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 How long will Liz last as PM |
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 29th September 2022, 05:51 PM
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#1
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 🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,564 User: 11,746 
              
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Liz’s premiership seems to have gone off to a disastrous start
seems unlikely at this point that she will last for as long as Boris and Theresa beforehand when do we reckon her time is up? I reckon Rishi or Boris will be back by this time next year, so I guess 6-9 months. |
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29th September 2022, 06:29 PM
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#2
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 BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 21 February 2021
Posts: 3,554 User: 124,514
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Feb 2022 latest. Won't survive the winter of discontent
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29th September 2022, 06:31 PM
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#3
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Radical Pink Troll
Joined: 11 March 2006
Posts: 26,599 User: 177
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I can’t decide between not long or too long or both. She’s lucky the Queen died when she did.
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29th September 2022, 06:46 PM
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#4
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 Break the tension
Joined: 7 March 2006
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Less than 6 months, until soon after the new year.
Boris absolutely will not be back, that is total delusion. |
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29th September 2022, 06:59 PM
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#5
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 The owls are not what they seem
Pronouns: He/him
Joined: 11 July 2009 Posts: 37,120 User: 9,232
    
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I've said 6 months just cos it's pretty unpredecented otherwise, but I may well be being generous at this rate! Not a chance she's making the next election.
Boris will try again, I'm sure and they are scummy enough to actually bring him back despite all he did, but I like to think it won't work this time as he's too divisive in his party and lost public support, they'll probably default to Sunak, but the writing's on the wall. |
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29th September 2022, 07:15 PM
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#6
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 4 April 2015
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If there was an option in between 12 months - 2 years I would have voted for that. I went for 2 years in that case, when the next general election takes place.
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29th September 2022, 08:10 PM
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#7
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WINTER IS COMING
Joined: 7 March 2006
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I think a lot will depend on the conference this week, would suggest if any of you live in Tory constituencies you just start bombarding your MP. The MPs know they are toast on fighting a losing battle you'd think, but if she does go then it would be through a general election - I can't see how they could survive changing leader again without a general election and if that happened they would get floored. Right now she is completely fuked.
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 29th September 2022, 10:20 PM
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#8
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Nah.
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 15,566 User: 27
 
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Compared to the last (and only prior) Norfolk MP to be PM, I think this might be one of the shorter stints as PM that we have seen. 3-6 months here.
The other Norfolk MP to be PM (generally regarded as the first PM) was Robert Walpole who lasted just over 20 years. This was back in the 18th century. |
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29th September 2022, 10:47 PM
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#9
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Brown cow, stunning!
Joined: 7 December 2009
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I’d be astounded if she lasted until too far into 2023 at this rate.
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29th September 2022, 11:40 PM
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#10
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 I'm a paragon so don't perceive me
Joined: 3 February 2011
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6 months as a conservative guess!!!
If she doesn't back down on her tax cuts after the IMF have stepped in, I wouldn't be surprised if she really doesn't make it to New Year. |
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30th September 2022, 12:39 AM
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#11
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 21 November 2009
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I have a feeling she'll have a short stay to be replaced by Rishi who will then usher in a big budget reversing a lot of the major bad things Liz has done in her current budget - whilst quietly keeping all the planned cuts. I'd expect him to reverse tax cuts, perhaps even raise taxes slightly, whilst slashing public services. Essentially austerity in all but name.
This post has been edited by Envoirment: 30th September 2022, 12:40 AM |
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30th September 2022, 09:38 AM
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#12
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 22 September 2022
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Question is who will replace her? There is no way Boris will come back. I can’t see Truss lasting long if the economy continues to deteriorate. I think we’ll end up with a general election.
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30th September 2022, 10:14 AM
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#13
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 Why don’t you say so?
Joined: 11 October 2009
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6 months I think. I think there will be a general election in 2023 instead 2024.
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30th September 2022, 07:04 PM
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#14
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Queen of Soon
Joined: 24 May 2007
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There’s a lot of talk of letters flooding in. She might not even make it to November
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30th September 2022, 07:13 PM
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#15
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 21 February 2021
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I heard that the Tory rules prevent a new leader from being officially challenged in their first year but it would be symbolic. Heard rumours that some Tory MPs will vote with Labour to defeat the budget - although they tend to be spineless group so wouldn't necessarily count on it. But there will be immense pressure on them anyhow.
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30th September 2022, 08:43 PM
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#16
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
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QUOTE(Smint @ Sep 30 2022, 08:13 PM)  I heard that the Tory rules prevent a new leader from being officially challenged in their first year but it would be symbolic. Heard rumours that some Tory MPs will vote with Labour to defeat the budget - although they tend to be spineless group so wouldn't necessarily count on it. But there will be immense pressure on them anyhow. Current rules do prevent a contest until next September. However, those rules can be changed very easily. |
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20th October 2022, 01:07 PM
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#17
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🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,564 User: 11,746
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final results
How long will she be leader 3 months [ 5 ] ** [17.24%] 6 months [ 11 ] ** [37.93%] 12 months [ 5 ] ** [17.24%] 2 years [ 5 ] ** [17.24%] 3 years + [ 3 ] ** [10.34%] Total Votes: 31 well done to the five of you who predicted three months although as it turns out she didn’t even make it that far. Silas was really bang on the money especially. |
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20th October 2022, 01:29 PM
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#18
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Queen of Soon
Joined: 24 May 2007
Posts: 74,081 User: 3,474
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Yaaaaaaas!!! Claiming this victory
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20th October 2022, 01:31 PM
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#19
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 4 November 2013
Posts: 30,531 User: 20,053
 
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But she still spanned 2 monarchs!
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20th October 2022, 05:32 PM
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#20
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Radical Pink Troll
Joined: 11 March 2006
Posts: 26,599 User: 177
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Well this was an optimistic poll.
I think I chose 3 months because I honestly felt she wouldn’t be able to do the job. |
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