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Predict: One I've Been Missing
Where will it debut?
#1 [ 0 ] ** [0.00%]
Top 5 [ 1 ] ** [3.12%]
Top 10 [ 2 ] ** [6.25%]
Top 20 [ 8 ] ** [25.00%]
Top 30 [ 6 ] ** [18.75%]
Top 40 [ 8 ] ** [25.00%]
40+ [ 7 ] ** [21.88%]
Where will it peak?
#1 [ 0 ] ** [0.00%]
Top 5 [ 8 ] ** [25.00%]
Top 10 [ 10 ] ** [31.25%]
Top 20 [ 8 ] ** [25.00%]
Top 30 [ 2 ] ** [6.25%]
Top 40 [ 2 ] ** [6.25%]
40+ [ 2 ] ** [6.25%]
Total Votes: 33
  
Defaze
post Nov 19 2019, 03:29 PM
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So what do we reckon? I'm having a hard time calling it. There haven't been many recent Christmas songs that have smashed out of the gate, with the exception of 'One More Sleep', and even that was in the pre-streaming era. All the classics being on ACR will definitely help its cause, but imo its success is going to be very heavily reliant on whether or not it manages to feature on the relevant Xmas Spotify playlists. I'm going to go for a top 40 debut and an eventual top 15 peak. Probably a bit conservative, but it's still a bit early for a festive track, and 'Bounce Back' hardly set the charts alight.
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caseclosed
post Nov 19 2019, 03:45 PM
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Top 20 debut

Top 10 peak

Don’t want to be optimistic considering their hype has been hindered by Bounce Back and Think About Us...
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danG
post Nov 19 2019, 04:03 PM
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Before hearing it I'd predict

#25 debut
#8 peak

provided the song gets a good push
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Jessie Where
post Nov 19 2019, 04:33 PM
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This one's hard to call, I'd have been more confident of its chances when their career was in a stronger position a year ago or before.

I'm gonna go with a #33 debut and a #22 peak, but it could go either way really.
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Tafty³³³
post Nov 19 2019, 06:23 PM
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I voted debut top 40 (somewhere in the 33-40 region) for the same reasons as you, Defaze.

I, optimisticly, voted Top 10 for eventual peak. But we shall see!
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-Jay-
post Nov 19 2019, 06:27 PM
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No idea, but I'll randomly go with top 40 debut and top 20 peak!
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LewisGT
post Nov 19 2019, 06:34 PM
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If the Katy Perry Christmas song last year got to 23 being an Amazon exclusive, then surely this is a guaranteed top 10 with some decent playlist support. Could even get top 3-5 with a TV performance.
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Defaze
post Nov 19 2019, 07:08 PM
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QUOTE(LewisGT @ Nov 19 2019, 06:34 PM) *
If the Katy Perry Christmas song last year got to 23 being an Amazon exclusive, then surely this is a guaranteed top 10 with some decent playlist support. Could even get top 3-5 with a TV performance.

I genuinely forgot all about Cozy Little Christmas. laugh.gif Definitely serves as a good omen for this then.
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Frenchie
post Nov 19 2019, 07:09 PM
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So hard to know. I went for debut top 40 and peak top 20. It all depends wether it will be on the Christmas playlists.
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JulianNial
post Nov 19 2019, 09:48 PM
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In the end it all depends on radio support, if they hammer it hard then top 5 could happen, but top 10 is most likely. If they don't get those plays, then top 20 is easy for them.
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pippa
post Nov 19 2019, 10:08 PM
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Top 40 debut
Top 30 peak huh.gif
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Anita Hanjaab
post Nov 20 2019, 05:03 PM
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Here it is - the prediction of the ONLY person on the website to CORRECTLY predict where LM5 loool that name though!!! AND Woman Like Me would enter AND predict Bounce Flop's flop, as all y'all were screaming about no.1 peaks lololol.

So:

Debut: outside top 40
Peak: outside top 40

You heard it here first. They will chart lower than the background music of Home Alone come Xmas week. This is quite possibly their last ever single.
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Tafty³³³
post Nov 20 2019, 08:12 PM
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QUOTE(Big Boobs Vjay! @ Nov 20 2019, 05:03 PM) *
Here it is - the prediction of the ONLY person on the website to CORRECTLY predict where LM5 loool that name though!!! AND Woman Like Me would enter AND predict Bounce Flop's flop, as all y'all were screaming about no.1 peaks lololol.

So:

Debut: outside top 40
Peak: outside top 40

You heard it here first. They will chart lower than the background music of Home Alone come Xmas week. This is quite possibly their last ever single.
And this is quite possibly your last ever post in the LM forum.

Bye.

---

(P.s. to everyone else who thinks they genuinely will debut and peak outside the top 40 - thank you for your valuable vote. This one though... nah.)
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Anita Hanjaab
post Nov 20 2019, 08:22 PM
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I'm gonna quote you on that come Xmas week and I've been proved right once again x I have a better predictions track record than anyone in here.
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shindymindy
post Nov 20 2019, 10:29 PM
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No one likes you - bore off!
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Tafty³³³
post Nov 21 2019, 12:31 AM
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You predicted Woman Like Me to "Flop.". It didn't.
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Anita Hanjaab
post Nov 21 2019, 12:53 AM
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It flopped. If there are massive discussions on the biggest fan bit of the seet aboot if something flopped or not it probably did laugh.gif
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Padamic Tension
post Nov 21 2019, 01:07 AM
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Top 50ish debut, if they promote they might manage top 20.
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Tafty³³³
post Nov 21 2019, 01:26 AM
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QUOTE(Big Boobs Vjay! @ Nov 21 2019, 12:53 AM) *
It flopped. If there are massive discussions on the biggest fan bit of the seet aboot if something flopped or not it probably did laugh.gif
It didn't. It literally spent 5 weeks top 3 and has chart 'sales' of 785k.

But if that's what constitutes as a flop to you, then I guess you do you x
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Tafty³³³
post Nov 21 2019, 11:12 AM
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So I'm thinking I'm gonna revise my opening predictions... Mabel is releasing a Christmas song tomorrow, has instant Capital support and will no doubt be a LOT higher on Spotify playlists..

f*** this tbh. 😫
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