 is quite good for your chances!
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Iz 🌟
post 18th April 2016, 01:57 PM
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Ah, I was already too nervous for Cyprus. But that is an interesting lot of stats, I'll look forward to seeing what goes against those patterns in May.
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J❄️hq
post 18th April 2016, 03:29 PM
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QUOTE(AdamAloud @ Apr 18 2016, 02:46 PM) *
but I find it interesting that going first in semi 1 is usually a bad thing but going first in semi 2 is quite good for your chances!


I found that interesting to see so I went to remind myself which countries are opening this year and had to laugh at how that looks very unlikely to change laugh.gif
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Ryan.
post 18th April 2016, 03:35 PM
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Amazing spreadsheets! *.*
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AdamAloud
post 8th May 2016, 05:10 PM
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Germany draws 1st half
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AdamAloud
post 8th May 2016, 05:19 PM
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Italy draws 1st half
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RobBot
post 8th May 2016, 05:22 PM
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Opening up for a UK second half, fingers crossed! We bloody need it...
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LexC
post 8th May 2016, 05:22 PM
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Well I guess that's Germany doomed (as if we didn't know that already).
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