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Posted by: Josh. Mar 6 2017, 04:13 PM

So the Oscars were only a week ago but it's time to start getting the hype rolling for possible awards contenders next year. Of course, there will be surprises that come along before then such as Hacksaw Ridge, Hidden Figures and Hell or High Water from this year but the likes of La La Land, Manchester by the Sea and Arrival were all floating around in discussions this time last year! After all, the Golden Globes are only another 10 months away

Here's a list of possible contenders and the names attached to help you with your predictions and to start forming a watch-list of your own :

55 Steps (directed by Bille August / starring Helena Bonham Carter, Hilary Swank, Jeffrey Tambor)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=200677 (directed by Sebastián Lelio / starring Daniela Vega, Francisco Reyes, Luis Gnecco, Aline Küppenheim)
Based on a True Story (directed by Roman Polanski / starring Eva Green, Emmanuelle Seigner, Vincent Perez)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=201043 (directed by Jonathan Dayton, Valerie Faris / starring Emma Stone, Elisabeth Shue, Steve Carell)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=196409 (directed by Denis Villeneuve / starring Ryan Gosling, Harrison Ford, Ana de Armas, Jared Leto)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=202251&pid=5748199&st=0&#entry5748199 (directed by Andy Serkis / starring Andrew Garfield, Claire Foy)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=202021 (directed by Luca Guadagnino / starring Armie Hammer, Timothée Chalamet, Michael Stuhlbarg)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=198947 (directed by Lee Unkrich, Adrian Molina / starring Benjamin Bratt, Gael García Bernal, Renee Victor)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=202678 (directed by Joe Wright / starring Gary Oldman, Lily James, John Hurt, Kristin Scott Thomas)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=200032 (directed by Kathryn Bigelow / starring John Krasinski, John Boyega, Will Poulter, Anthony Mackie)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=204367 (directed by Alexander Payne / starring Matt Damon, Kristen Wiig, Christoph Waltz, Hong Chau, Neil Patrick Harris)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=192516 (directed by Christopher Nolan / starring Tom Hardy, Cillian Murphy, Aneurin Barnard)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=204633 (directed by Paul McGuigan / starring Stephen Graham, Annette Bening, Julie Walters )
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=198420 (directed by Jordan Peele / starring Daniel Kaluuya, Allison Williams, Bradley Whitford)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=201853 (directed by Simon Curtis / starring Margot Robbie, Kelly Macdonald, Domhnall Gleeson)
Happy End (directed by Michael Haneke / starring Isabelle Huppert, Mathieu Kassovitz, Jean-Louis Trintignant)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=204651 (directed by Scott Cooper / starring Christian Bale, Rosamund Pike, Timothée Chalamet, Ben Foster)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=204634 (directed by Greta Gerwig / starring Saoirse Ronan, Lucas Hedges, Timothée Chalamet)
Last Flag Flying (directed by Richard Linklater / starring Bryan Cranston, Steve Carell, Laurence Fishburne)
Lean On Pete (directed by Andrew Haigh / starring Travis Fimmel, Chloë Sevigny, Steve Buscemi)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=194774 (directed by James Mangold / starring Hugh Jackman, Patrick Stewart, Dafne Keen)
Marshall (directed by Reginald Hudlin / starring Chadwick Boseman, Dan Stevens, Sterling K. Brown, Josh Gad)
Mary Magdalene (directed by Garth Davis / starring Rooney Mara, Ariane Labed, Chiwetel Ejiofor)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=203687 (directed by Aaron Sorkin / starring Jessica Chastain, Idris Elba, Kevin Costner)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=203232 (directed by Darren Aronofsky / starring Jennifer Lawrence, Michelle Pfeiffer, Ed Harris, Javier Bardem, Domhnall Gleeson)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=204660 (directed by Dee Rees / starring Carey Mulligan, Garrett Hedlund, Jonathan Banks, Mary J. Blige)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=200678 (directed by Kenneth Branagh / starring Daisy Ridley, Johnny Depp, Josh Gad, Penelope Cruz, Michelle Pfeiffer, Willem Dafoe)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=203322 (directed by Margaret Betts / starring Melissa Leo, Margaret Qualley, Dianna Agron, Liana Liberato)
On Chesil Beach (directed by Dominic Cooke / starring Saoirse Ronan, Emily Watson, Anne-Marie Duff)
Phantom Thread (directed by Paul Thomas Anderson / starring Daniel Day-Lewis, Lesley Manville, Vicky Krieps)
Roman Israel, Esq (directed by Dan Gilroy / starring Denzel Washington, Colin Farrell, Ashton Sanders)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=203112 (directed by George Clooney / starring Julianne Moore, Matt Damon, Oscar Isaac, Josh Brolin)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=199918 (directed by Sofia Coppola / starring Nicole Kidman, Elle Fanning, Kirsten Dunst)
The Children Act (directed by Richard Eyre / starring Emma Thompson, Stanley Tucci, Jason Watkins)
The Current War (directed by Alfonso Gomez-Rejon / starring Benedict Cumberbatch, Katherine Waterston, Michael Shannon)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=202889 (directed by James Franco / starring James Franco, Dave Franco, Bryan Cranston, Seth Rogen, Alison Brie, Kristen Bell)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=203688 (directed by Sean Baker / starring Willem Dafoe, Brooklynn Prince, Valeria Cotto)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=201119 (directed by Destin Cretton / starring Brie Larson, Naomi Watts, Woody Harrelson)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=202229 (directed by Michael Gracey / starring Hugh Jackman, Rebecca Ferguson, Michelle Williams, Zac Efron, Zendaya)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=203805 (directed by Yorgos Lanthimos / starring Nicole Kidman, Alicia Silverstone, Colin Farrell)
The Leisure Seeker (directed by Paolo Virzì / starring Helen Mirren, Donald Sutherland)
The Mercy (directed by James Marsh / starring Rachel Weisz, Colin Firth)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=203744 (directed by Noah Baumbach / starring Adam Sandler, Dustin Hoffman, Emma Thompson, Ben Stiller)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=202570 (directed by Steven Spielberg / starring Tom Hanks, Meryl Streep)
The Seagull (directed by Michael Mayer / starring Saoirse Ronan, Annette Bening, Elisabeth Moss)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=202903 (directed by Guillermo del Toro / starring Sally Hawkins, Michael Shannon, Octavia Spencer, Michael Stuhlbarg)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=202890 (directed by Tomas Alfredson / starring Rebecca Ferguson, Michael Fassbender, Val Kilmer)
The Wife (directed by Björn Runge / starring Glenn Close, Max Irons, Jonathan Pryce)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=199159 (directed by Martin McDonagh / starring Frances McDormand, Woody Harrelson, Sam Rockwell)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=202030 (directed by Marti Noxon / starring Keanu Reeves, Lily Collins, Kathryn Prescott)
Under the Silver Lake (directed by David Robert Mitchell / starring Andrew Garfield, Riley Keough, Callie Hernandez)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=201421 (directed by Stephen Frears / starring Olivia Williams, Judi Dench, Michael Gambon)
Where is Kyra? (directed by Andrew Dosunmu / starring Michelle Pfeiffer, Kiefer Sutherland, Suzanne Shepherd)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=200860 (directed by Kate Mulleavy, Laura Mulleavy / starring Kirsten Dunst, Joe Cole, Pilou Asbæk)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=200875 (directed by Todd Haynes / starring Michelle Williams, Julianne Moore, Cory Michael Smith)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=202022 (directed by Woody Allen / starring Kate Winslet, Juno Temple, Justin Timberlake)
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=204421 (directed by Lynne Ramsay / starring Joaquin Phoenix, Ekaterina Samsonov, Alessandro Nivola)

Posted by: Tinasha Mar 6 2017, 04:15 PM

Jessica or Amy to win please.

Posted by: Josh. Mar 6 2017, 04:18 PM

And I already made some predictions earlier in my frees when I was bored
Best Picture
- Darkest Hour
- Downsizing
- Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Project
- Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project
- Call Me By Your Name
----------------------------
- The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara
- Mother!
- The Greatest Showman
- Dunkirk
- On Chesil Beach

Best Lead Actor
- Gary Oldman "Darkest Hour"
- Timothée Chalamet "Call Me Be Your Name"
- Hugh Jackman "The Greatest Showman"
- Daniel Day-Lewis "TBA"
- Matt Damon "Downsizing"

Best Lead Actress
- Jennifer Lawrence "Mother!"
- Jessica Chastain "Molly's Game"
- Rooney Mara "Mary Magdalene"
- Saoirse Ronan "On Chesil Beach"
- Emma Stone "Battle of the Sexes"
Next up: Kate Winslet "Wonder Wheel", Glenn Close "The Wife", Kirsten Dunst "Woodshock", Judi Dench "Victoria and Abdul"

^ This is stacked again ^

Best Supporting Actor
- Armie Hammer "Call Me By Your Name"
- Christoph Waltz "Downsizing"
- Mark Rylance "The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara"
- Woody Harrelson "The Glass Castle"
- Joaquin Phoenix "Mary Magdalene"

Best Supporting Actress
- Kristen Wiig "Downsizing"
- Michelle Pfeiffer "Murder On the Orient Express"
- Mary J. Blige "Mudbound"
- Michelle Williams "Wonderstruck"
- Naomi Watts "The Glass Castle"

Best Director
- Luca Guadagnino "Call Me By Your Name"
- Darren Aronofsky "Mother!"
- Dee Rees "Mudbound"
- Kathryn Bigelow "TBA"
- Christopher Nolan "Dunkirk"


I think Mudbound and Call Me By Your Name are the films with the most early hype from festivals etc. Gary Oldman seems to have undergone a huge transformation in his film and is probably deserving of an Oscar by now. I also think this year seems to be the return of Michelle Pfeiffer and supporting actress seems her best shot for a win with either Mother! or Murder On the Orient Express (she's getting great reviews for Where Is Kyra? too). Kirsten Dunst also seems to be going all out this year and perhaps could do what Alicia Vikander could not and get nominations in both actress categories for The Beguiled and Woodshock.

