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| 2024 Singles Year To Date Estimates, With approximate sales |
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 9th January 2024, 12:15 PM
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#1
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 BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 20 April 2009
Posts: 8,539 User: 8,705 
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All positions are thanks to UKChartsPlus and sales estimates my own.
Week 1: 1 59,000 Noah Kahan - Stick Season (590k) 2 39,000 Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me (360k) 3 29,000 Cassö with Raye & D Block Europe - Prada (630k) 4 28,000 Tate McRae - Greedy (490k) 5 25,000 Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer (1.22m) 6 23,000 Dua Lipa - Houdini 7 22,000 Kenya Grace - Strangers (540k) 8 22,000 Tyler - Water (380k) 9 20,000 Olivia Rodrigo - Vampire (800k) 10 20,000 Sophie Ellis-Bextor - Murder On The Dancefloor (1.02m) 11 19,000 Doja Cat - Paint The Town Red (660k) 12 18,000 Dave and Central Cee - Sprinter (1.24m) 13 17,000 The Killers - Mr Brightside (5.31m) 14 17,000 Taylor Swift - Is it over now? (Taylor’s version) (240k) 15 16,000 Dua Lipa - Dance the night (720k) 16 17,000 Billy Gillies featuring Hannah Boleyn - DNA 17 16,000 Miley Cyrus - Flowers (1.67m) 18 15,000 Chase & Status and Bou featuring Irah, Flowdan, Trigga and Takura - Baddadan (460k) 19 15,000 Drake featuring Sexy Redd & Sza - Rich Baby Daddy 20 15,000 Fred Again - Leavemealone 21 15,000 Becky Hill and Chase & Status - Disconnect 22 15,000 Mitski - My Love Mine All Mine 23 14,000 Sonny Fodera and MK featuring Clementine Douglas - Asking (390k) 24 14,000 The Weeknd featuring Playboi Carti & Madonna - Popular (18) (400k) 25 14,000 Teddy Sims - Lose Control 26 14,000 Taylor Swift - Anti-Hero (1.61m) 27 13,000 Rema - Calm Down (1.48m) 28 13,000 Zara Larsson & David Guetta - On My Love 29 13,000 Zach Bryan featuring Kacy Musgraves - I Remember Everything 30 13,000 Billy Eilish - What Was I Made For? (550k) 31 13,000 Fred Again… and Obongjayar - Adore U (390k) 32 13,000 Olivia Rodrigo - Can’t Catch Me Now 33 12,000 Raye featuring 070 Shake - Escapism (1.39m) 34 12,000 Harry Styles - As It Was (2.54m) 35 12,000 Tate McRae - Exes 36 12,000 Peggy Gou - (It Goes Like) Nanana (6) (560k) 37 12,000 Calvin Harris & Ellie Goulding - Miracle (1.12m) 38 12,000 David Kushner - Daylight (770k) 39 11,000 Fleetwood Mac - Everywhere (3.01m) 40 11,000 Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved (5.29m) Bonus: 43 10,000 Paul Russell - Lil Boo Thang 46 10,000 The Weeknd featuring Jennie and Lily Rose Depp - One Of The Girls 47 10,000 Noah Kahan - Dial Drunk 52 10,000 Kanye West featuring Pusha T - Runaway 60 10,000 Sabrina Carpenter - Feather 65 9,000 Nicki Minaj featuring Lil Uzi Vert - Everybody 73 9,000 Noah Kahan - Northern Attitude 74 9,000 Doja Cat - Agora Hills 77 9,000 Nicki Minaj - Pink Friday Girls 91 8,000 JID featuring 21 Savage and Baby Tate - Surround Sound 96 8,000 Central Cee - Entrapeneur 97 8,000 Taylor Swift - You’re Losing Me |
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9th January 2024, 12:31 PM
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#2
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 20 April 2009
Posts: 8,539 User: 8,705
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Crazy that this week’s official #38 isn’t in the tracks Top 100 - the ACR distortion is getting bigger and bigger.
The 48 in the Week 1 Top 100 not listed above in alphabetical order: Ain’t no mountain high enough Another love Bad habits Bad idea right? Blinding lights Cold heart Dancing queen Desire Die for you Dog days are over Don’t stop me now Dreams Everybody wants to rule the world Giving me Good love Go your own way I ain’t worried I’m good I’m still standing Iris I wanna be yours I wanna dance with somebody Kill bill Last Christmas Livin’ on a prayer Naïve Padam padam Party in the USA Perfect (Sheeran) Practice (Drake) React Riptide Save your tears Seventeen going under Sex on fire Shivers Snooze Someone like you Something in the orange Summer of ‘69 Tainted love Take me to church Take on me The night we met The real Slim Shady Viva la vida We found love Wonderwall Stay tuned to see how they all fare! |
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9th January 2024, 12:39 PM
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#3
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 BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 20 May 2020
Posts: 2,004 User: 106,616
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Gowan the Kooks!
