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BuzzJack Music Forum _ Eurovision Song Contest _ Eurovision Song Contest 2019 Predictions

Posted by: Ryan. Mar 16 2019, 08:37 PM

As isn't tradition, I bring you the predictions thread with this paragraph copied from last year (which was copied from the year before) with the required edits. I just need somewhere to write my thoughts!

• Feel free to go into as much or as little depth and detail as you wish, from ‘I think the UK will come last’ to full predictions of everyone’s positions with points and justifications essays.
• You will make some predictions that turn out to be wrong, that's the name of the game. The challenge will be to see if you can end up with comparatively less egg on your face than everyone else, just make sure you've thought through your bold assertions before you make them.
• New information comes to light all the time between now and the live show so you can revise your predictions as often as you like (within reason though, obviously).
• If you're Ryan and you say something completely correct despite Lex saying such a prediction is laughable like "Salvador will win the semi 1 televote" as early as April 4th 2017 then prepare to brag about this forevermore.

BuzzJack, start predicting NOW!

Posted by: Klaus Mar 16 2019, 09:05 PM

I think the UK will come last

Posted by: Ryan. Mar 16 2019, 09:20 PM

Very initial predictions with the little running order info we have:

SEMI 1
Overall - Televote - Jury

01 01 03 Cyprus
02 05 02 Greece
03 02 06 Hungary
04 09 01 Portugal
05 08 05 Belgium
06 03 12 Estonia
07 11 04 Australia
08 06 09 Serbia
09 04 15 Iceland
10 12 07 Slovenia
11 10 10 Belarus
12 07 14 Poland
13 14 08 Finland
14 15 11 Czech Republic
15 13 16 San Marino
16 16 13 Montenegro
17 17 17 Georgia

SEMI 2
Overall - Televote - Jury

01 02 01 The Netherlands
02 01 05 Russia
03 05 02 Sweden
04 03 06 Switzerland
05 10 03 Malta
06 08 09 Azerbaijan
07 09 08 Armenia
08 04 14 Norway
09 06 12 Denmark
10 11 07 Albania
11 15 04 Austria
12 07 15 Lithuania
13 12 10 North Macedonia
14 13 13 Romania
15 16 11 Ireland
16 14 16 Croatia
17 17 17 Moldova
18 18 18 Latvia

FINAL
Overall - Televote - Jury

01 02 01 The Netherlands
02 01 04 Russia
03 07 02 Sweden
04 03 08 Hungary
05 08 03 Italy
06 05 07 Cyprus
07 04 09 Switzerland
08 10 05 Portugal
09 12 11 Greece
10 20 06 Malta
11 11 16 Azerbaijan
12 09 19 Serbia
13 16 12 Albania
14 17 13 Belgium
15 06 25 Norway
16 22 10 Australia
17 15 18 Denmark
18 14 20 Iceland
19 13 22 Spain
20 19 17 Armenia
21 24 14 United Kingdom
22 23 15 Slovenia
23 18 23 France
24 25 21 Israel
25 21 26 Estonia
26 26 24 Germany

Posted by: J▲hq Mar 17 2019, 12:28 AM

I’d be extremely shocked if either Sergey or Joci beat their previous results with what seem to be widely agreed are weaker songs

In fact, let my first prediction be that Hungary is quite the borderline qualifier!

Posted by: ScottyEm Mar 17 2019, 01:10 AM

OK...worth a stab

Semi 1
01 Greece
02 Cyprus
03 Australia
04 Slovenia
05 Hungary
06 Portugal
07 Belgium
08 Estonia
09 Iceland
10 Finland
11 Serbia
12 Czech Republic
13 Poland
14 Belarus
15 San Marino
16 Montenegro
17 Georgia

Semi 2
01 Netherlands
02 Switzerland
03 Russia
04 Sweden
05 Armenia
06 Malta
07 Azerbaijan
08 Albania
09 Denmark
10 Norway
11 Lithuania
12 Romania
13 Austria
14 Ireland
15 North Macedonia
16 Croatia
17 Moldova
18 Latvia

I written off Finland but I think there is just enough impact for it to squeak through. Greece will, I think, be absolutely eaten up by the jury as it ticks every conceivable box. Slovenia could potentially have their best result on their hands. Iceland will also sneak in, partly thanks to semi final fans being less made up of young families and grannies.

I think Netherlands and Switzerland will be the top two of the final. Russia will come around 6th in the final. It’s a bit too “theatre” to win I think and I do think there is a sentiment of anti-Russia that will hinder the jury vote. I don’t even think UK and Ireland televoting will get Lithuania over the line this year either.