Posted by: Qween Mar 6 2017, 04:22 PM

I really want Glenn to get an Oscar, she's been so good in so many things over the years even a career one feels overdue.

Posted by: UltraGreenLight Mar 6 2017, 04:24 PM

Will be making my full predictions later tonight!

Really hope Saoirse/Emma can get nominations, so hyped for their projects and love both actresses! <3

Posted by: Regina Mar 6 2017, 05:08 PM

Here for Jessica getting a win. Amy doesn't seem to have any movies on the horizon so I'll let my third fave ginger win.

Posted by: Josh. Mar 13 2017, 09:09 AM

Looks as though Spielberg's film this year could be The Post (about the Washington Post's role in revealing the Pentagon Papers) with Meryl Streep and Tom Hanks rather than the Edgardo Mortara film which seems to be pushed back. Surely they should both be locks for nominations but Tom Hanks does seem to be have been snubbed a fair few times in recent years (Captain Phillips, Bridge of Spies, Sully, Saving Mr Banks etc).

Posted by: Tinasha Mar 13 2017, 01:03 PM

QUOTE(Josh. @ Mar 6 2017, 04:18 PM)

Posted by: UltraGreenLight Mar 14 2017, 07:10 PM

Will be posting my predictions later tonight or tomorrow! Get hyped!

Posted by: Josh. Mar 14 2017, 07:28 PM

How amazing would a Meryl Streep vs Rooney Mara vs Jessica Chastain vs Saoirse Ronan vs Judi Dench Best Actress category be?!?

Or Tom Hanks vs Hugh Jackman vs Gary Oldman vs Daniel Day-Lewis vs Matt Damon ?!?

Or Kristen Wiig vs Michelle Williams vs Julianne Moore vs Naomi Watts vs Michelle Pfeiffer ?!?

I know that some of these are going to end up terrible and there will be shock indie frontrunners come the time of awards season but you can't not look at the lists above and just get RIDICULOUSLY excited for this year in film

Posted by: Josh. Mar 19 2017, 09:21 PM

'The Disaster Artist' (about Tommy Wiseau and the making of the film 'The Room') seems to be getting pretty good reviews coming out of SXSW. Perhaps, James Franco could be a dark horse to get a second nomination?

Posted by: Josh. Mar 22 2017, 08:15 AM

"Battle of the Sexes" has been given a US release date in September, doesn't bode well for its box office or Oscars chances (but of course, films have swept nominations with earlier release dates before). Saying that, it does star Emma Stone and Steve Carrell as well as having the directors of Little Miss Sunshine, the writer of Slumdog Millionaire & 127 Hours, the cinematographer of La La Land, and the composer from Moonlight!


Also, "Beauty and the Beast" has been screening to Oscar voters and been getting a good response apparently, perhaps Disney are hoping for a few nominations too!

Posted by: Josh. Mar 24 2017, 11:18 AM

I've updated the opening post with a few more of the contenders that have been discussed so far. I've also added links to the the Buzzjack discussion threads for those that have them already so hopefully this be handy

Posted by: Qween Mar 24 2017, 02:22 PM

BATB will probably get costume, make up, maybe score? That kind of thing anyway, it certainly looks and sounds great at any rate.

Posted by: Josh. Mar 24 2017, 02:32 PM

QUOTE(Qween @ Mar 24 2017, 02:22 PM)

Posted by: Regina Mar 25 2017, 07:36 PM

Amy is obv going for the Emmy this year with Sharp Objects, unless she gets nominated for Justice League

Is it asking too much for Chris Evans to get some attention and glory for Gifted? he's an underrated actor and that movie looks great.

Posted by: UltraGreenLight Mar 25 2017, 07:41 PM

Thank You For Your Service (starring Miles Teller & Amy Schumer) has received an awards contention release date at the end of October! Definitely a film I'm hyped for and I wonder if it could become an Oscar contender as the story definitely sounds like it has potential!

(And I promise I'll do my early predictions tonight!!)

Posted by: Josh. Mar 26 2017, 09:08 PM

QUOTE(UltraGreenLight @ Mar 25 2017, 08:41 PM)

Posted by: UltraGreenLight Mar 28 2017, 11:05 PM

I promise I'll post them before the end of this week!!!!

Also George clooneys suburbicon has an Oscar friendly release date in November now scheduled!

Posted by: UltraGreenLight Mar 29 2017, 11:29 PM

And another project is confirmed for Oscar season as the untitled PTA film will be released on Christmas in America!

Posted by: J♀sh Apr 9 2017, 08:35 PM

Annihilation by Alex Garland (the guy behind Ex Machina) and starring Natalie Portman, Jennifer Jason Leigh and Tessa Thompson has been delayed until 2018. Perhaps they're trying to repeat its success by getting rave reviews early on and managing to pick up a couple of Oscar nods by the time awards season comes around.

Posted by: Ultra💚🚦🐱 Apr 13 2017, 12:12 AM

AT LAST!! here are my main category predictions!

Picture Nominations:
1. Dunkirk
2. The Post
3. Call Me By Your Name
4. Detroit
5. Downsizing
6. Mother!
7. Mudbound
8. The Greatest Showman
9. Darkest Hour
10. Wonderstruck

Below the line:
(11. Untitled PTA Project, 12. Surburbicon, 13. Thank You For Your Service, 14. Battle of the Sexes, 15. Blade Runner 2049,
16. Star Wars: The Last Jedi, 17. Molly's Game, 18. Three Billboards... ,19. Marshall, 20. The Glass Castle
21. Goodbye Christopher Robin, 22. The Shape Of Water, 23. The Beguiled, 24. Murder On The Orient Express, 25. Victoria & Abdul, 26. The Current War, 27. Get Out, 28. The Snowman)

DIRECTOR:
1. Dunkirk - Christopher Nolan
2. The Post - Steven Spielberg
3. Detroit - Kathryn Bigelow
4. Downsizing - Alexander Payne
5. Call Me By Your Name - Luca Guadagnino


Below the line:
(6. Mother!, 7. Mudbound, 8. Darkest Hour, 9. Untitled PTA Project, 10. Wonderstruck
11. Blade Runner 2049, 12. Battle of the Sexes, 13. Surburbicon, 14. Thank You For Your Service, 15. Molly's Game
16. Get Out, 17. The Beguiled, 18. Murder on The Orient Express, 19. The Greatest Showman, 20. Three Billboards..
21. Marshall, 22. The Glass Castle, 23. The Shape of Water, 24. Goodbye Christopher Robin, 25. Star Wars: The Last Jedi)



ACTOR:
1. Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour
2. Daniel Day-Lewis - Untitled PTA
3. Timothee Chalamet - Call Me By Your Name
4. Armie Hammer - Call Me By Your Name
5. Hugh Jackman - The Greatest Showman

Below the line:
6. Tom Hanks (The Post), 7. John Boyega (Detroit), 8. Chadwick Boseman (Marshall), 9. Miles Teller (Thank You For Your Service), 10. Matt Damon (Downsizing),
11. Domnhall Gleeson (Goodbye Christopher Robin), 12. Matt Damon (Surburbicon), 13. James Franco (The Disaster Artist), 14. Michael Fassbender (The Snowman), 15. Andrew Garfield (Under The Silver Lake)
16. Cillian Murphy (Dunkirk), 17. Benedict Cumberbatch (The Current War), 18. Colin Farrell (The Killing of a Sacred Deer), 19. Ali Fazal (Victoria & Abdul), 20. Javier Bardem (Mother!)
21. Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out), 22. Andrew Garfield (Breathe), 23. Denzel Washington (Inner City), 24. Ryan Gosling (Blade Runner), 25. Idris Elba (The Mountain Betweens Us)


ACTRESS:
1. Jessica Chastain - Molly's Game
2. Meryl Streep - The Post
3. Jennifer Lawrence - Mother!
4. Saoirse Ronan - On Chesil Beach
5. Judi Dench - Victoria & Abdul

