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 OPINION POLLS 2019-2024, This thread is 'oven-ready' for the latest polls. |
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 22nd May 2024, 10:39 PM
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#1001
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 Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 45,256 User: 18,639 
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QUOTE(Envoirment @ 22nd May 2024, 11:36 PM)  Hoping the Greens will at least get their 2nd MP this election even on a reduced %. And we haven't had the campaigns really start yet - they could really change polls right up to the last minute. There's also the caveat of undecided voters. I'm hoping this'll be the first election night in many years that will go better than I expected. Mainly the Tories winning their lowest number of seats in their 200+ year history... *_* 2017? |
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22nd May 2024, 11:19 PM
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#1002
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 21 November 2009
Posts: 8,878 User: 10,030
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QUOTE(Doomsday Dong @ 22nd May 2024, 11:39 PM) 2017? Oh I totally forgot the shitshow that was the 2017 election when Theresa May tried to get a larger majority to get Brexit done only to end up with a smaller majority.  I think the succession of Bojo, Lettuce & Rishi mad me forget about Theresa. Plus the hurt from the 2019 election still runs deep. I remember the twitter rumours of labour doing better than expected only to see the final results...  |
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24th May 2024, 11:15 AM
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#1003
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 BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 30 March 2024
Posts: 951 User: 175,892
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https://x.com/techneUK/status/1793911182337753166?r
First TechneUK poll conducted partially after the announcement has the Conservatives at just 19%. Added Electoral Calculus seat projections in brackets as a bit of fun. Labour - 45 (519) Conservatives - 19 (34) Lib Dems - 12 (62) Reform UK - 14 (0) Green 5 (2) SNP 2 (12) Others 3 (5) https://x.com/techneUK/status/1793911182337753166?r This post has been edited by DoBelieveTheHype: 24th May 2024, 11:36 AM |
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24th May 2024, 11:17 AM
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#1004
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 Resident Pink Pony
Joined: 9 March 2008
Posts: 15,700 User: 5,567
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QUOTE(DoBelieveTheHype @ 24th May 2024, 12:15 PM) https://x.com/techneUK/status/1793911182337753166?r First TechneUK poll conducted partially after the announcement has the Conservatives at just 19%. Added Electoral Calculus seat projections in brackets as a bit of fun. Labour - 45 (519) Conservatives - 19 (34) Lib Dems - 12 (62) Reform UK - 14 (0) Green 5 (2) SNP 2 (12) Others 5 https://x.com/techneUK/status/1793911182337753166?r 519 for Labour?  that sounds too good to be true
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24th May 2024, 12:42 PM
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#1005
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 47,341 User: 5,138
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I’d say it is lol!
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24th May 2024, 08:17 PM
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#1006
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 21 November 2009
Posts: 8,878 User: 10,030
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I'm hoping Yougov will do another MRP poll. They're usually a fairly good indicator. The most recent one they did in March showed Labour with 403 seats on 41% of the vote.
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28th May 2024, 03:53 PM
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#1007
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 30 March 2024
Posts: 951 User: 175,892
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https://www.survation.com/survations-first-...ampaign-period/
First poll of the campaign for Survation out: Conservative - 24% Labour - 47% Lib Dems - 11% SNP - 3% Greens - 3% Reform - 8% Others - 4% This post has been edited by DoBelieveTheHype: 28th May 2024, 03:53 PM |
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28th May 2024, 04:12 PM
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#1008
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 26 February 2007
Posts: 15,161 User: 3,002
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28th May 2024, 04:13 PM
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#1009
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 26 February 2007
Posts: 15,161 User: 3,002
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28th May 2024, 04:16 PM
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#1010
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Resident Pink Pony
Joined: 9 March 2008
Posts: 15,700 User: 5,567
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QUOTE(ElectroBoy @ 28th May 2024, 05:12 PM) Not Reform coming for third. 
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28th May 2024, 07:39 PM
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#1011
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 47,341 User: 5,138
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Only % wise seat wise they’ll be lucky to get 1 seat
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28th May 2024, 07:44 PM
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#1012
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Resident Pink Pony
Joined: 9 March 2008
Posts: 15,700 User: 5,567
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QUOTE(Steve201 @ 28th May 2024, 08:39 PM) Only % wise seat wise they’ll be lucky to get 1 seat Still, I hope it’s not a continuous pattern.
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29th May 2024, 08:36 AM
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#1013
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 30 March 2024
Posts: 951 User: 175,892
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YouGov's poll for Sky News now has Labour with a 27% lead. Fieldwork after the National Service announcement.
Labour - 47% Conservatives - 20% Reform - 12% Lib Dem - 9% Green - 7% https://news.sky.com/story/labour-extends-l...y-news-13144620 Plugged into Electoral Calculus this would make the Lib Dems the official opposition. This post has been edited by DoBelieveTheHype: 29th May 2024, 08:39 AM |
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29th May 2024, 10:03 AM
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#1014
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 26 February 2007
Posts: 15,161 User: 3,002
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29th May 2024, 11:28 AM
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#1015
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Resident Pink Pony
Joined: 9 March 2008
Posts: 15,700 User: 5,567
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I won’t get my hopes up but
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29th May 2024, 05:40 PM
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#1016
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 6 December 2023
Posts: 1,802 User: 173,568
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Labour lead over the Tories
27 YouGov 26 Techne 25 WeThink 23 Survation 23 Redfield & Wilton 22 Deltapoll 17 More in Common 14 Opinium 12 JL Partner |
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29th May 2024, 07:04 PM
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#1017
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 21 November 2009
Posts: 8,878 User: 10,030
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We should see a YouGov MRP poll sometime in the next few weeks which will give us a bigger sample size/more accurate polling (I believe their last one wasn't too far off the election result).
Hoping Labour continue their campaign without too many hiccups and the conservatives continue to come up with not very well thought out policies. |
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29th May 2024, 07:30 PM
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#1018
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 45,256 User: 18,639
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Opsurvation is ALWAYS rigjt
The JL Partner poll got a LOT of right wing and bbtory press though |
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30th May 2024, 08:56 AM
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#1019
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 30 March 2024
Posts: 951 User: 175,892
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Savanata has a lower Labour lead - but no real change. Honestly feels more realistic than other polls.
https://x.com/Savanta_UK/status/1795885318937170138 Lab 44% Con 27% LD 10% Ref 8% Grn 4% SNP 3% |
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30th May 2024, 09:03 AM
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#1020
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 26 February 2007
Posts: 15,161 User: 3,002
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Unsurprising the Torygraph has a lower Labour lead
 Saying that I wouldn't be surprised that the Tories are more popular than the polls are saying. This post has been edited by ElectroBoy: 30th May 2024, 09:04 AM |
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