Posted by: cantthinkofaname Mar 17 2019, 11:37 AM

Semi 1 Early Predicta

POS. TELE JURY
01 01 03 Cyprus Tamta Replay
02 04 01 Greece Katerine Duska Better Love
03 03 02 Hungary Joci Pápai Az én apám
04 05 04 Belgium Eliot Wake Up
05 06 06 Serbia Nevena Božović Kruna
06 02 13 Iceland Hatari Hatriđ mun sigra
07 07 09 Czech Republic Lake Malawi Friend of a Friend
08 12 05 Slovenia Zala Kralj & Gašper Šantl Sebi
09 09 08 Estonia Victor Crone Storm
10 11 07 Portugal Conan Osíris Telemóveis
11 08 11 Poland Tulia Pali się
12 16 10 Australia Kate Miller-Heidke Zero Gravity
13 14 12 Georgia Oto Nemsadze Sul tsin iare
14 10 16 San Marino Serhat Say Na Na Na
15 13 15 Belarus ZENA Like It
16 17 14 Montenegro D-Moll Heaven
17 15 17 Finland Darude feat. Sebastian Rejman Look Away

I don't think Iceland will be quite so polarising as people think as it does have a great beat, great show and they are very likeable. The televoters will love them especially in such a weak semi, and the jury will either love or hate them (AWS didn't place dead last in 2018 with the juries and the televoters placed them 5th for example). I think there will be quite a bit of differences between the juries and televoters on who should qualify because there are just so many slow songs lol. Montenero and Finland seem like the obvious last placers to me.

Posted by: LexC Mar 17 2019, 01:04 PM

I do not share this forum’s confidence in either Hungary or Belgium being surefire qualifiers!

Posted by: AdamAloud Mar 17 2019, 01:27 PM

Semi One

Overall - Televote - Jury

01 | 02 | 01 Slovenia
02 | 01 | 03 Cyprus
03 | 03 | 02 Greece
04 | 04 | 05 Portugal
05 | 09 | 04 Estonia
06 | 05 | 08 Hungary
07 | 06 | 10 Serbia
08 | 11 | 06 Australia
09 | 12 | 09 Czech Republic
10 | 07 | 14 Poland
---
11 | 14 | 07 Belgium
12 | 08 | 15 Iceland
13 | 10 | 13 San Marino
14 | 13 | 12 Belarus
15 | 15 | 11 Finland
16 | 16 | 17 Montenegro
17 | 17 | 16 Georgia

Semi Two

Overall - Televote - Jury

01 | 01 | 01 The Netherlands
02 | 04 | 03 Malta
03 | 06 | 02 Sweden
04 | 02 | 06 Russia
05 | 05 | 04 Azerbaijan
06 | 03 | 07 Switzerland
07 | 09 | 05 Armenia
08 | 08 | 09 Albania
09 | 12 | 10 Romania
10 | 07 | 15 Norway
---
11 | 10 | 13 Ireland
12 | 11 | 14 Denmark
13 | 17 | 08 Austria
14 | 14 | 12 North Macedonia
15 | 16 | 11 Croatia
16 | 13 | 18 Lithuania
17 | 15 | 17 Moldova
18 | 18 | 16 Latvia

Posted by: gooddelta Mar 17 2019, 01:29 PM

Yeah I agree, Belgium will scrape through at best probably.

I can definitely see Iceland getting pretty good jury support actually, it has a lot to it as a package. It will be divisive but I think a lot of jurors will like it. Televoters will love it I'm sure.

I hope the juries and televoters are kind to Kate M-H! I'd be so disappointed to see Australia DNQ with this.

Posted by: J▲hq Mar 17 2019, 01:43 PM

QUOTE(gooddelta @ Mar 17 2019, 01:29 PM) *
I can definitely see Iceland getting pretty good jury support actually, it has a lot to it as a package. It will be divisive but I think a lot of jurors will like it. Televoters will love it I'm sure.


I’d go as far as saying I think it can continue a pattern of Iceland coming 2nd in years ending with 9. I expect it to be a HUGE televote favourite, the people it will appeal to it will really appeal to and it’s not the sort of song that will split votes as it’s so different.

Posted by: LexC Mar 17 2019, 03:08 PM

Here's roughly how I see Semi One shaping up (order listed does not necessarily reflect the finishing order)

Safely through

Cyprus
Greece

Semi-Safely through

Estonia
Serbia
Australia

Wildcards

Iceland
Portugal

Borderline - IN

Slovenia
Czech Republic
San Marino

Borderline - OUT

Hungary
Belarus
Belgium

Struggling

Poland
Finland

No Chance

Montenegro
Georgia

Posted by: nickthenoodle Mar 17 2019, 03:25 PM

These didn't turn out as I expected and will be a funny reference point come May
Semi 1
01 Greece
02 Iceland
03 Cyprus
04 Belgium
05 Portugal
06 Slovenia
07 Estonia
08 Hungary
09 Serbia
10 Australia
11 Poland
12 Belarus
13 San Marino
14 Czech Republic
15 Finland
16 Montenegro
17 Georgia

Only songs I would really rule out are the bottom 3 - I can even see San Marino springing a surprise.

Semi 2
01 Netherlands
02 Switzerland
03 Sweden
04 Malta
05 Russia
06 Armenia
07 Norway
08 Azerbaijan
09 Albania
10 Denmark
11 Romania
12 Lithuania
13 Croatia
14 Macedonia
15 Ireland
16 Moldova
17 Latvia
18 Austria

I'm pretty confident of the top 8 qualifiers but could see Romania or Croatia getting in over Denmark. I do think Albania could also do really well in this semi given how much it should stand out.