Below the line:
6. Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes), 7. Brie Larson (The Glass Castle), 8. Rooney Mara (Mary Magdalene), 9. Frances McDormand (Three Billboards), 10. Carey Mulligan (Mudbound)
11. Michelle Pfeiffer (Where Is Kyra), 12. Nicole Kidman (The Beguiled), 13. Isabelle Huppert (Happy End), 14. Elle Fanning (Mary Shelley), 15. Julianne Moore (Suburbicon)
16. Kate Winslet (Wonder Wheel), 17. Mackenzie Davis (Tully), 18. Rachel Weisz (My Cousin Rachel), 19. Kirsten Dunst (Woodshock), 20. Sally Hawkins (Maudie)
21. Jennifer Lawrence (Red Sparrow), 22. Riley Keough (Under The Silver Lake), 23. Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird), 24. Eva Green (Based On A True Story), 25. Kate Winslet (The Mountain Between Us)

SUP. ACTOR
1. Zac Efron - The Greatest Showman
2. Michael Shannon - The Current War
3. Sterling K. Brown - Marshall
4. Jason Mitchell - Mudbound
5. John Hurt - Darkest Hour

Below the line:
6. Woody Harrelson (The Glass Castle), 7. Garrett Hedlund (Mudbound), 8. Ed Harris (Mother!), 9. Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards), 10. Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name)
11. Idris Elba (Molly's Game), 12. Bruce Dern (Chappaquiddik), 13. Joaquin Phoenix (Mary Magdalene), 14. Richard Graham (PTA Project), 15. Tom Hardy (Dunkirk)
16. Jean-Louis Tringnant (Happy End), 17. Chiwetel Ejiofor (Mary Magdalene), 18. Harrison Ford (Blade Runner 2049), 19. Max Greenfield (The Glass Castle), 20. Josh Gad (Marshall)
21. Will Poulter (Detroit), 22. Jack Reynor (Detroit), 23. Topher Grace (Under The Silver Lake), 24. Douglas Booth (Mary Shelley), 25. Josh Brolin (Suburbicon)



SUP. ACTRESS:
1. Margot Robbie - Goodbye Christopher Robin
2. Carrie Fisher - Star Wars: The Last Jedi
3. Mary J. Blige - Mudbound
4. Michelle Pfeiffer - Mother!
5. Michelle Williams - The Greatest Showman

Below the line:
6. Kristen Wiig (Downsizing), 7. Kristin Scott Thomas (Darkest Hour), 8. Julianne Moore (Wonderstruck), 9. Julia Roberts (Wonder), 10. Haley Bennet (Thank You For Your Service)
11. Kirsten Dunst (The Beguiled), 12. Naomi Watts (The Glass Castle), 13. Annette Bening (The Seagull), 14. Rebecca Ferguson (The Snowman), 15. Nicole Kidman (How To Talk To Girls At Parties)
16. Julianne Moore (Suburbicon), 17. Alicia Silverstone (The Killing of a Sacred Deer), 18. Andrea Riseborough (Battle of the Sexes), 19. Kate Mara (Chappaquiddik), 20. Nicole Kidman (The Killing of a Sacred Deer)
21. Elle Fanning (The Beguiled), 22. Rebecca Ferguson (The Greatest Showman), 23. Kristen Stewart (Lizzie), 24. Penelope Cruz (Murder on the Orient Express), 25. Lily James (Darkest Hour), 26. Hannah Murray (Detroit)

Posted by: J♀sh Apr 13 2017, 10:53 PM

You weren't lying when you said in-depth, Sam! I think Dunkirk could be the big blockbuster nominee this year like Life of Pi/Avatar etc. I'd love Carrie Fisher and/or Mark Hammill to sneak noms too but it seems as though it could be a really strong year.

I also reckon Breathe could perhaps be this year's The Theory of Everything. Claire Foy is hot off The Crown and Andrew Garfield from Hacksaw Ridge so I think they could be contenders come awards season! Will add it to the opening post.

Posted by: J▲hq Apr 13 2017, 11:07 PM

Academy Award nominee Zac Efron would sound really weird, but it happened for James Franco and Jonah Hill

Posted by: J♀sh Apr 13 2017, 11:13 PM

QUOTE(J▲hq @ Apr 14 2017, 12:07 AM)

Academy Award nominee Zac Efron would sound really weird, but it happened for James Franco and Jonah Hill

Posted by: Ultra💚🚦🐱 Apr 14 2017, 12:46 AM

More films zooming into Oscar season:

Goodbye Christopher Robin has a VERY Awards friendly date of November 10! Really hope this can become a big Awards contender, it sounds like it could be rly great like Saving Mr Banks was & Margot/Domnhall are fabulous and both deserve to get some big awards attention! <3
Three Billboards has also been scheduled for 13th October!

Posted by: ~josh~ May 2 2017, 12:10 PM

Updated May picks for the nominees, will be fun to look back on

BEST PICTURE
Wonderstruck
The Post
Darkest Hour
Downsizing
Call Me By Your Name
-------------------
Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project
Detroit
Mother!
Lean on Pete
Dunkirk

BEST LEADING ACTOR
Benedict Cumberbatch -- The Current War
Daniel Day-Lewis -- Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project
Tom Hanks -- The Post
Hugh Jackman -- The Greatest Showman
Gary Oldman -- Darkest Hour

Alternative: Matt Damon -- Downsizing or Denzel Washington -- Inner City (not sure if it's gonna be this year or not)

BEST LEADING ACTRESS
Judi Dench -- Victoria and Abdul
Claire Foy -- Breathe
Jennifer Lawrence -- Mother!
Meryl Streep -- The Post
Kate Winslet -- Wonder Wheel

Alternative: Jessica Chastain -- Molly's Game or Rooney Mara -- Mary Magdalene

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Steve Buscemi -- Lean on Pete
Armie Hammer -- Call Me by Your Name
Woody Harrelson -- The Glass Castle
Ed Harris -- Mother!
Michael Shannon -- The Current War

Alternative: Michael Stuhlbarg -- Call Me by Your Name or Joaquin Phoenix -- Mary Magdalene

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Michelle Williams -- The Greatest Showman
Melissa Leo -- Novitiate
Julianne Moore -- Wonderstruck
Michelle Pfeiffer -- Mother!
Kristin Scott Thomas -- Darkest Hour

Alternative: Mary J. Blige -- Mudbound or Margot Robbie -- Goodbye Christopher Robin or Hong Chau -- Downsizing (she seems to have better reviews than Kristen Wiig from early screenings so gone for her)

BEST DIRECTOR
Kathryn Bigelow -- Detroit
Steven Spielberg -- The Post
Alexander Payne -- Downsizing
Todd Haynes -- Wonderstruck
Joe Wright -- Darkest Hour

Alternative: Luca Guadagnino -- Call Me by Your Name or Paul Thomas Anderson -- Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project or Darren Aronofsky -- Mother!

Posted by: UltraGreenLight May 2 2017, 03:51 PM

I'll update mine towards the end of the month after the Cannes Festival as I was doing it now and making literally no changes to over half the categories since I last predicted!

I have a really good feeling about The Greatest Showman though atm!

Posted by: ~josh~ May 4 2017, 03:01 PM

Have taken 'Tully' (the Charlize Theron movie directed by Jason Reitman of Juno & Up in the Air fame) off the list in the opening post as it has been given an April 2018 release date so not this year anyway and doesn't seem like it's going to be pushed for awards either

Quite sad about that one, was looking forward to it and was hoping Theron may be in contention for a third nomination after the good couple of years she's had (she's been fab in all of Mad Max, Furious 8, The Huntsman etc. in my opinion)!

EDIT: Also added a few more potential contenders including Lean On Pete (potentially Steve Buscemi could be nominated and other major nominations), A Fantastic Woman (potentially Daniela Vega could be nominated) & Novitiate (potentially Melissa Leo could be nominated).

Posted by: UltraGreenLight May 4 2017, 03:10 PM

QUOTE(~josh~ @ May 4 2017, 04:01 PM)

Have taken 'Tully' (the Charlize Theron movie directed by Jason Reitman of Juno & Up in the Air fame) off the list in the opening post as it has been given an April 2018 release date so not this year anyway and doesn't seem like it's going to be pushed for awards either

Quite sad about that one, was looking forward to it and was hoping Theron may be in contention for a third nomination after the good couple of years she's had (she's been fab in all of Mad Max, Furious 8, The Huntsman etc. in my opinion)!

EDIT: Also added a few more potential contenders including Lean On Pete (potentially Steve Buscemi could be nominated and other major nominations), A Fantastic Woman (potentially Daniela Vega could be nominated) & Novitiate (potentially Melissa Leo could be nominated).

Posted by: ~josh~ May 4 2017, 03:15 PM

QUOTE(UltraGreenLight @ May 4 2017, 04:10 PM)

Posted by: ~josh~ May 6 2017, 07:36 AM

In others release date news, The Glass Castle is going to be released on August 11 in the US. Not the most awards friendly release date ever so I'll probably remove it from my predictions now but tbh, it is the same release date as Hell or High Water from last year so you never know!

