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 BJSC 92 //👠// Odds //👠// |
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 Feb 15 2017, 11:07 AM
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#21
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 I'm a paragon so don't perceive me
Joined: 3 February 2011
Posts: 37,409 User: 12,929                
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QUOTE(*Tim @ Feb 15 2017, 10:27 AM)  Can we not use the "they were close to being vetoed" argument please. The songs made it past an already harsh (but needed) veto framework  Don't mistake it as me trying to attack you guys for entering them. It's hard to separate criticism of the entry from the entrant in this set-up and so I know where you're coming from as I'd probably get really precious if anyone really came for my entry this month. Or most months, even. But especially so this time. It's just me expressing some frustrations that, to take you alone, your entry is an expected new release by the artist behind arguably the biggest 'cult hit' in BJSC last year and, kind of separate but not completely from that, it will inevitably be a storming success and BJSC is all too predictable these days and it's more annoying when the predictable ones ARE the ones that slipped past the veto framework. |
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Feb 15 2017, 12:40 PM
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#22
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 🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,536 User: 11,746 
         
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QUOTE(Iz~ @ Feb 15 2017, 12:00 AM) Oh, as I stated earlier, I thought Tone was fine, compared to Hannah, Muna and Gareth Emery - all of which have had their successful notable Buzzjack tracks do well in recorded history as opposed to Tone. Was not aiming that at Ashton, partly because I don't think it's a contender personally but also because it wasn't on my radar for tracks that 'I would have vetoed'. Gareth Emery isn't really comparable to Hannah Diamond or MUNA, he doesn't have as much internet/blog hype that those two do. He had a previous Top 5 BJSC hit (over a year ago I may add) but nothing else in terms of framework points. Also agree that Tone is fine, yes she had some top 5s but that was years ago and the userbase has significantly changed since then. I think her new song will have appeal but if it goes top 5 it won't be because of her name. |
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Feb 15 2017, 02:37 PM
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#23
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 I'm in a vewy bad mood, Bwadley.
Joined: 24 September 2008
Posts: 35,872 User: 7,117
  
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Any odds?
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Feb 15 2017, 04:36 PM
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#24
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 Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 83,021 User: 116
  
