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Posted by: dancemberlexa 14th December 2020, 08:26 PM

Is Tay Tay going to do a 3rd surprise album?
Will Adele and Rihanna ever come back?
Will the OCC cancel Christmas?
Will Blinding Lights ever leave the chart?
Who else do you predict to have a good year and who will flop?

Gogogo

2020 Predictions analysis by Bré http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?s=&showtopic=229018&view=findpost&p=6605607.

Posted by: Rob S Claus 14th December 2020, 08:34 PM

Adele is more likely than Rihanna I think but both are well overdue.

Billie, Ariana, 24kGLDN will continue to have a great year and I'd like Paolo Nutini to return even if he is past the days of getting close to top 40 again.

Posted by: Bjork 14th December 2020, 08:36 PM

was just reading about Taylor's 3rd album apparently titled Woodvale

sure Rihanna is coming in 2021 and Adele sure too

Posted by: SmileyKylie 14th December 2020, 08:43 PM

Kylie Minogue to have a top 40 single again

Disco to return to number 1 with a remixed version on a quiet week

Posted by: Liam.k. 14th December 2020, 08:45 PM

I'll bet that Ariana will release another album before either of them.

Posted by: Slade 14th December 2020, 08:47 PM

I agree that this should be another good year for Ariana - with '34+35' re-peaking in the top 3 somewhere and perhaps 'pov' becoming a top 5 hit too with a proper push. She stuck to a 3 single run for both 'sweetener' and 'thank u, next' so I won't be surprised if she stops at that again.

Manifesting a Lorde return in 2021 also

Posted by: dancemberlexa 14th December 2020, 09:02 PM

To answer my own questions:
I think we will get an Adele album in Q4 next year (we would've this year if it weren't for that pesky covid) but Rihanna probably not sadly.
I've read theories that Taylor has been hinting at a 3rd surprise album too so I think that'll probably be happening to complete a trilogy of folky albums.
Blinding Lights will probably stay in the chart all year. Christmas most likely won't get cancelled despite the mass takeover this year.

Posted by: Joulupukki 14th December 2020, 09:14 PM

Rihanna could come back collaborating with Justin Bieber or someone else, hmm.... Ariana Grande.... Taylor Swift.

Hoping an Indie band will make a big comeback. I love to see more Indie music back in the singles chart realistically at #1

Posted by: T Boy 14th December 2020, 09:17 PM

Hopefully Arctic Monkeys will have a new album.

Posted by: FestiveOdyssey 14th December 2020, 09:19 PM

They were supposed to be recording this year before covid hit :/

Posted by: Bjork 14th December 2020, 09:26 PM

but why you all think Rihanna won't happen?

Posted by: awardimerry 14th December 2020, 09:45 PM

Rag’N’Bone Man to return with a new album and of course a couple of Top 40 singles.

Joel Corry to release a single with Becky Hill as vocalist.

Clean Bandit to get a #1 single once in the year with a big song.

Calvin Harris to continue another few tracks on his Love Regenerator project.

The 1975 to release a new #1 album.

Posted by: Better Man 14th December 2020, 10:29 PM

New albums from Arctic Monkeys, Coldplay, Adele, The Killers (yes, one more).
Rob S Claus, thank you! Yes, new Paolo Nutini's LP
No tours.
14th Number 1 for RW.
ABBA releases a single.
Coldplay single for Olympics 2021.
BRITs for Harry Styles

Maybe Scissor Sisters'c comeback...

Posted by: Christmasteve201 14th December 2020, 10:36 PM

I hope Calvin returns to his dance floor bangers!

Posted by: FestiveOdyssey 14th December 2020, 10:37 PM

I don't think Coldplay will do a single for the Tokyo Olympics?

Posted by: Road Salt Mixer 14th December 2020, 10:40 PM

He already has with his Love Regenerator project but none of them have become hits sadly.

Posted by: Houdini 14th December 2020, 10:43 PM

My predictions:

Ariana Grande's song about oral sex will be the 1st new #1 of 2021

Grime/UK hip hop music will continue to dominate the chart

Rihanna wont bring out a new album

The charts will become even harder to understand than it already is

The year end #1 for 2021 will be a song that is at the top of the weekly charts during February or March

Little Mix will retire/disband/go on hiatus completely

It will be December 2021 when you read this after totally forgetting it ever existed!

Posted by: Christmasteve201 14th December 2020, 10:52 PM

I didn’t find any of them of the same quality or commercial sound his huge 2019 hits had!

Posted by: diva thin muffin 14th December 2020, 11:29 PM

Just shooting completely in the dark here.

A big current-ish name in the music business will die.

Florence releases a new album.

A country that hasn't won Eurovision before wins in 2021.

Beyoncé releases a hit single.

Adele releases her next album and it's a massive one yet again.

The biggest selling song of the year will be one that was released in 2020.

A random name that hasn't been heard from since the late 2000s or early 2010s will return with a massive hit.

The Eurovision movie soundtrack wins the Grammy award it was nominated for.

Posted by: FestiveOdyssey 14th December 2020, 11:32 PM

Another Eurovision song will go top 40

The Lathums and The Snuts' debut albums go to #1 before falling a bit (more likely The Snuts will get to the top)

Michael Ball & Alfie Boe release another #1 album

Yungblud gets another top 40 single

Sam Fender gets a high selling #1 second album and a top 40 single

Example will have a top 100 single

N-Dubz will get back together with limited success

JLS have a high selling comeback album and a top 20 single

Posted by: Road Salt Mixer 14th December 2020, 11:34 PM

'Hypnagogic' for quality?!

You are right in that they haven't been as commercial but some less commercial sounding dance has made the charts even a year or so ago like Camelphat and Endor. Not so much any more sadly though.

Posted by: Mack'sXmasSack 14th December 2020, 11:53 PM

Ed Sheeran releases a new album
Rihanna collaborates with Ariana Grande in her lead single from her new album
Drill and rap remain high in the charts
Some 'Lil' rapper has a Top 40 hit
Three Lions re-enters the chart after England's brave last 16 defeat.
'Rhythm Is A Dancer' gets covered and becomes a summer hit.
Kygo collaborates with Jennifer Rush in 'The Power of Love'.
Drake releases another mixtape.
JLS return and have a #39 single.

Posted by: Christmasteve201 15th December 2020, 12:03 AM

I predict an Ed vs Adele Q4 battle next November, the music industry would have a melt down

Posted by: FestiveOdyssey 15th December 2020, 12:14 AM

A few people saying grime will stay dominant next year... when was the last actual grime hit?