Posted by: UltraGreenLight May 14 2017, 06:15 PM

O.M.F.G.

I am ready.

Posted by: ~josh~ May 14 2017, 07:04 PM

I hope Mother wins all the Oscars tbh if it's anything like Black Swan. Anyway, I need JLaw to get her fifth nom and Javier Bardem/Michelle Pfeiffer to get their fourth for it!!!11

Posted by: Regina May 14 2017, 07:12 PM

NO TO JLAW. Down with the she devil.

Posted by: ~josh~ May 16 2017, 07:30 AM

Probably an out-there prediction but The Disaster Artist has now been given a December release date in the US, is distributed by A24 (Moonlight, Room, Ex Machina) and has genuinely good reviews so far. I think it could be a bit of an upset come awards season and I might start putting James Franco in my predictions. It's certainly a transformative role!

Posted by: ~josh~ May 16 2017, 04:02 PM

First official poster for 'The Killing of the Sacred Deer' from Yorgos Lanthimos (Oscar nominee for The Lobster!). A really nice poster imo and I'm actually really excited for this, I loved how unique and funny The Lobster was.

Posted by: ~josh~ May 16 2017, 05:15 PM

Oooh, the host has been announced which means Jimmy Kimmel will be returning for next year's ceremony! I really liked his opening monologue and thought he dealt with the Best Picture mess-up really well so yay at him being back!

Posted by: UltraGreenLight May 16 2017, 07:25 PM

Fab at Jimmy Kimmell returning, he was surprisingly great last year!

Also John Hurt is not in 'Darkest Hour' so I'll remove him from my predictions when I next update after Cannes!

Posted by: Jonjo May 16 2017, 08:19 PM

QUOTE(~josh~ @ May 16 2017, 08:30 AM)

Posted by: ~josh~ May 18 2017, 08:51 AM

Some more stills from potential Oscar nominees next year!

Donald Sutherland & Helen Mirren in The Leisure Seeker:


Hugh Jackman, Zendaya & Zac Efron in The Greatest Showman:





Also, Wonderstruck is getting quite mixed reviews coming out of Cannes Film Festival. Some are saying it's gorgeous but others are saying it's a bit weak :/ Apparently Julianne Moore's role is not very large either :'(

Posted by: UltraGreenLight May 19 2017, 11:19 AM

The Greatest Showman looks FAB. So hyped for that!

Posted by: Khappa MJ May 21 2017, 08:31 AM

Im waiting for Blade Runner ... absolutely

Posted by: ~josh~ May 21 2017, 04:29 PM

It's still a bit unknown how good Netflix are at scoring Oscar noms (they failed with Beasts of No Nation) but The Meyerowitz Stories from Noah Baumbach (Oscar nominee for The Squid & the Whale) is getting good reviews from Cannes too. A lot of the reviews seem to be picking out Adam Sandler as a highlight so he could potentially be an outsider come awards season The cast also includes Dustin Hoffman, Ben Stiller & Emma Thompson!

Posted by: ~josh~ May 21 2017, 05:46 PM

More distribution news - 'Kings' has been picked up by The Orchard so probably won't be getting any Oscar nominations (they pretty unsuccessfully pushed 'Christine' last year with Rebecca Hall). It's from the Oscar nominated director of Turkish/French film 'Mustang' from 2015 and I'd seen Halle Berry in a few Best Actress predictions but I guess that's quite unlikely if they couldn't push Rebecca Hell to any major nominations!

Also, added The Leisure Seeker & The Meyerowitz Stories to the opening post!

Supporting Actress seems so unpredictable this year so far ! Julianne Moore in Wonderstruck is apparently a very small role, we don't know much about Mother yet or Michelle Pfieffer's role in it, Mudbound is being distributed by Netflix so Mary J. Blige may be a risky bet even if she has great reviews, Michelle Williams/Kristin Scott Thomas seem like they might be coat-tail nominations, Melissa Leo seems to be getting amazing reviews but her film is unlikely to get any more nominations and she doesn't seem like the most obvious choice to get two Oscars already, Millicent Simmonds in Wonderstruck is very young (only 14!). Really could be anyone this year, hard to pick a front-runner!

Posted by: ~josh~ May 23 2017, 04:57 PM

These are my post-Cannes nomination predictions (I know it's not over yet but I don't think The Beguiled or You Were Never Really Here are going to get any nominations really. We've heard from all the films with a better chance like Wonderstruck, Sacred Deer, Meyerowitz Stories, Happy End etc. now)!

Excited for some more trailers to drop as I'm not sure that the likes of Woodshock, Battle of the Sexes or The Glass Castle are going to be big contenders really. I'm not so sure on Detroit either but I've put it in for a couple noms off the strength of Kathryn Bigelow's past work.

I feel like Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri will get in somewhere but no idea where to put it? Maybe lead actress but that seems stacked! Or original screenplay a la The Lobster/20th Century Women from last year.

BEST PICTURE
1 The Post *WINNER*
2 Darkest Hour
3 Call Me By Your Name
4 Wonderstruck
5 Downsizing
6 Mother!
7 Detroit
8 Inner City
9 Lean On Pete
10 Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Film

BEST ACTOR
1 Gary Oldman "Darkest Hour " *WINNER*
2 Hugh Jackman "The Greatest Showman"
3 Daniel Day Lewis "TBA"
4 Tom Hanks "The Post"
5 Bryan Cranston "Last Flag Flying"

BEST ACTRESS
1 Judi Dench "Victoria & Abdul" *WINNER*
2 Meryl Streep "The Post"
3 Kate Winslet "Wonder Wheel"
4 Jennifer Lawrence "Mother!"
5 Claire Foy "Breathe" / Daniela Vega "Una Mujer Fantástica"

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1 Steve Buscemi "Lean On Pete" *WINNER*
2 Michael Stuhlbarg "Call Me By Your Name"
3 Armie Hammer "Call Me By Your Name"
4 Colin Farrell "Inner City"
5 Ed Harris "Mother!"

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1 Michelle Pfeiffer "Mother!" *WINNER*
2 Michelle Williams "The Greatest Showman"
3 Melissa Leo "Novitiate"
4 Kristin Scott Thomas "Darkest Hour"
5 Nicole Kidman "The Killing of a Sacred Deer"

BEST DIRECTOR
1 Todd Haynes "Wonderstruck" *WINNER*
2 Joe Wright "Darkest Hour"
3 Steven Spielberg "The Post"
4 Luca Guadagnino "Call Me By Your Name"
5 Darren Aronofsky "Mother!"

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1 Darkest Hour *WINNER*
2 The Post
3 Downsizing
4 Mother!
5 The Killing of a Sacred Deer

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1 Call Me By Your Name *WINNER*
2 Lean On Pete
3 Last Flag Flying
4 Wonderstruck
5 Mudbound

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
1 Coco *WINNER*
2 The Breadwinner
3 The Lego Batman Movie
4 My Entire High School Sinking into the Sea
5 Cars 3

BEST SCORE
1 Carter Burwell "Wonderstruck" *WINNER*
2 Hans Zimmer "Dunkirk"
3 Johan Johansson "Blade Runner 2049"
4 John Debney, Pasek & Paul "The Greatest Showman"
5 Dario Marianelli "Darkest Hour"

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
1 Roger Deakins "Blade Runner 2049" *WINNER*
2 Edward Lachmann "Wonderstruck"
3 Hoyte Van Hoytema "Dunkirk"
4 Seamus McGarvey "The Greatest Showman"
5 Bruno Delbonnel "Darkest Hour"

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
1 Blade Runner 2049 *WINNER*
2 Star Wars: The Last Jedi
3 War for the Planet of the Apes
4 Guardians of the Galaxy, Volume 2
5 Dunkirk

BEST EDITING
1 Dunkirk *WINNER*
2 Darkest Hour
3 The Post
4 Detroit
5 Blade Runner 2049

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
1 Dunkirk *WINNER*
2 Blade Runner 2049
3 Star Wars: The Last Jedi
4 The Greatest Showman
5 Wonderstruck

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
1 Beauty and the Beast *WINNER*
2 The Greatest Showman
3 Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Film
4 Murder on the Orient Express
5 Darkest Hour

BEST MAKEUP/HAIRSTYLING
1 Guardians of the Galaxy, Volume 2 *WINNER*
2 Darkest Hour
3 The Greatest Showman

Posted by: ~josh~ May 27 2017, 07:36 PM

A24 have picked up 'The Florida Project' which looks like it could be pushed this year and is getting fantastic reviews. Willem Dafoe seems to be getting the most mentions with career best rave reviews.

A24's schedule looks so stacked this year (Lean On Pete, Woodshock, The Disaster Artist, The Killing of a Sacred Deer, Under the Silver Lake and now this!), will be interesting to see which movies they give the biggest awards push. I imagine either Lean On Pete or this will probably get the late October slot that A24 have utilised for Room and Moonlight in the past.

