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Posted by: Josh. 3rd September 2016, 10:58 AM

Thought it might be quite fun to start hyping next year's Oscars and who might get nominated now that we're out of Summer and heading into Oscar's season.

So far I think the trailers for Manchester by the Sea, The Founder, La La Land, The Light Between Oceans and Lion look great so I'd like to see them get nominations.

However, TLBO has already been released in the US and isn't getting great reviews so now I'm a bit worried about its chances. I'd like to see all three of Vikander, Fassbenders and Weisz get nominations at least but it seems its chances are slipping

Posted by: Josh. 3rd September 2016, 11:00 AM

I thought I'd do some (very, very) early predictions on the nominees and winners which might be fun to look back on.

BEST PICTURE
Arrival
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Fences
La La Land
Loving
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Silence
The Jungle Book
The Birth of a Nation

BEST LEAD ACTOR
Joel Edgerton - Loving
Michael Keaton - The Founder
Casey Affleck - Manchester by the Sea
Nate Parker - The Birth of a Nation
Ryan Gosling - La La Land

BEST LEAD ACTRESS
Alicia Vikander - The Light Between Oceans
Emma Stone - La La Land
Jessica Chastain - Miss Sloane
Ruth Negga - Loving
Viola Davis - Fences

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Armie Hammer - The Birth of a Nation
John Goodman - 10 Cloverfield Lane
Liam Neeson - Silence
Lucas Hedges - Manchester by the Sea
Steve Martin - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Aja Naomi King – The Birth of a Nation
Elle Fanning - 20th Century Women
Kristen Stewart - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Michelle Williams - Manchester by the Sea
Octavia Spencer - Hidden Figures

BEST DIRECTOR
Ang Lee - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Nate Parker - The Birth of a Nation
Jeff Nichols - Loving
Damien Chazelle - La La Land
Kenneth Lonergan - Manchester by the Sea

Posted by: Regina 3rd September 2016, 11:18 AM

This HAS to be Amy Adams' year, it better be anyway. She is getting rave reviews for Arrival and Nocturnal Animals and I think both movies will be gettings tons of
press and hype so she'll be benefiting from that. Not seen any clips of NA yet but she really delivers in what I've seen of Arrival.
Tom Ford could get a nom for Best Director for Nocturnal Animals too.

I can see Arrival being the Interstellar/Gravity/The Martian of the year tbh.

Thinking DaddyCasey will get a nom and maybe a win, but then, I am biased like I am with Amy. Maybe at a push Jeremy Renner for Arrival.

Posted by: blacksquare 3rd September 2016, 01:13 PM

I am leaning more towards Viola Davis who won a Tony for the same role in Fences. She was robbed last time as well.

Amy Adams having two strong lead roles could be split votes and leave her without a nomination, especially if the competition is strong.

Posted by: Ultraviolence1989 3rd September 2016, 02:23 PM

Great to see you start this Josh! Jahq & I will be bringing up some Oscar topics over the next couple of weeks so stayed tuned for those!

I'll do some predictions later but think it'll be between Billy Lynn & Fences with Silence making a play if it makes this year! (La La Land & Arrival I can also see doing really well!)

Also hope Birth Of A Nation completely fails to get anything, though I'm really starting to think the backlash is deservedly going to stop it getting anywhere near Oscar nominations hopefully.

Posted by: blacksquare 3rd September 2016, 02:29 PM

QUOTE(Ultraviolence1989 @ Sep 3 2016, 03:23 PM)

Posted by: Ultraviolence1989 3rd September 2016, 05:34 PM

Ok some very early predictions from me also! I'm sticking with my Birth Of A Nation full snub & I think Passengers will be delayed

I think Fences may be the first movie to win the big 5 in years.

EDIT: Forgot about Hell Or High Water, edited that in to a couple of the categories!

BEST PICTURE
Confident on at the moment unless they get delayed/completely flop
1. Fences
2. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
3. Silence

Potential winner if above stumble
4. La La Land

Early reviews say yes!
5. Arrival
6. Moonlight
7. Loving
8. Manchester by the Sea
9. Nocturnal Animals
10. Hell Or High Water

ALTS: Hidden Figures, Lion, 20th Century Women


BEST LEAD ACTOR
1. Denzel Washington- Fences
2. Casey Affleck - Manchester by the Sea
3. Ryan Gosling - La La Land
4. Joel Edgerton - Loving
5. Joe Alywn- Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk

ALTS: Andrew Garfield (Silence), Jake Gylleenhaal (Nocturnal Animals), Tom Hanks (Sully), Miles Teller (Bleed For This), Trevante Rhodes (Moonlight)