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Opening odds from RontBet:
2/1 Yehesi ❈ MUNA - I Know A Place 3/1 Republique d’Ashton ✳ Tone Damli - Pinnacle 5/1 Altyr Muunilinst ✳Hannah Diamond - Make Believe 6/1 South Danaelanda ✳ Gareth Emery & Standerwick - Saving Light (feat. HALIENE) ----------------------- 9/1 Jadakissnia ❈ SOLDOUT - Do It Again (feat. GOOSE) 10/1 Taahino ✳Sevdaliza - Human 10/1 #00274E ❈ Nussy - Hard As Diamonds 10/1 Hendinia ✳ Troll - Jimmy Dean 12/1 Pupok ✳ Sam Spiegel & Ape Drums - Mutant Brain (feat. Assassin) 12/1 Republic of Adonia ❈ Jutro - Travva (feat. Linda) 12/1 Ultraviolenceland ✳ Ana Mena ft. CNCO- Ahora Lloras Tu 12/1 Terra Avium ✳ Marcus Warner - Africa 15/1 n dntn ✳ Empress Of - Water Water 18/1 Aeroche ✳ Dana - Head (Kane Vale Remix) 18/1 Cor Lupus ❈ HALEM - Unstoppable 20/1 Persephonia ✳ End Of The Dream - Colder 20/1 Unovia ❈ Molly Kate Kestner - Prom Queen 20/1 Cadelicia ❈ HI LIFE - When I Get To The Club (Donatachi's Del Mar Mix) 20/1 D’yermak’er ❈ Strae - Lioness 20/1 The Actual Republic of Bellamia ✳Chase Atlantic - Right Here 20/1 - π ✳ Fla.mingo - Die 22/1 Syndare ✳ Avante Black - Drug Money 22/1 Joedonia ❈ FOURS - Fade to Love 22/1 Beaverdonia ❈ Dominique Young Unique - Throw It Down 22/1 Trifoski ❈ Paradis - Toi Et Moi 22/1 Desbuanda ❈ Charlotte OC - Medicine Man 25/1 Summericia ❈ Prince Rama - Fantasy 25/1 Hushkanukia ✳ Hands Like Houses - Degrees of Separation 25/1 St. Burbia ✳ Eugénie - Ouis danse 25/1 Thelonia ❈ Sälen - Diseasy 25/1 Dobago ✳ Dave Ramone - Love On Repeat (Filatov & Karas Remix) (feat. Minelli) 25/1 Oslol ❈ K.I.D - Taker 28/1 Mulgracia ❈ Borussia - Kinda Love 28/1 New Lexico ✳ERIA - Oчі 28/1 Daehun ❈ REOL - Give Me A Break Stop Now 30/1 Niceland ✳ NINA - Beyond Memory 30/1 Bhangra ❈ Fenech-Soler - Kaleidoscope 30/1 Ramrynia ✳ Emma - Circle of Light 30/1 Zanmatony ❈ Louis The Child feat. Evalyn -Fire 30/1 Espen ❈ Léa Castel - Abîmée (feat. Slimane) 30/1 Tinnmark ❈ Emilie Nicolas - Sky 35/1 Medhelnia ✳ Grandtheft - Easy Go (feat. Delaney Jane) 38/1 Botannika ✳ The Age of Love - The Age of Love (Jam & Spoon Watch Out For Stella Radio Mix) 38/1 Sandeborg ✳ Gaia - New Dawns 38/1 FSR Rontvia ❈ Black Motion feat. Nokwazi - Imali 40/1 Avalonia ❈ Anna Känzig - Lion’s Heart 40/1 Aelandor ✳ HONNE - Loves The Jobs You Hate 40/1 Kylienips ✳ Ali Barter - Girlie Bits 40/1 Fljotavik ✳ MAY - Ballerino 42/1 Land of DW ❈ Toktok vs. Soffy O. - Missy Queen's Gonna Die 42/1 Flynnonda ❈ Lucy Mason - Hunger 42/1 Aesthetica ❈ CLC - Hobgoblin 42/1 Harmonica ❈ Kaneholler - Paper Games 45/1 Greenfroze ❈ Coco and the Butterfields - Battlegrounds 45/1 Kluminican Republic ✳ What So Not - High You Are (Branchez Remix) 50/1 BuzzJack Mountain ✳ Slam Dunk’d - No Price (ft. Chromeo and Al-P) 50/1 Skall ❈ Martyn Bennett - Blackbird 50/1 Jayrusalem ✳ Coracle - Running On Empty (ft. Michael Bird) (Chris Howland Radio Mix) 50/1 Tartford ❈ Razz - Overthinking (ft. Aviella) 50/1 Seyetana ✳ Girls Dead Monster - Ichiban No Takaramono (feat. LiSa) 55/1 Quintessa ✳ Diana Wang - Home 65/1 Azure ✳ Kids In Glass Houses - Give Me What I Want 70/1 Bignia - Zaragovina ❈ My First Band - Paradise 80/1 Usfland ✳ Triston Beer - Promises 100/1 Singerpurear ❈ The Dead South - In Hell I'll Be In Good Company I do feel like it's Ashton's destiny to eventually win with Tone, having already got her a 4th, 3rd and 2nd place, and this is arguably the most BJSC-friendly tracks she's put out to date so it could finally be time for their second win, and for Tone to fulfil her destiny. BUT Yehesi are standing in the way with a huge contender in MUNA. Altyr I don't think are *quite* going to give us another PC Music win but it'll certainly be in the shakeup, as will Danaelanda. Beyond that I don't see any realstic winning contenders but so many could go top ten. |
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Feb 15 2017, 04:39 PM
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#25
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 21 January 2007
Posts: 23,769 User: 2,666
   
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I think Terra Avium might stand a chance to win as well
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Feb 15 2017, 04:40 PM
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#26
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you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 121,599 User: 13,530          
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I'll definitely take those opening odds
 Hoping I can nab a second top 20 in a row!
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Feb 15 2017, 04:44 PM
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#27
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Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 83,021 User: 116
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QUOTE(Addy K!ng @ Feb 15 2017, 04:39 PM) I think Terra Avium might stand a chance to win as well It's a rather spectacular track and I think they'll be in with a shot of going top five, but there always seems to be a glass ceiling for entries like that for some reason, they tend to pick up high points or no points and end up with between 230-300 in total, whereas the big wide appealing pop/more mainstream tracks pick up the high points as well as lots of midtable and small points and end up with the 350+ needed to win. |
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Feb 15 2017, 04:45 PM
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#28
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 Alone and wounded
Pronouns: She/her
Joined: 18 January 2011 Posts: 60,109 User: 12,810 
      