Posted by: Michael Bubré 15th December 2020, 12:28 AM

I'm surprised people haven't at least updated to calling all British rap music 'drill'. That'd still be reductive and incorrect but much more accurate than continuing to refer to it as 'grime'. xxx

Posted by: Tawdry Hepburn 15th December 2020, 12:32 AM

Because we've thought it will happen every year and it never comes?

Posted by: Bjork 15th December 2020, 07:31 AM

I really think Rihanna will come back in Q1 2021

another one that should come back is George Ezra, he cannot leave it too long

and I guess Lewis Capaldi will come back with all the guns probably with a new single in Q2/Q3 I guess, would be extra interesting if he clashes with Ed Sheeran

Posted by: ts7sfkptm 15th December 2020, 10:43 AM

Ed Sheeran and Adele the obvious big comebacks I suppose, maybe Rihanna? Nobody knows with her
Taylor's re-recordings are probably happening at some point in the year, it'll be interesting to see how they do.
and I saw someone mention ABBA's singles, let's hope they're finally coming

Posted by: gavindeejay 15th December 2020, 11:16 AM

- Foo Fighters will have the highest first week sales of Q1 in the album chart with 'Medicine At Midnight'
- You Me At Six to score an easy Number 1 album on low sales
- Joel Corry to score an easy Top 5 hit with a January release of his next single, maybe Number 1 depending on the feature
- Tiesto to have another random Top 10 hit in the summer
- Calvin Harris gives in and puts out some commercial bangers under his own name which will get him at least 1 Number 1 single

Posted by: elf 15th December 2020, 11:23 AM

Joel x Jess coming for 10 weeks at #1

Posted by: gavindeejay 15th December 2020, 11:34 AM

Oh yes I forgot about that, Jess Glynne to comeback with a new album.

Posted by: Dobby Helms 15th December 2020, 11:37 AM

Major Lazer score another #1

Posted by: FestiveOdyssey 15th December 2020, 11:38 AM

George Ezra's heavily hinted towards new music next year which is good. Lewis Capaldi's confirmed, as did Ed Sheeran's manager a few months ago

Posted by: Frenchie 15th December 2020, 11:41 AM

The thought of new albums from Adele, Ed Sheeran, George Ezra, Lewis Capaldi and Rihanna all in one year is kinda crazy. Might actually see some half good end of year album sales again.

Posted by: Christmas WAPing 15th December 2020, 12:00 PM

- Little Mix finally split from all of the in-fighting that has been RIFE since the split with 6th member, Simon Cowell

- Ed Sheeran and Adele return at the same time, and Adele's new era is MUCH smaller than her first two. She will be around Ellie Goulding, Burn era, size rather than Adeling or Beyonceing up the charts. Thete will be a lot of jealousy about her weight loss, ala Victoria Beckham, cauisng a massive sales decline, coupled with people having moved on from her music AND not wanting ballads in a year after a pandemic. Ed will officially become the biggest (and shittest/ most contrived) act in the world.

- People might finally accept that Rihanna has retired from music

- Britney will be forced to release morw robotic dance by her father, but the fans will FINALLY be wise to the fact that she has not been a singer since 2007 and will not buy into it.

- GaGa will release an awful song from Chromatica instead of Alice

- Taylor Swift will release a 3rd folksy album of diminishing quality and returns

- Ariana G will get the first post-Xmas no.1

- LadBaby will release another awful Christmas no.1

- Alexa will continue to stomp around like Caesar at Christmas

- Kylie will have a no.1 disco album

- Sophie Ellis Bexter will continue with her iamspamspamamidisco-style Instagram concerts and maybe start charging for online 1 hour-long concerts

-Men will continue to dominate the charts and streaming

- Talentless "rapper" Drake will already have sweatshopped his producers and writers in their studio tents to create "his" next album. People will hammer his maudlin beats.

- Pop Brat Justin Bibber will continue to struggle to stay relevant, even coming off his victory over LadBaby with thr NHs Choir song.

Posted by: davidas 15th December 2020, 12:52 PM

- Adele will have the biggest album of the year by an absolute mile.
- Ed Sheeran will release an album, but will be less successful than his previous releases.
- Gaga will release a reissue of Chromatica, with a few new songs that will have moderate success.
- Little Mix will announce they are splitting up for good early next year, followed by a solo single from Perrie towards the end of the year that will flop hard.
- Jess Glynne will release her new album mid way through the year that will have moderate success, but unlike her first album.
- Taylor will release a 3rd album that will continue from Folklore & Evermore and it will give Taylor her 7th number one album, however she will still be unable to secure a second #1 single.
- Ariana Grande will be involved in a surprise collaboration, which will be huge and give Ari her 8th/9th number one.
- Cardi B will release her second album and it will be one of the biggest albums of the year.
- Rihanna won't release anything and her fans will have a meltdown.
- Beyonce will release a surprise visual album towards the end of 2021 and it will be a big seller towards Xmas.

Posted by: dancemberlexa 15th December 2020, 12:56 PM

Kendrick Lamar will come back and have one of the biggest rap albums of the year getting a us number one hit but only managing low top 10 in the uk.
we may finally get something from Bruno Mars again although I wouldn’t be mad if he continued to stay on hiatus.

Posted by: Bjork 15th December 2020, 12:58 PM

it's true what happened to Bruno Mars? had totally forgot about him

Posted by: Mr. C. Joel 15th December 2020, 01:07 PM

Jesy ends up missing Little Mix too much by the end of the year and announces her comeback in December with a brand new Little Mix single in January 2022

Posted by: ceremonials 15th December 2020, 02:34 PM

The huge amount of hate towards Little Mix in this forum is insane. And I'm bookmarking the post where someone said Adele is going to flop like Ellie Goulding lmao

Posted by: Everton 15th December 2020, 02:46 PM

Hope studio killers get top 40 in January

Posted by: Bjork 15th December 2020, 03:00 PM

a new Drake single in Jan featuring Ariana wouldn't surprise me, Drake really needs to step up the game after this year's fiasco releases

Posted by: 777666jason 15th December 2020, 03:05 PM

Hope little mix at least release an album as a trio

Posted by: Everton 15th December 2020, 03:08 PM

There be now 108 now 109 now 110 and now 8 now 9 now 10

Posted by: Brightest Blue 15th December 2020, 03:12 PM

There will be multiple Eurovision songs in the top 40, now that the songs are being promoted on the big playlists.

Ariana achieves a further 4 number 1 singles

RAYE has a big year as a feature

Posted by: miichaelking21 15th December 2020, 05:14 PM

after the JLS reunion tour, The Saturdays will announce a reunion for Summer 2022... let me manifest this.