Final (Why have I done this)

01 Switzerland
02 Netherlands
03 Greece
04 Iceland
05 Cyprus
06 Italy
07 Russia
08 Sweden
09 Malta
10 Armenia
11 Spain
12 Portugal
13 Norway
14 Albania
15 Azerbaijan
16 Slovenia
17 Serbia
18 Hungary
19 France
20 Australia
21 UK
22 Belgium
23 Estonia
24 Denmark
25 Germany
26 Israel

I'm really unsure of the winner at the moment and do think staging/hype could send it to any of the top 9 really, apart from Russia. I just got the best vibes from Switzerland when I first heard it and do think it will appeal to casuals more than the other upbeat songs and Netherlands.

Posted by: Cqmerqn Mar 19 2019, 09:07 PM

Greece will pull through and take the overall crown

Posted by: Liаm Mar 19 2019, 09:46 PM

Semi 1
01 Greece
02 Cyprus
03 Slovenia
04 Estonia
05 Portugal
06 Hungary
07 Iceland
08 Australia
09 Czech Republic
10 Poland

11 San Marino
12 Belgium
13 Serbia
14 Belarus
15 Finland
16 Montengro
17 Georgia

Really cannot call this semi, exciting!! I'm almost certain of the top 4 being through, I can see Slovenia's cool vibe being a fairly big hitter. Between 5-14 or so, I think they're all in contention, I'd like to think Portugal will be fine but that along with Iceland feel quite polarising and could go either way.

Semi 2
01 Netherlands
02 Sweden
03 Russia
04 Switzerland
05 Albania
06 Malta
07 Azerbaijan
08 Armenia
09 Norway
10 Croatia

11 Denmark
12 Romania
13 Lithuania
14 Ireland
15 Macedonia
16 Latvia
17 Moldova
18 Austria

Bit easier to call, fairly certain on the top 9 but I could see 10-13 all fighting for that last spot. Can't see past Netherlands for the overall win, I think Switzerland might be being a bit overhyped and may flop a bit a la Occidentali's Karma and "only" come like 7th

Posted by: Moses Mar 19 2019, 10:01 PM

I think Cyprus are being overestimated this time

Posted by: ScottyEm Mar 20 2019, 09:07 PM

QUOTE(gooddelta @ Mar 17 2019, 01:29 PM) *
I hope the juries and televoters are kind to Kate M-H! I'd be so disappointed to see Australia DNQ with this.


It’s the only NF song I’ve heard that made me think “winner”. On reflection, perhaps not so now but it’s high impact and on the right side of crazy. I think this is getting a lot of underserved and unexpected shade from the Euro community. I also think the bookies have got this wrong.

This is surely SAILING through?

Posted by: gooddelta Mar 20 2019, 09:22 PM

QUOTE(Moses @ Mar 19 2019, 10:01 PM) *
I think Cyprus are being overestimated this time


I agree. I don't think it stands out in its genre as much as Fuego did. I could quite easily see it getting a 'shock' 11-16th style finish at the moment (though of course Fuego was elevated so much by the live performance so who knows).

QUOTE(ScottyEm @ Mar 20 2019, 09:07 PM) *
It’s the only NF song I’ve heard that made me think “winner”. On reflection, perhaps not so now but it’s high impact and on the right side of crazy. I think this is getting a lot of underserved and unexpected shade from the Euro community. I also think the bookies have got this wrong.

This is surely SAILING through?


I'm quite surprised that a lot of the fandom don't seem keen on it too. I'm not expecting a win by any stretch but I seriously would not be able to fathom a DNQ for a great song with an important message by such a fantastic and extremely talented artist that really stands out from the pack positively in my opinion.

I know a lot of the community remain disappointed that Australia didn't go with 2000 and Whatever though. I still find that overrated honestly - I love the artist, their style and the message of the song but the actual melody and performance were both seriously lacking, it was like Unklejam reheating a Black Box b-side.

Posted by: Ryan. Mar 20 2019, 09:57 PM

I think Australia's hopes could be completely transformed if they come up with a brand new stage show from scratch. As it stands, it unfortunately comes across like a joke performance that massively distracts from the quality vocals and decent song that there is. Instead all that we have in our minds (if listening) or are seeing is a pastiche of some of the big joke act performances over the years. I know the meaning behind it but it does so much more harm than good.

Judging from the videos provided on the Eurovision channel, if people tuned in to them and watched them all for the first time they'd think that this year's joke act is Australia over any other I think and that's not what they should be portraying.

Posted by: LexC Mar 20 2019, 10:20 PM

And all indications are that they're changing the staging iirc? There's definitely something there but they need it to be a "spectacle" and on the right side of over the top.

TBH I think the fans are just salty because it's Australia so I wouldn't read too much into it.

Posted by: Liаm Mar 20 2019, 10:47 PM

Agreed, Kate MH absolutely has the ability to pull off an amazing show and I hope I'm underpredicting her - I didn't know they were looking very likely to change the staging!