Posted by: ~josh~ Jun 6 2017, 05:48 PM

Alison Brie, Carrie Coon, David Cross, Bruce Greenwood, Tracy Letts, Bob Odenkirk, Sarah Paulson, Jesse Plemons, Matthew Rhys, Michael Stuhlbarg, Bradley Whitford, and Zach Woods announced as the supporting cast for Spielberg's "The Post" starring Meryl Streep and Tom Hanks.

First poster for "Goodbye Christopher Robin"

Posted by: KatMus Jun 7 2017, 03:05 PM

Logan is good.

Posted by: UltraRedLight Jun 17 2017, 12:16 AM

That cast for The Post *.*

Also recent release date news (US);
Goodbye Christopher Robin moved to Mid October from November, Three Billboards... goes the other way
The Mountain Between Us moves to early October, really can't see this being an Oscar contender anymore!

And I will be doing my latest Oscar predictions now as well!!

Posted by: UltraRedLight Jun 17 2017, 01:10 AM

Also Wonder Wheel is December scheduled now isn't it?

Picture Nominations:
1. The Greatest Showman
2. Dunkirk
3. The Post
4. Call Me By Your Name
5. Mother!
6. Detroit
7. Downsizing
8. Darkest Hour
9. The Beguiled
10. Mudbound

Below the line:
(11. Phantom Thread, 12. Surburbicon, 13. Battle of the Sexes, 14. Blade Runner 2049, 15. Thank You For Your Service
16. Goodbye Christopher Robin, 17. Molly's Game, 18. Three Billboards... , 19. Star Wars: The Last Jedi, 20. Wonderstruck
21. Wonder, 22. Wonder Wheel, 23. Marshall, 24. The Glass Castle, 25. The Shape Of Water, 26. Victoria & Abdul, 27. Get Out, 28. The Current War, 29. Murder On The Orient Express, 30. The Snowman)

DIRECTOR: - I'll stick with the top 5 for now, haven't changed predictions here!
1. Dunkirk - Christopher Nolan
2. The Post - Steven Spielberg
3. Detroit - Kathryn Bigelow
4. Downsizing - Alexander Payne
5. Call Me By Your Name - Luca Guadagnino
Below the line:
(6. Mother!, 7. Mudbound, 8. Darkest Hour, 9. Untitled PTA Project, 10. Wonderstruck
11. Blade Runner 2049, 12. Battle of the Sexes, 13. Surburbicon, 14. Thank You For Your Service, 15. Molly's Game
16. Get Out, 17. The Beguiled, 18. Murder on The Orient Express, 19. The Greatest Showman, 20. Three Billboards..
21. Marshall, 22. The Glass Castle, 23. The Shape of Water, 24. Goodbye Christopher Robin, 25. Star Wars: The Last Jedi)


ACTOR:
1. Hugh Jackman - The Greatest Showman
2. Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour
3. Daniel Day-Lewis - Untitled PTA
4. Timothee Chalamet - Call Me By Your Name
5. Armie Hammer - Call Me By Your Name

Below the line:
6. Tom Hanks (The Post), 7. John Boyega (Detroit) *supporting?, 8. Domnhall Gleeson (Goodbye Christopher Robin), 9. Joaquin Phoenix (You Were Never Really Here), 10. Chadwick Boseman (Marshall)
11. Miles Teller (Thank You For Your Service), 12. Matt Damon (Downsizing), 13. Matt Damon (Surburbicon), 14. James Franco (The Disaster Artist), 15. Michael Fassbender (The Snowman),
16. Andrew Garfield (Under The Silver Lake), 17. Andrew Garfield (Breathe), 18. Cillian Murphy (Dunkirk), 19. Benedict Cumberbatch (The Current War), 20. Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)
21. Jacob Tremblay (Wonder, 22. Colin Farrell (The Killing of a Sacred Deer), 23. Ali Fazal (Victoria & Abdul), 24. Ryan Gosling (Blade Runner), 25. James McAvoy (Split)

OUT: 23. Denzel Washington (Inner City) [b]don't feel like this will make this year, 25. Idris Elba (The Mountain Betweens Us) feel like this will end up nowhere
, 25. Javier Bardem (Mother!) idk just can't see it happening

ACTRESS:
1. Jennifer Lawrence - Mother!
2. Jessica Chastain - Molly's Game
3. Meryl Streep - The Post
4. Saoirse Ronan - On Chesil Beach
5. Judi Dench - Victoria & Abdul

Below the line:
6. Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes), 7. Nicole Kidman (The Beguiled), 8. Frances McDormand (Three Billboards), 9. Kate Winslet (Wonder Wheel) December release?, 10. Carey Mulligan (Mudbound)
11. Rooney Mara (Mary Magdalene), 12. Brie Larson (The Glass Castle), 13. Kirsten Dunst (Woodshock), 14. Isabelle Huppert (Happy End), 15. Michelle Pfeiffer (Where Is Kyra)
16. Julianne Moore (Suburbicon) supporting?, 17. Elle Fanning (Mary Shelley), 18. Claire Foy (Breathe), 19. Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird), 20. Sally Hawkins (Maudie)
21. Riley Keough (Under The Silver Lake), 22. Daniela Vega (A Fantastic Woman), 23. Rachel Weisz (My Cousin Rachel), 24. Kate Winslet (The Mountain Between Us), 25. Sally Hawkins (The Shape Of Water)

OUT: 17. Mackenzie Davis (Tully)/21. Jennifer Lawrence (Red Sparrow) [b]2018 release, 24. Eva Green (Based On A True Story) the film got bad reviews at Cannes iirc?

SUP. ACTOR - no changes here at all apart from a straight swap with Wilson/Hurt
1. Zac Efron - The Greatest Showman
2. Michael Shannon - The Current War
3. Owen Wilson (Wonder)
4. Sterling K. Brown - Marshall
5. Jason Mitchell - Mudbound

Below the line:
6. Woody Harrelson (The Glass Castle), 7. Garrett Hedlund (Mudbound), 8. Ed Harris (Mother!), 9. Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards), 10. Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name)
11. Idris Elba (Molly's Game), 12. Bruce Dern (Chappaquiddik), 13. Joaquin Phoenix (Mary Magdalene), 14. Richard Graham (PTA Project), 15. Tom Hardy (Dunkirk)
16. Jean-Louis Tringnant (Happy End), 17. Chiwetel Ejiofor (Mary Magdalene), 18. Harrison Ford (Blade Runner 2049), 19. Max Greenfield (The Glass Castle), 20. Josh Gad (Marshall)
21. Will Poulter (Detroit), 22. Jack Reynor (Detroit), 23. Topher Grace (Under The Silver Lake), 24. Douglas Booth (Mary Shelley), 25. Josh Brolin (Suburbicon)

OUT: 5. John Hurt - Darkest Hour - not in the film


SUP. ACTRESS:
1. Margot Robbie - Goodbye Christopher Robin
2. Julia Roberts (Wonder)
3. Michelle Williams - The Greatest Showman
4. Michelle Pfeiffer - Mother!
5. Mary J. Blige - Mudbound

Below the line:
6. Kirsten Dunst (The Beguiled), 7. Carrie Fisher - Star Wars: The Last Jedi, 8. Kristen Wiig (Downsizing), 9. Kristin Scott Thomas (Darkest Hour), 10. Julianne Moore (Wonderstruck)
11. Nicole Kidman (The Killing of a Sacred Deer), 12. Elle Fanning (The Beguiled), 13. Haley Bennet (Thank You For Your Service), 14. Julianne Moore (Suburbicon), 15. Andrea Riseborough (Battle of the Sexes)
16. Naomi Watts (The Glass Castle), 17. Annette Bening (The Seagull), 18. Rebecca Ferguson (The Snowman), 19. Rebecca Ferguson (The Greatest Showman), 20. Lily James (Darkest Hour)
21. Penelope Cruz (Murder on the Orient Express), 22. Amy Schumer (Thank You For Your Service), [b]23. Tilda Swinton (Okja) 24. Kate Mara (Chappaquiddik), 25. Kristen Stewart (Lizzie), 26. Hannah Murray (Detroit), 27. Hong Chau (Downsizing), 28. Zendaya (The Greatest Showman)

OUT: 15. Nicole Kidman (How To Talk To Girls At Parties) [b]can't see it happening/ 17. Alicia Silverstone (The Killing of a Sacred Deer) her role is basically a cameo I think

Posted by: Josh! Jun 23 2017, 07:48 AM

Inner City has been renamed "Roman Isreal, Esq". Bit of an odd film title but still excited to see it, Denzel will probably be a big contender but I'm more excited to see Colin Farrell as the antagonist, hoping he finally gets Oscars attention !!

Also, we got this official image from "The Death and Life of John F. Donovan" which could turn out to be an awards contender. Also stars Natalie Portman, Susan Sarandon and Kathy Bates.

Posted by: nfjabf Jun 29 2017, 09:14 AM

New predictions (in order, this time!) now that we have a few more trailers and bits of news.