BEST LEAD ACTRESS
1. Viola Davis - Fences
2. Emma Stone - La La Land
3. Amy Adams- Arrival
4. Ruth Negga- Loving
5. Annette Benning- 20th Century Women

ALTS: Natalie Portman (Jackie), Amy Adams (Nocturnal Animals), Jessica Chastain (Miss Sloane), Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins), Emily Blunt (The Girl On The Train), Rebecca Hall (Christine)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Steve Martin - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
2. Liam Neeson - Silence
3. Mahershala Ali- Moonlight
4. Michael Shannon- Nocturnal Animals
5. Jeff Bridges- Hell Or High Water

ALTS: Warren Beatty (Rules Don't Apply), John Legend (La La Land), Aaron Eckhart (Sully), Armie Hammer (The Birth of a Nation), Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea), Kyle Chandler (Manchester By The Sea)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Kristen Stewart - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
2. Naomie Harris- Moonlight
3. Michelle Williams - Manchester by the Sea
4. Elle Fanning - 20th Century Women
5. Dakota Fanning- American Pastoral

ALTS: Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women), Aja Naomi King (The Birth of a Nation), Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures), Rachel Weisz (The Light Between Oceans), Laura Linney (Nocturnal Animals)

BEST DIRECTOR
1. Denzel Washington- Fences
2. Ang Lee - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
3. Damien Chazelle - La La Land
4. Martin Scorsese- Silence
5. Denis Villenvenue- Arrival

ALTS: Barry Jenkins (Moonlight), Jeff Nichols (Loving), Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea), Tom Ford (Nocturnal Animals)

Posted by: Regina 3rd September 2016, 05:42 PM

Arrival having 100% on Rotten Tomatoes tho *.* omg, Slaymy Adams is coming bitches.

Posted by: Ultraviolence1989 13th September 2016, 04:03 PM

Jackie has been picked up by Fox Searchlight and will now be released this year! It's meant to be fantastic and I can see this being a big contender for Natalie Portman!

Posted by: Josh. 13th September 2016, 06:25 PM

Oo, very excited to see Jackie because I've seen it get great reviews, glad it's coming out sooner rather than later. I think Natalie will be a lock on for a nomination but I think they'd be more likely to give the award to Viola Davis or Amy Adams, perhaps Jessica Chastain as they're a bit more overdue.

Posted by: Regina 13th September 2016, 07:19 PM

Viola only has two nominations, give it to Amy tbh she's been waiting longer.

Posted by: Ultraviolence1989 1st October 2016, 12:09 PM

*Updated Predicts

BEST PICTURE
1. Fences
2. La La Land
3. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
4. Silence
5. Jackie
6. Arrival
7. Moonlight
8. Loving
9. Manchester by the Sea
10. Nocturnal Animals

ALTS (In Order): Lion, Sully, A Monster Calls, Hidden Figures, 20th Century Women, The Jungle Book, Hell Or High Water, Passengers, The Girl On The Train, Hacksaw Ridge

BEST LEAD ACTOR
1. Denzel Washington- Fences
2. Casey Affleck - Manchester by the Sea
3. Ryan Gosling - La La Land
4. Joel Edgerton - Loving
5. Joe Alywn- Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk

ALTS: Tom Hanks (Sully), Miles Teller (Bleed For This), Jake Gylleenhaal (Nocturnal Animals), Andrew Garfield (Silence), Trevante Rhodes (Moonlight)

BEST LEAD ACTRESS
1. Emma Stone - La La Land
2. Viola Davis - Fences
3. Natalie Portman- Jackie
4. Ruth Negga- Loving
5. Amy Adams- Arrival

ALTS: Annette Bening (20th Century Women) , Amy Adams (Nocturnal Animals), Jessica Chastain (Miss Sloane), Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins), Emily Blunt (The Girl On The Train), Rebecca Hall (Christine)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Steve Martin - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
2. Liam Neeson - Silence
3. Michael Shannon- Nocturnal Animals
4. Mahershala Ali- Moonlight
5. Aaron Eckhart- Bleed For This

ALTS: Warren Beatty (Rules Don't Apply), Jeff Bridges (Hell Or High Water), John Legend (La La Land), Aaron Eckhart (Sully), John Goodman (10 Cloverfield Lane), Peter Sarsgaard (Jackie), Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea), Alden Ehrenreich (Hail, Caesar), Kyle Chandler (Manchester By The Sea)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Kristen Stewart - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
2. Naomie Harris- Moonlight
3. Michelle Williams - Manchester by the Sea
4. Margo Martindale- The Hollars
5. Laura Linney- Nocturnal Animals

