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> PREDICT: Ariana Grandes opening sales + peak, Positions - 6th Album - 30 October
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AG6 sales/peak predictions UK
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iain
post Oct 18 2020, 11:11 AM
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QUOTE(ts7sfkptm @ Oct 18 2020, 10:41 AM) *
I'm sure there'll be a load of physicals ready to ship first week... a shame Sam isn't competition tbh.
I could see her doing 50-60k


It depends when they finished the album. They may be able to get some cds out in time for release, but I think it’s highly unlikely vinyl will come on release week.
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ts7sfkptm
post Oct 18 2020, 11:29 AM
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QUOTE(iain @ Oct 18 2020, 12:11 PM) *
It depends when they finished the album. They may be able to get some cds out in time for release, but I think it’s highly unlikely vinyl will come on release week.

I can't see Sc**ter allowing her to surprise him like Taylor did her label with folklore! He needs time to send out the cheques...
But indeed we have to wait and see when they're shipping...
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jlj
post Oct 18 2020, 12:56 PM
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Is anyone aware of Sam’s promo schedule for release week? Obviously there’s no BBC special this time around but do they have Graham Norton or anything lined up?
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LewisGT
post Oct 18 2020, 01:37 PM
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QUOTE(jlj @ Oct 18 2020, 01:56 PM) *
Is anyone aware of Sam’s promo schedule for release week? Obviously there’s no BBC special this time around but do they have Graham Norton or anything lined up?


Sam's on the Graham Norton Show this Friday. I'm not sure if they have any other promo lined up though for the next week.
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Grim Bréaper
post Oct 18 2020, 04:19 PM
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I think it could go either way between Ariana and Sam, especially if Ariana is digital only in her first week because if so I don't think she'd move any more than Taylor did. Sam's sales will be down from last era but I don't know that they'd go down that much.
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SmileyKylie
post Oct 18 2020, 05:26 PM
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Could a circuit breaker lockdown affect sales.

Definitely. So steaming and downloads may become even more important
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Davidson
post Oct 18 2020, 06:24 PM
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#1 with 48k debut is my guess.
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Envoirment
post Oct 18 2020, 07:07 PM
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Rumour has it Adele is dropping on October 30th as well. If true, I can't see her getting to #1, but a very respectable #2 with solid numbers.
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jlj
post Sunday, 11:05 AM
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Bump of this now we’ve heard the lead single and the tracklist is out there!

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Zedor
post Sunday, 11:49 AM
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55k ~65k
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iain
post Sunday, 11:53 AM
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I don’t think this is going to pull in the first week numbers Thank U Next did. Both Thank U Next and 7 Rings were consistently pulling in 700k - 1m streams for days after their release, Position is under 500k on day 2 and could likely drop off the top spot on Spotify as soon as tomorrow. Ariana got 43k streaming equivalents for the last album, I doubt she’ll get as much this time around, and with no physical on the cards I’d say 40-50k at the most for the first week.
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Grim Bréaper
post Sunday, 06:00 PM
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Does anyone actually know if this will have a physical release in its first week or not? She did make a CD for the single available on her website immediately so I would assume there will be one for the album at least on her website?

Agree that her streaming numbers will be a bit lower than 'thank u, next' (but that's nothing to be ashamed of given that was one of the biggest streaming debuts ever).
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caseclosed
post Monday, 05:06 PM
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Will be interesting to see if the leak will affect its sales, but I doubt.
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Zak
post Monday, 09:49 PM
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Think I'm expecting lower than Gaga now. The reception to Positions and the leaks has been less than great.
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jlj
post Tuesday, 05:43 PM
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There is now a pre order for this! I pre ordered from HMV but you can also buy limited edition covers on her store and other bundles such as cassettes.
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Sixth Sense
post Tuesday, 07:24 PM
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No.1 with 70k+
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jlj
post 17 hours ago
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Any updated predictions from anyone now the albums out?
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*Calluminati
post 16 hours ago
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#1 with 48k I’m going for
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SmileyKylie
post 16 hours ago
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#1 with 45.5k
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legendsglory
post 16 hours ago
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#1 44k
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