Eurofans are just ridiculous over Australia, so that doesn't help. They all lapped up opera when it was La forza yet now it's a "joke" just because it's a bit unconventional and mixes opera into a pop song and has crazy staging. The dress just kind of feel a bit *too* La forza, but as said I can't see it being too difficult to do something that's suitably OTT for Eurovision without taking the piss.

Posted by: cantthinkofaname Mar 20 2019, 11:38 PM

TBH I love Australia being in ESC and have either liked or loved all of their entries so far but I don't like this one. I think it's weird and it's not even remotely comparable with La Forza even if both have opera elements. La Forza is way more accessible than this as it has a lot friendlier structure than Zero Gravity. I'm not saying I'd be surprised to see Australia qualify but I wouldn't be surprised if it didn't either.

Posted by: Jason Mar 22 2019, 07:43 PM

Iceland, Switzerland or UK to win please! The rest is vile this year. pirate.gif

Posted by: Conanderella Mar 23 2019, 01:02 AM

QUOTE(Jason @ Mar 22 2019, 10:43 PM) *
Iceland, Switzerland or UK to win please! The rest is vile this year. pirate.gif

that's actually a funny one!

Posted by: RobBob Mar 26 2019, 02:05 AM

Semi 1 prediction:

POSITION / JURY / TELEVOTE
01 | 01 | 04 | Greece: Katerine Duska - Better Love
02 | 03 | 02 | Cyprus: Tamta - Replay
03 | 08 | 01 | Iceland: Hatari - Hatriđ mun sigra
04 | 06 | 03 | Portugal: Conan Osiris - Telemoveis
05 | 05 | 08 | Serbia: Nevena Bozovic - Kruna
06 | 02 | 09 | Slovenia: Zala Kralj & Gasper Santl - Sebi
07 | 07 | 05 | Hungary: Joci Papai - Az én apám
08 | 04 | 13 | Australia: Kate Miller-Heidke - Zero Gravity
09 | 10 | 06 | Estonia: Victor Crone - Storm
10 | 11 | 07 | Czech Republic: Lake Malawi - Friend Of A Friend

11 | 09 | 12 | Belgium: Eliot - Wake Up
12 | 12 | 10 | Poland: Tulia - Fire of Love (Pali sie)
13 | 15 | 11 | Finland: Darude (feat. Sebastian Rejman) - Look Away
14 | 16 | 13 | San Marino: Serhat - Say Na Na Na
15 | 13 | 16 | Belarus: Zena - Like It
16 | 14 | 15 | Montenegro: D-Moll - Heaven
17 | 17 | 17 | Georgia: Oto Nemsadze - Sul tsin iare

Posted by: LexC Mar 26 2019, 12:29 PM

Semi 2 I kinda see as seven "safe" songs and then an absolute dogfight for the last three spots so probably something like

Safe

Netherlands
Switzerland
Sweden
Russia
Azerbaijan
Malta
Armenia

Borderline IN

Albania
Romania
Norway

Borderline OUT

North Macedonia
Denmark
Lithuania
Austria

Struggling

Ireland
Latvia
Moldova
Croatia

Posted by: LexC Mar 26 2019, 12:37 PM

And then assuming the ten I predict go through, the final would end up something like

01 Netherlands
02 Greece
03 Switzerland
04 Italy
05 Sweden
06 Cyprus
07 Australia
08 Russia
09 Iceland
10 Malta

11 Azerbaijan
12 Portugal
13 Serbia
14 Armenia
15 Spain
16 Estonia
17 Albania
18 Slovenia
19 United Kingdom
20 Israel

21 Romania
22 Czech Republic
23 France
24 San Marino
25 Norway
26 Germany

Posted by: Conanderella Mar 26 2019, 04:38 PM

that top 10 is WAY too good to be true, so it's not happening

Posted by: Cqmerqn Mar 26 2019, 06:41 PM

I’d be truly shocked if Australia managed top 10.

Posted by: RobBob Mar 27 2019, 02:01 AM

SEMI 2

POSITION JURY TELEVOTING

01 | 01 | 01 | The Netherlands: Duncan Laurence - Arcade
02 | 03 | 02 | Russia: Sergey Lazarev - Scream
03 | 02 | 04 | Sweden: John Lundvik - Too Late For Love
04 | 06 | 03 | Switzerland: Luca Hanni - She Got Me
05 | 05 | 08 | Malta: Michela - Chameleon
06 | 07 | 06 | Azerbaijan: Chingiz - Truth
07 | 04 | 12 | Albania: Jonida Maliqi - Ktheju tokes
08 | 10 | 09 | Armenia: Srbuk - Walking Out
09 | 15 | 05 | Norway: KEIINO - Spirit In The Sky
10 | 13 | 07 | Denmark: Leonora - Love Is Forever

11 | 09 | 11 | Romania: Ester Peony - On A Sunday
12 | 11 | 10 | Lithuania: Jurijus - Run With The Lions
13 | 08 | 13 | North Macedonia: Tamara Todevska - Proud
14 | 12 | 16 | Austria: Paenda - Limits
15 | 16 | 14 | Croatia: Roko - The Dream
16 | 14 | 15 | Ireland: Sarah McTernan - 22
17 | 17 | 18 | Moldova: Anna Odobescu - Stay
18 | 18 | 17 | Latvia: Carousel - That Night

