Eurovision Song Contest 2015 · Odds, A race between Sweden, Russia and Italy? |
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16th March 2015, 01:56 PM
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#21
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DROTTNING!
Joined: 15 April 2006
Posts: 63,953 User: 480 |
The same world that hasn't learned from the last few times they've made the popera entry the favourite to win and failed miserably.
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16th March 2015, 02:08 PM
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#22
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 23 December 2010
Posts: 24,411 User: 12,608 |
Sweden have moved in front since that update!
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16th March 2015, 05:15 PM
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#23
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I'm a paragon so don't perceive me
Joined: 3 February 2011
Posts: 37,422 User: 12,929 |
Italy do seem like more of a threat than say, Sognu, might have been. They're singing about a relatable/attractive concept, there's three of them to do contrasting vocal styles and I think it could come across rather impressive on the night. Not that I see them winning or doing better than Heroes but I'm fairly sure this'll return them to the top 10 if not more.
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28th March 2015, 04:07 PM
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#24
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 23 December 2010
Posts: 24,411 User: 12,608 |
First proper update since all the songs have been released. As always, these are the best odds available according to Oddschecker with tied countries ordered by their support on Betfair Exchange. Countries that are moving up the odds position-wise (not necessarily odds-wise) compared to the last update on here are coloured in green, those moving down are in red and those who haven't moved are in black.
01 | 07/4 | Sweden · Måns Zelmerlöw - Heroes 02 | 05/1 | Italy · Il Volo - Grande Amore 03 | 07/1 | Estonia · Elina Born & Stig Rästa - Goodbye To Yesterday 04 | 14/1 | Australia · Guy Sebastian - Tonight Again 05 | 14/1 | Slovenia · Maraaya - Here For You 06 | 16/1 | Finland · Pertti Kurikan Nimipäivät - Aina Mun Pitää 07 | 20/1 | Russia · Polina Gagarina - A Million Voices 08 | 25/1 | Azerbaijan · Elnur Huseynov - Hour Of The Wolf 09 | 25/1 | Norway · Mørland & Debrah Scarlett - A Monster Like Me 10 | 40/1 | United Kingdom · Electro Velvet - Still In Love With You 11 | 50/1 | Iceland · Maria Olafs - Unbroken 12 | 50/1 | Belgium · Loïc Nottet - Rhythm Inside 13 | 66/1 | Latvia · Aminata - Love Injected 14 | 66/1 | Spain · Edurne - Amanecer 15 | 66/1 | Armenia · Genealogy - Face The Shadow 16 | 80/1 | Greece · Maria Elena Kyriakou - One Last Breath 17 | 80/1 | Cyprus · John Karayiannis - One Thing I Should Have Done 18 | 80/1 | Romania · Voltaj - De La Capăt / All Over Again 19 | 80/1 | Malta · Amber - Warrior Above 80/1... 100/1 20 | Albania · 21 | F.Y.R. Macedonia · 22 | Belarus · 23 | France · 24 | Austria · 25 | Serbia · 26 | Lithuania · 27 | Israel · 28 | Denmark · 29 | The Netherlands · 30 | Montenegro · 31 | Ireland · 32 | Georgia · 33 | Hungary · 34 | Switzerland 125/1 35 | Poland · 36 | Germany 150/1 37 | Moldova · 38 | Czech Republic · 39 | Portugal · 40 | San Marino Iceland and Russia are the big movers, two of the only countries where their odds are getting shorter rather than longer. Considering on the last update 'A Million Voices' hadn't premiered, this is a massive achievement for Iceland in particular! |
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28th March 2015, 04:14 PM
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#25
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eat hot chip, be homosexual
Joined: 29 August 2008
Posts: 45,109 User: 6,946 |
Georgia, Malta and Latvia still looking like great each way bets
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28th March 2015, 04:18 PM
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#26
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 23 December 2010
Posts: 24,411 User: 12,608 |
I'd really like to think Germany would at least be top-half contenders but those odds certainly tell a different story!
