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Posted by: BlazingLovatic Nov 5 2014, 11:59 PM

She's releasing 10th November following the (likely) back-to-back #1 singles Crazy Stupid Love & I Don't Care

Posted by: Envoirment Nov 6 2014, 12:10 AM

I'm going to go with 41-45k. I can't see her doing much more than A Million Lights (that sold 35k in its first week I believe) given that it was released after "Call My Name" which was a much bigger hit than both "Crazy Stupid Love" & "I Don't Care".

Posted by: Carlos V Nov 6 2014, 01:04 AM

Between 30,000 and 35,000. Although I could be overstimating her sales.

Posted by: MrIndependent Nov 6 2014, 01:42 AM

41-45k and a #5 or #6 debut. Pink Floyd, Foo Fighters, Queen and Ed Sheeran will all outsell her, and I wouldn't put it past Sam Smith to outsell her as well after his X Factor performance on Sunday night.

Posted by: gavindeejay Nov 6 2014, 07:53 AM

She's not a big album seller, so I'm gonna go with 40k tops.

Posted by: Veis Nov 6 2014, 08:05 AM

I think she will have something around 40k-50k.

Posted by: truly talented Nov 6 2014, 08:15 AM

30-35k

Posted by: April Nov 6 2014, 08:58 AM

31-35k with a #3 or #4 debut.

Posted by: jay727 Nov 6 2014, 09:35 AM

30k I think

Posted by: MrIndependent Nov 6 2014, 10:48 AM

4 people predicting 21-30k... The album is doomed for eternity if it sells 30,000 or less. DOOMED.

Posted by: krissykins Nov 6 2014, 12:08 PM

She was at one point:

3 Words 1,000,000
Messy Little Raindrops 500,000
A Million Lights 100,000

I'm guessing 40-50k first week.

Posted by: slowdown73 Nov 6 2014, 12:16 PM

50k maximum in first week. Her last album barely sold 100k in total and album sales have been in decline since then.

Posted by: truly talented Nov 6 2014, 12:42 PM

Even with her high profile on X Factor I'm not sure this album can achieve platinum sales.

Posted by: Mango Nov 6 2014, 12:51 PM

Did 'Million Lights' really only open with 35k? I thought it was more than that. Should have been more, it's actually one of the best pop albums of recent years. I really can't see 'Only Human' doing much tbh, it will be lucky to match 35k.

Posted by: -Jay- Nov 6 2014, 04:15 PM

Are people taking into account that 'A Million Lights' was released in Q2 (June 2012)? Sales are usually much lower at that time of year than in Q4. In fact that album was the third best selling June release of 2012, but only the 103rd best selling album of the year overall, so that shows what a low selling month June was that year for new releases.

Her prior two albums were released in Q4. I'd be surprised if 'Only Human' sold less in its first week than 'A Million Lights', but I guess we shall see. People here have underestimated how she'd do with 'Crazy Stupid Love' and 'I Don't Care', so perhaps she could surprise us with her new album. I'm hopeful for 50k+.

Posted by: Hayzayy Nov 6 2014, 04:24 PM

I have low expectations for the album sadly, the market is so competitivite lately, but as you say we could be surprised.

Posted by: Ryan. Nov 6 2014, 04:26 PM

I'd only predict around 25k for this I think.

Posted by: SLlewellyn Nov 8 2014, 12:01 AM

I'm going with 41-45k - with sales picking up a tad in the run up to Christmas and promotion from X-Factor, if she couldn't sell that at the least I'd be quite embarrassed.

Posted by: MrIndependent Nov 8 2014, 01:17 PM

I know that this might seem like a strange comparison, but I'm just noticing its iTunes and Amazon positions in relation with where Calvin Harris's album was at this point lask week:

Motion was #14 on iTunes; Only Human is currently #66 (it was in the late 20s earlier in the week following the releases of the promo singles). Motion was in the 40s on Amazon; Only Human is #77 at the moment.

Based on this it's not looking likely that she will sell 40k, which is about what Calvin will do this week.

Once again, I know that Calvin and Cheryl cater to different audiences, but as both are seemingly underperforming it's perhaps something to take into account.