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> OPINION POLLS 2018-2022, Strong and stable...
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Brett-Butler
post Sep 19 2018, 05:19 PM
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Tweet from Election Maps UK -

QUOTE
My current polling average puts:

LAB at a 15 month low, w/ 36.7%
LDM at a 16 month high, w/ 9.7%
CON at a post-chequers high, w/ 39.3%

Don't like to read TOO much into opinion polls, but suggests that LAB are losing supporters from both sides of the Brexit divide.
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Suedehead2
post Sep 20 2018, 04:30 PM
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Latest from Ipsos/Mori

Con - 39
Lab - 37
LibD - 13

Usual caveats (only one poll, blah, blah, blah) apply.
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Suedehead2
post Sep 20 2018, 05:15 PM
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Slightly more details on that poll...

CON: 39% (+1)
LAB: 37% (-1)
LDEM: 13% (+3)
GRN: 5% (+2)
UKIP: 2% (-4)

via @IpsosMORI, 14 - 18 Sep
Chgs. w/ 24 Jul

Note that the polling started before the Lib Dem conference, not that it was exactly prominent in the news bulletins.
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vidcapper
post Sep 21 2018, 05:20 AM
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QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ Sep 20 2018, 06:15 PM) *
Slightly more details on that poll...

CON: 39% (+1)
LAB: 37% (-1)
LDEM: 13% (+3)
GRN: 5% (+2)
UKIP: 2% (-4)

via @IpsosMORI, 14 - 18 Sep
Chgs. w/ 24 Jul

Note that the polling started before the Lib Dem conference, not that it was exactly prominent in the news bulletins.


it's always interesting to see how the party conferences affect them.
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Doctor Blind
post Sep 26 2018, 03:19 PM
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Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 39% (+1)
CON: 37% (-2)
LDEM: 9% (+2)
UKIP: 8% (+1)
GRN: 2% (-1)

via @OpiniumResearch, 18 - 20 Sep
https://www.opinium.co.uk/political-polling...ptember-2018-2/

Over half (56%) of the public think that there should be another general election if the UK does not secure a deal with the EU by 29th March 2019
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vidcapper
post Sep 27 2018, 05:14 AM
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QUOTE(Doctor Blind @ Sep 26 2018, 04:19 PM) *
Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 39% (+1)
CON: 37% (-2)
LDEM: 9% (+2)
UKIP: 8% (+1)
GRN: 2% (-1)

via @OpiniumResearch, 18 - 20 Sep
https://www.opinium.co.uk/political-polling...ptember-2018-2/

Over half (56%) of the public think that there should be another general election if the UK does not secure a deal with the EU by 29th March 2019


Their level of indicated UKIP support is far higher than the others. huh.gif
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vidcapper
post Sep 30 2018, 05:31 AM
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See how quiet/boring this forum gets when I hardly post. tongue.gif

YOuGov poll

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2018/09/28/voting...bour-36-24-25-/
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Doctor Blind
post Oct 3 2018, 11:13 AM
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Some more polling from BMG (28/29 September)

Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 40% (+2)
CON: 35% (-3)
LDEM: 12% (+2)
UKIP: 5% (-)

via @BMGResearch, 28 - 29 Sep: https://www.bmgresearch.co.uk/huffpost-bmg-...olling-results/
Chgs. w/ 22 Sep

and on that EU question:

REMAIN: 47%
LEAVE: 43%
PLEASE STOP ASKING ME THIS QUESTION/DON'T KNOW: 10%
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vidcapper
post Oct 4 2018, 05:21 AM
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THere does seem to be more variation between polls now...
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vidcapper
post Oct 8 2018, 05:32 AM
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Update :

http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/
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Algernon Monquee...
post Oct 9 2018, 11:17 AM
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Tories must be BRICKING IT

Even their biased polls aren't doing much for them. They are over.
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vidcapper
post Oct 15 2018, 05:21 AM
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QUOTE(ˇMichael Myers! @ Oct 9 2018, 12:17 PM) *
Tories must be BRICKING IT

Even their biased polls aren't doing much for them. They are over.


Or not, according to the latest : http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/
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vidcapper
post Oct 29 2018, 06:26 AM
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Oct 15 2018, 05:21 AM) *
Or not, according to the latest : http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/


Update
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Doctor Blind
post Nov 10 2018, 01:54 PM
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The latest poll from Survation (9 November) shows the two largest parties still neck-and-neck. The splits for 18-24, 25-34 and 35-44 are v interesting though which shows that the Conservatives have a big problem with the under 45s!

https://www.survation.com/labour-narrowly-l...intention-poll/



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vidcapper
post Dec 3 2018, 06:38 AM
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Snap election now could see Corbyn as Prime Minister propped up by Nicola Sturgeon's SNP, poll finds

Theresa May fighting to salvage her Brexit deal ahead of crunch Commons vote
Fears rising of a snap election as Parliament looks to be in deadlock over options
Poll of polls shows as of now Tories could be largest party but out of government

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-64...ropped-SNP.html
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Steve201
post Dec 3 2018, 09:53 AM
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Hopes!!

Yippee!!
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vidcapper
post Dec 3 2018, 11:11 AM
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QUOTE(Steve201 @ Dec 3 2018, 09:53 AM) *
Hopes!!

Yippee!!


I'm not sure where they get 43 SNP MP's from, though? They currently have 35, and they'd probably lose as many to Lab as they might gain from Tories.
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Doctor Blind
post Dec 3 2018, 11:15 AM
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Thanks to the Fixed Term Parliament Act (cheers Nick Clegg...) there won't be a snap general election. I cannot see the appetite for it from 2/3 of the HoC -

Secondly, even IF there were to be a snap election, the result would likely be the same hung parliament we have currently (going on recent Opinion Polls) with no party nor coalition able to command a majority.
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vidcapper
post Dec 3 2018, 03:38 PM
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QUOTE(Doctor Blind @ Dec 3 2018, 11:15 AM) *
Thanks to the Fixed Term Parliament Act (cheers Nick Clegg...) there won't be a snap general election. I cannot see the appetite for it from 2/3 of the HoC -

Secondly, even IF there were to be a snap election, the result would likely be the same hung parliament we have currently (going on recent Opinion Polls) with no party nor coalition able to command a majority.


I cannot see the opposition winning a no-confidence vote anyway - whatever the issues within the Tory party over Brexit, and others, they will surely be united in wanting to prevent an early election!
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Algernon Monquee...
post Dec 3 2018, 03:51 PM
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So you admit the Tories know they are done?
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