OPINION POLLS 2018-2022, Strong and stable... |
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19th September 2018, 05:19 PM
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#21
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Howdy, disco citizens
Joined: 16 January 2010
Posts: 12,775 User: 10,455 |
Tweet from Election Maps UK -
QUOTE My current polling average puts:
LAB at a 15 month low, w/ 36.7% LDM at a 16 month high, w/ 9.7% CON at a post-chequers high, w/ 39.3% Don't like to read TOO much into opinion polls, but suggests that LAB are losing supporters from both sides of the Brexit divide. |
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20th September 2018, 04:30 PM
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#22
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,674 User: 3,272 |
Latest from Ipsos/Mori
Con - 39 Lab - 37 LibD - 13 Usual caveats (only one poll, blah, blah, blah) apply. |
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20th September 2018, 05:15 PM
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#23
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,674 User: 3,272 |
Slightly more details on that poll...
CON: 39% (+1) LAB: 37% (-1) LDEM: 13% (+3) GRN: 5% (+2) UKIP: 2% (-4) via @IpsosMORI, 14 - 18 Sep Chgs. w/ 24 Jul Note that the polling started before the Lib Dem conference, not that it was exactly prominent in the news bulletins. |
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21st September 2018, 05:20 AM
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#24
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364 |
Slightly more details on that poll... CON: 39% (+1) LAB: 37% (-1) LDEM: 13% (+3) GRN: 5% (+2) UKIP: 2% (-4) via @IpsosMORI, 14 - 18 Sep Chgs. w/ 24 Jul Note that the polling started before the Lib Dem conference, not that it was exactly prominent in the news bulletins. it's always interesting to see how the party conferences affect them. |
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26th September 2018, 03:19 PM
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#25
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#38BBE0 otherwise known as 'sky blue'
Joined: 27 October 2008
Posts: 16,171 User: 7,561 |
Westminster voting intention:
LAB: 39% (+1) CON: 37% (-2) LDEM: 9% (+2) UKIP: 8% (+1) GRN: 2% (-1) via @OpiniumResearch, 18 - 20 Sep https://www.opinium.co.uk/political-polling...ptember-2018-2/ Over half (56%) of the public think that there should be another general election if the UK does not secure a deal with the EU by 29th March 2019 |
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27th September 2018, 05:14 AM
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#26
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364 |
Westminster voting intention: LAB: 39% (+1) CON: 37% (-2) LDEM: 9% (+2) UKIP: 8% (+1) GRN: 2% (-1) via @OpiniumResearch, 18 - 20 Sep https://www.opinium.co.uk/political-polling...ptember-2018-2/ Over half (56%) of the public think that there should be another general election if the UK does not secure a deal with the EU by 29th March 2019 Their level of indicated UKIP support is far higher than the others. |
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30th September 2018, 05:31 AM
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#27
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364 |
See how quiet/boring this forum gets when I hardly post.
YOuGov poll https://yougov.co.uk/news/2018/09/28/voting...bour-36-24-25-/ |
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3rd October 2018, 11:13 AM
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#28
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#38BBE0 otherwise known as 'sky blue'
Joined: 27 October 2008
Posts: 16,171 User: 7,561 |
Some more polling from BMG (28/29 September)
Westminster voting intention: LAB: 40% (+2) CON: 35% (-3) LDEM: 12% (+2) UKIP: 5% (-) via @BMGResearch, 28 - 29 Sep: https://www.bmgresearch.co.uk/huffpost-bmg-...olling-results/ Chgs. w/ 22 Sep and on that EU question: REMAIN: 47% LEAVE: 43% PLEASE STOP ASKING ME THIS QUESTION/DON'T KNOW: 10% |
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4th October 2018, 05:21 AM
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#29
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364 |
THere does seem to be more variation between polls now...
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8th October 2018, 05:32 AM
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#30
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364 |
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9th October 2018, 11:17 AM
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#31
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,087 User: 18,639 |
Tories must be BRICKING IT
Even their biased polls aren't doing much for them. They are over. |
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15th October 2018, 05:21 AM
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#32
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364 |
Tories must be BRICKING IT Even their biased polls aren't doing much for them. They are over. Or not, according to the latest : http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/ |
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29th October 2018, 06:26 AM
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#33
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364 |
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10th November 2018, 01:54 PM
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#34
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#38BBE0 otherwise known as 'sky blue'
Joined: 27 October 2008
Posts: 16,171 User: 7,561 |
The latest poll from Survation (9 November) shows the two largest parties still neck-and-neck. The splits for 18-24, 25-34 and 35-44 are v interesting though which shows that the Conservatives have a big problem with the under 45s!
https://www.survation.com/labour-narrowly-l...intention-poll/ |
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3rd December 2018, 06:38 AM
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#35
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364 |
Snap election now could see Corbyn as Prime Minister propped up by Nicola Sturgeon's SNP, poll finds
Theresa May fighting to salvage her Brexit deal ahead of crunch Commons vote Fears rising of a snap election as Parliament looks to be in deadlock over options Poll of polls shows as of now Tories could be largest party but out of government https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-64...ropped-SNP.html |
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3rd December 2018, 09:53 AM
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#36
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,153 User: 5,138 |
Hopes!!
Yippee!! |
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3rd December 2018, 11:11 AM
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#37
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364 |
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3rd December 2018, 11:15 AM
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#38
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#38BBE0 otherwise known as 'sky blue'
Joined: 27 October 2008
Posts: 16,171 User: 7,561 |
Thanks to the Fixed Term Parliament Act (cheers Nick Clegg...) there won't be a snap general election. I cannot see the appetite for it from 2/3 of the HoC -
Secondly, even IF there were to be a snap election, the result would likely be the same hung parliament we have currently (going on recent Opinion Polls) with no party nor coalition able to command a majority. |
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3rd December 2018, 03:38 PM
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#39
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364 |
Thanks to the Fixed Term Parliament Act (cheers Nick Clegg...) there won't be a snap general election. I cannot see the appetite for it from 2/3 of the HoC - Secondly, even IF there were to be a snap election, the result would likely be the same hung parliament we have currently (going on recent Opinion Polls) with no party nor coalition able to command a majority. I cannot see the opposition winning a no-confidence vote anyway - whatever the issues within the Tory party over Brexit, and others, they will surely be united in wanting to prevent an early election! |
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3rd December 2018, 03:51 PM
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#40
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,087 User: 18,639 |
So you admit the Tories know they are done?
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