Printable version of thread

Posted by: JosephStyles Nov 28 2016, 03:31 PM

OK so we've heard absolutely nothing of Harry's solo material yet, but we know it's coming and he's signed a record deal with Columbia, so here's a predicta for us all to make a guess about how he might fare. Obviously there are lots of variables - what if the music's not actually all that? We can't call that right now but we do know that he's on a big record deal and is working with some big names, most recently Max Martin and Bruno Mars.

Personally I think things are looking really positive for Harry's career right now. He's working with some of the biggest names around and has always been the member of 1D that people seem to care about the most. If the material lives up to all the hype, I can see:

UK: #1
US: #1 (a top 3 debut at worst)
UK sales: 90-99k, although it's most definitely not impossible to get over 100k like Zayn did!

Posted by: awardinary Nov 28 2016, 03:32 PM

Top 3 I'm guessing.

I wonder if he might have a featured artist on it.

Posted by: Joe. Nov 28 2016, 03:34 PM

#1 I think, unless something massive is blocking it. Probably 100k or just under.

Posted by: twentyonemdh Dec 1 2016, 08:58 AM

UK #1 easily. I'd expect with sales of just below 100k.

Posted by: JosephStyles Mar 28 2017, 07:12 PM

We're now just a couple of weeks away from the single's release! Anyone predicting different things now we know what the competition will be?

I still think he'll debut #1 in the UK, although I can see sales now being over 100k, everything is falling perfectly into place for it to be a huge smash. Obviously it depends on how the song sounds but I think he can nab an easy #1 on hype alone.

Posted by: mdh Mar 29 2017, 07:33 PM

A more indepth prediction...

#1 on iTunes - pushes #2 down to 0.3700 on first day.
#1 debut on Spotify - 698,000 streams
Official #1 - 115,000 sales

1. Harry Styles
2. Clean Bandit
3. Ed (Galway)
4. Drake
5. Calvin Harris

Posted by: JosephStyles Mar 29 2017, 07:39 PM

Interesting prediction, Shape of You out of the top 5? I definitely agree on the whole though, those figures sound pretty accurate! With the music video out too I think he can maintain some stability without freefalling, plus he's already on Capital's top playlist (not much use til next Friday of course ) and will go straight to B or A on Radio 1 you'd think!