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 Predictions: Where will One More Sleep peak this year? |
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 18th October 2015, 01:02 PM
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#1
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,028 User: 19,931 
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It's coming closer to that time of the year again, so I thought I'd get this going.
Last year's performance of 'One More Sleep' was slightly disappointing, but there were a few key factors that worked against it. Las year's performance: 80-92-92 (Sales: 66-68-91) Approx sales last year: 30k Last year's iTunes peak: #43 Key Factors: Compilations Last year, no compilations featured One More Sleep, as none of them were re-issued. Now have confirmed that they are re-issuing Now Christmas this year, and I'd be surprised if Leona wasn't featured. Streaming There was one main playlist (This one - https://open.spotify.com/user/spotify/playl...PI9OffO4p4w7MQ), that was constantly advertised by Spotify throughout December which gave all the songs featured a big streaming boost, even Britney Spears' Christmas song was doing better than One More Sleep until the 23rd of December, when One More Sleep was finally added and subsequently zoomed up the streaming chart. Fingers crossed Spotify use the same playlist and with no new alterations. Airplay Airplay was pretty decent last year, Heart and Magic played it a lot, and Radio 1 played it a few times nearer to Christmas, Capital however did not play it at all and Radio 2 gave it very few spins. Airplay needs to be as good as last year or better. Leona's visibility Leona's been in the public eye a bit more this year (though not as much as we'd hoped/expected), let's hope she gets a prime time slot at some point soon, as it'll have a knock on effect for 'One More Sleep'. 59p Leona being in the Christmas 59p batch on iTunes this year, we all know, would probably have her zooming into the iTunes top 40. |
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18th October 2015, 01:56 PM
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#2
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 Baby Reindeer
Joined: 9 March 2008
Posts: 13,305 User: 5,567
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I'm going to have low expectations and say top 75. It'd be amazing though for Leona to creep into the top 40 nearer Christmas. I think she'll have pretty much the same amount of airplay as last year (maybe slightly better since she's been more exposed this year) and I hope she's on the Now compilation as well as the major Spotify playlists. 'One More Sleep' is just glorious.
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18th October 2015, 02:24 PM
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Gareth T H
Joined: 6 February 2010
Posts: 2,500 User: 10,597
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If it does get the 59p treatment and radio/tv support like last year, I think top 40 is a good possibility. As it is part of the main Spotify Xmas playlist that should get it off to a good start.
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18th October 2015, 09:35 PM
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#4
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 21 November 2009
Posts: 8,556 User: 10,030
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I'd say top 40 if it's on the Now! compilation and on the main Christmas spotify playlist from the get go.
I wouldn't be surprised if it did a bit better if it got the 59p treatment and Leona was a lot more visible this Xmas (which she should be with upcoming promotional slots for the next single - and maybe we'll get a performance of "One More Sleep" on a Christmas show or it'll be used prominently in an advert/TV show or something). Quite excited though! Last year it appeared on iTunes October 24th, 6 days until then so hopefully it'll start appearing in the next week or so! 
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18th October 2015, 11:46 PM
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#5
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I Drink Wine
Joined: 12 April 2015
Posts: 10,485 User: 21,753
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The Now compilation should have a big impact because most people buy the individual songs off the album, as well as those versions generally being the one discounted. I think she might just sneak top 40.
