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 bjsc 134 - odds & predix, wanna be on top? |
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 28th April 2021, 12:40 PM
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#101
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 🙄
Joined: 14 February 2010
Posts: 53,654 User: 10,643 
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i'm here for a double chris win
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28th April 2021, 01:06 PM
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#102
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#TeamAnneMarie
Joined: 3 July 2010
Posts: 18,273 User: 11,421
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Exciting to be getting these predictions! I'd also say N DNTN, Land of DW, FARC, Bellamia, D'yermak'er and Republic of Adonia are all in contention too! It's exciting not having a forgone conclusion heading into the final results where any number of countries could do it! I'll try not to get my hopes up too much and stick with a potential top 10 which would be my highest placing of 2021 so far!
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28th April 2021, 02:15 PM
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#103
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 i can only do one normal thing a day
Joined: 25 July 2011
Posts: 19,629 User: 14,428
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Trifoddski final odds
4/1 Kluminican Republic: Dove Cameron - LazyBaby 9/2 The Actual Republic of Bellamia: Robin Packalen - Hard To Love (feat. Alex Mattson) 5/1 FARC: Ane Brun - Take Hold Of Me 6/1 FSR Rontvia: ishi vu - This Is Your Life 6/1 Land of DW: Christina Novelli - Numb 6/1 Aeroche: Fear Of Tigers - I Hope You Know 8/1 Hushkanukia: KING - Only U 8/1 N DNTN: COBRAH - GOOD PUSS 10/1 Kathaldazia: TDJ - Open Air (feat. fknsyd) 10/1 Cor Lupus: Olga Seryabkina - Что Же Ты Наделал 12/1 Hendinia: moistbreezy - Breathless (Keeping Me Up All Night) 12/1 Arcodesia: Monolink - The Prey (Mind Against Remix) 14/1 Jadakissnia: Genesis Owusu - The Other Black Dog 14/1 Chestoria: Ylona Garcia - All That 16/1 Numayania: Max Barskih & Zivert - BESTSELLER 16/1 Altyr Muunilinst: Erika Vikman - Häpeä 16/1 #00274E: Bklava - Fired Up (ABSOLUTE. Edit) 16/1 Terra Avium: Crows In The Rain - Unfinished Dream Of Sadako 16/1 D'yermak'er: Postiljonen - Atlantis 16/1 Rolloland: Kid Francescoli - Moon (And It Went Like) 20/1 Republic of Adonia: Grimes - REALiTi (Demo) 20/1 Bøtanikkä: Polo & Pan - Dorothy 20/1 Greenfroze: Zolita - Truth Tea 20/1 Thelonia: The Prototypes - Reason (feat. LOWES) 25/1 Utopia: Boards Of Canada - XYZ 25/1 Fljótavík: India Jordan - For You (Fljótavík Edit) 25/1 Mosquetania: Drew Sycamore - 45 Fahrenheit Girl 25/1 Persephonia: Quadeca - Sisyphus 28/1 Niceland: Schiller & Alphaville - Summer In Berlin 28/1 Kingdom of Horanius: LUM!X, KSHMR & Gabry Ponte - Scare Me (feat. KARRA) 33/1 Taahino: chloe moriondo - GIRL ON TV 33/1 New Lexico: poutyface - NEVER f***IN KNOW 33/1 Varakë: Mark Diamond - Monster 33/1 Jupiterdonia: Lissie - Don't You Give Up On Me 33/1 Quintessa: Marta Sango - ¿Qué Más Quieres De Mí? 33/1 St. Burbia: Nasty Cherry - Her Body 33/1 Scherzland: Zac Tenenbaum - Just For The Night (feat. ilayda) 40/1 Skall: Niki & The Dove - So Much It Hurts 40/1 Ojnoj: Tinashe - Ghetto Boy 50/1 Elëdan: TeZATalks - Panic Attack 50/1 Wholune: Lynks & Charlie Steen - This Is The Hit 77/1 Trifoski: Parov Stelar - Catgroove This feels a lot more wide open than last month, LazyBaby would be a more confident favourite if Klum Rep didn't have the bridesmaid curse, so there's a good chance one of like 10 songs below it could get there instead  I might be way off on Aeroche/Hushkanukia but they both sound like BJSC hits to my ears so REALiTi should be a contender, but if a legendary song like Oblivion can only finish 16th i'm not sure this'll get much higher |