Posted by: J▲hq Apr 16 2019, 12:17 PM

Semi 1

01 Iceland: Hatari - Hatriđ mun sigra
02 Greece: Katerine Duska - Better Love
03 Cyprus: Tamta - Replay
04 Estonia: Victor Crone - Storm
05 Belgium: Eliot - Wake Up
06 Portugal: Conan Osiris - Telemóveis
07 Hungary: Joci Pápai - Az én apám
08 Czech Republic: Lake Malawi - Friend of a Friend
09 Australia: Kate Miller-Heidke - Zero Gravity
10 Poland: Tulia - Fire of Love (Pali sie)
11 Slovenia: Zala Kralj & Gašper Šantl - Sebi
12 Belarus: ZENA - Like It
13 San Marino - Serhat - Say Na Na Na
14 Serbia: Nevena Božović - Kruna
15 Finland: Darude feat. Sebastian Rejman - Look Away
16 Montenegro: D Mol - Heaven
17 Georgia: Oto Nemsadze - Keep On Going

Semi 2

01 Switzerland: Luca Hänni - She Got Me
02 Netherlands: Duncan Laurence - Arcade
03 Sweden: John Lundvik - Too Late for Love
04 Russia: Sergey Lazarev - Scream
05 Albania: Jonida Maliqi - Ktheju tokës
06 Malta: Michela - Chameleon
07 Azerbaijan - Chingiz - Truth
08 Armenia: Srbuk - Walking Out
09 Norway: KEiiNO - Spirit in the Sky
10 Lithuania: Jurijus Veklenko - Run with the Lions
11 Denmark: Leonora - Love Is Forever
12 Romania: Ester Peony - On a Sunday
13 Croatia: Roko - The Dream
14 Austria: PĆNDA - Limits
15 Moldova: Anna Odobescu - Stay
16 Ireland: Sarah McTernan - 22
17 North Macedonia: Tamara Todevska - Proud
18 Latvia: Carousel - That Night

Final

01 Iceland
02 Switzerland
03 Netherlands
04 Sweden
05 Italy
06 Greece
07 Russia
08 Cyprus
---
22 Lithuania
23 Norway
24 United Kingdom
25 Israel
26 Germany

Posted by: pippa Apr 16 2019, 08:09 PM

Switzerland, The Netherlands, Iceland, Greece and Russia would be a fantastic Top 5 finish in the final.

Posted by: Jerick May 7 2019, 05:33 PM

Semi One

Cyprus
Montenegro
Finland
Poland
Slovenia
Czech Republic
Hungary
Belarus
Serbia
Belgium
Georgia
Australia
Iceland
Estonia
Portugal
Greece
San Marino

Semi Two

Armenia
Ireland
Moldova
Switzerland
Latvia
Romania
Denmark
Sweden
Austria
Croatia
Malta
Lithuania
Russia
Albania
Norway
The Netherlands
North Macedonia
Azerbaijan

Posted by: Cqmerqn May 7 2019, 07:14 PM

Semi One

Cyprus
Montenegro
Finland
Poland
Slovenia
Czech Republic
Hungary
Belarus

Serbia
Belgium
Georgia
Australia
Iceland

Estonia
Portugal
Greece
San Marino

Wow S1 is so difficult, can easily see Estonia and Portugal qualifying too.

Semi Two

Armenia
Ireland
Moldova
Switzerland
Latvia
Romania
Denmark
Sweden
Austria
Croatia
Malta
Lithuania
Russia
Albania

Norway
The Netherlands
North Macedonia
Azerbaijan

Posted by: Vülker May 9 2019, 06:20 PM

Semi One

Cyprus
Montenegro
Finland
Poland
Slovenia
Czech Republic
Hungary
Belarus
Serbia
Belgium
Georgia
Australia
Iceland
Estonia
Portugal
Greece
San Marino

Based on the latest rehearsals. Belarus is my wildcard. San Marino would easily get the LOLZ votes. Estonia and Portugal seem pretty doomed to me, but it's the ones next in line to Q for me.

Posted by: AdamAloud May 11 2019, 02:47 PM

Semi One

Cyprus
Montenegro
Finland
Poland
Slovenia
Czech Republic
Hungary
Belarus
Serbia
Belgium
Georgia
Australia
Iceland
Estonia
Portugal
Greece
San Marino

Was really torn between Estonia and Portugal for the last spot but maybe if Australia & Iceland both make it then Portugal might be one 'out-there' song too many. I'm still not entirely convinced Iceland will go through but the hype seems to be there so I've gone with it for now. Montenegro, Finland and Georgia are dead on arrival. Think Greece are winning the semi final quite easily.

Semi Two

Armenia
Ireland
Moldova
Switzerland
Latvia
Romania
Denmark
Sweden
Austria
Croatia
Malta
Lithuania
Russia
Albania
Norway
The Netherlands
North Macedonia
Azerbaijan

Norway looks fantastic from the rehearsal clip but I can't shake the feeling the juries are going to tank it. It's in my top 10 but I think Albania will miss out as well now unfortunately. North Macedonia I think could do a Czech Republic 2016 and qualify thanks to the juries and then do nothing on the Saturday night, but hey, getting through is the victory for them! Denmark remains abhorrent but such garbage always gets through (Rybak last year). Latvia and Croatia are the only two with no chance here I feel.