Posted by: Brightest Blue 15th December 2020, 05:18 PM

Little Mix will fly to #1 if they release a new single as a trio

Posted by: PeteFromLeeds 15th December 2020, 07:09 PM

- 2021 will be closer to 2019 in terms of #1 turnover, with one big song getting to the top just as the last one hits ACR.
- Shane Codd will follow the paths of Joel Corry/Nathan Dawe by releasing another song around March time which outpeaks Get Out My Head, which will get into the Top 10 in January.
- If there is a song for Euro 2021 it will be by someone we've never heard of and will thus fail to chart
- There will be a few more campaign songs which reach the lower echelons of the Top 40 but nothing which will crack the Top 5.
- There will be loads of rumours in January/the summer of an overhaul of the OCCs rules only for nothing to happen.
- Central Cee will be the next big thing in the rap world and easily get a Top 20 with his next single
- And to throw a few more names out there, we'll get Top 10s from Post Malone, Stormzy, Jess Glynne and Dave. Tom Walker will also release new music but won't match the success of his first era.

Posted by: SimpsonFan 15th December 2020, 07:13 PM

Songs increasing in BPM because of America’s political shift

Posted by: dancemberlexa 15th December 2020, 08:08 PM

I think Martin Garrix is confirmed to be having the official Euro song? He certainly was announced to have the one for this year, before Covid cancelled it. I suppose it'll still be his song come 2021.

Posted by: Joulupukki 15th December 2020, 08:08 PM

Little Mix, will probably do another TV show of the The Search to find a 4th member

Posted by: dancemberlexa 15th December 2020, 08:12 PM

I somehow doubt they want to be known as the 2010s equivalent of Sugababes in that respect They'll continue as a 3 piece for a short while before splitting in a couple of years, most likely.

Posted by: CodySleighBell-y 15th December 2020, 09:06 PM

• The song that goes #1 after ge Xmas #1 will be the #1 song that everyone forgets about in 3 months
• probably a major Joel Corry collab? Maybe with Mabel or something
• Adele will FINALLY release something
• Ed releases something that doesn’t smash as hard as his previous leads
• Little Mix solo projects? Maybe Jade pulls an Ally Brooke and does EDM collabs?
• We’ll see another K-pop act/idol group follow in the footsteps of BTS/BLACKPINK and crack the top 40. Kinda manifesting one of ITZY or NCT to do this?

Posted by: Christmasteve201 15th December 2020, 09:15 PM

Surely one will wait a year or the market will be flooded!!

Posted by: FestiveOdyssey 15th December 2020, 09:21 PM

I don't really see why they would, they're all big enough to hold their own

Posted by: Christmasteve201 15th December 2020, 09:21 PM

Similar types of artists for me!

Posted by: benj 15th December 2020, 09:26 PM

- Joel Corry feat Becky Hill that peaks lower than the rest of his singles so far but still has good longevity. 15+ weeks top 40, low debut Becky style...
- Dave returns with another #1 album or EP and a top 5 single but with no longevity, spending only 8 weeks or so Top 40. Will probably feature a singer like Dermot Kennedy or perhaps someone like J Hus...
- Lewis Capaldi to hop on a dance track like James Arthur and Rag'n'bone Man have in recent years, a potential number one. Could be with Calvin Harris too?
- Ariana to achieve two number one singles and potentially drop another album in Q4 of 2021, however this album doesn't spawn a #1 single.
- Drake to dominate next year like 2018, with a big collab to drop and go #1 alongside a second number one off the back of a TikTok trend. 2-3 top 40 drake features too.
- Ed Sheeran to return, Adele to return, George Ezra to return (all been mentioned)
- Two charity singles to hit #1 in 2021, one will be backed by a big radio station
- Big changes to how the OCC is broadcast on Radio 1, perhaps a new slot or new presenter overall and a few format changes.
- Big year for dance music
- AJ Tracey fails to reach #1 again, same with Mabel...
- 11 week #1 single

Artists who will reach #1:
- Ed Sheeran (x2)
- Drake (x2)
- Lewis Capaldi (x2 - one feat one solo)
- Ariana Grande (x2)
- Stormzy (x1)
- Headie One (x1)
- An unexpected legacy act (x1)
- Calvin Harris (x1)
- Joel Corry (x1)
- Nathan Dawe (x1)

Posted by: PeteFromLeeds 15th December 2020, 10:19 PM

Whoops, so much has happened this year that I'd completely forgotten that he was actually confirmed! In that case I'll revert to my 2020 prediction that it will feature Anne-Marie/someone equally bland and soar into the Top 10.

Posted by: fAddytale of NYC 16th December 2020, 09:14 PM

Dua Lipa will have a #1 single off FN-B Side

Rita Ora will release a single around March/April and will flop

Beyonce will Beyonce a album

Little Mix will release GH by the end of the 2021 and call it quits/hiatus!!

Ed Sheeran and Adele will release the same week for a fierce #1 album competition

Posted by: markivj 16th December 2020, 09:17 PM

I suspect a new Kylie album. She's so hardworking, she likes to keep busy and now, no tour to distract her!

Posted by: Eric_Blob 16th December 2020, 10:23 PM

I think Rihanna is/was the best pop star ever. At least since I can remember. But I think she will underperform, maybe full-on flop if she releases anything now. It's been too long I think.

I guess that's my prediction for next year. Rihanna will release music but none of it will go top 10 (unless she collaborates with Drake, Eminem or Calvin Harris again, then maybe).

Posted by: DIZZYDJC 17th December 2020, 09:24 AM

Oooh, I love these time capsule posts.

Here's my predictions for 2021...

- Little Mix will have a seventh album and it will hit #1. They will also go from strength to strength and have a big hit single that is a ballad.

- Adele will come back, in the Q2 season. Will have a big hit album but not a #1 single.

- Taylor Swift will have a collab with a big female singer, bets on Katy Perry. This could be from the new album or a stand-alone single.

- Justin Bieber will release another album, will get panned both critically and commercially.

- Spice Girls mark 25th anniversary with new Wannabe remixes and a deluxe album of "Spice" in November with new/unreleased tracks.

- Eurovision will be bigger than ever this year, we will see a Top 40 hit in May for one of the songs. Another song in the contest (which won't do so well in our charts) will also get the highest points ever in a Eurovision show.

Oh, and...

- Mariah Carey gets another Number 1 next December. This will in turn spur the OCC to compile charts differently from 2022.

See you all in December next year to see how right (or wrong) I was.

Posted by: jsweetxe 17th December 2020, 09:34 AM

god you all want Little Mix to split so badly... give it up deelishis!

Posted by: Michael Bubré 17th December 2020, 10:16 AM

My prediction:

I will come back to assess these predictions partway through the year and wonder why I still never get around to posting any actual predictions in these threads.