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28th April 2021, 02:37 PM
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#104
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 escape in the taste of summerrrrrr
Joined: 8 August 2009
Posts: 27,310 User: 9,403
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QUOTE(SevenSeize @ Apr 28 2021, 03:15 PM)  I might be way off on Aeroche/Hushkanukia but they both sound like BJSC hits to my ears so You are 
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28th April 2021, 02:44 PM
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#105
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down with jakewild
Joined: 2 December 2009
Posts: 12,001 User: 10,105
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2/1 FARC: Ane Brun - Take Hold Of Me
2/1 Kluminican Republic: Dove Cameron - LazyBaby 4/1 Cor Lupus: Olga Seryabkina - Что Же Ты Наделал 4/1 N DNTN: COBRAH - GOOD PUSS 5/1 Thelonia: The Prototypes - Reason (feat. LOWES) 5/1 #00274E: Bklava - Fired Up (ABSOLUTE. Edit) -------- 8/1 D'yermak'er: Postiljonen - Atlantis 8/1 Kathaldazia: TDJ - Open Air (feat. fknsyd) 10/1 FSR Rontvia: ishi vu - This Is Your Life 10/1 Republic of Adonia: Grimes - REALiTi (Demo) 12/1 The Actual Republic of Bellamia: Robin Packalen - Hard To Love (feat. Alex Mattson) 14/1 Land of DW: Christina Novelli - Numb 16/1 Rolloland: Kid Francescoli - Moon (And It Went Like) 16/1 Chestoria: Ylona Garcia - All That 16/1 Hushkanukia: KING - Only U 16/1 Bøtanikkä: Polo & Pan - Dorothy 16/1 Aeroche: Fear Of Tigers - I Hope You Know 18/1 Hendinia: moistbreezy - Breathless (Keeping Me Up All Night) 18/1 Niceland: Schiller & Alphaville - Summer In Berlin 20/1 Arcodesia: Monolink - The Prey (Mind Against Remix) 20/1 Altyr Muunilinst: Erika Vikman - Häpeä 20/1 Elëdan: TeZATalks - Panic Attack 20/1 Trifoski: Parov Stelar - Catgroove 25/1 Skall: Niki & The Dove - So Much It Hurts 25/1 Wholune: Lynks & Charlie Steen - This Is The Hit 30/1 Ojnoj: Tinashe - Ghetto Boy 30/1 Fljótavík: India Jordan - For You (Fljótavík Edit) 35/1 Numayania: Max Barskih & Zivert - BESTSELLER 40/1 Terra Avium: Crows In The Rain - Unfinished Dream Of Sadako 40/1 Taahino: chloe moriondo - GIRL ON TV 40/1 Persephonia: Quadeca - Sisyphus 40/1 New Lexico: poutyface - NEVER f***IN KNOW 40/1 Jadakissnia: Genesis Owusu - The Other Black Dog 40/1 Mosquetania: Drew Sycamore - 45 Fahrenheit Girl 40/1 St. Burbia: Nasty Cherry - Her Body 50/1 Utopia: Boards Of Canada - XYZ 50/1 Varakë: Mark Diamond - Monster 50/1 Quintessa: Marta Sango - ¿Qué Más Quieres De Mí? 60/1 Kingdom of Horanius: LUM!X, KSHMR & Gabry Ponte - Scare Me (feat. KARRA) 60/1 Greenfroze: Zolita - Truth Tea 60/1 Jupiterdonia: Lissie - Don't You Give Up On Me 60/1 Scherzland: Zac Tenenbaum - Just For The Night (feat. ilayda) predicting it's gonna be a race of the 18s (FARC and Klum) or a track that gets few highs and then mops up a lot of middling / low votes from both sides of the pop/indie divide (the other 4 above the line) OR something completely unexpected (eledan pls). |
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28th April 2021, 02:54 PM
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#106
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IncredibleSquirrel
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 25,840 User: 118
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Two things I get when I read this thread... A sense of dread that all the songs I disliked most are going to finish highly, and irrationally annoyed that most people's odds come nowhere close to adding up
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28th April 2021, 02:56 PM
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#107
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down with jakewild
Joined: 2 December 2009
Posts: 12,001 User: 10,105
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wait... should i be doing maths?