Posted by: LexC May 11 2019, 05:31 PM

SEMI ONE

01 Greece
02 Iceland
03 Czech Republic
04 Cyprus
05 Australia
06 Serbia
07 Belarus
08 Slovenia
09 Belgium
10 Portugal
---
11 Hungary
12 San Marino
13 Estonia
14 Poland
15 Georgia
16 Finland
17 Montenegro

There's a lot of reasons why all those countries from 8th downwards to not qualify but in the end I went with Slovenia and Belgium as two that can get through on being safe and contemporary and then I ended up going with Portugal for the last spot as I think the Semi audience is probably the audience that's going to be the most receptive to Conan and there'll be enough of a fan effort to sneak it through on televotes.

SEMI TWO

01 Sweden
02 Netherlands
03 Malta
04 Azerbaijan
05 Switzerland
06 Russia
07 Denmark
08 North Macedonia
09 Austria
10 Norway
---
11 Romania
12 Armenia
13 Albania
14 Lithuania
15 Moldova
16 Ireland
17 Croatia
18 Latvia

Similar argument that I made with Conan applies to Keiino (okay maybe this is just derranged fanboyishness) in that I don't think the juries will hate this enough to kill what could be a top 3 in the semi televote. Gave North Macedonia the nod over Albania in the end as I think Tamara is giving a stronger performance and the song's more accesible to a non-balkan audience. And I think Austria will be a jury darling enough for them to be the "Anna Rosinelli" of 2019 as it's a calm oasis between Sweden and Croatia. Romania in 11th are well prepared to snatch one of these countries dreams but I think that's gonna struggle without a few bribed wiwibloggers.

Posted by: Jason May 13 2019, 12:34 AM

Jason's psychic predix:

SEMI ONE

01 Greece
02 Iceland
03 Cyprus
04 Serbia
05 Australia
06 Czech Republic
07 Portugal
08 Belarus
09 Slovenia
10 Belgium
---
11 Hungary
12 Poland
13 Estonia
14 Georgia
15 San Marino
16 Finland
17 Montenegro

SEMI TWO

01 Sweden
02 Netherlands
03 Switzerland
04 Azerbaijan
05 Russia
06 Malta
07 Norway
08 North Macedonia
09 Austria
10 Romania
---
11 Armenia
12 Denmark
13 Albania
14 Lithuania
15 Croatia
16 Moldova
17 Latvia
18 Ireland

Posted by: Burns May 13 2019, 10:07 AM

Greece winning semi 1? Really? Actually that said, looking at it, all the strong songs are in semi 2 this year aren’t they. Like the reverse of last year!

Personally hoping Iceland, Cyprus or Slovenia will top semi 1 but won’t hold my breath... Greece seems like a sensible choice I suppose.

Posted by: Cqmerqn May 13 2019, 05:24 PM

Semi 1

01 Iceland
02 Greece
03 Belgium
04 Australia
05 Cyprus
06 Czech Republic
07 Serbia
08 Portugal
09 Slovenia
10 Belarus

11 Hungary
12 Poland
13 Estonia
14 San Marino
15 Finland
16 Montenegro
17 Georgia


Semi 2

Can quite easily see Austria doing a little bit better, the juries will love it I feel.

01 Netherlands
02 Sweden
03 Switzerland
04 Azerbaijan
05 Russia
06 Armenia
07 Malta
08 Austria
09 North Macedonia
10 Denmark

11 Norway
12 Romania
13 Albania
14 Ireland
15 Lithuania
16 Latvia
17 Moldova
18 Croatia

Posted by: Burns May 13 2019, 05:33 PM

What do you feel the juries will love about Austria? Just had another listen, it really feels like a whole load of nothing, such a dull entry. Maybe the live performance will elevate it? Not seen any rehearsals...

Posted by: Ryan. May 13 2019, 09:16 PM

SEMI 1
Overall - Televote - Jury

01 01 01 Australia
02 02 02 Greece
03 03 07 Cyprus
04 05 05 Hungary
05 08 06 Serbia
06 13 03 Slovenia
07 12 04 Czech Republic
08 06 10 Belgium
09 04 14 Iceland
10 07 12 Estonia
11 14 09 Georgia
12 09 15 Poland
13 16 08 Finland
14 11 13 Belarus
15 10 16 San Marino
16 15 11 Portugal
17 17 17 Montenegro

Posted by: ScottyEm May 13 2019, 09:30 PM

QUOTE(Ryan. @ May 13 2019, 10:16 PM) *
SEMI 1
Overall - Televote - Jury

01 01 01 Australia
02 02 02 Greece
03 03 07 Cyprus
04 05 05 Hungary
05 08 06 Serbia
06 13 03 Slovenia
07 12 04 Czech Republic
08 06 10 Belgium
09 04 14 Iceland
10 07 12 Estonia
11 14 09 Georgia
12 09 15 Poland
13 16 08 Finland
14 11 13 Belarus
15 10 16 San Marino
16 15 11 Portugal
17 17 17 Montenegro


I agree with that top ten - literally my prediction also.