ALTS: Nicole Kidman (Lion), Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures), Elle Fanning (20th Century Women), Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women), Haley Bennett (The Girl On The Train), Rachel Weisz (The Light Between Oceans)

BEST DIRECTOR
1. Denzel Washington- Fences
2. Damien Chazelle - La La Land
3. Ang Lee - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
4. Martin Scorsese- Silence
5. Denis Villenvenue- Arrival

ALTS: Barry Jenkins (Moonlight), Pablo Larrain (Jackie), Jeff Nichols (Loving), Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea), Tom Ford (Nocturnal Animals)

Posted by: Ultraviolence1989 1st October 2016, 12:11 PM

Also I think The Birth Of A Nation is completely dead now in all categories. Especially now Fox Searchlight have picked up Jackie and Nate Parker getting worse and worse as this promotional campaign goes on

Posted by: Ultraviolence1989 4th October 2016, 11:00 PM

Live By Night (the new Ben Affleck directed/starring movie) is back in the race as an Oscar qualifying run at Christmas has just been confirmed!

Posted by: blacksquare 6th October 2016, 09:02 AM

It really could be another for Portman

Posted by: Ultraviolence1989 16th October 2016, 06:33 PM

And it looks like bye bye Billy Lynn also from the contenders, they're dropping like flies this year

After seeing Manchester By The Sea, I really wouldn't be surprised to see both Affleck and Williams pick up wins!

Posted by: Josh. 16th October 2016, 07:51 PM

Billy Lynn's hype does seem to have vanished overnight somehow. I think it might still gets noms for Best Picture and perhaps director for Ang Lee but not so sure on Steve Martin/Kristen Stewart anymore.

Posted by: Ultraviolence1989 16th October 2016, 08:01 PM

Reviews are really poor after its film festival premiere. Stewart and techs are its only chance I think now unless it majorly recovers!

Posted by: Josh. 16th October 2016, 08:26 PM

Agree with you about Manchester by the Sea on the acting front so thought I might update my predictions (winners in bold again):

BEST PICTURE
“La La Land”
“Fences”
“20th Century Women”
“Manchester by the Sea”
“Lion”
“Jackie”
“Silence”
“Loving”
“Moonlight”
“Arrival”

BEST ACTOR
Denzel Washington – “Fences”
Tom Hanks – “Sully“
Ryan Gosling – “La La Land“
Casey Affleck – “Manchester by the Sea“
Joel Edgerton – “Loving“

BEST ACTRESS
Jessica Chastain – “Miss Sloane”
Viola Davis – “Fences”
Ruth Negga – “Loving“
Natalie Portman – “Jackie“
Emma Stone – “La La Land“

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Mahershala Ali – “Moonlight“
Michael Shannon – “Nocturnal Animals“
Liam Neeson – “Silence”
Peter Sarsgaard – “Jackie“
Jeff Bridges – “Hell or High Water“

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Kristen Stewart – “Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk”
Naomie Harris – “Moonlight“
Nicole Kidman – “Lion“
Michelle Williams – “Manchester by the Sea“
Octavia Spencer – “Hidden Figures”

BEST DIRECTOR
Damien Chazelle – “La La Land“
Martin Scorsese – “Silence”
Pablo Larraín – “Jackie“
Kenneth Lonergan – “Manchester by the Sea“
Denis Villenueve – “Arrival“

Posted by: Regina 24th October 2016, 03:42 PM

Viola has been submitted for Supporting Actress for the SAGs so I'm guessing that means she'll be a supporting for the other awards too.

Posted by: Josh. 24th October 2016, 06:03 PM

That's good news actually, she should be able to walk that category due to the relatively weak competition aside from Michelle Williams so she'll get her win so we could see one of Natalie Portman and Emma Stone win the main category. Then it gives the likes of Amy Adams/Jessica Chastain more chance to get a nomination too so hopefully that is the case when the Oscar noms do come out

Posted by: blacksquare 28th October 2016, 06:08 PM

It seems like there is a lot of competition this year?!

The female lead is PACKED. Viola made a good move.

Posted by: J▲hq 14th November 2016, 12:18 PM

I've just read that Dev Patel is now campaigning supporting for 'Lion' Ugh, just because the supporting categories seem to have an easier ride. The movie is about his character, he's playing the main character (albeit I don't know what the ratio of flashbacks/present day is)

Posted by: Samantha1989 15th January 2017, 12:27 AM

Bumping this for nominations coming out on Tuesday (?)

Posted by: Samantha1989 23rd January 2017, 05:51 PM

I'm ill so will be watching the nominations live tomorrow!

Hoping for a LLL sweep!

