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 'Glory' 1st week sales and SPS, How much Army will help shift first week US sales? |
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  Aug 10 2016, 08:06 PM
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#1
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 21 January 2007
Posts: 23,766 User: 2,666 
        
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I know we are 3 weeks away from release but we can do some predictions from now?
This post has been edited by Addy K!ng: Aug 10 2016, 08:17 PM |
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Aug 10 2016, 08:07 PM
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#2
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 21 January 2007
Posts: 23,766 User: 2,666
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I know I am being way too optimistic here but I went with 4th choice...nearing 100k pure album sales would be amazing for her in this sales climate!!
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Aug 10 2016, 08:15 PM
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#3
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 BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 20 August 2009
Posts: 8,342 User: 9,481
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QUOTE(Addy K!ng @ Aug 10 2016, 09:07 PM)  I know I am being way too optimistic here but I went with 4th choice...nearing 100k pure album sales would be amazing for her in this sales climate!! I went with the same. What did BJ open with? I think it will be very similar, but will sell more in the long run. |
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Aug 10 2016, 08:15 PM
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#4
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Break the tension
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 88,875 User: 51
 
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Given Britney Jean did about 12K first week I think this is wildly optimistic... probably less than 10K.
*edit - just realised this is about the US... probably 115K combined. This post has been edited by mr_pmt: Aug 10 2016, 08:16 PM |
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Aug 10 2016, 08:16 PM
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#5
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 21 January 2007
Posts: 23,766 User: 2,666
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QUOTE(mr_pmt @ Aug 10 2016, 10:15 PM) Given Britney Jean did about 12K first week I think this is wildly optimistic... probably less than 10K.  Ok I will edit and make it clear that this is for USA! |
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Aug 10 2016, 08:21 PM
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#6
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 21 January 2007
Posts: 23,766 User: 2,666
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QUOTE(Rob Spears @ Aug 10 2016, 10:15 PM) I went with the same. What did BJ open with? I think it will be very similar, but will sell more in the long run. BJ opened with 107k...I know sales went even more further down since 2013 but with Carpool and possibly VMA hopefully she will near and match the same numbers! This post has been edited by Addy K!ng: Aug 10 2016, 08:28 PM |
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Aug 10 2016, 08:21 PM
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#7
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,023 User: 19,931
   
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Seeing as she's likely doing 2 of the US' biggest promo slots in one week, I went for the 4th.
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Aug 10 2016, 08:28 PM
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#8
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 23 December 2010
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I've gone for 55-75k pure sales, every big release this year has had "underwhelming" first week sales it seems and if Britney Jean managed 107k sales in the very final weeks of Q4 I can see this being considerably less considering we are in Q3 and the album market has collapsed. I think it'll be the upper part of this bracket, perhaps 70-75k pure sales but I'm not that well informed on US sales so it is just an instinct.
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Aug 10 2016, 08:31 PM
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#9
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 21 January 2007
Posts: 23,766 User: 2,666
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True but also you need to know that she has a fanbase and this time it feels people are more aware of her album rather than BJ with all Vegas thing going on etc etc.
And if Gwen could sell something 70k on pure sales, I don't see how Britney won't do little bit more than that!! I love Gwen so no offense. |
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Aug 10 2016, 08:32 PM
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#10
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 20 August 2009
Posts: 8,342 User: 9,481
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QUOTE(mr_pmt @ Aug 10 2016, 09:15 PM) Given Britney Jean did about 12K first week I think this is wildly optimistic... probably less than 10K. *edit - just realised this is about the US... probably 115K combined. NGL I started to panic then. 
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Aug 10 2016, 08:34 PM
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#11
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 20 August 2009
Posts: 8,342 User: 9,481
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QUOTE(Addy K!ng @ Aug 10 2016, 09:21 PM) BJ opened with 107k...I know sales went even more further down since 2013 but with Carpool and possibly VMA hopefully she will near and match the same numbers! BJ got swallowed up in the Christmas market though. Although I think it affected it more in the UK. |
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Aug 10 2016, 09:26 PM
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#12
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If people hate you, don’t hate them.
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 43,545 User: 67
  
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With carpool karaoke AND a VMA performance (please!), definitely the fourth! I mean BJ sold that much with no serious promo or a single performance. And it was literally assaulted by all critics.
Definitely the last. If they do a promo blitz for two weeks in the USA and do everything correct, I could see it scraping 200k! She may not have the numbers backing her like she used to, but with some decent promo slots she will easily win back the 22 - 32 aged pop fans. If she does well in anything in the States, it's album sales. Now. If she just does carpool karaoke and just presents at the VMA's she'll do well to scrap 100k combined. |
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Aug 11 2016, 11:05 AM
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#13
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 I found the love, I found the love in me
Pronouns: He/Him
Joined: 13 December 2007 Posts: 87,424 User: 5,042
    
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I hope I'm wrong and you guys are right, but I went for the 3rd option! But it'll be enough to keep her in the top 2 etc.. I dunno. I've come to expect that things never go as we plan lmao. Even with VMAs and Carpool for some reason I'm expecting them to have big effect, but sales are so low now that they'll rarely ever be enough to ger her over 100k.
As for the UK, I am fully expecting her carpool to have a similar effect to J Lo and Gwen as opposed to the huge effects Iggy and Adele had. |
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Aug 11 2016, 11:07 AM
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#14
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,023 User: 19,931
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QUOTE(Jonjo @ Aug 11 2016, 12:05 PM) I hope I'm wrong and you guys are right, but I went for the 3rd option! But it'll be enough to keep her in the top 2 etc.. I dunno. I've come to expect that things never go as we plan lmao. Even with VMAs and Carpool for some reason I'm expecting them to have big effect, but sales are so low now that they'll rarely ever be enough to ger her over 100k. As for the UK, I am fully expecting her carpool to have a similar effect to J Lo and Gwen as opposed to the huge effects Iggy and Adele had. I disagree, even if there's waning interest in her music, Britney Spears is still one of the most famous and iconic popstars in the world. I think it'll bring in big views. |
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Aug 11 2016, 02:30 PM
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#15
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Break the tension
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 88,875 User: 51
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I expect this could have quite big publicity around it (Carpool), even my dad mentioned it to me and he doesn't follow pop culture at all.
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Aug 11 2016, 08:31 PM
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#16
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 3 March 2014
Posts: 2,563 User: 20,665
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I went with 75k-95k sales / 105k-125k SPS, thought I'd play it safe
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Aug 11 2016, 09:38 PM
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#17
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 10 February 2008
Posts: 43,170 User: 5,392
 
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90-100 pure sales, 125-130 sps
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Aug 16 2016, 08:16 PM
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#18
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,023 User: 19,931
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Now we 100% have Carpool and VMAs, I'm thinking the 4th might be quite easy.
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Aug 16 2016, 09:48 PM
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#19
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If people hate you, don’t hate them.
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 43,545 User: 67
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Yeah the hype in America is already unreal. Her last performance was 2007.
If she gives us a performance as good as the billboard awards we will easily hit 200k. I'm expecting 'Femme Fatale' numbers (275k) are even in our reach! |
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Aug 17 2016, 01:25 AM
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#20
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 21 January 2007
Posts: 23,766 User: 2,666
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Ok that is a bit too much to expect in this sales climate...If this does 150k that will already make me (ooh) happy!!
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