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 PREDICT - Step Back In Time, Opening Week Sales? |
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 May 4 2019, 03:18 PM
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#1
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 25 March 2007
Posts: 21,286 User: 3,155 
  
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What is everyone’s predictions for opening week?
So far we’ve had a single release and Graham Norton and R2 promo - I’m sure Kylie will have other promotional slots in the run up to release. Then we of course have Glastonbury, Brighton Pride and the Summer tour so I’m hoping this will be a consistent seller. Formats confirmed - Picture Disc Vinyl Standard Vinyl Amazon Exclusive - Mint Vinyl Standard CD Deluxe CD 5 x Cassettes So 10 copies for fans to potentially multi buy for week 1. Golden opened with 48,032 (Including 6,400 vinyl and 2,600 cassettes). Other Greatest Hits opening week information is hard to come by (I’m sure someone will have it though!) - Abbey Road Sessions - 37,556 The Best Of Kylie Minogue - 9,703 |
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May 4 2019, 04:17 PM
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#2
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 3 August 2006
Posts: 8,209 User: 1,031
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I think it will sell about 25k and be in the T3.
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May 4 2019, 04:18 PM
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#3
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Why do today, what you can do tomorrow?
Joined: 7 November 2008
Posts: 10,466 User: 7,645
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I’ve said 25k Top 5 but will be a constant seller through the summer.
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May 4 2019, 04:34 PM
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#4
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BuzzJack Idol
Joined: 29 June 2006
Posts: 128,409 User: 845
 
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Around 50k and number 1, in keeping it positive.
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May 4 2019, 04:35 PM
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#5
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 26 May 2006
Posts: 24,574 User: 632
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Why are the options so high ? even at her peak she couldn't do those
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May 4 2019, 04:38 PM
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#6
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BuzzJack Idol
Joined: 29 June 2006
Posts: 128,409 User: 845
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Kiss me once had opening if 25k and golden over 40k so it's all possible.
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May 4 2019, 04:40 PM
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#7
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 25 March 2007
Posts: 21,286 User: 3,155
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I really think/hope it’ll be #1 - the fact this is being released at the exact time of her Glastonbury performance means it could get some amazing sales as there will be mass media coverage.
Like others have said I think the album will have longevity - Dolly Parton released her album to conincide with Glastonbury and it hung around for ages and peaked several weeks later (6-6-7-4-3-3-2-2-2-3-7-10). Other headline acts have had massive boosts for their albums and back catalogue when performing at Glastonbury. Kylie will really benefit from being in the public eye for a prolonged period over summer and I’m sure she will have other promotion lined up plus there is a ‘good feeling’ element to this release - 30 years in the business etc., |
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May 4 2019, 04:42 PM
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#8
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BuzzJack Idol
Joined: 29 June 2006
Posts: 128,409 User: 845
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Ya I agree I think this will do very well for her as it's timed so well.
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May 4 2019, 04:44 PM
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#9
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 25 March 2007
Posts: 21,286 User: 3,155
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QUOTE(Dannyboy @ May 4 2019, 05:35 PM)  Why are the options so high ? even at her peak she couldn't do those I’d be surprised if it opened with less than 25k but that option is there... considering her last album almost achieved 50k in sales opening week, she currently doesn’t have a full GH available and this is released the week of her Glastonbury performance what is your prediction if the above is too high? |
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May 4 2019, 04:55 PM
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#10
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 26 May 2006
Posts: 24,574 User: 632
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QUOTE(___∆___ @ May 4 2019, 05:44 PM) I’d be surprised if it opened with less than 25k but that option is there... considering her last album almost achieved 50k in sales opening week, she currently doesn’t have a full GH available and this is released the week of her Glastonbury performance what is your prediction if the above is too high? I went for 26k - 50k, I just think anything more would be amazing but so unrealistic, no tv performances, no promo other than the live shows, it may have longevity but opening weeks figures just seems so far out there |
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May 4 2019, 05:12 PM
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#11
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 25 March 2007
Posts: 21,286 User: 3,155
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QUOTE(Dannyboy @ May 4 2019, 05:55 PM) I went for 26k - 50k, I just think anything more would be amazing but so unrealistic, no tv performances, no promo other than the live shows, it may have longevity but opening weeks figures just seems so far out there Not sure I agree with the no promo part - Glastonbury is televised and the average audiences from the past few years is between 18-20 million for the headline set http://www.musicweek.com/media/read/bbc-co...n-people/068948 There will also be heavy media coverage of her performance and she may have some pre-recorded TV performances etc., at the same time. I’m expecting a minimum opening of 50k but Kylie always seems to surprise, also this is the type of album that will be stocked everywhere so will help with impulse sales. The fact that her Glastonbury performance and fan base sales all happen in week 1 is maybe why my expectations are higher. |
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May 4 2019, 05:28 PM
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#12
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 26 May 2006
Posts: 24,574 User: 632
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QUOTE(___∆___ @ May 4 2019, 06:12 PM) Not sure I agree with the no promo part - Glastonbury is televised and the average audiences from the past few years is between 18-20 million for the headline set http://www.musicweek.com/media/read/bbc-co...n-people/068948 There will also be heavy media coverage of her performance and she may have some pre-recorded TV performances etc., at the same time. I’m expecting a minimum opening of 50k but Kylie always seems to surprise, also this is the type of album that will be stocked everywhere so will help with impulse sales. The fact that her Glastonbury performance and fan base sales all happen in week 1 is maybe why my expectations are higher. And those figures were mainly from the headline Ed Sheeran, not for the Legends slot Kylie is on. Also, that's total overall with all the slots added together, the individual acts averaged from 1-4 million on different channels. Don't get me wrong, I hope I am proved wrong I really do. |
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May 4 2019, 06:24 PM
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#13
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 A dead mouse (from my cat)
Joined: 2 March 2018
Posts: 28,456 User: 67,771
   
