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BuzzJack Music Forum _ Little Mix _ PREDICT: Where will 'Break Up Song' will chart and peak?

Posted by: Jonjo 28th March 2020, 02:51 PM

Now that we've heard the song in full and had Spotify figures for the first day.

Have you changed your opinions?

Pa3C3blayWo

Posted by: Jonjo 28th March 2020, 02:55 PM

QUOTE(Jonjo @ Mar 21 2020, 01:31 PM)

My first gut reaction is that this will debut about 17 or 18. I think it could fall to about 25 or something 2nd week and then stabilise, before peaking at like #9 or #10 or something.

This all depends on playlisting though, of course. But that's my initial first instinct to this.

This is what I predicted after that very small taster. I had doubts again due to no instant radio support, but streaming support seems ok so far (added straight onto hot hits and on a big playlist on Apple Music I believe)

I'm gonna go for a lower debut though but I am hopeful with radios (bar global x) jumping on board and keeping it afloat and with the video still to come too. Exciting times. I think an eventual peak of anywhere from 9-14 is likely, but I can see it having a similar kind of run to 'Never Really Over' by Katy Perry.

EDIT: I went for

#21 - #30 for debut
#11 - #15 for peak (with a decent chance of a low top 10 peak (9/10))
No - I don't think this will be it's peak

Posted by: Seinfeld 28th March 2020, 04:15 PM

#6 - #10
#1
No

Posted by: Defaze 29th March 2020, 06:43 PM

I reckon a debut around #12. Bounce Back started at #2 in the midweeks and slid to #10, so I can see this performing similarly in the first week. I'm going to be optimistic and say an overall peak of #3. The reception to this has been pretty amazing so far and it's holding up well considering the lack of airplay.

Posted by: LMLou 29th March 2020, 07:04 PM

I voted for 16-20 debut yesterday, but after seeing it's streaming stability and top 5 in first look I think it'll make top 15 in week 1, and maybe climb back into the top 15 in a couple weeks but I'm not sure that it'll go top 10

Posted by: Feel_The_Fever 29th March 2020, 09:11 PM

Based on todays midweek number 5 i am really hopeful it will make a top 10 debut.

Posted by: StupidLove 29th March 2020, 10:48 PM

I think it will debut at #5 and peak at #3 in a couple of weeks down the line.

Posted by: Feel_The_Fever 3rd April 2020, 05:45 PM

Almost 46% predicted correctly.