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BuzzJack Music Forum _ International Charts _ PREDICT: Ariana Grande - My Everything

Posted by: Umi Aug 10 2014, 08:06 PM

Ariana Grande will release her second album "My Everything" in the US on August 25th, but how much will it sell in its first week?

Here's what you need to know:

Tracklisting

1. Intro
2. Problem (feat. Iggy Azalea)
3. One Last Time
4. Why Try
5. Break Free (feat. Zedd)
6. Best Mistake (feat. Big Sean)
7. Be My Baby (feat. Cashmere Cat)
8. Break Your Heart Right Back (feat. Childish Gambino)
9. Love Me Harder (with The Weeknd)
10. Just a Little Bit of Your Heart
11. Hands On Me (feat. ASAP Ferg)
12. My Everything
13. Bang Bang (with Jessie J & Nicki Minaj) [Deluxe Edition]
14. Only 1 [Deluxe Edition]
15. You Don't Know Me [Deluxe Edition]
16. Cadillac Song [Target Exclusive Edition]
17. Too Close [Target Exclusive Edition]

"Yours Truly" debuted at #1 on the Billboard 200 in September 2013 with sales of 138,000.

"Yours Truly" has sold 460,000 to date.

"The Way" from "Yours Truly" peaked at #9 on the Hot 100 and was #31 on the Billboard Year-End Chart.

"Problem", the first single from "My Everything" debuted at #3 on the Hot 100. It sold 438,000 in its first week to début at #3 and went on to peak at #2 for 5 weeks.

"Break Free", the second single from "My Everything" debuted at #15 on the Hot 100 with 161,000 sales in its first week. "Bang Bang" with Jessie J and Nicki Minaj débuted at #6, with 230,000 sold.

So, how much will "My Everything" sell in its first week in the US?

Posted by: Umi Aug 10 2014, 08:15 PM

My estimation is a tad random and like with Ed, possibly very optimistic, but I'm going for 220k here. I'd like to go higher but with her last album barely selling double that so far, I don't want to be too optimistic.

Posted by: Addy K!ng Aug 10 2014, 08:31 PM

250k range.

Posted by: Ryan. Aug 10 2014, 09:07 PM

I would say just under 200k based on those total sales for the first album not being very high. If I was to make an exact prediction I'd probably go for 184k!

Posted by: britster Aug 10 2014, 10:20 PM

210k.

Posted by: Addy K!ng Aug 10 2014, 11:11 PM

QUOTE(Ryan. @ Aug 10 2014, 11:07 PM)

I would say just under 200k based on those total sales for the first album not being very high. If I was to make an exact prediction I'd probably go for 184k!

Debut album definitely shouldn't be an indicator this time around...she is everywhere and considering how BIG was Problem (Break Free becoming one also), I think it's safe to say she will cross 200k barrier without a doubt.

Posted by: Umi Aug 10 2014, 11:18 PM

I kind of agree. I am not completely ignoring the album which is why I'm not going too high but 200k+ should be more than possible regardless of how small her album-buying fanbase was this time last year. This album will outsell her début very quickly.

Posted by: Ryan. Aug 10 2014, 11:25 PM

Yeah I definitely agree about it selling more than the debut overall very quickly, and you are probably right about the first week sales as well but we'll see

Posted by: britster Aug 11 2014, 06:43 PM

I wish we could predict a range rather than a figure

Posted by: buzz_person Aug 17 2014, 09:26 AM

I'm thinking Number 1 with 186k for opening week. I really want to say over 200k, but with the album sales climate at the moment, I can't see it going that high.

Posted by: Eric_Blob Aug 17 2014, 12:20 PM

I think 200,000 maybe. She was already very famous and had a big chart hit when her first album was released and that sold 138,000 first week. Now she's a little bit more famous and has had 3 chart hits from this album so far (although Break Free isn't the type of song that helps album sales), but also album sales in general have fallen, so about 200,000 is my prediction.

Posted by: britster Aug 17 2014, 04:25 PM

QUOTE(buzz_person @ Aug 17 2014, 10:26 AM)

I'm thinking Number 1 with 186k for opening week. I really want to say over 200k, but with the album sales climate at the moment, I can't see it going that high.

This is such a hard one to predict.

She's got the fanbase but (as you said) the climate at the moment.

Posted by: ▲Tyler▲ Aug 20 2014, 06:44 PM

I'm going to go with 300k.

Posted by: Nick F1 Aug 20 2014, 06:56 PM

270,000 - 330,000

Posted by: Neil. S Aug 21 2014, 11:11 AM

It'll scrape 200,000 I think. It would've been much more had it not been a very poor sales situation this year but even then, I think a 200,000 start would be fab!

Posted by: mr_aly Aug 21 2014, 11:20 AM

I'm going to say it'll cross 200k with ease if the last album managed 138k with barely anybody knowing who she is. I would have gone higher but I'm factoring in the climate not being as strong as it was a year ago.

Basically, 212k.

Posted by: BrookeOlivia Aug 21 2014, 03:11 PM

I'm going to say 230k

Posted by: •CDC• Aug 23 2014, 09:29 PM

265k

Posted by: Jark Aug 23 2014, 09:35 PM

220k.

Posted by: Nick F1 Aug 24 2014, 09:51 AM

QUOTE

http://www.hitsdailydouble.com/news/newsPage.cgi

REPUBLIC DOES EVERYTHING FOR ARIANA ROLLOUT

When the album streets on 8/25—the day after she gets some very big VMA looks—it will unquestionably be her second #1 bow, with forecasts in the 150-200k range.

Posted by: Addy K!ng Aug 24 2014, 08:16 PM

Probably after VMA's, those predictions will go as high as 225k-250k.

Posted by: Umi Aug 24 2014, 08:19 PM

If she does end up selling 150-200k then she'd really best hope she has much better longevity than she did first time round. I think anything less than Platinum would be disappointment.

Posted by: ▲Tyler▲ Aug 25 2014, 01:52 AM

QUOTE(Umi @ Aug 24 2014, 04:19 PM)

If she does end up selling 150-200k then she'd really best hope she has much better longevity than she did first time round. I think anything less than Platinum would be disappointment.

Definitely. She has serious hype around her, she could go close to 2 million units with the right promotion and single releases.