My first gut reaction is that this will debut about 17 or 18. I think it could fall to about 25 or something 2nd week and then stabilise, before peaking at like #9 or #10 or something.
This all depends on playlisting though, of course. But that's my initial first instinct to this.
With these times I'm feeling #16 - #20 debut, but I sincerely hope it reaches the top 5.
I think it’ll do a Close To Me tbh
I think it’ll peak somewhere between 25 and 40.
Peak lower top ten possibly or maybe top 15.
This is purely before hearing the song though. If the song is a bop with support and a good video I don’t think it’ll peak in first week.
I can see it performing one of two ways.
Lowish peak by their standards but a good chart run ala Love Me Like You or a Bounce Back style run.
It’s hard to predict things now with streaming because almost everything depends on playlist support. If the song is good and they get good support from the get go, I can see a top 10/top 15 debut. If there’s no support, it’ll probably miss the Top 40 and then bomb out.
I think maybe borderline top 20 if they fail to properly pull it out of the bag.
This really is their last chance saloon and they need to do it (I believe they have it in them).
I... genuinely have no clue? A lot of us overpredicted 'Bounce Back' and 'One I've Been Missing', but both were major letdowns quality-wise, and the latter got no radio or playlist support. From the looks of things, they do seem to have a cohesive campaign planned, and the timing is decent (although Dua's album could definitely steal focus). I'm going for a top 20 debut for now and reserving full predictions until I hear the track.
I think it'll peak on release week unless it gets lucky with songs going on ACR, gonna guess a high top 20 debut then a steadier run than Bounce Back (hearing the song may change my opinion obviously)
21-30
Top 10
It will peak in a few weeks time
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