Looking forward to it xx

Posted by: Christmasteve201 17th December 2020, 10:47 AM

I hope Sunflower Bean have a big album in 2021!

Posted by: Dobby Helms 17th December 2020, 10:51 AM

There will be a rock #1 single

Posted by: Joulupukki 17th December 2020, 10:51 AM

OMG... your signature

Posted by: jsweetxe 17th December 2020, 11:07 AM

plastic hearts justice finally!

Posted by: M4ngo Ho Ho 17th December 2020, 11:42 AM

Olny way I can see that happening is if Oasis reunite but there's more chance of Elvis making a comeback than that happening.

Posted by: Christmasteve201 17th December 2020, 02:10 PM

If it does happen it’ll be by a grassroots movement with new bands like Brit pop

Posted by: gooddelta 17th December 2020, 02:14 PM

I can't see that, isn't she still one of the most streamed artists every year despite not having released anything for ages? People love her, and I expect would be here for new music from her, I'm constantly wishing she'd come back.

Unless any new music by her is completely uncommercial, I reckon it will do well, if anything because people will be eager to hear what sort of thing she's doing now after such a long break.

Plus her career started long ago enough now that any comeback will potentially tap into the nostalgia market as well as her still being a big current artist. Young teens who grew up on Pon De Replay and Umbrella will be in their late 20s now, and will fondly remember growing up with her.

Posted by: Liam.k. 17th December 2020, 02:37 PM

I don't think Rihanna will flop by any means but I do think we've been holding such high expectations of what her comeback will be like for so long now that I wouldn't be surprised if she didn't match them. It's hard to say though, she seemed to stop making music whilst she was still 'it girl' and I don't know if that'll work in her favour or not - will she pick up where she left off or have has the music industry moved on? Four years is a long time, especially when you consider Ariana has released FOUR albums in the time that's passed since Rihanna's last album.

I'm sure there will be lots of noise when she does release new music and it'll get big first week streams, but beyond that I don't think it's quite so certain she'll be a big success.

Posted by: dancemberlexa 17th December 2020, 04:00 PM

she’s do a beyoncé most likely - have everyone talking about her but ultimately not getting a number one hit.

keeping in mind that she won’t be doing basic dance pop and is at the stage of her career where she can make whatever she likes so it won’t nessesarily be hugely commercial.

Posted by: Christmasteve201 17th December 2020, 09:25 PM

Rihanna is def the best pop star of our era some classic singles

Posted by: JosephCarey 17th December 2020, 10:36 PM

I think the fact BELIEVE IT was a decent-sized hit earlier this year shows there's appetite for a Rihanna comeback - it wasn't far off the top 10, which far surpassed any previous PARTYNEXTDOOR single, even the preceding single which featured Drake! Rihanna's name on that song really drew attention to it, there's a definite appetite for new music from her. Whether it'd do well long-term depends on the music itself, but I can't see a new Rihanna single / album not having a strong first week.

Posted by: Cognizant 17th December 2020, 11:02 PM

Next month will be FIVE years since Rihanna released her last album Anti. I think anything Rihanna releases will be a commercial success because she is still such a huge name. I think she will release in Q4 next year with some sort of lead released around August.

Apparently Adele will be starting the campaign for her fourth studio album at next months Grammys. The album is ostensibly expected to drop in Spring.

Posted by: Michael Bubré 17th December 2020, 11:09 PM

My prediction: this won't happen, just like it didn't happen the last 500 times people have said 'apparently Adele is releasing in [x month]'.

Whatever the source for these persistent rumours is they clearly mean nothing at this point, I expect when she eventually returns it'll be a quick announcement out of nowhere similar to Taylor Swift's last two albums.

Posted by: fAddytale of NYC 17th December 2020, 11:16 PM

I've read Hits Daily Double shared some rumors like that, not that I am saying it's a reliable source!!!

Posted by: Michael Bubré 17th December 2020, 11:18 PM

Honestly I am not believing anything that doesn't come directly out of her own mouth after how many fake rumours there have been year after year

Posted by: fAddytale of NYC 17th December 2020, 11:25 PM

True.

Also probably she won't start an era during these unpredictable times with covid...I am sure when she'll launch new album there'll be tour dates available right away and avoid all the logistic difficulties that others are going through with re-scheduling and cancelling!!!

Posted by: slowdown73 18th December 2020, 12:24 AM

Adele will no doubt come back with a big album but it won’t come close to matching the sales of any of her previous albums. It may not even sell 1 million units. The market has changed dramatically since her last album and a million selling album will now become a rarity rather than common place!

Posted by: Christmasteve201 18th December 2020, 12:26 AM

Definitely, I would be happy if she sold over 100k in the first week!

Posted by: fAddytale of NYC 18th December 2020, 01:32 AM

I personally have no doubts that she can still move sales like no other, especially if music is as good as RITD or Hello!!!

Posted by: hlavkus 18th December 2020, 07:28 AM

Shane Codd will release a single featuring an estabilished dance vocalist (like Becky Hill or Raye) a rapper or both.
Some other song from Lithuania HQ will become big.
Calvin Harris will release a Love Regenerator collab with Solardo.
A track by British rapper featuring an American one will be a top 3 hit in the UK and scrapes Billboard Hot 100 (ie. AJ Tracey feat. DaBaby).
Tones and I releases several singles which will all fail miserably everywhere except Australia.
An Australian drill act will get an UK top 40 hit (most probably Onefour, possibly a collab with a british or american artist)

Posted by: dan:G 21st October 2021, 05:16 PM

Let's see how well we did...

Adele is more likely than Rihanna I think but both are well overdue.
sure Rihanna is coming in 2021 and Adele sure too
I think we will get an Adele album in Q4 next year (we would've this year if it weren't for that pesky covid) but Rihanna probably not sadly.
Adele did indeed comeback, Rihanna did not.

Billie, Ariana, 24kGLDN will continue to have a great year and I'd like Paolo Nutini to return even if he is past the days of getting close to top 40 again.
Good year for Billie. Quiet year for Ariana after 34+35 died down besides remixing Save Your Tears. 24kGoldn follow-ups did nothing. Paolo Nutini still MIA.

was just reading about Taylor's 3rd album apparently titled Woodvale ohmy.gif
I've read theories that Taylor has been hinting at a 3rd surprise album too so I think that'll probably be happening to complete a trilogy of folky albums.
- Taylor Swift will release a 3rd folksy album of diminishing quality and returns
new studio album from her yet to appear.

Kylie Minogue to have a top 40 single again
Barely scraped top 100 with Dua Lipa remix of Real Groove. Helped Y&Y somewhat climb up the chart remixing Starstruck but that doesn't really count.