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9th January 2024, 06:51 PM
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#4
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BuzzJack Climber
Joined: 26 June 2014
Posts: 184 User: 21,021
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Great to see you’re doing this for another year!!!
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12th January 2024, 03:01 PM
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#5
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 20 May 2020
Posts: 2,004 User: 106,616
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I have attempted to create a rough decade-to-date chart for those who are interested, please take this with a pinch of salt though as it could be wildly inaccurate:
#1 The Weeknd - Blinding Lights (4.16m) #2 Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits (3.52m) #3 Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved (2.92m) #4 Tones and I - Dance Monkey (2.73m) #5 Glass Animals - Heat Waves (2.68m) #6 Joel Corry feat. MNEK - Heat & Heart (2.67m) #7 Harry Styles - As It Was (2.53m) #8 Ed Sheeran - Shivers (2.51m) #9 The Killers - Mr. Brightside (2.42m) #10 Wham! - Last Christmas (2.41m) #11 Mariah Carey - All I Want for Christmas is You (2.34m) #12 The Weeknd - Save Your Tears (2.34m) #13 Harry Styles - Watermelon Sugar (2.32m) #14 Lewis Capaldi - Before You Go (2.27m) #15 Olivia Rodrigo - good 4 u (2.26m) #16 Dua Lipa feat. DaBaby - Levitating (2.20m) #17 Dua Lipa - Don't Start Now (2.14m) #18 Elton John & Dua Lipa - Cold Heart [PNAU Remix] (2.12m) #19 SAINt JHN - Roses [Imanbek Remix] (2.08m) #20 Ed Sheeran - Perfect (2.08m) |
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12th January 2024, 03:06 PM
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#6
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 20 April 2009
Posts: 8,539 User: 8,705
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I’m sure it’s not far off at all
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12th January 2024, 07:16 PM
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#7
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 15 March 2006
Posts: 48,135 User: 223
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Head & Heart low key feels out of place on that list now, don't get me wrong, I love it and it was inescapable at the time but I rarely ever hear it now.
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12th January 2024, 07:37 PM
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#8
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 6 December 2020
Posts: 1,905 User: 119,363
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So Bad Habits is the biggest song released this decade in the UK so far?
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12th January 2024, 07:40 PM
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#9
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 20 May 2020
Posts: 2,004 User: 106,616
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Head & Heart gains a relatively significant advantage having been released in 2020 so has had longer to accumulate sales.
And yes on Bad Habits, although Blinding Lights was released in December 2019 so close enough imo, remains to be seen if As It Was or anything else can catch Bad Habits if we’re excluding Blinding Lights |
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17th January 2024, 01:26 PM
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#10
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 20 April 2009
Posts: 8,539 User: 8,705
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Week 2:
1 1 114,000 Noah Kahan - Stick Season (650k) 2 2 79,000 Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me (400k) 3 10 62,000 Sophie Ellis-Bextor - Murder On The Dancefloor (1.06m) 4 3 60,000 Cassö with Raye & D Block Europe - Prada (660k) 5 4 56,000 Tate McRae - Greedy (510k) 6 5 49,000 Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer (1.24m) 7 7 46,000 Kenya Grace - Strangers (570k) 8 8 43,000 Tyler - Water (390k) 9 6 42,000 Dua Lipa - Houdini 10 9 40,000 Olivia Rodrigo - Vampire (820k) 11 25 39,000 Teddy Sims - Lose Control 12 11 35,000 Doja Cat - Paint The Town Red (680k) 13 12 35,000 Dave and Central Cee - Sprinter (1.25m) 14 16 34,000 Billy Gillies featuring Hannah Boleyn - DNA (290k) 15 13 34,000 The Killers - Mr Brightside (5.33m) 16 14 33,000 Taylor Swift - Is it over now? (Taylor’s version) (250k) 17 20 32,000 Fred Again… and Baby Keem - Leavemealone 18 19 32,000 Drake featuring Sexy Redd & Sza - Rich Baby Daddy 19 24 32,000 The Weeknd featuring Playboi Carti & Madonna - Popular (420k) 20 15 32,000 Dua Lipa - Dance the night (740k) 21 18 31,000 Chase & Status and Bou featuring Irah, Flowdan, Trigga and Takura - Baddadan (470k) 22 22 30,000 Mitski - My Love Mine All Mine (260k) 23 17 29,000 Miley Cyrus - Flowers (1.68m) 24 23 29,000 Sonny Fodera and MK featuring Clementine Douglas - Asking (400k) 25 21 29,000 Becky Hill and Chase & Status - Disconnect (500k) 26 29 28,000 Zach Bryan featuring Kacy Musgraves - I Remember Everything 27 28 28,000 Zara Larsson & David Quetta - On My Love 28 30 28,000 Billie Eilish - What Was I Made For? (570k) 29 26 27,000 Taylor Swift - Anti-Hero (1.62m) 30 32 27,000 Olivia Rodrigo - Can’t Catch Me Now 31 41 26,000 Vance Joy - Riptide (3.61m) 32 27 26,000 Rema - Calm Down (1.50m) 33 35 25,000 Tate McRae - Exes 34 31 25,000 Fred Again… and Obongjayar - Adore U (400k) 35 40 24,000 Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved (5.30m) 36 38 24,000 David Kushner - Daylight (780k) 37 60 23,000 Sabrina Carpenter - Feather 38 33 23,000 Raye featuring 070 Shake - Escapism (1.41m) 39 34 23,000 Harry Styles - As It Was (2.55m) 40 39 23,000 Fleetwood Mac - Everywhere 43 22,000 Noah Kahan - Dial Drunk 54 19,000 Noah Kahan - Northern Attitude 55 19,000 Lord Huron - The Night We Met 61 19,000 Nicki Minaj - Pink Friday Girls 62 19,000 Mason vs Princess Superstar - Perfect (Exceeder) 71 18,000 Zach Bryan - Something In The Orange 73 18,000 Natasha Bedingfield - Unwritten 75 18,000 JID featuring 21 Savage and Baby Tate - Surround Sound 76 17,000 Eliza Rose & Calvin Harris - Body Moving 83 17,000 Chris Brown - Angel Numbers / Ten Toes 86 17,000 Nicki Minaj - FTCU 92 16,000 Songer - Toxic |