Georgia is definitely the stand out each-way bet for me too, and possibly Hungary as I believe Boggie will either do very very well or be in the bottom few of the semi. If it's the former then there's money to be made! |
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28th March 2015, 06:28 PM
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#27
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livin' legend you can look but don't touch
Joined: 18 November 2007
Posts: 7,978 User: 4,844 |
I do think Germany are being underestimated, it's a great song. Although then again maybe it'll be overlooked like Glorious was in 2013?!
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28th March 2015, 06:50 PM
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#28
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 29 April 2006
Posts: 3,392 User: 519 |
Georgia is much fancied each way bet, agreed. Those odds are a little silly.
Germany is a bit too "so-so" to make any inroads on the night. I think Australia won't do as well as the odds suggest, likewise with Finland. Sweden are destroying this now. I think Estonia will come a solid second though. This post has been edited by ScottyEm: 28th March 2015, 06:51 PM |
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8th April 2015, 11:30 AM
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#29
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 June 2011
Posts: 23,993 User: 14,031 |
From looking at the betting Sweden look almost as certain to win as they did with Loreen.
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25th April 2015, 06:38 PM
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#30
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 23 December 2010
Posts: 24,411 User: 12,608 |
Time for an update as we are now less than a month away!
As always, these are the best odds available according to Oddschecker with tied countries ordered by their support on Betfair Exchange. Countries that are moving up the odds position-wise (not necessarily odds-wise) compared to the last update on here are coloured in green, those moving down are in red and those who haven't moved are in black. 01 | 006/4 | Sweden · Måns Zelmerlöw - Heroes 02 | 007/2 | Italy · Il Volo - Grande Amore 03 | 005/1 | Australia · Guy Sebastian - Tonight Again 04 | 010/1 | Estonia · Elina Born & Stig Rästa - Goodbye To Yesterday 05 | 025/1 | Finland · Pertti Kurikan Nimipäivät - Aina Mun Pitää 06 | 025/1 | Russia · Polina Gagarina - A Million Voices 07 | 025/1 | Norway · Mørland & Debrah Scarlett - A Monster Like Me 08 | 025/1 | Slovenia · Maraaya - Here For You 09 | 033/1 | Azerbaijan · Elnur Huseynov - Hour Of The Wolf 10 | 050/1 | Iceland · Maria Olafs - Unbroken 11 | 050/1 | United Kingdom · Electro Velvet - Still In Love With You 12 | 050/1 | Belgium · Loïc Nottet - Rhythm Inside 13 | 066/1 | Spain · Edurne - Amanecer 14 | 066/1 | Albania · Elhaida Dani - I'm Alive 15 | 080/1 | Armenia · Genealogy - Face The Shadow 16 | 100/1 | Latvia · Aminata - Love Injected 17 | 100/1 | Belarus · Uzari & Maimuna - Time 18 | 100/1 | Cyprus · John Karayiannis - One Thing I Should Have Done 19 | 100/1 | The Netherlands · Trijntje Oosterhuis - Walk Along 20 | 100/1 | Hungary · Boggie - Wars For Nothing 21 | 100/1 | Greece · Maria Elena Kyriakou - One Last Breath 22 | 100/1 | Romania · Voltaj - De La Capăt / All Over Again 23 | 100/1 | Malta · Amber - Warrior Above 100/1... 125/1 24 | F.Y.R. Macedonia · 25 | France · 26 | Serbia · 27 | Israel · 28 | Austria · 29 | Ireland · 30 | Denmark · 31 | Germany · 32 | Poland · 33 | Montenegro 150/1 34 | Lithuania 200/1 35 | Georgia · 36 | Moldova · 37 | Switzerland · 38 | Czech Republic · 39 | San Marino 250/1 40 | Portugal |
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25th April 2015, 07:05 PM
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#31
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I was born 7 million years ago in Sweden, Africa
Joined: 4 October 2010
Posts: 13,253 User: 11,955 |
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25th April 2015, 07:30 PM
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#32
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thanks for being a sarcy lil bitch
Joined: 25 September 2007
Posts: 79,278 User: 4,397 |
I do not get why Azerbaijan is so low too. It is really Elnur vs Mans this year
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25th April 2015, 11:35 PM
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#33
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DROTTNING!
Joined: 15 April 2006
Posts: 63,953 User: 480 |
Not really. They aren't buying votes anymore.
