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 Local by-election results |
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 Jan 26 2018, 02:47 PM
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#1
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 Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364 
 
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This is just informational - make of it what you will :
https://www.aldc.org/category/by-election-results/ There's an archive of them here : http://www.gwydir.demon.co.uk/byelections/ This post has been edited by vidcapper: Jan 26 2018, 02:49 PM |
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Jan 26 2018, 04:31 PM
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#2
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,648 User: 3,272
       
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I'd been thinking about starting a thread for these, but there's been nothing particularly noteworthy so far this year. The Lib Dems will probably be reasonably happy with the IOW result. The parliamentary seat was a very tight Tory - Lib Dem marginal for years, but the Lib Dems were a long way behind even before the coalition years. Therefore, getting over a quarter of the vote in a ward where they haven't put up a candidate for a decade or so - and in a heavy Leave-voting area - has to count as a reasonable result.
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Jan 26 2018, 04:33 PM
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#3
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,648 User: 3,272
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http://britainelects.com has fairly comprehensive previews of each week's by-elections.
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Feb 1 2018, 11:51 PM
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#4
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,648 User: 3,272
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The Lib Dems have come from a very distant fourth to win a seat in Sunderland. They got just 91 votes (under 5%) in May 2016, but got over half the vote this time in a five-way contest.
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Feb 2 2018, 06:27 AM
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#5
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ Feb 1 2018, 11:51 PM)  The Lib Dems have come from a very distant fourth to win a seat in Sunderland. They got just 91 votes (under 5%) in May 2016, but got over half the vote this time in a five-way contest. I'm always amazed at how volatile local election results can be - I suspect there were specific factors in the above turnaround, though. |
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Feb 2 2018, 11:14 AM
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#6
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,648 User: 3,272
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In yesterday's other contest, Labour comfortably held a seat in Falmouth.
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Feb 2 2018, 11:39 AM
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#7
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,648 User: 3,272
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Feb 2 2018, 06:27 AM) I'm always amazed at how volatile local election results can be - I suspect there were specific factors in the above turnaround, though. There is normally something specific to explain extreme turnarounds such as this, but I haven't found any explanation for this yet. The Lib Dems had never done well in the ward before. Their previous best result was a distant second in 2006. The previous Labour councillor (who happened to be Lauren Laverne's uncle) died, so the reason for the by-election doesn't provide an explanation either. The Lib Dems had an equally unexpected win in an other Sunderland seat in January last year |
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Feb 9 2018, 11:56 AM
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#8
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,648 User: 3,272
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Nothing particularly remarkable in this week's contests. The Tories gained a seat from an independent in Weymouth. There was no independent candidate this time and the Tories won by just eight votes over Labour.
One of the contests was in Staffordshire where the Tory resigned having only won the seat in a by-election in September The Tories still managed to win. They also successfully defended a seat where they had won unopposed since at least 1999. UKIP only contested one seat and saw their vote almost disappear. The Greens had a couple half-decent results against the general trend. The Lib Dems had no realistic hopes of winning any of the contests and duly didn't come close anywhere. |
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Feb 10 2018, 09:57 AM
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#9
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 18 July 2012
Posts: 22,798 User: 17,376
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candidates can affect local result, if I can state the obvious. A young independent had a narrow win in the Bournemouth ward where the previous long-serving candidate had retired to live in Spain (who can blame her) as he had her full support and she was well-regarded. That leaves 2 independents, one green and a swarm of Tories running the Council ahead of their forthcoming mass deletion on joining with Tory Poole and Tory Christchurch (assuming Javid gives the order against local opinion on the grounds that Christchurch isnt big enough to go it alone and Dorset CC doesnt want them - who would, the elderly care bill is enormous?!).
Oh yes, and by the by, huge swarms of experienced Council staff are also getting the early nod to abandon ship (and not be replaced). This will be the final swathe of local Council cutbacks ever as there is nothing left to cut short of ceasing even more Council functions than have already gone. Public toilets outside the Town centre and Seafront? Thing of the past, that's taking the piss literally.... |
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Feb 10 2018, 10:25 AM
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#10
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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QUOTE(Popchartfreak @ Feb 10 2018, 09:57 AM) Oh yes, and by the by, huge swarms of experienced Council staff are also getting the early nod to abandon ship (and not be replaced). This will be the final swathe of local Council cutbacks ever as there is nothing left to cut short of ceasing even more Council functions than have already gone. Public toilets outside the Town centre and Seafront? Thing of the past, that's taking the piss literally.... I guess they expect people to just piss straight into the sea? 
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Feb 16 2018, 09:21 PM
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#11
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,648 User: 3,272
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There were 14 local by-elections yesterday; the Tories were defending seven, Labour four, UKIP, SNP and Residents Association one each.
The Tories won the UKIP seat on Tendring council (basically Clacton, Essex) with UKIP finishing sixth. Independents came second and third in that contest. UKIP won 22 seats at the last election, just one behind the Tories. However, following a lot of defections, they now have only eight. In a seat in Cameron's old seat of Witney the Tories were defending a seat they had won comfortably in every election this century with the exception of 2007 when the Lib Dems won by one vote. The Tories won that seat comfortably with the Lib Dems regaining second place. In North Norfolk the Lib Dems won back a seat they lost to the Tories in 2015, It had previously been Lib Dem since at least 2003, but generally by fairly small majorities.The Lib Dems won easily yesterday with over 70% of the vote in a three-way contest. There were two contests in Teignbridge in Devon with the Tories defending both of them. One of the seats had generally elected independent candidates until the Tories started winning it. Labour won it once (in 1995) and the Lib Dems won a by-election there in December 2016 having finished last in the previous full elections. The Lib Dems won again yesterday with a small majority. In the other seat, a Tory / Lib Dem marginal for some time, the Lib Dems got over 70% of the vote in a straight fight against the Tories. The Tory majority on the council is now down to four. The defending party won all the other contests with the Lib Dems seeing a big increase in their vote in a couple of them. |
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Mar 9 2018, 12:15 AM
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#12
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#38BBE0 otherwise known as 'sky blue'
Joined: 27 October 2008
Posts: 16,168 User: 7,561
  