BEST PICTURE
1 The Post/The Papers
2 Call Me By Your Name
3 Darkest Hour
4 The Florida Project
5 Wonderstruck
-----
6 Roman Israel, Esq
7 Detroit
8 Last Flag Flying
9 Mother!
10 Get Out

IN -
The Florida Project (seems to be getting great reviews and A24 have to proven to be good at the Oscars with Room & Moonlight)
Last Flag Flying (Linklater is popular with the Oscars and the stills look promising)
Get Out (the hype still seems to be hanging around for this and it could be one of those rare moments when an early release gets lots of nominations)

OUT -
Downsizing (seems to be having trouble getting a final edit and screen reports don't seem all that positive)
Lean On Pete (probably a smaller contender than I first imagine, perhaps just one or teo nominations for the film)
Phantom Thread (seems like it's going to be very dark and The Master wasn't exactly a big awards magnet outside of acting)

BEST ACTOR
1 Gary Oldman "The Darkest Hour"
2 Denzel Washington "Roman Israel, Esq"
3 Daniel Day-Lewis "Phantom Thread"
4 Tom Hanks "The Post/Papers"
5 Bryan Cranston "Last Flag Flying"

IN -
Denzel Washington "Roman Israel, Esq" (seems like a showy role and he probably came second last year so hard to rule him out)

OUT -
Hugh Jackman "The Greatest Showman" (screenings reports aren't exactly favourable and the trailer seems a bit campy)

BEST ACTRESS
1 Meryl Streep "The Papers"
2 Judi Dench "Victoria & Abdul"
3 Kate Winslet "Wonder Wheel"
4 Jennifer Lawrence "Mother!"
5 Daniela Vega "A Fantastic Woman"

IN -
Daniela Vega (the reviews are fantastic for her and being the first transgender acting nominee could be a big moment). Tempted to put in Frances McDormand here too as her role seems pretty exciting.

OUT -
Claire Foy "Breathe" (moved to supporting)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1 Willem Dafoe "The Florida Project"
2 Michael Stuhlbarg "Call Me By Your Name"
3 Colin Farrell "Roman Israel, Esq"
4 Steve Buscemi "Lean On Pete"
5 Laurence Fishburne "Last Flag Flying"

IN -
Laurence Fishburne (think this could be a bit of a coat-tail nomination but could happen)
Willem Dafoe (rave reviews and seems like the appropriate time to give him a win on his third nomination)

OUT -
Armie Hammer "Call Me By Your Name" (I don't think two supporting nominees are gonna happen for one movie and Stuhlbarg has the big monologue scene)
Ed Harris "Mother!" (We just know so little about the movie that the other contenders seem more like now, I'd easily put him back in once we get a bit more news though).

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1 Claire Foy "Breathe"
2 Melissa Leo "Novitiate"
3 Michelle Pfeiffer "Mother!"
4 Millicent Simmonds "Wonderstruck"
5 Holly Hunter "The Big Sick"

IN -
Holly Hunter (seems to getting really good reviews for her performance and I could see her squeezing in)
Millicent Simmonds (Wonderstruck will surely get one acting nomination and it might be her, this category is quite kind to child actresses)
Claire Foy (she looks really good in the trailer but more of a co-lead. Surely the studio will fraud her into here a la Vikander/Mara/Davis as this category is soo much weaker than lead. She could even win but then it would three supportive wife roles winning in a row in this category so maybe not).

OUT -
Michelle Williams "The Greatest Showman" (the film is not getting good screening reports and she didnmt have much to do in the trailer apart from smile)
Kristin Scott Thomas "Darkest Hour" (apparently her role is really small and she has no showy 'Oscars moment' scene)
Nicole Kidman "The Killing of a Sacred Deer" (probably a bit too dark to make it, she probably has a better chance for The Beguiled but the summer release may harm her chances there)

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1 The Papers
2 Darkest Hour
3 The Florida Project
4 Roman Israel, Esq
5 Get Out

IN -
The Florida Project (could be a big awards contender so seems like a no brainer here)
Roman Israel (Gilroy is a previous Oscar nominee for Nightcrawler and this looks like it could be his second)
Get Out (the hype isn't fading and it seems like a very probable nominee here even if it doesn't make the Best Picture line up)

OUT -
Downsizing
Mother
The Killing of a Sacred Deer

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1 Call Me By Your Name
2 Last Flag Flying
3 Lean On Pete
4 Wonderstruck
5 The Death of Stalin

IN -
The Death of Stalin (don't know much about it but this category seems very weak- I know that a screenplay isn't all about dialogue but having Wonderstruck in 4th despite being largely silent tells a lot about the contenders in this category )

OUT -
Mudbound (Netflix seem to be becoming less popular with old Hollywood and I think any film being distributed by them is going to really struggle to get any nominations...)

Posted by: UltraRedLight Jul 20 2017, 05:31 PM

Really interested to see if any of the big films from the first half of the year will hold up till the end (Get Out/Logan/Wonder Woman/Baby Driver/Big Sick/Beguiled)

Well anyway here goes everything

Picture Nominations:
1. Get Out
2. The Papers
3. Mother!
4. Call Me By Your Name
5. Dunkirk
6. Darkest Hour
7. Blade Runner 2049
8. Detroit
9. Suburbicon
10. Mudbound
11. Downsizing, 12. The Greatest Showman
13. Phantom Thread, 14. Thank You For Your Service
15. Battle Of The Sexes, 16. Molly's Game
17. Wonder Woman, 18. Wonder
19. Three Billboards.... , 20. Wonderstruck
21. Star Wars: The Last Jedi, 22. Goodbye Christopher Robin
23. Breathe, 24. Wonder Wheel
25. The Florida Project, 26. Last Flag Flying
27. The Big Sick, 28. The Shape Of Water
29. The Snowman, 30. The Glass Castle
31. Victoria & Abdul, 32. The Current War
33. Murder On The Orient Express, 34. Stronger
35. Baby Driver, 36. Mary Magdalene
37. Woodshock, 38. Logan
39. The Disaster Artist, 40. The Beguiled

OUT: Marshall

DIRECTOR:
1. Dunkirk - Christopher Nolan
2. The Post - Steven Spielberg
3. Detroit - Kathryn Bigelow
4. Mother! - Darren Aronofsky
5. Get Out - Jordan Peele
6. Call Me By Your Name, 7. Downsizing, 8. Darkest Hour, 9. Untitled PTA Project, 10. Wonderstruck
11. Blade Runner 2049, 12. Mudbound, 13. Surburbicon, 14. Battle Of The Sexes, 15. Thank You For Your Service
16. Molly's Game, 17. The Beguiled, 18. Murder on The Orient Express, 19. The Greatest Showman, 20. Three Billboards..
21. Wonder Woman, 22. The Glass Castle, 23. The Shape of Water, 24. Goodbye Christopher Robin, 25. Star Wars: The Last Jedi)

ACTOR:
1. Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread
2. Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)
3. Timothee Chalament (Call Me By Your Name)
4. Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name)
5. Hugh Jackman (The Greatest Showman)
6. Tom Hanks (The Papers), 7. Andrew Garfield (Breathe), 8. John Boyega (Detroit)
9. Joaquin Phoenix (You Were Never Really Here), 10. Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
11. Miles Teller (Thank You For Your Service), 12. Matt Damon (Downsizing)
13. Domnhall Gleeson (Goodbye Christopher Robin), 14. Denzel Washington (Roman Israel, Esq),
15. Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out), 16. Matt Damon (Suburbicon)
17. Michael Fassbender (The Snowman), 18. James Franco (The Disaster Artist)
19. Ryan Gosling (Blade Runner), 20. Benedict Cumberbatch (The Current War)
21. Hugh Jackman (Logan), 22. Jake Gyllenhaal (Stronger)
23. Colin Farrell (The Killing of a Sacred Deer), 24. Chadwick Boseman (Marshall)
25, Jacob Tremblay (Wonder), 26. Liam Neeson (Mark Felt)
27. Javier Bardem (mother!), 28. Andrew Garfield (Under The Silver Lake)
29. James McAvoy (Split), 30. Bryan Cranston (Last Flag Flying)
31. Idris Elba (The Mountain Between Us), 32. Ali Fazal (Victoria & Abdul)
33. Donald Sutherland (The Leisure Seeker), 34. Jeremy Renner (Wind River)
35. Ansel Elgort (Baby Driver), 36. Robert Redford (Our Souls At Night)
37. Robert Pattinson (Good Time), 38. Oakes Fegley (Wonderstruck)
39. Fionn Whitehead (Dunkirk), 40. Cillian Murphy (Dunkirk) is he lead?