Disco to return to number 1 with a remixed version on a quiet week
- Kylie will have a no.1 disco album
Disco re-issue definitely won't be going to #1

I'll bet that Ariana will release another album before either of [Rihanna/Adele].
She put out a deluxe re-release of Positions but no sign of a new album

I agree that this should be another good year for Ariana - with '34+35' re-peaking in the top 3 somewhere and perhaps 'pov' becoming a top 5 hit too with a proper push. She stuck to a 3 single run for both 'sweetener' and 'thank u, next' so I won't be surprised if she stops at that again.
34+35 peaked at #3. pov did nothing on single push.

Manifesting a Lorde return in 2021 also
New album was released

Blinding Lights will probably stay in the chart all year. Christmas most likely won't get cancelled despite the mass takeover this year.
Blinding Lights still in the chart. No new rules to ban Christmas songs from the chart.

Rihanna could come back collaborating with Justin Bieber or someone else, hmm.... Ariana Grande.... Taylor Swift. biggrin.gif laugh.gif
Rihanna still not back

Hoping an Indie band will make a big comeback. I love to see more Indie music back in the singles chart realistically at #1
No big indie band comeback. Slightly more indie music in the chart this year I guess?

Hopefully Arctic Monkeys will have a new album.
Didn't happen

Rag’N’Bone Man to return with a new album and of course a couple of Top 40 singles.
He did and he did.

Joel Corry to release a single with Becky Hill as vocalist.
Still yet to happen

Clean Bandit to get a #1 single once in the year with a big song.
Had a #66 flop and a song that's just about to scrape the top 30.

Calvin Harris to continue another few tracks on his Love Regenerator project.
A couple Love Regenerator songs were put out.

The 1975 to release a new #1 album.
Nothing new from them.

New albums from Arctic Monkeys, Coldplay, Adele, The Killers (yes, one more).
No, yes, yes, yes

14th Number 1 for RW.
No new music from him

ABBA releases a single.
Yes (and a whole album)

Coldplay single for Olympics 2021.
No

BRITs for Harry Styles
Won British Single with Watermelon Sugar

Maybe Scissor Sisters'c comeback...
No

I hope Calvin returns to his dance floor bangers!
He put out a couple this year although only one that wasn't under the Love Regenerator alias

Ariana Grande's song about oral sex will be the 1st new #1 of 2021
Made #3

Grime/UK hip hop music will continue to dominate the chart
No grime songs made the top 40 (surprise surprise), a fair bit of British hip hop did.

Rihanna wont bring out a new album
Yes

The charts will become even harder to understand than it already is
No

The year end #1 for 2021 will be a song that is at the top of the weekly charts during February or March
No

Little Mix will retire/disband/go on hiatus completely
- Little Mix finally split from all of the in-fighting that has been RIFE since the split with 6th member, Simon Cowell
Rumour has it we may get a hiatus announcement before the year's end but the trio are still together for now

It will be December 2021 when you read this after totally forgetting it ever existed! biggrin.gif
It's October 2021

A big current-ish name in the music business will die.
No shocking deaths of this nature this year (yet)

Florence releases a new album.
No

A country that hasn't won Eurovision before wins in 2021.
No

Beyoncé releases a hit single.
No

Adele releases her next album and it's a massive one yet again.
Yes

The biggest selling song of the year will be one that was released in 2020.
No

A random name that hasn't been heard from since the late 2000s or early 2010s will return with a massive hit.
Didn't happen

The Eurovision movie soundtrack wins the Grammy award it was nominated for.
Didn't win

Another Eurovision song will go top 40
Zitti E Buoni made top 20

The Lathums and The Snuts' debut albums go to #1 before falling a bit (more likely The Snuts will get to the top)
Both went to #1

Michael Ball & Alfie Boe release another #1 album
No album released

Yungblud gets another top 40 single
Featured on a KSI #3 hit

Sam Fender gets a high selling #1 second album and a top 40 single
Both happened

Example will have a top 100 single
Didn't happen

N-Dubz will get back together with limited success
Didn't happen

JLS have a high selling comeback album and a top 20 single
Single bombed. Album yet to be released.

Ed Sheeran releases a new album
= coming out this month

Rihanna collaborates with Ariana Grande in her lead single from her new album
Still nothing from RiRi

Drill and rap remain high in the charts
Yes

Some 'Lil' rapper has a Top 40 hit
A few Lil rappers had hits as per

Three Lions re-enters the chart after England's brave last 16 defeat.
No, it re-entered before the Final 16 and England made the final.

'Rhythm Is A Dancer' gets covered and becomes a summer hit.
Didn't happen

Kygo collaborates with Jennifer Rush in 'The Power of Love'.
Didn't happen (and he's stopped doing old song remixes for now)

Drake releases another mixtape.
An album came out.

JLS return and have a #39 single.
They returned but only scraped top 75.

I predict an Ed vs Adele Q4 battle next November, the music industry would have a melt down
Both are set to release

I really think Rihanna will come back in Q1 2021
Still no sign of her

another one that should come back is George Ezra, he cannot leave it too long
no sign of him

and I guess Lewis Capaldi will come back with all the guns probably with a new single in Q2/Q3 I guess, would be extra interesting if he clashes with Ed Sheeran
he's kept quiet too

Ed Sheeran and Adele the obvious big comebacks I suppose, maybe Rihanna? Nobody knows with her laugh.gif
Yes yes and no

Taylor's re-recordings are probably happening at some point in the year, it'll be interesting to see how they do.
Two of them will have been released by year-end

and I saw someone mention ABBA's singles, let's hope they're finally coming cheeseblock.png
They are

- Foo Fighters will have the highest first week sales of Q1 in the album chart with 'Medicine At Midnight'
Sold 42,486 to do so

- You Me At Six to score an easy Number 1 album on low sales
Sold 14,298 to make #1

- Joel Corry to score an easy Top 5 hit with a January release of his next single, maybe Number 1 depending on the feature
'Bed' released in March and made #3

- Tiesto to have another random Top 10 hit in the summer
Yet to follow up The Business with another hit

- Calvin Harris gives in and puts out some commercial bangers under his own name which will get him at least 1 Number 1 single
He put one out and made #9

Joel x Jess coming for 10 weeks at #1
No Joel x Jess collab

Jess Glynne to comeback with a new album
- Jess Glynne will release her new album mid way through the year that will have moderate success, but unlike her first album.
Still MIA

Major Lazer score another #1
Didn't get any chart success this year

George Ezra's heavily hinted towards new music next year which is good. Lewis Capaldi's confirmed, as did Ed Sheeran's manager a few months ago
Only Ed actually released

