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 Seat/vote prediction thread. |
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 9th December 2019, 08:19 AM
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#1
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 Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364 
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I'm surprised no-one has set one up yet.
 Con 335-345 seats, 42-43% Lab 230-240, 35% LD 15-20, 13% Green 1, 3% SNP 35-45, 3-4% PC 3, 1% Brexit 0, 2.5% |
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9th December 2019, 12:28 PM
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#2
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 BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 1 June 2013
Posts: 527 User: 19,091
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QUOTE(vidsanta @ Dec 9 2019, 08:19 AM)  I'm surprised no-one has set one up yet. Con 335-345 seats, 42-43% Lab 230-240, 35% LD 15-20, 13% Green 1, 3% SNP 35-45, 3-4% PC 3, 1% Brexit 0, 2.5% This is similar to what I'm thinking. Although I'd be suprised if the Lib Dems get more than 15 to be honest. Considering the ground they could have made, this campaign has gone hideously wrong for them. |
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9th December 2019, 01:08 PM
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#3
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 I'm a paragon so don't perceive me
Joined: 3 February 2011
Posts: 37,419 User: 12,929                |
I will attempt to do a more detailed one on Thursday morning if I get the time (by which I mean actually take a quick glance at the seats and add them up) but:
Conservatives 324 Labour 252 Lib Dems 12 SNP 40 Green 1 PC 3 Essentially predicting 2019 to be to 2017 as 2001 was to 1997, election with extremely minimal change. Difference is that the maths will give Johnson what he needs for at least the start of the new term, although it might not be strong enough of a majority to see out the whole 5 years. |
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9th December 2019, 01:19 PM
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#4
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,070 User: 18,639
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Evil landed gèntry party of scoundrels and shits: 305-311 seats
I'm not sure about the rest. |
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9th December 2019, 03:22 PM
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#5
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 22,001 User: 53
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QUOTE(mald487 @ Dec 9 2019, 12:28 PM) This is similar to what I'm thinking. Although I'd be suprised if the Lib Dems get more than 15 to be honest. Considering the ground they could have made, this campaign has gone hideously wrong for them. Similar to Vid's too although the Tories up to maybe 260 and Labour 15 down on what Vid said. Can't see a big Tory majority like some are still predicting. |
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9th December 2019, 03:23 PM
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#6
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 22,001 User: 53
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QUOTE(December Dong @ Dec 9 2019, 01:19 PM) Evil landed gèntry party of scoundrels and shits: 305-311 seats I'm not sure about the rest. You really hate the Tories with a vengeance don't you Michael. 
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9th December 2019, 03:25 PM
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#7
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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QUOTE(Crazy Chris-tmas @ Dec 9 2019, 03:23 PM) You really hate the Tories with a vengeance don't you Michael. Really - I never noticed. 
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9th December 2019, 03:32 PM
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#8
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 15 March 2006
Posts: 48,135 User: 223
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Why is hating the Tories such a bad thing exactly?!
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9th December 2019, 04:01 PM
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#9
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 22,001 User: 53
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QUOTE(Jack @ Dec 9 2019, 03:32 PM) Why is hating the Tories such a bad thing exactly?! I didn't say it was but the venom against them in every post by Michael is palpable. |
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9th December 2019, 04:04 PM
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#10
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,070 User: 18,639
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Did I mention here that Bojo sent me a begging letter btw? He is desperate for northern seats - and he can't have them!
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9th December 2019, 04:04 PM
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#11
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 22,001 User: 53
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QUOTE(December Dong @ Dec 9 2019, 04:04 PM) Did I mention here that Bojo sent me a begging letter btw? He is desperate for northern seats - and he can't have them! Yeah you told us last week I think. See he likes you and you should frame it. 
This post has been edited by Crazy Chris-tmas: 9th December 2019, 04:05 PM |
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9th December 2019, 04:16 PM
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#12
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,070 User: 18,639
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It went straight in the bin.
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9th December 2019, 04:17 PM
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#13
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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QUOTE(Jack @ Dec 9 2019, 03:32 PM) Why is hating the Tories such a bad thing exactly?! It isn't, per se, but the claim that almost everyone does, does not hold up - otherwise they would not be in government now, and looking the favourites to retain that position on Thursday, |
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9th December 2019, 04:20 PM
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#14
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,070 User: 18,639
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If people knew the history of that party and what they truly stand for, and if the media were balanced, they wouldn't poll above 10%.
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9th December 2019, 04:44 PM
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#15
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 15 March 2006
Posts: 48,135 User: 223
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It's no worse than Chris' posts about Diane Abott, Labour etc no when he claims to speak for everybody?
I'm fully and regretfully expecting a T*ry majority  I really hate the UK, we are trash for the most part.
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9th December 2019, 04:54 PM
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#16
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 26 February 2007
Posts: 14,289 User: 3,002
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QUOTE(Crazy Chris-tmas @ Dec 9 2019, 03:23 PM) You really hate the Tories with a vengeance don't you Michael. Well they are a party which is promoting racism, division, homophobia, lie, lies and more lies. Why would anyone with a shred of decency actually like them? |
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9th December 2019, 08:39 PM
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#17
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 22,001 User: 53
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Con 350-360
Lab 215-225 LD 17 Green 1 SNP 35-45 PC 3 Bxp 0 |
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9th December 2019, 09:09 PM
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#18
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 Howdy, disco citizens
Joined: 16 January 2010
Posts: 12,775 User: 10,455
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Labour: 290 (yes, I'm still sticking by my "go against what reason tell you" prediction)
Tories: 282 SNP: 40 Lib Dems: 12 Plaid: 4 Greens: 1 Ashfield Independents: 1 Speaker: 1 In Northern Ireland: DUP: 10 (they will lose South Belfast, but gain North Down from the retiring Lady Hermon). Sinn Fein: 6 (losing Foyle) SDLP: 2 (gaining Foyle & South Belfast) |
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9th December 2019, 09:10 PM
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#19
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 26 February 2007
Posts: 14,289 User: 3,002
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Brett; I hope you’re right
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9th December 2019, 09:16 PM
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#20
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Howdy, disco citizens
Joined: 16 January 2010
Posts: 12,775 User: 10,455
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As I've said before, I do not think the results of this election will follow the conventional logic that you would expect from the run-up to polling day.
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