Posted by: Jerick May 13 2019, 09:35 PM

QUOTE(ScottyEm @ May 13 2019, 11:30 PM) *
I agree with that top ten - literally my prediction also.

Me too. I agree with the top 10, but not the placings

Posted by: Liаm May 13 2019, 09:45 PM

01 Greece
02 Australia
03 Cyprus
04 Serbia
05 Iceland
06 Czech Republic
07 Hungary
08 Estonia
09 Belgium
10 Georgia

11 Poland
12 Slovenia
13 San Marino
14 Belarus
15 Finland
16 Portugal
17 Montengro

Hope I'm wrong about Belarus but I can't see it being enough for Zena sad.gif This semi will definitely be interesting though, I feel like the top 3 are the big contedners to win it (depending on how Tamta's vox go oops) and then I've just thought of Serbia as a bit of a curveball, Czech as the slight novelty factor being a bit cheesy and weird and then Georgia kind of feels like that one random out of nowhere qualifier we're bound to get. Greece seems the safe bet to win the semi but the more I watch Kate the more faith I have that she will absolutely smash this wub.gif

Posted by: AdamAloud May 14 2019, 09:15 PM

QUOTE(AdamAloud @ May 11 2019, 03:47 PM) *
Semi One

Cyprus
Montenegro
Finland
Poland
Slovenia
Czech Republic
Hungary
Belarus
Serbia
Belgium
Georgia
Australia
Iceland
Estonia
Portugal
Greece
San Marino

Was really torn between Estonia and Portugal for the last spot but maybe if Australia & Iceland both make it then Portugal might be one 'out-there' song too many. I'm still not entirely convinced Iceland will go through but the hype seems to be there so I've gone with it for now. Montenegro, Finland and Georgia are dead on arrival. Think Greece are winning the semi final quite easily.


Just missed San Marino for Hungary and in the grand scheme of things, the final will be richer for it *.*

Posted by: Vülker May 14 2019, 09:22 PM

QUOTE(Vülker @ May 9 2019, 07:20 PM) *
Semi One

Cyprus
Montenegro
Finland
Poland
Slovenia
Czech Republic
Hungary
Belarus
Serbia
Belgium
Georgia
Australia
Iceland
Estonia
Portugal
Greece
San Marino

Based on the latest rehearsals. Belarus is my wildcard. San Marino would easily get the LOLZ votes. Estonia and Portugal seem pretty doomed to me, but it's the ones next in line to Q for me.


Czech Republic were MAGNIFICENT tonight so I'm happy I got it wrong, but Estonia are still a surprise after those vocals.



Posted by: Ryan. May 15 2019, 09:41 PM

SEMI 2
Overall - Televote - Jury

01 02 02 The Netherlands
02 05 01 Sweden
03 01 06 Russia
04 03 04 Switzerland
05 04 07 Azerbaijan
06 08 10 Denmark
07 09 09 Albania
08 16 03 Austria
09 14 05 Malta
10 07 12 Lithuania
11 11 08 North Macedonia
12 06 15 Norway
13 12 11 Armenia
14 13 13 Romania
15 10 18 Croatia
16 17 14 Latvia
17 15 17 Moldova
18 18 16 Ireland

Posted by: LexC May 16 2019, 11:53 PM

01 Netherlands
02 Australia
03 Switzerland
04 Iceland
05 France
06 Cyprus
07 Sweden
08 Russia
09 Italy
10 Malta

11 Greece
12 Azerbaijan
13 Czech Republic
14 Serbia
15 Belarus
16 Estonia
17 Spain
18 Norway
19 Albania
20 Denmark

21 North Macedonia
22 Israel
23 San Marino
24 United Kingdom
25 Slovenia
26 Germany

idk man

Posted by: Feel_The_Fever May 17 2019, 12:16 AM

QUOTE(Ryan. @ May 15 2019, 10:41 PM) *
SEMI 2
Overall - Televote - Jury

01 02 02 The Netherlands
02 05 01 Sweden
03 01 06 Russia
04 03 04 Switzerland
05 04 07 Azerbaijan
06 08 10 Denmark
07 09 09 Albania
08 16 03 Austria
09 14 05 Malta
10 07 12 Lithuania
11 11 08 North Macedonia
12 06 15 Norway
13 12 11 Armenia
14 13 13 Romania
15 10 18 Croatia
16 17 14 Latvia
17 15 17 Moldova
18 18 16 Ireland


Our entry (ireland) was weak but dont think it deserves to finish last and hopefully it didnt.

Posted by: Vülker May 17 2019, 08:18 AM

Me and a friend came with these post-drinks...