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17th January 2024, 01:31 PM
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#11
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 20 April 2009
Posts: 8,539 User: 8,705
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Entered the YTD Top 100 this week:
Perfect (Exceeder) Unwritten Body moving Angel numbers / Ten toes FTCU Toxic Heartless One dance Left: Last Christmas Dancing queen Perfect (Sheeran)  Padam padam Entrapeneur You’re losing me Sex on fire Livin’ on a prayer Think that’s the first time Perfect has been out of the YTD Top 100 since whenever it entered in 2017. |
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17th January 2024, 01:33 PM
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#12
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🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,565 User: 11,746
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Sheeran fatigue finally getting to kick out Perfect from the year end chart yay
hopefully Murder can remain in the year end top ten the whole year but who knows how quickly it’ll drop off |
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17th January 2024, 02:07 PM
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#13
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 20 May 2020
Posts: 2,004 User: 106,616
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One Dance... Really
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17th January 2024, 02:22 PM
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#14
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 Mansonette
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 35,301 User: 54
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Blinding Lights and Bad Habits both quite far out ahead in the decade totals then. Do both sell similar amounts these days or does one seem more likely to grow quicker than the other now?
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17th January 2024, 02:27 PM
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#15
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 20 April 2009
Posts: 8,539 User: 8,705
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QUOTE(dandy* @ Jan 17 2024, 02:22 PM)  Blinding Lights and Bad Habits both quite far out ahead in the decade totals then. Do both sell similar amounts these days or does one seem more likely to grow quicker than the other now? They’re doing similar numbers (Bad Habits still slightly more in a typical week at the moment but not enough to bridge the gap). I think Blinding Lights is looking very good to be the biggest 2020s hit of the decade, but the actual #1 of the decade is now looking to be between Mr Brightside and Last Christmas! |
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17th January 2024, 02:29 PM
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#16
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 20 May 2020
Posts: 2,004 User: 106,616
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QUOTE(dandy* @ Jan 17 2024, 02:22 PM) Blinding Lights and Bad Habits both quite far out ahead in the decade totals then. Do both sell similar amounts these days or does one seem more likely to grow quicker than the other now? Julian can correct me if I’m wrong, but I believe Blinding Lights is pretty stable and selling more than Bad Habits by this point (which is probably still falling off a bit), so unless something huge is released I guess it depends if Blinding Lights can hold off Wham! and the Killers for decade-end number 1 Edit: nvm Julian got there first lmao This post has been edited by Maestro: 17th January 2024, 02:29 PM |
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17th January 2024, 02:44 PM
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#17
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Mansonette
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 35,301 User: 54
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QUOTE(JulianT @ Jan 17 2024, 02:27 PM) They’re doing similar numbers (Bad Habits still slightly more in a typical week at the moment but not enough to bridge the gap). I think Blinding Lights is looking very good to be the biggest 2020s hit of the decade, but the actual #1 of the decade is now looking to be between Mr Brightside and Last Christmas! Oh really? Eeeek, that would be quite a bizarre outcome but I can see why it may pan out that way. Thanks for replying (and to Maestro for replying also) |
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17th January 2024, 03:04 PM
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#18
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 21 November 2015
Posts: 4,467 User: 22,687
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Think it's more impressive as bad habits was in a fight for number 1 in its first week
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17th January 2024, 04:09 PM
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#19
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Mansonette
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 35,301 User: 54
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Not sure I follow? What is more impressive?
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17th January 2024, 04:14 PM
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#20
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 20 April 2009
Posts: 8,539 User: 8,705
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I think he’s saying that it’s impressive Bad Habits became such a huge seller after it wasn’t so huge straight after the blocks, but Blinding Lights missed the Top 10 on its 1st week so not sure that follows.
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