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28th April 2021, 03:05 PM
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#108
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IncredibleSquirrel
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 25,840 User: 118
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Odds are a calculation of chances of each type of outcome, so converting into percentages of each potential outcome should add up to around 100%. At an actual bookies will be around 110-120, will be more than 100% because they want to make money but won't be too much more or no one would bet with them.
For the ones you posted there is a 140% chance that one of the top 6 songs above the line will win. But as I said, it's completely irrational and totally pedantic as it's not real, just a nice way of people putting what they think into an easy to understand way that shows clear favourites and how close something is |
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28th April 2021, 03:07 PM
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#109
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laugh 'til we cry
Pronouns: she/her
Joined: 29 August 2014 Posts: 13,706 User: 21,176 
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Oooft those hurt
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28th April 2021, 03:08 PM
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#110
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laugh 'til we cry
Pronouns: she/her
Joined: 29 August 2014 Posts: 13,706 User: 21,176
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someone coach me in what makes a *hit* pls xxx
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28th April 2021, 03:10 PM
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#111
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i thought you wore the hairpiece for style
Pronouns: ·
Joined: 7 March 2006 Posts: 22,456 User: 47
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QUOTE(RabbitFurCoat @ Apr 28 2021, 03:54 PM) Two things I get when I read this thread... A sense of dread that all the songs I disliked most are going to finish highly, and irrationally annoyed that most people's odds come nowhere close to adding up thought you would have liked ane oops good luck everyone tonight; i have no expectations of doing as well as suggested, who knows what will happen! |
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28th April 2021, 03:12 PM
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#112
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i thought you wore the hairpiece for style
Pronouns: ·
Joined: 7 March 2006 Posts: 22,456 User: 47
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QUOTE(Linds. @ Apr 28 2021, 04:08 PM) someone coach me in what makes a *hit* pls xxx L M A O one of your best friends is the most successful bjsc nation of all time! |
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28th April 2021, 03:44 PM
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#113
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is my brain across your walls?
Joined: 14 February 2009
Posts: 115,078 User: 8,300
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I don't think it's a winner but poor Wholune being right at the bottom of some of these odds!
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28th April 2021, 03:51 PM
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#114
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 Schlagerdrottningen
Joined: 23 August 2010
Posts: 31,877 User: 11,709
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FARC is the only thing giving me winner vibes this month. I agree that this is likely to be a fairly close run thing as there are number of other songs which appeal to specific demographics more but that seems like it probably has the widest appeal.
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28th April 2021, 05:32 PM
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#115
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laugh 'til we cry
Pronouns: she/her
Joined: 29 August 2014 Posts: 13,706 User: 21,176
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QUOTE(jakee @ Apr 28 2021, 04:12 PM) L M A O one of your best friends is the most successful bjsc nation of all time! bjsc is where our tastes differ from one extreme to the other though |
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28th April 2021, 05:48 PM
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#116
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IncredibleSquirrel
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 25,840 User: 118
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QUOTE(jakee @ Apr 28 2021, 04:10 PM) thought you would have liked ane oops Oh just cos all the stuff I disliked most is towards the top, doesn't mean everything at the top is something I dislike! The three songs I thought were genuinely awful all seem to be well predicted. |
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