26 Germany 🇩🇪
25 Denmark 🇩🇰
24 Slovenia 🇸🇮
23 Albania 🇦🇱
22 North Macedonia 🇲🇰
21 San Marino 🇸🇲
20 Israel 🇮🇱
19 Estonia 🇪🇪
18 Belarus 🇧🇾
17 Serbia 🇷🇸
16 Greece 🇬🇷
15 France 🇫🇷
14 Azerbaijan 🇦🇿
13 Malta 🇲🇹
12 Norway 🇳🇴
11 Czech Republic 🇨🇿
10 United Kingdom 🇬🇧 (could do a Michal Szpak?)
09 Spain 🇪🇸
08 Cyprus 🇨🇾
07 Russia 🇷🇺
06 Switzerland 🇨🇭
05 Iceland 🇮🇸
04 Italy 🇮🇹
03 Sweden 🇸🇪
02 Australia 🇦🇺
01 Netherlands 🇳🇱


Posted by: AdamAloud May 17 2019, 05:11 PM

01. The Netherlands
02. Australia
03. Italy
04. Czech Republic
05. Switzerland
06. Sweden
07. Azerbaijan
08. Malta
09. Russia
10. Greece

11. France
12. Cyprus
13. Iceland
14. Slovenia
15. Estonia
16. North Macedonia
17. Serbia
18. Spain
19. United Kingdom
20. Norway

21. Belarus
22. Denmark
23. Israel
24. Albania
25. San Marino
26. Germany

Posted by: Liаm May 17 2019, 05:38 PM

01 Australia
02 Netherlands
03 Azerbaijan
04 Switzerland
05 Italy
06 Sweden
07 Czech Republic
08 France
09 Malta
10 Greece

11 Iceland
12 Russia
13 North Macedonia
14 Cyprus
15 Spain
16 Serbia
17 Slovenia
18 Albania
19 Norway
20 United Kingdom

21 Estonia
22 Belarus
23 Israel
24 San Marino
25 Denmark
26 Germany

God knows though laugh.gif

Posted by: Lukuzz May 18 2019, 07:10 AM

I'm going to predict -

1.Netherlands
2. Switzerland
3. Australia
4. France
5. Italy
6. Sweden
7. Azerbaijan
8. Estonia
9. Iceland
10. Czech Republic
11. Russia
12. Serbia
13. Slovenia
14 North Macedonia
15. Malta
16. Cyprus
17. Greece
18. Spain
19. Albania
20. Belarus
21. Norway
22. Isreal
23. Denmark
24. San Marino
25. United Kingdom
26. Germany

Posted by: Ryan. May 18 2019, 01:23 PM

FINAL
Overall - Televote - Jury

01 01 01 The Netherlands
02 02 04 Switzerland
03 05 03 Australia
04 07 02 Sweden
05 03 09 Russia
06 06 08 Azerbaijan
07 14 06 Italy
08 15 07 Greece
09 08 14 Cyprus
10 12 10 Serbia
11 04 22 Norway
12 21 05 Malta
13 10 17 France
14 09 19 Iceland
15 17 11 Albania
16 11 18 Spain
17 13 16 Denmark
18 18 13 North Macedonia
19 20 12 Czech Republic
20 24 15 Slovenia
21 16 25 Estonia
22 19 23 Belarus
23 23 20 United Kingdom
24 25 21 Israel
25 22 24 San Marino
26 26 26 Germany

Posted by: Jason May 18 2019, 02:54 PM

Jason's prediction:

1. Switzerland
2. Netherlands
3. Sweden
4. Australia
5. Norway
6. Azerbaijan
7. Italy
8. Russia
9. Iceland
10. Spain
11. France
12. Cyprus
13. Greece
14. Estonia
15. Malta
16. Czech Republic
17. North Macedonia
18. Serbia
19. Belarus
20. Slovenia
21. Albania
22. United Kingdom
23. Denmark
24. San Marino
25. Israel
26. Germany

Posted by: Common Sense May 18 2019, 03:00 PM

So, having heard all the songs I really like Australia's entry. If they win we can have it here in London next May.

Posted by: Feel_The_Fever May 18 2019, 03:16 PM

QUOTE(Jason @ May 18 2019, 03:54 PM) *
Jason's prediction:

1. Switzerland
2. Netherlands
3. Sweden
4. Australia
5. Norway
6. Azerbaijan
7. Italy
8. Russia
9. Iceland
10. Spain
11. France
12. Cyprus
13. Greece
14. Estonia
15. Malta
16. Czech Republic
17. North Macedonia
18. Serbia
19. Belarus
20. Slovenia
21. Albania
22. United Kingdom
23. Denmark
24. San Marino
25. Israel
26. Germany

I would be happy with this result and the better Norway do the happier I will be.

Posted by: RobBob May 18 2019, 05:57 PM

01 The Netherlands
02 Switzerland
03 Australia
04 Sweden
05 Russia
06 Azerbaijan
07 Iceland
08 Norway
09 Cyprus
10 Czech Republic
11 Italy
12 Serbia
13 France
14 Greece
15 Malta
16 Spain
17 Estonia
18 North Macedonia
19 Albania
20 Denmark
21 Belarus
22 Slovenia
23 Israel
24 San Marino
25 United Kingdom
26 Germany

Posted by: Feel_The_Fever May 18 2019, 07:46 PM

If it's down to Switzerland and the Netherlands I'm not sure who I'd be happier for to win.

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