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| PREDICT: Ariana Grandes opening sales + peak, Positions - 6th Album - 30 October |
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 18th October 2020, 11:11 AM
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#21
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 BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 9 January 2007
Posts: 1,244 User: 2,478 
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QUOTE(ts7sfkptm @ Oct 18 2020, 10:41 AM)  I'm sure there'll be a load of physicals ready to ship first week... a shame Sam isn't competition tbh. I could see her doing 50-60k It depends when they finished the album. They may be able to get some cds out in time for release, but I think it’s highly unlikely vinyl will come on release week. |
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18th October 2020, 11:29 AM
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#22
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 1 April 2020
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QUOTE(iain @ Oct 18 2020, 12:11 PM) It depends when they finished the album. They may be able to get some cds out in time for release, but I think it’s highly unlikely vinyl will come on release week. I can't see Sc**ter allowing her to surprise him like Taylor did her label with folklore! He needs time to send out the cheques... But indeed we have to wait and see when they're shipping... |
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18th October 2020, 12:56 PM
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#23
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Jord
Joined: 12 March 2017
Posts: 10,771 User: 27,116
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Is anyone aware of Sam’s promo schedule for release week? Obviously there’s no BBC special this time around but do they have Graham Norton or anything lined up?
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18th October 2020, 01:37 PM
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#24
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 BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 7 February 2013
Posts: 11,961 User: 18,293
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QUOTE(jlj @ Oct 18 2020, 01:56 PM) Is anyone aware of Sam’s promo schedule for release week? Obviously there’s no BBC special this time around but do they have Graham Norton or anything lined up? Sam's on the Graham Norton Show this Friday. I'm not sure if they have any other promo lined up though for the next week. |
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18th October 2020, 04:19 PM
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#25
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 is my brain across your walls?
Joined: 14 February 2009
Posts: 115,072 User: 8,300
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I think it could go either way between Ariana and Sam, especially if Ariana is digital only in her first week because if so I don't think she'd move any more than Taylor did. Sam's sales will be down from last era but I don't know that they'd go down that much.
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18th October 2020, 05:26 PM
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#26
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 26 January 2014
Posts: 13,455 User: 20,515
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Could a circuit breaker lockdown affect sales.
Definitely. So steaming and downloads may become even more important |
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18th October 2020, 06:24 PM
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#27
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 15 September 2010
Posts: 10,457 User: 11,847
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#1 with 48k debut is my guess.
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18th October 2020, 07:07 PM
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#28
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 21 November 2009
Posts: 8,554 User: 10,030
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Rumour has it Adele is dropping on October 30th as well. If true, I can't see her getting to #1, but a very respectable #2 with solid numbers.
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25th October 2020, 11:05 AM
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#29
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Jord
Joined: 12 March 2017
Posts: 10,771 User: 27,116
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Bump of this now we’ve heard the lead single and the tracklist is out there!
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25th October 2020, 11:49 AM
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#30
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New Entry
Joined: 16 March 2020
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55k ~65k
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25th October 2020, 11:53 AM
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#31
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 9 January 2007
Posts: 1,244 User: 2,478
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I don’t think this is going to pull in the first week numbers Thank U Next did. Both Thank U Next and 7 Rings were consistently pulling in 700k - 1m streams for days after their release, Position is under 500k on day 2 and could likely drop off the top spot on Spotify as soon as tomorrow. Ariana got 43k streaming equivalents for the last album, I doubt she’ll get as much this time around, and with no physical on the cards I’d say 40-50k at the most for the first week.
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25th October 2020, 06:00 PM
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#32
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is my brain across your walls?
Joined: 14 February 2009
Posts: 115,072 User: 8,300
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Does anyone actually know if this will have a physical release in its first week or not? She did make a CD for the single available on her website immediately so I would assume there will be one for the album at least on her website?
Agree that her streaming numbers will be a bit lower than 'thank u, next' (but that's nothing to be ashamed of given that was one of the biggest streaming debuts ever). |
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26th October 2020, 05:06 PM
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#33
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 26 May 2016
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Will be interesting to see if the leak will affect its sales, but I doubt.
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26th October 2020, 09:49 PM
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#34
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BuzzJack Regular
Joined: 11 December 2019
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Think I'm expecting lower than Gaga now. The reception to Positions and the leaks has been less than great.
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27th October 2020, 05:43 PM
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#35
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Jord
Joined: 12 March 2017
Posts: 10,771 User: 27,116
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There is now a pre order for this! I pre ordered from HMV but you can also buy limited edition covers on her store and other bundles such as cassettes.
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27th October 2020, 07:24 PM
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#36
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
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No.1 with 70k+
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30th October 2020, 12:57 PM
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#37
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Jord
Joined: 12 March 2017
Posts: 10,771 User: 27,116
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Any updated predictions from anyone now the albums out?
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30th October 2020, 02:30 PM
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#38
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my caviar brings all the lords to the court~
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 9 April 2014 Posts: 3,797 User: 20,799
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#1 with 48k I’m going for
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30th October 2020, 02:32 PM
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#39
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 26 January 2014
Posts: 13,455 User: 20,515
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#1 with 45.5k
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30th October 2020, 02:50 PM
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#40
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 8 August 2018
Posts: 2,300 User: 74,599
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#1 44k
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