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Brilliant opening odds there Rich
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Feb 15 2017, 04:48 PM
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#29
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 18 July 2012
Posts: 22,812 User: 17,376
 
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Let's not focus on those that may or may not have been borderline (I've not heard of any material from any of them before as it happens) and no-one is forced to vote for any they don't want to, let's focus on those that take a chance...
odds on Singerpurear winning 100/1 Don't care I love it it's fab...  Likely contenders from semi 2 (havent heard semi 1), well, Christina & The Queens, I mean Muna, should do well. Paradis will be under-appreciated but I'm hoping there's a buzz about it, Kaneholler too. Fenech-Soler sounds like an obvious do-very-well, Nussy has less of a commercial more edgy feel that might still appeal, there are some others that might do well but don't strike me as instant, and the bulk of the semi seem to be a bit on the "pleasant-but-not-memorable" or "interesting-but-not-in-ya-face-enough", though I am happy to see Reol in there too (sort-of a former Singerpurear act (I think!), so we the nation are saying make sure you check it out more than once  )of course what do I know though....
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Feb 15 2017, 04:51 PM
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#30
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laugh 'til we cry
Pronouns: she/her
Joined: 29 August 2014 Posts: 13,687 User: 21,176
 
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omg I don't think I've ever had odds that good
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Feb 15 2017, 04:52 PM
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#31
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🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,536 User: 11,746
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wow at those odds!
I expect my song will be over-predicted though due to Gareth Emery's last entry finishing 4th. In actuality I think it'll be closer to 10th than to 1st, though I'd be happy with anywhere in the top 20. |
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Feb 15 2017, 04:57 PM
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#32
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Bitch of t seet
Joined: 2 April 2012
Posts: 27,395 User: 16,660
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Omg *.*
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Feb 15 2017, 05:08 PM
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#33
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new hair, new tee, new Levii’s Jeans
Joined: 24 October 2014
Posts: 39,286 User: 21,308
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A little generous with those odds *.*
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Feb 15 2017, 06:05 PM
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#34
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escape in the taste of summerrrrrr
Joined: 8 August 2009
Posts: 27,306 User: 9,403
     
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ill take that!
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Feb 15 2017, 06:09 PM
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#35
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 19 December 2015
Posts: 20,102 User: 22,776
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disappointing :'(
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Feb 15 2017, 06:13 PM
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#36
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I'll just stick around and do some more damage
Joined: 14 February 2009
Posts: 115,038 User: 8,300
 
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Tipping Republic of Adonia to do at least about as well as CRIM3S (I hope anyway) as this month's token witch house entry. Cadelicia I think should do quite well too, although I'll try not to overhype it and see it finish in the 30s like their last two entries
 Only heard semi 2 so far but MUNA definitely does sound like a winner, tbh I don't think it's really as cheap an entry as some people are making it out to be though, sure MUNA have some fans but the biggest thing going against them is one previous entry that didn't even make the top 30, unless I've missed some sort of mainstream breakthrough by them? Tone Damli and Hannah Diamond are a bit more questionable. Hooray for more moderately ok odds for myself. Hoping to qualify and won't have any higher expectations after those let me down last month, but I'd be thrilled with that kind of position. x |
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Feb 15 2017, 06:20 PM
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#37
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,034 User: 18,639
  
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Underpredicted as always!! Even as my song spent almost the entire cotest battling for no,1 last month when nobody had predicted it as a contender
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Feb 15 2017, 06:27 PM
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#38
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Rob aah
Joined: 3 July 2007
Posts: 38,238 User: 3,804
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I'd be content with at least top 30 this time so those odds are just right
I haven't heard much from semi 1 yet but I think I'd certainly agree with Taahino, surely their first top 10? Oh and Jadakissnia I think could be top 5 too with Bignia 2nd to last in odds
This post has been edited by Rob S~: Feb 15 2017, 06:29 PM |
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Feb 15 2017, 06:31 PM
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#39
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I'm a paragon so don't perceive me
Joined: 3 February 2011
Posts: 37,409 User: 12,929
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Well, you know, I can hardly do worse than the odds now.
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Feb 15 2017, 06:31 PM
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#40
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I'm in a vewy bad mood, Bwadley.
Joined: 24 September 2008
Posts: 35,872 User: 7,117
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10/1?! Christ, I really don't know what to expect of my song now. I didn't in the first place but in between 10/1, a DNQ prediction and me being completely clueless of how it'd do from the beginning, this will be a fun one
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