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 Eurovision Song Contest 2018 · Odds, Top 5 | Cyprus - Israel - Ireland - France - Sweden |
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 1st May 2018, 03:15 PM
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#21
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 I'm a paragon so don't perceive me
Joined: 3 February 2011
Posts: 37,420 User: 12,929                 |
QUOTE(LexC @ May 1 2018, 01:26 PM)  I think people are getting a bit too enthusiastic based on the good reception he got in MGP (and don't seem to have gone by - he's the returning record breaking champion, it would be news if he DIDN'T get a huge reception with whatever he turned up with!). And compared to that, elsewhere in Europe, I don't think he'll be nearly as warmly welcomed, he's not their winner. What is there in this that makes it stand out on the stage? Its only as catchy as every other Eurovision entry. If it wasn't by a record-breaking winner it'd be laughed out of the final. My gut is saying that's he's going to have trouble qualifying, let alone coming anywhere near contending. |
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2nd May 2018, 07:40 AM
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#22
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 BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 29 April 2006
Posts: 3,392 User: 519 
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QUOTE(Iz @ May 1 2018, 04:15 PM) And compared to that, elsewhere in Europe, I don't think he'll be nearly as warmly welcomed, he's not their winner. What is there in this that makes it stand out on the stage? Its only as catchy as every other Eurovision entry. If it wasn't by a record-breaking winner it'd be laughed out of the final. My gut is saying that's he's going to have trouble qualifying, let alone coming anywhere near contending. I think part of the explanation of the odds shortening is people getting wind of the return of Rybak and placing bets. I hope your gut is right. There is an outside chance he may not qualify as I think it’s feasible for juries to absolutely tank this to the bottom (where it rightfully deserves to be... I genuinely hate this with every fibre...) |
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2nd May 2018, 02:24 PM
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#23
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Brown cow, stunning!
Joined: 7 December 2009
Posts: 67,176 User: 10,139
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Yeah hopefully! After all odds are based on what people are placing money on by and large, and there are probably a lot of people who aren't as into it as us but like to bet on Eurovision each year.
I'm normally "each to their own", like I hated Amar Pelois Dos but can see what people *did* see in it. With this Rybak song I just genuinely cannot fathom how on earth people enjoy it ://// It's an absolute embarrassment, there are fans like "people hate it because it's cool to!!1!" no it's because it's genuinely f***ing horrendous 
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2nd May 2018, 02:45 PM
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#24
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 29 April 2006
Posts: 3,392 User: 519
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If you look at the top 3/5 of juries from past years, they are either contemporary pop songs or have a classic sound. Rybak has neither - this verges into novelty and I’m trying to fathom juries putting this even as high as left side. It’s insipid.
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3rd May 2018, 06:33 PM
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#25
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 June 2011
Posts: 23,993 User: 14,031 
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I dont see Norway making the top 5 in the final.
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4th May 2018, 11:24 AM
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#26
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Brown cow, stunning!
Joined: 7 December 2009
Posts: 67,176 User: 10,139
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QUOTE(ScottyEm @ May 2 2018, 03:45 PM) If you look at the top 3/5 of juries from past years, they are either contemporary pop songs or have a classic sound. Rybak has neither - this verges into novelty and I’m trying to fathom juries putting this even as high as left side. It’s insipid. I hope you're right! It is absolutely abysmal. The juries in MGP worry me but that might have been more the name power, ofc juries in that and juries in the actual final are two different things. |
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4th May 2018, 03:26 PM
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#27
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 Attack Dog/Sass Queen
Joined: 29 January 2008
Posts: 16,022 User: 5,342
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Cyprus are flying up the betting, currently top 5 in some places ahead of Bulgaria and Czech Republic
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4th May 2018, 04:54 PM
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#28
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Tangelic
Joined: 30 September 2016
Posts: 6,689 User: 23,643   |
QUOTE(LexC @ May 4 2018, 04:26 PM) Cyprus are flying up the betting, currently top 5 in some places ahead of Bulgaria and Czech Republic Excellent! How incredible would it be to see an island nation like Cyprus, Iceland or Malta, or a micronation like San Marino win? If the song is good enough... which "Fuego" certainly is! |
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4th May 2018, 05:03 PM
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#29
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I'm in a vewy bad mood, Bwadley.
