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| The X Factor 2016 - Chart Predictions, Early predictions :) |
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 16th October 2016, 03:21 PM
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#1
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 10 April 2016
Posts: 27,025 User: 23,155        |
With The XFactor in full swing, I think it's time to get some early predictions in.
This obviously all depends on the winner/single but I think it could be fun to see how well/bad we did when the XFactor finishes.  * I've had permission to post this |
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16th October 2016, 03:28 PM
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#2
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 you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 121,685 User: 13,530 
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Obviously this all depends on the winner but sadly I'm once again doubting a #1 for the winner. I do think it will fare better than Louisa's though, as hopefully they'll have learnt their lesson and will pick a much better song! So I'm going for:
Top 5 40-70k first week sales Not Christmas #1 Not Spotify top 50 in week 1 |
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16th October 2016, 03:31 PM
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#3
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 10 April 2016
Posts: 27,025 User: 23,155 |
I went for:
Top 40 (would've picked Top 20 but I forgot to add that option) 20-40k sales (leaning towards 40k) Not Christmas #1 Yes at entering Spotify Top 50 |
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16th October 2016, 04:41 PM
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#4
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 Buy yourself a car, and a house in Devon
Joined: 6 May 2016
Posts: 23,892 User: 23,247 
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I went for:
Debut? Top 5 First week sales? 40k-70k Christmas #1? No Spotify top 50 in week 1? No |
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16th October 2016, 05:23 PM
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#5
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 🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,565 User: 11,746
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(edited top 20 in!)
Top 10 40-70k No No |
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16th October 2016, 05:40 PM
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#6
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 10 April 2016
Posts: 27,025 User: 23,155 |
Thanks dan!
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16th October 2016, 05:44 PM
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#7
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 4 November 2013
Posts: 30,531 User: 20,053
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Top 20
10k-20k (go around 18ish) |
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16th October 2016, 06:02 PM
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#8
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 I found the love, I found the love in me
Pronouns: He/Him
Joined: 13 December 2007 Posts: 87,449 User: 5,042
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Top 20 (around #12-#16)
About 28k Nope Nope > But wouldn't surprise me if it actually managed #49 or something on the first couple of days, before falling out like 49-87-163-OUT or something < |
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16th October 2016, 06:08 PM
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#9
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 25 March 2007
Posts: 21,303 User: 3,155
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Gone are the days of tracks debuting at #1 - I think the XF winner will struggle this year with the impact of streaming and they will probably do a Louisa.
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16th October 2016, 07:08 PM
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#10
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Baby Reindeer
Joined: 9 March 2008
Posts: 13,283 User: 5,567
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Top 5
Sales above 70k No to Xmas #1 Yes to Spotify Top 50 All based on my assumption that Matt will win it. Unfortunately he's popular and Simon won't make the same mistake twice with a ridiculous winner's single like Forever Young so Top 5. Syco are surely going to promote this single heavily regardless of who wins since FY's chart run was a flop (in relative terms) and another one would damage the brand a lot. This post has been edited by Scene: 16th October 2016, 07:10 PM |
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16th October 2016, 07:10 PM
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#11
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 20 November 2014
Posts: 12,660 User: 21,386
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QUOTE(___∆___ @ Oct 16 2016, 07:08 PM)  Gone are the days of tracks debuting at #1 - I think the XF winner will struggle this year with the impact of streaming and they will probably do a Louisa. And that they only have 5 days of sales so there's no chance they will debut at #1 |
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21st October 2016, 09:22 AM
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#12
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 10 April 2016
Posts: 27,025 User: 23,155 |
QUOTE(Hadji @ Oct 16 2016, 08:10 PM) And that they only have 5 days of sales so there's no chance they will debut at #1 Little Mix say hi 
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21st October 2016, 11:32 AM
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#13
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 4 November 2009
Posts: 938 User: 9,878
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The whole concept is outdated. Simon Cowell should make X-Factor about groups not solo artists. Rant over, this is what I've gone for:
Top 5 (At a stretch. It depends on the artist and the song) 40-70K (if the song fits the season and tons of people jump on the streaming) Not Christmas #1 (Simon should release it way before Christmas) No to entering Spotify Top 50 (depends on what else is out around that time) |
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21st October 2016, 11:55 AM
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#14
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 November 2015
Posts: 33,245 User: 22,665
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Matt is gonna win, isn't he? think he's the only one that could sell singles
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21st October 2016, 12:02 PM
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#15
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🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,565 User: 11,746
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I'd be very surprised if it were anyone else. If they give him a good song I think it could sell well, though #1 is no guarantee.
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21st October 2016, 07:44 PM
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#16
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 1 August 2013
Posts: 964 User: 19,638
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QUOTE(Bjork @ Oct 21 2016, 12:55 PM) Matt is gonna win, isn't he? think he's the only one that could sell singles Matt is just another boring but good looking, personality void guy who will get votes on the show but flop in the charts. They may rush release an album for him to be released at Mother's Day. I can't see them pushing him properly later in the year. Male solo singers only do well these days if they play the guitar, it seems. Or if they're Sam Smith. |
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21st October 2016, 07:55 PM
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#17
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Am just a girl who wishes for the world - Marilyn Monroe ♥
Joined: 8 July 2010
Posts: 3,201 User: 11,449 
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I honestly dont think this is something you can predict before hearing the song, I think the big downfall to Louisa last year only getting #9 was because the song was terrible, Last year was the only year x factor didn't make number one.
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22nd October 2016, 12:08 AM
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#18
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 there's nothing straight about plump Elvis
Pronouns: they/any
Joined: 21 January 2016 Posts: 13,144 User: 22,895 
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I made my predictions assuming Matt as the winner. Any other winner and my answers would be lower.
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26th November 2016, 06:19 PM
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#19
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 10 April 2016
Posts: 27,025 User: 23,155 |
With just 5 contestants left has anyone changed their predictions?
 Ed Sheeran has wrote the winners single apparently so it could be a contender for no 1! This post has been edited by 🎄cqmerqn🎄: 26th November 2016, 06:19 PM |
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26th November 2016, 07:33 PM
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#20
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 17 July 2015
Posts: 577 User: 22,168
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QUOTE(🎄cqmerqn🎄 @ Nov 26 2016, 06:19 PM) With just 5 contestants left has anyone changed their predictions? Ed Sheeran has wrote the winners single apparently so it could be a contender for no 1! I think with either Matt or Saara as winner, it has a good shot. But it needs to be a good song. I have high hopes as Ed Sheeran is writing it. |
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