Posted by: Josh. 23rd January 2017, 07:06 PM

FINAL PREDICTIONS (and changes since last time illustrated) , eeek so excited

BEST PICTURE
Moonlight
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea
Fences
Lion ^^^^^^^
--------------
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge vvvvvvvvv
Hidden Figures
-------------
Hell or High Water
Silence

BEST ACTOR
Denzel Washington – “Fences“
Viggo Mortensen – “Captain Fantastic“
Casey Affleck – “Manchester by the Sea“
Ryan Gosling – “La La Land“
Andrew Garfield – “Hacksaw Ridge“

BEST ACTRESS
Amy Adams – “Arrival“
Emma Stone – “La La Land“
Natalie Portman – “Jackie“
Isabelle Huppert – “Elle“
Meryl Streep – “Florence Foster Jenkins“

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Mahershala Ali – “Moonlight“
Hugh Grant – “Florence Foster Jenkins“
Jeff Bridges – “Hell or High Water“
Dev Patel – “Lion“
Lucas Hedges – “Manchester by the Sea“

(IN; Lucas Hedges) (OUT; Aaron Taylor-Johnson)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Viola Davis – “Fences“
Octavia Spencer – “Hidden Figures“
Nicole Kidman – “Lion“
Michelle Williams – “Manchester by the Sea“
Naomie Harris – “Moonlight“

BEST DIRECTOR
Damien Chazelle – “La La Land“
Kenneth Lonergan – “Manchester by the Sea“
Barry Jenkins – “Moonlight“
Denis Villeneuve – “Arrival“
Garth Davis – “Lion“

(IN; Garth Davis – “Lion“) (OUT; Mel Gibson – “Hacksaw Ridge“)

For some reason, I feel less confident about Aaron Taylor-Johnson at the moment and feel like someone else might sneak it which will be a shame I feel a bit like Lion is picking up a bit of hype at the moment too.

Also, I think best actress is tough to call. I still feel like Emily Blunt, Ruth Negga or Jessica Chastain could all make the cut.

Posted by: Samantha1989 24th January 2017, 01:03 PM

15 minutes! Anyone else watching?!

Posted by: Samantha1989 24th January 2017, 01:20 PM

SUPPORTING ACTOR
MAhershala Ali
Jeff Bridges
Lucas Hedges
Dev Patel
Micahel Shannon

No ATJ!!

Posted by: Samantha1989 24th January 2017, 01:22 PM

ACTOR
Casey Affleck
Andrew Garfield- Hackswaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling
Viggo Mortensen
Denzel Washington

Yasss Ryan <3

Posted by: Samantha1989 24th January 2017, 01:23 PM

La La Land in both sound editing/mixing yasssssss!!!! First ever musical to be in one of those categories of all time! It's coming! <3

Also 13 Hours and Deepwater Horizon are now Oscar nomianted films! And Passengres!

KUBO IN VISUAL EFFECTS!!!!!!!!!! <3 Second ever animated film there I think!

Posted by: Samantha1989 24th January 2017, 01:24 PM

Allied & Suicide Squad also Oscar nominated! The bad reviwed films coming out in all force today!

ORIGINAL SONG
Audition- LLL
Can't Stop The FEeling- Trolls
City Of Stars- LLL
Empty Chair- Jim: The James Foley Story????
How Far I'll Go- Moana


Arrival snubbed in VFX

Gosh I'm double posting a lot!!

Posted by: Samantha1989 24th January 2017, 01:32 PM

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Hell Or High Water
La La Land
The Lobster
Manchester By The Sea
20th Century Woman

ADAPTED SCREENPALY
Arrival
Fences
Hidden Figures
Lion
Moonlight

Posted by: Samantha1989 24th January 2017, 01:33 PM

ANIMATED
Kubo
Moana
My Life As A Zucchini
Red Turtle
Zootopia

SupportginA Ctress
Viola Davis
Naomie Harris
Nicole Kidman
Octavia Spencer
Michelle Williams

Posted by: Samantha1989 24th January 2017, 01:34 PM

Actress
Huppert
Negga
Portman
Stone <3
STreep

Posted by: Samantha1989 24th January 2017, 01:34 PM

NO AMY ADAMS????!!!

Also Hackasw in directing

Posted by: Samantha1989 24th January 2017, 01:35 PM

PICTURE
Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell Or High Water
HIdden Figures
La La Land <3
Lion
Manchester By The Sea
Moonlight

Posted by: Josh. 22nd February 2017, 05:17 PM

Thought some people might like this, I love all the films but it was pretty funny. I liked 'Squid Words' and the La La Land costume design joke

Posted by: Regina 22nd February 2017, 05:30 PM