Joined: 24 September 2008
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I put a bet on Cyprus to finish top 10 at 7/4 the other day, glad I got in there when I did as they’re much shorter now!
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4th May 2018, 05:10 PM
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#30
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I'm a paragon so don't perceive me
Joined: 3 February 2011
Posts: 37,420 User: 12,929 |
I think Cyprus are a lot more likely than Israel. I've been thinking for a few days now that Israel isn't going to have what it takes to go all the way.
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4th May 2018, 05:20 PM
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#31
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I was born 7 million years ago in Sweden, Africa
Joined: 4 October 2010
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I can see Cyprus finishing top 10, but then I can also see them doing an IMRI from last year if she gets a first half draw. If Greece and Albania both DNQ then I think she'll be a lock for top 10 though.
If I was going to bet on a top 10 finish I think I'd go for Hungary. |
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4th May 2018, 10:19 PM
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#32
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BuzzJack Idol
Joined: 29 June 2006
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I don't think Israel is anything great and likewise with Norway but Cyprus has something very appealing.
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5th May 2018, 08:16 AM
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#33
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thanks for being a sarcy lil bitch
Joined: 25 September 2007
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come on and slay them all cyprus yasssss
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5th May 2018, 12:09 PM
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#34
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New Entry
Joined: 16 April 2012
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I put a bet for Cyprus to win when they were at 66/1, you can do this Cyprus !!
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5th May 2018, 04:45 PM
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#35
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I'm in a vewy bad mood, Bwadley.
Joined: 24 September 2008
Posts: 35,880 User: 7,117
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I can’t bring myself to get too excited though. La La Love is a flawless pop song and probably my favourite Eurovision song and it couldn’t even make top 10. 😩
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6th May 2018, 04:22 PM
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#36
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I've been looking for a Lasting Lover
Joined: 23 March 2007
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Top 5: Israel - Norway - Estonia - Cyprus - France
Moldova is now top 10.  
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6th May 2018, 05:08 PM
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#37
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 24 July 2008
Posts: 9,491 User: 6,716
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Cyprus top 4 <3 how amazing it would be if it won
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7th May 2018, 09:21 PM
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#38
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Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
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Have finally put my annual bets on:
£2 each-way on Sweden to win @ 20/1 (I think it has a good shot at top four at least, and surely most countries will score it well) £5 on Hungary to finish top 10 @ 4.86/1 (random odds but I used a bet boost, Hungary are no strangers to the top 10 and this will really stand out) £2 on Estonia to win @ 5/1 (if Netta fails then this will surely be next in line) £3 on Ireland to qualify @ 3/1 (still wouldn't be at all surprised to see this in the final) £1 on Denmark to finish top 10 @ 7/2 (Depends how 'epic' it comes across on screen but it has the potential to be a moment/big Twitter viral moment etc) |
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7th May 2018, 09:46 PM
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#39
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Brown cow, stunning!
Joined: 7 December 2009
Posts: 67,176 User: 10,139
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I'm increasingly getting winner vibes from Fuego, it feels like at the very least the City Lights of the year in that it's the obvious commercial hit after the contest but unlike Blanche's whole deer in headlights thing, Eleni seems to be selling it for her life with such a firey (pun slightly intended x) and energetic performance. I'm still very worried about Norway though
 If that can just stay WELL AWAY then any of the realistic contenders I'm happy with. My bets are Estonia each way and Hungary top 10 so fingers crossed one of them comes in, I'm still not over betting OG3NE to be top 10 last year and they were 11th with 8 points between them and top 10
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7th May 2018, 10:42 PM
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#40
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Brown cow, stunning!
Joined: 7 December 2009
Posts: 67,176 User: 10,139
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Cyprus has overtaken Estonia and is closing on Israel
EDIT: Looking at Oddschecker she's joint with Israel on some and overtaken on a couple!!! I'm so here for Salvador to have to hand over to "yeah yeah fire" after she wins with a pyrotechnic performance given he said "music isn't about fireworks" 
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