ACTRESS:
1. Jennifer Lawrence - Mother!
2. Jessica Chastain - Molly's Game
3. Meryl Streep - The Post
4. Judi Dench - Victoria & Abdul
5. Emma Stone - Battle Of The Sexes

6. Kate Winslet (Wonder Wheel), 7. Saoirse Ronan (On Chesil Beach), 8. Frances McDormand (Three Billboards)
9. Kirsten Dunst (Woodshock), 10. Claire Foy (Breathe),
11. Rooney Mara (Mary Magdalene), 12. Carey Mulligan (Mudbound) supporting?
13. Daniela Vega (A Fantastic Woman), 14. Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)
15. Brie Larson (The Glass Castle), 16. Gal Gadot (Wonder Woman)
17. Isabelle Huppert (Happy End), 18. Diane Kruger (In The Fade),
19. Michelle Pfeiffer (Where Is Kyra), 20. Elle Fanning (Mary Shelley),
21. Sally Hawkins (The Shape Of Water), 22. Elisabeth Moss (The Square)
23. Julianne Moore (Suburbicon) supporting?, 24. Nicole Kidman (The Beguiled) supporting?
25. Sally Hawkins (Maudie), 26. Riley Keough (Under The Silver Lake)
27. Kate Winslet (The Mountain Between Us), 28. Rachel Weisz (My Cousin Rachel)
29. Millicent Simmonds (Wonderstruck), 30. Helen Mirren (The Leisure Seeker)
31. Annette Bening (Film Stars Don't Die In Liverpool), 32. Melissa Leo (Novitiate) supporting?
33. Debra Winger (The Lovers), 34. Daisy Ridley (The Last Jedi)
35. Jane Fonda (Our Souls At Night), 36. Alicia Vikander (Submergence)
37. Charlize Theron (Atomic Blonde), 38. Cynthia Nixon (A Quiet Passion)
39. Halle Berry (Kings), 40. Elle Fanning (The Beguiled)

SUP. ACTOR
1. Michael Shannon (The Current War)
2. Steve Carrell (Battle Of The Sexes)
3. Idris Elba (Molly's Game)
4. Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name) oops at predicting him in both lead & supporting atm
5. Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name)

6. Ed Harris (mother!), 7. Jason Mitchell (Mudbound), 8. Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards)
9. Garrett Hedlund (Mudbound), 10. Zac Efron (The Greatest Showman)
11. Woody Harrelson (The Glass Castle), 12. Owen Wilson (Wonder)
13. Bob Odenkirk (The Papers), 14. Jack Reynor (Detroit)
15. Mark Rylance (Dunkirk), 16. Bruce Dern (Chappaquiddik)
17. Sterling K Brown (Marshall), 18. Richard Graham (Phantom THread)
19. Harrison Ford (Blade Runner 2049), 20. Will Poulter (Detroit)
21. Oscar Isaac (Suburbicon), 22. Jean-Louis Tringnant (Happy End)
23. Joaquin Phoenix (Mary Magdalene), 24. Chiwetel Ejiofor (Mary Magdalene)
25. Josh Brolin (Suburbicon), 26. James Franco (The Disaster Artist) lead?
27. Patrick Stewart (Logan), 28. Tom Hardy (Dunkirk)
29. Steve Carrel (Last Flag Flying), 30. Ronald Pickup (Darkest Hour)
31. Adam Sandler (The Meyerowitz Stories), 32. Ray Romano (The Big Sick)
33. Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards), 34. Lucas Hedegs (Lady Bird)
35. Chris Pine (Wonder Woman), 36. Justin Timberlake (Wonder Wheel)
37. Topher Grace (Under The Silver Lake), 38. Max Greenfield (The Glass Castle)
39. Douglas Booth (Mary Shelley), 40. Josh Gad (Marshall)

SUP. ACTRESS:
1. Margot Robbie (Goodbye Christopher Robin)
2. Michelle Pfeiffer (mother!)
3. Kirsten Dunst (The Beguiled)
4. Michelle Williams (The Greatest Showman)
5. Holly Hunter (The Big Sick)

6. Melissa Leo (Novitiate), 7. Julia Roberts (Wonder), 8. Mary J. Blige (Mudbound)
9. Carrie Fisher (The Last Jedi), 10. Julianne Moore (Wonderstruck)
11. Nicole Kidman (The Killing of a Sacred Deer), 12. Haley Bennett (Thank You For Your Service)
13. Hong Chau (Downsizing), 14. Kristin Scott Thomas (Darkest Hour)
15. Catherine Keener (Get Out), 16. Julianne Moore (Suburbicon)
17. Andrea Riseborough (Battle Of The Sexes), 18. Lily James (darkest Hour)
19. Annette Benning (The Seagull), 20. Rebecca Ferguson (The Snowman)
21. Alison Williams (Get Out), 22. Tatiana Maslany (Stronger)
23. Kristen Wiig (Downsizing), 24. Tilda Swinton (Okja)
25. Hannah Murray (Detroit), 26. Rebecca Ferguson (The Greatest Showman)
27. Penelope Cruz (Murder On The Orient Express), 28. Octavia Spencer (The Shape Of Water)
29. Naomi Watts (The Glass Castle), 30. Kelly Macdonald (Goodbye Christopher Robin)
31. Katherine Waterston (The Current War), 32. Julianne Nicholson (Novitiate)
33. Zendaya (The Greatest Showman), 34. Juno Temple (Wonder Wheel)
35. Amy Schumer (Thank You For Your Service), 36. Kristen Stewart (Lizzie)
37. Kate Mara (Chappaquiddik), 38. Daisy Ridley (Murder At The Orient Express)
39. Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird), 40. Lily James (Baby Driver) / Elle Fanning (The Beguiled)

Posted by: UltraRedLight Jul 22 2017, 12:44 AM

Venice Film Festival lineup is being revealed next week!

Suburbicon, The Shape Of Water, Victoria & Abdul and Ella & John (I'm presuming this is The Leisure Seekers?) are expected to premiere there and Downsizing is confirmed as the opening night film!

Posted by: Josh! Jul 27 2017, 08:54 AM

Sony Pictures Classics have picked up "Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool". They're really good at campaigning veteran actresses (they got noms/wins for Julianne Moore (Still Alice), Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine) and Isabelle Huppert (Elle) recently) so surely that puts Annette Bening right up there in contention for a nomination, especially after her snub last year. This doesn't look good for Daniela Vega though who was looking like being their #1 push - they also have The Leisure Seeker and Happy End so probably no push for Huppert and Mirren either now.

In other news, Sally Hawkins seems to be getting a bit of backlash for the Shape of Water. A lot of people who speak sign language are calling her out for her sign language not being understandable or very good at all. I was going to put her in my top five as a shock nomination actually but this negative media attention won't help.

Posted by: UltraRedLight Jul 28 2017, 09:53 PM

A few of the film festival line-ups have been revealed, it's nearly time for Oscar Season to properly kick off again *.* Seems like many of the big contenders are playing festivals this year so it'll be interesting to see how they are received & give us a clearer picture!

*Key Oscar Contenders are bolded, italics + bolded means it has already been at another festival (so Sundance & Cannes + Venice for the Toronto ones pretty much)

Venice Film Festival Line-Up:

Posted by: UltraRedLight Jul 28 2017, 10:01 PM

Also Breathe has been announced as the opening film of the London Film Festival!

Toronto International Film Festival (TIFF):

*Key Oscar Contenders are bolded, italics + bolded means it has already been at another festival (so Sundance & Cannes + Venice for the Toronto ones pretty much)

Toronto Film Festival Line-Up:
Gala Presentation:

Posted by: UltraRedLight Aug 23 2017, 09:00 PM

Mary Magdalene has been pushed to early 2018 so that pretty much removes all chance it had of doing anything at the Oscars. (I didn't think it would anyway but still!)

Posted by: OzmafaRoxok Aug 28 2017, 09:19 PM

Wife and I laughed at Chris Rocks opening. We thought it was funny. After that we went to bed, because the Oscars show itself doesnt interest us.

Posted by: UltraReputation Sep 3 2017, 04:00 PM

omg Best Actress is nightmarishly competitive this year atm!!! Stone & Hawkins are getting raves and Ronan also seems to be getting fab reviews as well.

I'll be starting my new formatted Sam Prediction thread later tonight which will be looking over the Best Picture & 4 acting categories races over the next few months in a new format so get hyped <3

Posted by: Josh! Sep 7 2017, 11:25 AM

Donald Sutherland is to get an Honorary Oscar at the upcoming Oscars ceremony for his services to film.

Very deserving imo, I haven't seen loads of his older films (I thought he was great in Klute and obviously love him in The Hunger Games franchise too) but it's crazy that he's never even been Oscar-nominated before

Posted by: UltraReputation Sep 9 2017, 04:13 PM

cos I still haven't had time to do my in-depth predictions, here are my new category predictions!

Picture:
01) Get Out
02) Darkest Hour
03) Dunkirk
04) Call Me By Your Name
05) Battle Of The Sexes
06) The Shape Of Water
07) The Florida Project
08) The Papers
09) mother!
10) Wonder Wheel

Actor:
01) Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)
02) Jake Gyllenhaal (Stronger)
03) Timothee Chalament (Call Me By Your Name)
04) Christian Bale (Hostiles)
05) Denzel Washington (Roman Israel, Esq)

Actress:
01) Kate Winslet (Wonder Wheel)
02) Emma Stone (Battle Of The Sexes)
03) Meryl Streep (The Post)
04) Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)
05) Jennifer Lawrence (mother!)