- Ed Sheeran and Adele return at the same time, and Adele's new era is MUCH smaller than her first two. She will be around Ellie Goulding, Burn era, size rather than Adeling or Beyonceing up the charts. Thete will be a lot of jealousy about her weight loss, ala Victoria Beckham, cauisng a massive sales decline, coupled with people having moved on from her music AND not wanting ballads in a year after a pandemic. Ed will officially become the biggest (and shittest/ most contrived) act in the world.
Adele still big as ever

- People might finally accept that Rihanna has retired from music
We still live in hope

- Britney will be forced to release morw robotic dance by her father, but the fans will FINALLY be wise to the fact that she has not been a singer since 2007 and will not buy into it.
No new music from Britney

- GaGa will release an awful song from Chromatica instead of Alice
Nothing more pushed from Chromatica

- Ariana G will get the first post-Xmas no.1
She didn't

- LadBaby will release another awful Christmas no.1
Hopefully he won't

- Alexa will continue to stomp around like Caesar at Christmas
She probably will

- Sophie Ellis Bexter will continue with her iamspamspamamidisco-style Instagram concerts and maybe start charging for online 1 hour-long concerts
She's currently flogging a book

-Men will continue to dominate the charts and streaming
And they still do

- Talentless "rapper" Drake will already have sweatshopped his producers and writers in their studio tents to create "his" next album. People will hammer his maudlin beats.
Album was put out and it dominated streaming.

- Pop Brat Justin Bibber will continue to struggle to stay relevant, even coming off his victory over LadBaby with thr NHs Choir song.
He's done rather well for himself this year

- Adele will have the biggest album of the year by an absolute mile.
Looking that way

- Ed Sheeran will release an album, but will be less successful than his previous releases.
Will still be very successful no matter what

- Gaga will release a reissue of Chromatica, with a few new songs that will have moderate success.
Remix album was put out, none of its tracks were hits

- Little Mix will announce they are splitting up for good early next year, followed by a solo single from Perrie towards the end of the year that will flop hard.
Still haven't split yet, no Perrie solo single

- Taylor will release a 3rd album that will continue from Folklore & Evermore and it will give Taylor her 7th number one album, however she will still be unable to secure a second #1 single.
She got another #1 album but not with a Folklore/Evermore continuation

- Ariana Grande will be involved in a surprise collaboration, which will be huge and give Ari her 8th/9th number one.
does the Save Your Tears remix count here? although it didn't go #1.

- Cardi B will release her second album and it will be one of the biggest albums of the year.
No album from her

- Rihanna won't release anything and her fans will have a meltdown.
Correct

- Beyonce will release a surprise visual album towards the end of 2021 and it will be a big seller towards Xmas.
Beyonce will Beyonce a album
Nothing from her

Kendrick Lamar will come back and have one of the biggest rap albums of the year getting a us number one hit but only managing low top 10 in the uk.
Nothing from him

we may finally get something from Bruno Mars again although I wouldn’t be mad if he continued to stay on hiatus.
he came back although under the Silk Sonic project rather than as a soloiist

Jesy ends up missing Little Mix too much by the end of the year and announces her comeback in December with a brand new Little Mix single in January 2022
Lol

Hope studio killers get top 40 in January
No

a new Drake single in Jan featuring Ariana wouldn't surprise me, Drake really needs to step up the game after this year's fiasco releases
No Ariana collab or Jan single

Hope little mix at least release an album as a trio
does a Greatest Hits album count?

There be now 108 now 109 now 110 and now 8 now 9 now 10
Yes

There will be multiple Eurovision songs in the top 40, now that the songs are being promoted on the big playlists.
Only one made the top 40

Ariana achieves a further 4 number 1 singles
She didn't have one

RAYE has a big year as a feature
She had 'Bed' and 'Ferrari Horses' both get big

after the JLS reunion tour, The Saturdays will announce a reunion for Summer 2022... let me manifest this.
Nothing announced

Little Mix will fly to #1 if they release a new single as a trio
They didn't

- 2021 will be closer to 2019 in terms of #1 turnover, with one big song getting to the top just as the last one hits ACR.
#1 turnover has been very slow

- Shane Codd will follow the paths of Joel Corry/Nathan Dawe by releasing another song around March time which outpeaks Get Out My Head, which will get into the Top 10 in January.
Shane Codd's follow-up bombed

- If there is a song for Euro 2021 it will be by someone we've never heard of and will thus fail to chart Whoops, so much has happened this year that I'd completely forgotten that he was actually confirmed! In that case I'll revert to my 2020 prediction that it will feature Anne-Marie/someone equally bland and soar into the Top 10.
It featured Bono & The Edge of U2 and did nothing.

- There will be a few more campaign songs which reach the lower echelons of the Top 40 but nothing which will crack the Top 5.
Nothing of that sort so far

- There will be loads of rumours in January/the summer of an overhaul of the OCCs rules only for nothing to happen.
We only ended up getting a minor rule change regarding SCR resets

- Central Cee will be the next big thing in the rap world and easily get a Top 20 with his next single
He's had a very big year

- And to throw a few more names out there, we'll get Top 10s from Post Malone, Stormzy, Jess Glynne and Dave. Tom Walker will also release new music but won't match the success of his first era.
Post Malone song flopped, Stormzy/Dave got a hit by collabing and Dave had 2 additional top 10s. Jess Glynne and Tom Walker MIA.

Songs increasing in BPM because of America’s political shift
I don't think this has happened

Little Mix, will probably do another TV show of the The Search to find a 4th member biggrin.gif
They didn't

• The song that goes #1 after ge Xmas #1 will be the #1 song that everyone forgets about in 3 months
Everyone forgot about Wham - Last Christmas way sooner than 3 months but it will inevitably come back again

• probably a major Joel Corry collab? Maybe with Mabel or something
A Mabel collab is rumoured, meanwhile we got him collabing with Raye/David Guetta and Jax Jones/Raye/Saweetie

• Adele will FINALLY release something
She did

• Ed releases something that doesn’t smash as hard as his previous leads
He's big as ever

• Little Mix solo projects? Maybe Jade pulls an Ally Brooke and does EDM collabs?
Jesy put out a solo single

• We’ll see another K-pop act/idol group follow in the footsteps of BTS/BLACKPINK and crack the top 40. Kinda manifesting one of ITZY or NCT to do this?
Yet to happen

- Joel Corry feat Becky Hill that peaks lower than the rest of his singles so far but still has good longevity. 15+ weeks top 40, low debut Becky style...
They didn't collab

- Dave returns with another #1 album or EP and a top 5 single but with no longevity, spending only 8 weeks or so Top 40. Will probably feature a singer like Dermot Kennedy or perhaps someone like J Hus...
He had a #1 album. The lead single spent 13 weeks top 40 and featured Stormzy.