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19th October 2015, 05:30 PM
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#6
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,028 User: 19,931
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Now Christmas 2015 tracklisting:
1. Mariah Carey All I Want for Christmas Is You 2. Wham! Last Christmas 3. The Pogues feat. Kirsty MacColl Fairytale Of New York 4. Chris Rea Driving Home For Christmas 5. Wizzard I Wish It Could Be Christmas Everyday 6. Slade Merry Xmas Everybody 7. Boney M. Mary's Boy Child / Oh My Lord 8. Elton John Step Into Christmas 9. Paul McCartney Wonderful Christmastime 10. Coldplay Christmas Lights 11. Pretenders 2000 Miles 12. Jona Lewie Stop The Cavalry 13. Kylie Minogue Santa Baby 14. Mud Lonely This Christmas 15. Shakin' Stevens Merry Christmas Everyone 16. Kelly Clarkson Underneath The Tree 17. The Waitresses Christmas Wrapping 18. Leona Lewis One More Sleep 19. George Michael December Song (I Dreamed Of Christmas) 20. Whitney Houston Do You Hear What I Hear? 21. Kristen Bell, Agatha Lee Monn & Katie Lopez Do You Want To Build A Snowman? (from Disney’s Frozen) 22. Bing Crosby White Christmas 23. Frank Sinatra Have Yourself A Merry Little Christmas 24. Elvis Presley Blue Christmas 25. Dean Martin Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! 26. Brenda Lee Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree 27. The Ronettes Frosty The Snowman 28. Doris Day Winter Wonderland 29. The Crystals Santa Claus Is Coming To Town 30. The Ronettes I Saw Mommy Kissing Santa Claus 31. Nat King Cole The Little Boy That Santa Claus Forgot 32. Ella Fitzgerald Sleigh Ride 33. James Brown Merry Christmas Baby 34. Stevie Wonder What Christmas Means To Me 35. The Jackson 5 Someday At Christmas 36. Andy Williams It's The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year 37. Jim Reeves Senor Santa Claus 38. Darlene Love Marshmallow World 39. Bob B. Soxx and The Blue Jeans Here Comes Santa Claus 40. Alma Cogan Never Do A Tango With An Eskimo 41. Adam Faith Lonely Pup (In A Christmas Shop) 42. Eartha Kitt, Henri René & His Orchestra Santa Baby 43. Ella Fitzgerald & Louis Jordan Baby It's Cold Outside 44. Perry Como I'll Be Home For Christmas 45. Burl Ives Holly Jolly Christmas 46. The Crystals Rudolph The Red-Nosed Reindeer 47. The Beach Boys Little Saint Nick 48. Bob B. Soxx and The Blue Jeans The Bells Of St. Mary 49. Ella Fitzgerald The Christmas Song 50. John & Yoko and The Plastic Ono Band with The Harlem Community Choir Happy Xmas (War Is Over) 51. Band Aid Do They Know It's Christmas? 52. Frankie Goes To Hollywood The Power Of Love 53. Johnny Mathis When A Child Is Born 54. Il Divo O Holy Night 55. Aled Jones Walking In The Air 56. Nat King Cole Silent Night 57. Perry Como O Come All Ye Faithful 58. Jim Reeves Silver Bells 59. Burl Ives O Little Town Of Bethlehem 60. Bing Crosby & David Bowie Peace On Earth / Little Drummer Boy 61. David Essex A Winter's Tale 62. Mike Oldfield In Dulci Jubilo 63. Chris De Burgh A Spaceman Came Travelling 64. Bert Jansch In The Bleak Mid Winter 65. Jethro Tull Ring Out Solstice Bells 66. Steeleye Span Gaudete 67. The Weavers We Wish You A Merry Christmas 68. Blue Blood God Rest Ye Merry Gentlemen 69. The Spinners The Twelve Days Of Christmas 70. Susan Boyle Auld Lang Syne 71. Abba Happy New Year |
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19th October 2015, 05:34 PM
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#7
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,028 User: 19,931
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Very glad she's on there, personally I think they should have put her higher than track 18, since it was bigger hit than Underneath the Tree for example.
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24th October 2015, 01:33 AM
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 "Jayrusaleminians" - Umi.
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 4 April 2007 Posts: 41,453 User: 3,217
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I'd love her to go Top 40, but I think Top 75 is more likely.
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24th October 2015, 01:53 AM
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BuzzJack Idol
Joined: 29 June 2006
Posts: 128,434 User: 845
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I think top 75 but want higher. It deserves to do well, i still love the song. I wonder will her Christmas album pick up much extra sales this year, opinions?
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24th October 2015, 02:30 AM
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#10
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BuzzJack Idol
Joined: 8 December 2010
Posts: 50,975 User: 12,472
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I'd love this to become a song that always reaches the Top 40 each year but only the really big classics seem to manage that, plus the cut off for the Top 40 is now ~12k and that's only going to increase again given it was at that level over the Christmas season last year. Heart seem to be very fond of this track and they were probably largely responsible for it going back into the Top 100; I can see them continuing to support it in such way and the appearance on the Now Christmas album (as well as other Christmas CDs now it seems) will surely help a lot, so I can see this getting a higher 2015 peak. Top 60 would be pretty great for me, but it just depends on how much sales for each position outside the Top 40 increases.
In the ideal world, Leona would perform this at some point over Christmas and give it the big push it needs. |
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24th October 2015, 12:57 PM
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 Break the tension
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 88,971 User: 51
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Probably roughly the same as last year, low top 100 at best.
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24th October 2015, 04:17 PM
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#12
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,028 User: 19,931
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I think it'll definitely peak higher than last year now we finally know it's on numerous compilations and Spotify finally has it on their Christmas playlist. But I agree with Liam, top 40 will be a stretch, it might make the top 40 on iTunes, but I can see it being around #60, which I'd still be pleased with.
This post has been edited by Joecula: 24th October 2015, 04:18 PM |
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