Predict ● Where will 'Shout Out To My Ex' chart? |
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Oct 11 2016, 12:48 PM
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#1
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,023 User: 19,931 |
I know, I know...we've not heard the song yet. But these days songs chart on who the artist is just as much as they do how good the song it. What we know... -It's an upbeat, power anthem, which is going to be a huge talking point (already is, to a point) due to the links with Zayn. -It's been compared to Ugly Heart in it's style. -The video is filmed in the Spanish (I think?) desert. -It's by the same people behind Black Magic Little Mix are one of the few acts that can chart high in their first week in the UK right now, but are releasing on Sunday. |
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Oct 11 2016, 01:40 PM
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#2
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,023 User: 19,931 |
I think low top 20 in week 1, if they're lucky. But should climb top 5 in a few weeks, with any luck.
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Oct 11 2016, 01:44 PM
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#3
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 23 December 2010
Posts: 24,411 User: 12,608 |
I went for #11-20 first week climbing to #6-10, although there is a part of me that thinks this could go off the scale and pull in incredible number for a #1 first week debut despite the release date. It is the most hyped release I've seen for a UK act potentially since Adele last year judging by the media coverage (probably forgetting someone obvious - maybe ZAYN but even his hype seemed more confined to the 1D fanbase).
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Oct 11 2016, 01:53 PM
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#4
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,023 User: 19,931 |
I went for #11-20 first week climbing to #6-10, although there is a part of me that thinks this could go off the scale and pull in incredible number for a #1 first week debut despite the release date. It is the most hyped release I've seen for a UK act potentially since Adele last year judging by the media coverage (probably forgetting someone obvious - maybe ZAYN but even his hype seemed more confined to the 1D fanbase). The thing with Little Mix is that they have it both ways. Acts like Bruno Mars/ Weeknd/JT have to ride on the fact that they have huge, but not very loyal CASUAL fanbases. Little Mix, however, have a really big, still growing core fanbase, but are also striking a chord with the general public. Still, though, I don't think streaming will allow them a huge debut. I should have taken the "What will be its chart peak?" question out, the person voting is either confused or a troll. |
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Oct 11 2016, 02:36 PM
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#5
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,023 User: 19,931 |
Added first week sales. I think they can manage about 42k sales, so maybe they will make the top 10 after all.
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Oct 11 2016, 02:58 PM
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#6
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 21 November 2006
Posts: 9,448 User: 2,021 |
I think they'll manage more than 40k first week.
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Oct 11 2016, 04:00 PM
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#7
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you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 121,537 User: 13,530 |
#21-30 week 1 (will be top 10 on sales but it will be without almost 3 full days of streaming, and the rest of the week won't make up for it)
#2-5 final peak 20-40k week 1 sales (closer to 20k) Although I'm really hoping I'm underestimating this! |
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Oct 11 2016, 06:46 PM
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#8
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 5 April 2016
Posts: 875 User: 23,134 |
I went with 2-5 charting before rising to Number 1. I think the amount of hype the song is getting will definitely boost sales and lessen the impact of what is virtually a midweek release
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Oct 12 2016, 07:45 AM
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#9
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,023 User: 19,931 |
Heard about this on the news today, the hype is real!
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Oct 12 2016, 10:26 AM
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#10
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,023 User: 19,931 |
More preddix and discussion please.
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Oct 12 2016, 10:36 AM
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#11
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 21 November 2006
Posts: 9,448 User: 2,021 |
I think they hype is massive for this release. It has been spoken about a lot in the media and it's only going to get bigger as the week goes by.
Streaming is what let them down big time last era so hopefully it will be a little different this time. |
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Oct 12 2016, 12:28 PM
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#12
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 5 April 2016
Posts: 875 User: 23,134 |
With slightly better streaming we would've got four top 10s from the Get Weird era. I kinda like the fact the girls buck the seeming modern trend of getting most of their success through streaming but it's something Mixers do need to get better at
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Oct 14 2016, 01:27 PM
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#13
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 18 February 2016
Posts: 964 User: 22,989 |
Done! Next week: #6-#10
Chart Peak #2-#5 61-100k first week |
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Oct 14 2016, 02:01 PM
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#14
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I found the love, I found the love in me
Pronouns: He/Him
Joined: 13 December 2007 Posts: 87,422 User: 5,042 |
Predixxxx...
#11-#20 #4 21k-40k |
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Oct 16 2016, 10:30 PM
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#15
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,023 User: 19,931 |
Considering how fast it's climbed isn't now up my preddix to low top 10 debut and #1 the week after possibly. Hopefully it doesn't free fall on iTunes.
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Oct 16 2016, 10:53 PM
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#16
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🙄
Joined: 14 February 2010
Posts: 53,654 User: 10,643 |
Considering how fast it's climbed isn't now up my preddix to low top 10 debut and #1 the week after possibly. Hopefully it doesn't free fall on iTunes. I'm predicting a debut of around #8 and it wouldn't surprise me if they were top 3 on sales, possibly top 2. I don't know if number one will be achievable next week as their streaming would have to be huge and in all honesty if Niall struggled to go top 10 immediately, I can see Little Mix doing something similar. I think it will peak top five which is still an incredible achievement. |
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Oct 18 2016, 01:01 PM
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#17
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,023 User: 19,931 |
Seems like a lot of us underestimated this.
It's on 33k after 1 day and 3 hours of sales before yesterday's streaming has even been included. It's going to be #2 minimum, but it's going to put up a good fight with James for that #1. |
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Oct 18 2016, 03:25 PM
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#18
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I found the love, I found the love in me
Pronouns: He/Him
Joined: 13 December 2007 Posts: 87,422 User: 5,042 |
Due to inflation on Thursdays streams etc... I'm gonna be so pissed if they lose out by a ridiculously small amount like less than 3k or something
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Oct 18 2016, 06:06 PM
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#19
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 5 April 2016
Posts: 875 User: 23,134 |
Seems like a lot of us underestimated this. It's on 33k after 1 day and 3 hours of sales before yesterday's streaming has even been included. It's going to be #2 minimum, but it's going to put up a good fight with James for that #1. I think a lot of people (me included) thought it would enter lower because they are basically three days behind everyone else, but it seems like it was actually timed to perfection |
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Oct 18 2016, 06:28 PM
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#20
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,023 User: 19,931 |
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