Supporting Actor:
01) Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name)
02) Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
03) Ed Harris (mother!)
04) Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name)
05) Christoph Waltz (Downsizing)

Supporting Actress:
01) Michelle Pfeiffer (mother!)
02) Hong Chau (Downsizing)
03) Margot Robbie (Goodbye Christopher Robin)
04) Holly Hunter (The Big Sick)
05) Juno Temple (Wonder Wheel)

I have Lady Bird/Sally Hawkins/Allison Janney all just missing out, I can see them all getting noms but idk who to swap out of their respective categories!

Posted by: Regina Sep 9 2017, 04:20 PM

Best Supporting Actor so going to Sebastian Stan for I. Tonya.

Posted by: Josh! Sep 17 2017, 10:20 PM

After seeing Mother, I don't think it'll be a big awards hit so I'm shaking up my predictions a bit!!

BEST PICTURE
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
The Post
Call Me by Your Name
--------
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Get Out
The Florida Project
Last Flag Flying
Lady Bird

BEST ACTRESS
Kate Winslet -- Wonder Wheel
Meryl Streep -- The Post
Emma Stone -- Battle of the Sexes
Frances McDormand -- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Sally Hawkins -- The Shape of Water

BEST ACTOR
Timothée Chalamet -- Call Me by Your Name
Bryan Cranston -- Last Flag Flying
Daniel Day-Lewis -- Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Film
Gary Oldman -- Darkest Hour
Tom Hanks -- The Post

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Octavia Spencer -- The Shape of Water
Juno Temple -- Wonder Wheel
Laurie Metcalf -- Lady Bird
Melissa Leo -- Novitiate
Hong Chau -- Downsizing

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Armie Hammer -- Call Me by Your Name
Laurence Fishburne -- Last Flag Flying
Willem Dafoe -- The Florida Project
Michael Stuhlbarg -- Call Me by Your Name
Sam Rockwell -- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

BEST DIRECTOR
Luca Guadagnino -- Call Me by Your Name
Christopher Nolan -- Dunkirk
Steven Spielberg -- The Post
Joe Wright -- Darkest Hour
Guillermo del Toro -- The Shape of Water

Posted by: UltraReputation Sep 20 2017, 02:59 PM

Three Billboards won the audience prize at Toronto so that's shot up as a contender now!

Not gonna update my predictions properly but these are what I'd change rn:
Pic: Three Billboards & Lady Bird are in, mother! & Wonder Wheel are out.
(I feel like Battle Of The Sexes getting in will depend on its box office as its meant to be a crowdpleaser so if it does big bucks I think it'll be nominated but if it bombs at the box office then I think it's out, I'm keeping it in for the moment)

Actor: Hanks in, Washington out.
Ik I should've stuck to my gut feeling that Roman Israel was gonna flop, just if I held on a bit longer!

Actress: McDormand in, Lawrence out
Supporting Actor: same atm but I'll probs have Sam Rockwell in soon
Supporting Actress: I rly feel Janney & Maslany will get nominated but idk who to replace! Probs Michelle Pfeiffer & Hong Chau but I'm not gonna change yet!

Posted by: UltraReputation Sep 22 2017, 10:25 PM

I, Tonya is 100% confirmed for this year now, release date is 8th December in America!

Posted by: UltraReputation Sep 24 2017, 02:14 AM

Universal are supposedly pushing IDWLF for an Oscar push in best song Taylor coming for that Oscar <3

Posted by: UltraReputation Sep 26 2017, 09:36 PM

I'll type up the Amazon FYC's in a few days cos there is SO much on there I don't have effort rn but a few key points!!

Last Flag Flying: Carell is sole lead, Cranston/Fishburne in supporting and Cicely Tyson in supporting actress
The Big Sick: Zoe Kazan in lead
Wonderstruck: Oakes Fegley in lead, Millicent Simmonds in supporting actress, no Michelle Williams in either actress category

Posted by: Josh! Sep 27 2017, 07:40 PM

After reading Wonderstruck, Michelle Williams has such a tiny role, she stood no chance at all really. It feels like the film probably won't do well at the awards now anyway but I think Millicent Simmonds looks great so I hope I'm wrong!

Posted by: UltraReputation Sep 27 2017, 07:47 PM

We finally have someone out of the best actress category!!

The wife has been moved to 2018

Posted by: UltraReputation Sep 28 2017, 05:05 PM

Not related to this year but Mary Queen Of Scots has got a November 2018 release date! Margot & Saoirse coming for those Oscars <3

Posted by: UltraReputation Sep 28 2017, 05:19 PM

Also Last Flag Flying seems to be liked but not getting too much love. Not sure if it'll still be a big player or a complete misfire, at this rate from the reviews I think it will only score a couple of noms!

Posted by: UltraReputation Oct 2 2017, 05:54 PM

Some new category campaigners: (cba to update thread rn as too busy, will do it later this week when I have more time!)

Detroit - Algee Smith lead, John Boyega/Will Poulter supporting
Breathe - Claire Foy supporting
Novitiate - Melissa Leo supporting

Also the categories for Last Flag Flying have disappeared, rumours Steve Carell is moving to supporting.

Posted by: Josh! Oct 3 2017, 09:50 AM

Algee Smith was brilliant in Detroit so yay that they've submitted an FYC for him. Will Poulter was utterly terrifying in that film too so I'd love for him to get a nomination. I do feel like film doesn't stand much of a chance at any nominations though as is it seems really forgotten already and we're not even properly into awards season yet.

YAY at Claire Foy going supporting too, she has a good chance of winning their in my opinion. It looks like a very similar role to Alicia Vikander & Viola Davis from the last two years.

Posted by: UltraReputation Oct 6 2017, 05:30 PM

Is it just I Tonya, The Post & PTA film that we are waiting on for trailers for films this Oscar season?

Posted by: UltraReputation Oct 21 2017, 05:37 PM

I know neither nom is probs happening now but Javier Bardem (mother) and Julianne Moore (Suburbicon) have been placed as supporting.

Posted by: UltraReputation Oct 25 2017, 09:10 AM

The 15:17 To Paris (February) and Chappaquiddik (April) are both officially out of the race. Hostiles is in (22nd December).

And Steve Carell has been officially moved to supporting for Battle Of The Sexes.

Posted by: UltraReputation Nov 7 2017, 12:16 AM

Unsurprisingly all the money in the world has had its AFI world premeire pulled.

Posted by: UltraReputation Nov 21 2017, 06:43 PM

Independent Spirit Award Nominations:

Mudbound's Robert Altman Award means it's ineligible for the acting categories/possibly other categories as well I'm not sure! Fab to see The Florida Project, I Tonya & Lady Bird doing really well! Gutted TFP scored no acting noms Also Three Billboards snubbed for Best Pic is a massive shock

edit: Actually all the big contenders seemed to miss something Billboards/ I Tonya best pic, Lady Bird director, CMBYM writing, Florida Project acting! Literally just Get Out seemed to not miss something of the probs Oscar contenders Shape Of Water was also rumoured to be eligible so that's been snubbed everywhere if true!!

Posted by: aDNAn Nov 25 2017, 04:11 AM

if Oscars doesn't acknowledge Francis for 3 Billboards, then I am giving up...best movie of the year for me

Posted by: UltraReputation Dec 5 2017, 07:50 PM

The 20 films in the running for the Visual Effects category at the Oscars have been announced:

“Alien: Covenant”
“Beauty and the Beast”
“Blade Runner 2049
“Dunkirk”
‘‘Ghost in the Shell”
“Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2”
“Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle”
“Justice League”
“Kong: Skull Island”
“Life”
“Logan”
“Ojka”
“Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales”
“The Shape of Water”
“Spider-Man Homecoming”
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi”
“Thor: Ragnarok”
“Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets”
“War for the Planet of the Apes”
“Wonder Woman”

Posted by: UltraReputation Jan 7 2018, 12:44 AM

The PGA announced their nominations a couple of days ago and for the first ever time there are 11 nominees due to a tie for 10th!

Call Me By Your Name
Dunkirk
Get Out
I, Tonya
Lady Bird
Molly's Game
The Big Sick
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards of Ebbing, Missouri
Wonder Woman


Eek at no Florida Project :/ Also Darkest Hour/Phantom Thread were snubbed here. I, Tonya/Molly's Game really seem to be gaining a lot of late buzz, I'm starting to think one of them may break into Best Picture last minute.

My current best picture predictions:
1) Get Out
2) Lady Bird
3) Three Billboards
4) The Shape of Water
5) Dunkirk
^ can't see any of these missing
6) The Post
7) Call Me By Your Name
^ both are probably in but I wouldn't be shocked if either is a massive shock snub
8) The Big Sick -> despite the Globes snub its now turned up at PGA/WGA/SAG
9) The Florida Project -> I think this will pull through just, I can see this having a similar trajectory to Room.
10) I, Tonya

11) Phantom Thread
12) Molly's Game
13) Wonder Woman
14) Darkest Hour
15) Mudbound

Can really see any of these breaking in