- Lewis Capaldi to hop on a dance track like James Arthur and Rag'n'bone Man have in recent years, a potential number one. Could be with Calvin Harris too?
He gave us a break from him this year thankfully.

- Ariana to achieve two number one singles and potentially drop another album in Q4 of 2021, however this album doesn't spawn a #1 single.
No new album from her.

- Drake to dominate next year like 2018, with a big collab to drop and go #1 alongside a second number one off the back of a TikTok trend. 2-3 top 40 drake features too.
Not quite 2018 levels of domination from him and notably no #1 single

- Ed Sheeran to return, Adele to return, George Ezra to return (all been mentioned)
yes, yes, no

- Two charity singles to hit #1 in 2021, one will be backed by a big radio station
Nothing yet

- Big changes to how the OCC is broadcast on Radio 1, perhaps a new slot or new presenter overall and a few format changes.
still business as usual

- Big year for dance music
has been

- AJ Tracey fails to reach #1 again, same with Mabel...
neither had #1s

- 11 week #1 single
Bad Habits did just that

Artists who will reach #1:
- Ed Sheeran (x2)
- Drake (x2)
- Lewis Capaldi (x2 - one feat one solo)
- Ariana Grande (x2)
- Stormzy (x1)
- Headie One (x1)
- An unexpected legacy act (x1)
- Calvin Harris (x1)
- Joel Corry (x1)
- Nathan Dawe (x1)
yes [though he could get a 3rd], no, no, no, no, no, yes [WD on 'unexpected legacy act' ie Elton John], no, no, no

Dua Lipa will have a #1 single off FN-B Side
no

Rita Ora will release a single around March/April and will flop
Almost, 'Big' came out in Feb and flopped

Little Mix will release GH by the end of the 2021 and call it quits/hiatus!!
GH is coming. Hiatus rumoured.

Ed Sheeran and Adele will release the same week for a fierce #1 album competition
As if this was ever going to happen

I suspect a new Kylie album. She's so hardworking, she likes to keep busy and now, no tour to distract her!
Disco re-issue only.

I think Rihanna is/was the best pop star ever. At least since I can remember. But I think she will underperform, maybe full-on flop if she releases anything now. It's been too long I think. I guess that's my prediction for next year. Rihanna will release music but none of it will go top 10 (unless she collaborates with Drake, Eminem or Calvin Harris again, then maybe).
She's still missing.

- Little Mix will have a seventh album and it will hit #1. They will also go from strength to strength and have a big hit single that is a ballad.
No ballad hit yet, album yet to be released.

- Adele will come back, in the Q2 season. Will have a big hit album but not a #1 single.
Q4 return. #1 single and big hit album guaranteed.

- Taylor Swift will have a collab with a big female singer, bets on Katy Perry. This could be from the new album or a stand-alone single.
Didn't happen

- Justin Bieber will release another album, will get panned both critically and commercially.
Album released which did better than his previous one.

- Spice Girls mark 25th anniversary with new Wannabe remixes and a deluxe album of "Spice" in November with new/unreleased tracks.
Spice re-release coming soon.

- Eurovision will be bigger than ever this year, we will see a Top 40 hit in May for one of the songs. Another song in the contest (which won't do so well in our charts) will also get the highest points ever in a Eurovision show.
One song made the top 40 which was the winner and didn't get quite that many points.

- Mariah Carey gets another Number 1 next December. This will in turn spur the OCC to compile charts differently from 2022.
Yet to be determined

I will come back to assess these predictions partway through the year and wonder why I still never get around to posting any actual predictions in these threads.
Nope, I will. But I can't speak for if you're wondering that.

I hope Sunflower Bean have a big album in 2021!
Who

There will be a rock #1 single
Didn't happen

Next month will be FIVE years since Rihanna released her last album Anti. I think anything Rihanna releases will be a commercial success because she is still such a huge name. I think she will release in Q4 next year with some sort of lead released around August.
No lead single in August. Still no sign of her releasing anytime soon.

Apparently Adele will be starting the campaign for her fourth studio album at next months Grammys. The album is ostensibly expected to drop in Spring.
Album not out until November

My prediction: this won't happen, just like it didn't happen the last 500 times people have said 'apparently Adele is releasing in [x month]'.
It didn't happen.

Shane Codd will release a single featuring an estabilished dance vocalist (like Becky Hill or Raye) a rapper or both.
Didn't happen

Some other song from Lithuania HQ will become big.
Hvme - Goosebumps got big

Calvin Harris will release a Love Regenerator collab with Solardo.
He released two

A track by British rapper featuring an American one will be a top 3 hit in the UK and scrapes Billboard Hot 100 (ie. AJ Tracey feat. DaBaby).
Almost happened with Body Remix (one of the guest list was American) but that only made Bubblin Under

Tones and I releases several singles which will all fail miserably everywhere except Australia.
Most of them did but we did get Fly Away belatedly being a hit

An Australian drill act will get an UK top 40 hit (most probably Onefour, possibly a collab with a british or american artist)
Didn't happen

Posted by: WhoOdyssey 21st October 2021, 07:04 PM

Paolo Nutini is set to return next year! He's headlining TRNSMT Festival

Posted by: Smint 21st October 2021, 11:18 PM

Thanks for summary dan:G - I (and the OCC) would say that ‘Good 4 u’ is a rock no.1 single though. Many may disagree I’m sure!


https://www.officialcharts.com/chart-news/olivia-rodrigos-good-4-u-is-longest-reigning-rock-influenced-number-1-single-for-18-years__33400/

Posted by: Bré 21st October 2021, 11:40 PM

Hey you stole my thing!

(I do indeed wonder why I still never posted any real predictions xox)

Thanks for writing this up though, it is fun to look back on.

Adele actually releasing something was a buzzkill, at least we still have Rihanna for me to relentlessly meme about how she will never release anything again. Quite surprising we got nothing from George Ezra this year actually.

Posted by: Dot Branning 21st October 2021, 11:42 PM

Interesting. Nobody predicted a sea shanty getting to #1, an Italian Eurovision act spawning two Top 10 hits or Elton John getting a new Number 1 single then.

Hope 2022 is the year of the RiRi comeback.

Posted by: Bré 21st October 2021, 11:43 PM

Also we did get a song by a British rapper featuring an American rapper which scraped into the Hot 100 - although it was one that only made the low top 20 in the UK. (That being KSI/Lil Wayne)

Posted by: Adelita 22nd October 2021, 01:06 AM

His new #1 should have been Sine From Above and not a mashup of his old songs

Posted by: Bjork 22nd October 2021, 08:55 AM

From the comments mostpeople are looking forward to a new Rihanna album

Im actually glad Taylor didnt do a 3rd folklore, 2was enough

Surprised Ezra has been so quiet

Posted by: WhoOdyssey 22nd October 2021, 09:28 AM

George Ezra's got a Finsbury Park show lined up for next summer, so he'll probably have some new music in the first half of 2022.