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Conservatives were contesting in five by-elections today.
They lost every single one!!  Lib Dems absolutely smashed it in Northchurch too... LDEM: 59.2% (+40.4) CON: 28.2% (-32.1) LAB: 10.5% (-1.7) GRN: 2.1% (-6.6) LDem GAIN from Con. This post has been edited by Doctor Blind: Mar 9 2018, 12:18 AM |
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Mar 9 2018, 12:30 AM
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#13
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,648 User: 3,272
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Do you know why there was such a massive swing?
The Tories gained two seats from the Lib Dems in Dorset two weeks ago, Both by-elections were due to the resignation of the same councillor. She clearly had a large personal vote as she had easily outpolled fellow Lib Dems in the same seats. In the same week the lib Dems gained a seat from the Tories. There were no particularly remarkable results last week. |
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Mar 9 2018, 03:43 PM
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#14
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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QUOTE(Doctor Blind @ Mar 9 2018, 12:15 AM) Conservatives were contesting in five by-elections today. They lost every single one!! Actually, they were contesting 8. |
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Mar 9 2018, 03:55 PM
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#15
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#38BBE0 otherwise known as 'sky blue'
Joined: 27 October 2008
Posts: 16,168 User: 7,561
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Mar 9 2018, 03:43 PM) Actually, they were contesting 8. Yes, sorry - I should have said 'defending'. |
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Aug 17 2018, 05:45 PM
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#16
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,648 User: 3,272
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Two moderately interesting results yesterday plus a very boring one.
First, the dull one. In Bury (the one in Greater Manchester) Labour comfortably held a seat they have won fairly easily for several years. Of more interest, the Lib Dems gained a seat from the Tories in Harrogate. Despite there being no UKIP candidate this time, Labour and the Tories both lost vote share. This was in a constituency that voted 58% Leave (although, obviously, I have no data for this particular ward). Finally, there was a by-election in Wales which was easily won (from Labour) by an independent who used to be a Labour councillor. I'm sure the fact that the Labour candidate was from Surrey didn't exactly help in Port Talbot. Anyway, the biggest laugh is reserved for the Tory candidate who got four votes. |
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Aug 17 2018, 07:47 PM
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#17
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 18 July 2012
Posts: 22,798 User: 17,376
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QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ Aug 17 2018, 06:45 PM) Two moderately interesting results yesterday plus a very boring one. First, the dull one. In Bury (the one in Greater Manchester) Labour comfortably held a seat they have won fairly easily for several years. Of more interest, the Lib Dems gained a seat from the Tories in Harrogate. Despite there being no UKIP candidate this time, Labour and the Tories both lost vote share. This was in a constituency that voted 58% Leave (although, obviously, I have no data for this particular ward). Finally, there was a by-election in Wales which was easily won (from Labour) by an independent who used to be a Labour councillor. I'm sure the fact that the Labour candidate was from Surrey didn't exactly help in Port Talbot. Anyway, the biggest laugh is reserved for the Tory candidate who got four votes. was that a Tory Port Talbot improvement?  That should mean his family voted for him or her at least...
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Aug 17 2018, 08:26 PM
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#18
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,648 User: 3,272
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QUOTE(Popchartfreak @ Aug 17 2018, 08:47 PM) was that a Tory Port Talbot improvement? That should mean his family voted for him or her at least... Technically, yes. There wasn't a Tory candidate last time I have seen a suggestion that there were five members of the candidate's family (including herself) in the ward but that is unconfirmed. It still means that at least six people signed her nomination form but did not vote for her.
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Aug 18 2018, 08:40 AM
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#19
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 18 July 2012
Posts: 22,798 User: 17,376
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QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ Aug 17 2018, 09:26 PM) Technically, yes. There wasn't a Tory candidate last time I have seen a suggestion that there were five members of the candidate's family (including herself) in the ward but that is unconfirmed. It still means that at least six people signed her nomination form but did not vote for her.when even your friends wont vote for you.....! Ouch! (I mean I would give a personal vote to a friend who I respected to do a good job even if I have differences over politics.) |
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Oct 25 2018, 07:40 AM
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#20
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,648 User: 3,272
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There are ten contests today. Many of them are in safe Labour or Tory seats but there are a couple clos Tory / Lib Dem contests and a potentially close Tory / Labour one.
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