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The main competition for #1 that week will be The Black Keys' Let's Rock.
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May 4 2019, 07:05 PM
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#14
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 25 March 2007
Posts: 21,286 User: 3,155
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QUOTE(WhoOdyssey @ May 4 2019, 07:24 PM) The main competition for #1 that week will be The Black Keys' Let's Rock. They’ve been getting stronger with each release in terms of sales and chart positions so will be a strong challenger. |
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May 4 2019, 08:09 PM
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#15
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BuzzJack Idol
Joined: 29 June 2006
Posts: 128,409 User: 845
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Hopefully kylie can beat them.
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May 5 2019, 06:55 PM
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#16
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 25 March 2007
Posts: 21,286 User: 3,155
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9 votes for entering at #1 and selling between 26-50k - let’s hope we’re all correct!
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May 5 2019, 08:51 PM
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#17
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BuzzJack Idol
Joined: 29 June 2006
Posts: 128,409 User: 845
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I hope so as I'd love another number 1.
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May 5 2019, 09:37 PM
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#18
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 25 March 2007
Posts: 21,286 User: 3,155
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QUOTE(Feel_The_Fever @ May 5 2019, 09:51 PM) I hope so as I'd love another number 1. If it happens she’ll be in the Top 10 at #10 for most UK #1 albums 
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May 5 2019, 10:12 PM
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#19
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 Break the tension
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 88,912 User: 51
  
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QUOTE(Dannyboy @ May 4 2019, 05:35 PM) Why are the options so high ? even at her peak she couldn't do those She did with Fever! I think around 30k and hopefully #1. Although that depends on competition at the time. |
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May 5 2019, 10:58 PM
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#20
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BuzzJack Idol
Joined: 29 June 2006
Posts: 128,409 User: 845
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QUOTE(___∆___ @ May 5 2019, 10:37 PM) If it happens she’ll be in the Top 10 at #10 for most UK #1 albums That would be great and hopefully she can get another number 1 in the future. This post has been edited by Feel_The_Fever: May 5 2019, 10:59 PM |
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