Posted by: JulianT 22nd October 2021, 09:55 AM

Love that someone actually predicted ABBA’s comeback - I would have put that down as one of the crazier ones!

Posted by: Liam.k. 22nd October 2021, 09:58 AM

We've known about the two brand new songs since 2018 and there were rumours they were going to announce the tour in 2020 before covid happened, so it's not as out of the blue as it might seem.

Posted by: Tawdry Hepburn 22nd October 2021, 11:00 AM

Slight correction on Tom Walker being MIA, he did put this out a couple of weeks back:

Posted by: dan:G 22nd October 2021, 11:24 AM

ah i had forgot about that as it hasn’t done anything chart wise yet.

Posted by: Dobbo. 28th October 2021, 08:53 AM

I'm counting good 4 u k

Posted by: Yousee 28th October 2021, 12:44 PM

But number 1 on the year end charts will be a song that topped the charts in Feb. I wonder which song could beat Driver's Licence to that!

Posted by: Coffin A Feel 28th October 2021, 02:17 PM

Ed Sheeran and Adele return at the same time, and Adele's new era is MUCH smaller than her first two. She will be around Ellie Goulding, Burn era, size rather than Adeling or Beyonceing up the charts. Thete will be a lot of jealousy about her weight loss, ala Victoria Beckham, cauisng a massive sales decline, coupled with people having moved on from her music AND not wanting ballads in a year after a pandemic. Ed will officially become the biggest (and shittest/ most contrived) act in the world.
Adele still big as ever

- People might finally accept that Rihanna has retired from music
We still live in hope

- Britney will be forced to release morw robotic dance by her father, but the fans will FINALLY be wise to the fact that she has not been a singer since 2007 and will not buy into it.
No new music from Britney


People have basically accepted Rihanna has retieed, people FIIINALLY realsied that Britney hasn't controlled her music - or anything dor that matter - since 2006, and there was a massive Free Britney movement, and now she has probably bern allowed to retire.

Adele came back much smaller than before, and Ed is the far bigger act.

All true!

Omg at that Salty Mixer replying to those of us who KNEW the Cowell band would split with, ThEy'Ll Go StReNgTh To StrEnGtH and have their biggest no.1s ever I can't!! The salt, it threatens ma electrolyte levels!!

Posted by: December Dong 4th December 2021, 08:50 PM

Little Mix will retire/disband/go on hiatus completely
- Little Mix finally split from all of the in-fighting that has been RIFE since the split with 6th member, Simon Cowell

Rumour has it we may get a hiatus announcement before the year's end but the trio are still together for now[/quote]

I TOLD YOU SO

I TOLD YOU SO

I TOLD YOU SO!!!!!


Can we have an update?

BUT can it be called a hiatus when it is CLEARLY a permanent split?

Posted by: Tawdry Hepburn 4th December 2021, 08:54 PM

Explain how Ed is the bigger act than Adele

Also, if Simon Cowell was the 6th member of Little Mix - who was the 5th?

Posted by: December Dong 4th December 2021, 08:56 PM

Ed has sold like double the number of records, well, sold, a lot is based on fake streams, Adeke has across the globe, he had a 15 week no.1, and his old sangs are still just 200 sales short of Adele's new sangs. He is bigger.

Posted by: Tawdry Hepburn 4th December 2021, 09:00 PM

Whatever. I'll let someone else deal with this one. I'm too exhausted...

Posted by: rundmck 5th December 2021, 01:45 AM

Adele's new album sold almost twice as much as Ed's new album in their release weeks. That's the end of the argument right there. You could bring into it that Adele has the biggest selling album of the century, the biggest opening sales of all time, and the current biggest selling album of year... all with different albums. You could mention her World Wide album sales that dwarf Ed, but you don't need to. Ed and Adele both just released an album each, and loads more people got Adele's than Ed's, both in the UK, and Worldwide. It's blatantly obvious Adele is the 'bigger' artist and has been for a decade.

Posted by: Envoirment 5th December 2021, 01:56 AM

Even though Adele is the bigger artist, Ed has sold more records overall globally - in part due to being more consistent with releases during the streaming era. She's catching up though with the current release of her album. All her back catalogue has been streaming very strongly for a couple months or so now and of course 30 is doing great numbers too. I think she did something like 700k single sales the week 30 was out in the UK alone. She'll likely catch up and overtake Ed by the end of her current album era.

Posted by: rundmck 5th December 2021, 09:29 AM

Yes indeed. If you are one of the most popular artists on the planet, as Ed, or Taylor are, and you release singles or albums at a consistently fast pace, it's basic maths that your overall record sales/streams will increase at a much faster rate than someone who releases one album every 4-6 years. When Adele releases an album however, it vastly outsells every single other artist on a worldwide level (in both speed and volume). It happened with her last 2 albums and it looks to be happening with this one too.

If an artist releases new music & more people in the world buy it than anyone elses new music, then they are the 'biggest' artist in the world.

Posted by: December Dong 5th December 2021, 09:57 AM

Then how do you explain Ed's 14 week no.1 and older sangs challenging Adele at no.1 with her newer song and missing out by like 200 copies every week?

Posted by: rundmck 5th December 2021, 11:18 AM

Well you see, you've chosen to ignore the facts about worldwide album consumption in my previous post, and instead focused in on an extremely specific metric. How do I explain Ed's 14 week #1 single in the UK in 2017? What do you want me to explain? It was a very popular song. Does that make him a bigger artist than Adele? No, otherwise by your metric, Drake is a bigger artist in the UK than Ed, because he had a 15 week #1.
Ed's 'sangs' Bad Habits and Shivers challenging Easy on me is because the tracks are very popular and very streamable, great on playlists, party music etc. It's not complicated, as I mentioned, he is one of the biggest artists in the world. However, by no obvious and fair metric is he the 'biggest'.

So now that I've answered your question, can you explain to me, given your stance:

Adele sells more albums than Ed in the UK, in the US and Worldwide. In fact worldwide she has sold almost 3 times his amount... with fewer albums. She sold more 10 years ago, she sold more 5 years ago, and she sold more in the last 2 weeks.

Posted by: Tawdry Hepburn 6th December 2021, 10:16 AM

Citation needed for "missing out by 200 copies every week"

Posted by: chlorineydle 6th December 2021, 04:30 PM

Oh well you kinda got it right about little mix 😭😭 but sweet melody was the first new #1