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25th April 2015, 11:59 PM
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#34
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Attack Dog/Sass Queen
Joined: 29 January 2008
Posts: 16,022 User: 5,342 |
Plus, from the few live clips I've seen, the award for this year's "Jessie J School of Singing" performance could well go to the Azeris and keep them out of the top 5.
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26th April 2015, 12:42 AM
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#35
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DROTTNING!
Joined: 15 April 2006
Posts: 63,953 User: 480 |
I mean, it's a fab track, but let's not pretend that the housewives of LINZ 'n' MELBOURNE will be running to the phones for Elnur's shrieks
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26th April 2015, 03:49 PM
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#36
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 23 December 2010
Posts: 24,411 User: 12,608 |
Yeah he does seem to be oversinging in some of these performances, but you can never count out Azerbaijan as we know they will come up with some fantastic staging in Vienna. If Elnur is told to sing closer to the studio version then there's definitely an opportunity, at least for a top 4 finish.
Elnur's promotional tour has been absolutely massive this month, he must have been to more than 10 or 15 countries. Of course Anggun proved that it doesn't necessarily help, but I'm sure it does help in some cases. |
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26th April 2015, 04:07 PM
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#37
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All I See br29
Joined: 17 August 2011
Posts: 12,907 User: 14,659 |
I feel like I don't want anyone to win this year. Gonna be 2011 all over again for me
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10th May 2015, 05:30 PM
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#38
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 23 December 2010
Posts: 24,411 User: 12,608 |
Time for a final update before rehearsals begin tomorrow and things begin to change dramatically!
As always, these are the best odds available according to Oddschecker with tied countries ordered by their support on Betfair Exchange. Countries that are moving up the odds position-wise (not necessarily odds-wise) compared to the last update on here are coloured in green, those moving down are in red and those who haven't moved are in black. 01 | 015/8 | Sweden · Måns Zelmerlöw - Heroes 02 | 007/2 | Italy · Il Volo - Grande Amore 03 | 009/2 | Australia · Guy Sebastian - Tonight Again 04 | 009/1 | Estonia · Elina Born & Stig Rästa - Goodbye To Yesterday 05 | 018/1 | Finland · Pertti Kurikan Nimipäivät - Aina Mun Pitää 06 | 025/1 | Russia · Polina Gagarina - A Million Voices 07 | 028/1 | Norway · Mørland & Debrah Scarlett - A Monster Like Me 08 | 033/1 | Azerbaijan · Elnur Huseynov - Hour Of The Wolf 09 | 033/1 | Slovenia · Maraaya - Here For You 10 | 050/1 | Iceland · Maria Olafs - Unbroken 11 | 050/1 | United Kingdom · Electro Velvet - Still In Love With You 12 | 066/1 | Belgium · Loïc Nottet - Rhythm Inside 13 | 066/1 | Spain · Edurne - Amanecer 14 | 066/1 | Albania · Elhaida Dani - I'm Alive 15 | 100/1 | Belarus · Uzari & Maimuna - Time 16 | 100/1 | Armenia · Genealogy - Face The Shadow 17 | 100/1 | Israel · Nadav Guedj - Golden Boy Above 100/1... 125/1 18 | Latvia · 19 | Cyprus · 20 | Austria · 21 | Serbia · 22 | Greece · 23 | Hungary · 24 | Poland 150/1 25 | The Netherlands · 26 | Lithuania · 27 | Romania · 28 | Germany · 29 | Denmark 200/1 30 | F.Y.R. Macedonia · 31 | France · 32 | Georgia · 33 | Ireland · 34 | Montenegro 250/1 35 | Malta 300/1 36 | Switzerland · 37 | Czech Republic · 38 | San Marino 500/1 39 | Moldova · 40 | Portugal |
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10th May 2015, 07:12 PM
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#39
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PTTP
Joined: 30 April 2012
Posts: 4,806 User: 16,865 |
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This post has been edited by 21.63: 17th September 2015, 10:06 AM |
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12th May 2015, 12:47 PM
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#40
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 23 December 2010
Posts: 24,411 User: 12,608 |
So we are seeing the first dramatic shift in the odds, with Russia plummeting down to 10s, 12s and 14s in a matter of minutes and is now favourite to win semi 1 and 4th favourite to win overall with some bookies already!
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