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 Predict: Spice 25 in the UK chart, First week sales and entry position |
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  22nd October 2021, 10:13 AM
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#21
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 BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 10 April 2008
Posts: 3,669 User: 5,829 
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Any last minute predictions?
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22nd October 2021, 10:28 AM
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#22
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 BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 3 February 2018
Posts: 2,041 User: 64,815
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I’m still sticking with #2 my estimation was 10-15k opening week. It may be lower 6-10k, but I’m sticking with my answer 😆
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22nd October 2021, 03:17 PM
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#23
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BuzzJack Idol
Joined: 29 June 2006
Posts: 128,434 User: 845
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I really dont see it selling anything less than 10k.
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22nd October 2021, 05:19 PM
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#24
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Paradise With Ice Cream Skies♥
Joined: 31 August 2006
Posts: 24,568 User: 1,209
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21-40,
2000-2999 sales I think. |
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22nd October 2021, 06:53 PM
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#25
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 16 November 2009
Posts: 7,600 User: 9,988
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QUOTE(Lukuzz @ Oct 22 2021, 06:19 PM)  21-40, 2000-2999 sales I think. You think it's going to do worse and sell less than Sugababes One Touch re-release? |
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22nd October 2021, 08:27 PM
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#26
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 7 September 2017
Posts: 518 User: 39,611
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Top 10 hopefully.
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22nd October 2021, 08:48 PM
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#27
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Paradise With Ice Cream Skies♥
Joined: 31 August 2006
Posts: 24,568 User: 1,209
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QUOTE(sammy01 @ Oct 22 2021, 07:53 PM) You think it's going to do worse and sell less than Sugababes One Touch re-release? Hmm yeah forgot Sugababes managed top 20. Maybe I’ve underestimated, but I feel like I’ve seen more Sugababes on social media than Spice Girls. I still think top 15 highest |
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22nd October 2021, 10:40 PM
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#28
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 "Jayrusaleminians" - Umi.
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 4 April 2007 Posts: 41,453 User: 3,217
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I find this really unpredictable.
There's so many formats, and on paper it should translate into plentiful sales. But it doesn't seem that the UK fanbase (those who are into buying Spice Girls releases) is a particularly large number of people. I don't feel like there's been much specific media hype about this re-release, so will the casuals be buying? I hope it does well enough to be Top 10, but at the same time I wouldn't be completely surprised if it performs in an underwhelming way. Hopefully I'll be pleasantly surprised! |
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22nd October 2021, 11:06 PM
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#29
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 7 September 2017
Posts: 5,085 User: 39,587
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I think it will just about get into the Top10. At this stage, with the lack of promo from the girls themselves, I dont see it selling over 10,000 at all. Definitely not in the first week.
Which is a bummer, as it seems quite forgotten. Lets see what the week brings though. The social media post today was good, but yet again, just the same old same old... I guess the main attractive items for the general public/casual fans would be the picture disk and the CD but those are soo expensive... I don't know if it will track much beyond the very limited buying fanbase they have in the UK. Praying that *something* will be done. |
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23rd October 2021, 01:08 PM
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#30
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 16 November 2009
Posts: 7,600 User: 9,988
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HMV should be stocking all the vinyls and CD release week in stores. They will have a limited amount of the individual vinyls and plenty of the Zoetrope and CD.
Formats that will count towards its sales release week - Zoetrope vinyl Posh vinyl Scary vinyl Ginger vinyl Sporty vinyl Baby vinyl Black vinyl White vinyl Deluxe CD Regular CD Posh cassette Scary cassette Baby cassette Sporty cassette Ginger cassette Downloads (deluxe and regular) Streaming It does around 300 sales weekly as of now thanks mainly to streams, which you would hope would be up considerably release week. Under 6k made top 10 this week just gone so it would need I'd say about 5.5k extra sales than normal to make top 10. |
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23rd October 2021, 01:24 PM
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#31
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 BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 6 September 2017
Posts: 11,840 User: 39,568
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I think 8k and between #11-#15
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23rd October 2021, 02:03 PM
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#32
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"Jayrusaleminians" - Umi.
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 4 April 2007 Posts: 41,453 User: 3,217
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QUOTE(spiceboy @ Oct 23 2021, 02:24 PM) I think 8k and between #11-#15 This would be very unfortunate considering that 8k is enough to be Top 5 this week! (#4 sold 8,332, #5 sold 7,926). So far this year, the average sales needed to make it to #10 is 4,231. The highest #10 sales being 7,001 (which is an anomaly - the second highest is just 5,685) and the lowest is 3,474. Averages for all the Top 10 positions in 2021: #1: 27,558 #2: 14,377 #3: 8,969 #4: 7,103 #5: 6,234 #6: 5,544 #7: 5,077 #8: 4,722 #9: 4,498 #10: 4,231 I mean I'm probably going to jinx it, but I imagine if it sells 6k+ then it's likely it'll manage Top 10. My concern is that it'll underwhelm and do quite a bit less... but hopefully I'm just being pessimistic. |
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23rd October 2021, 03:37 PM
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#33
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 7 September 2017
Posts: 5,085 User: 39,587
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QUOTE(-Jay- @ Oct 23 2021, 03:03 PM) This would be very unfortunate considering that 8k is enough to be Top 5 this week! (#4 sold 8,332, #5 sold 7,926). So far this year, the average sales needed to make it to #10 is 4,231. The highest #10 sales being 7,001 (which is an anomaly - the second highest is just 5,685) and the lowest is 3,474. Averages for all the Top 10 positions in 2021: #1: 27,558 #2: 14,377 #3: 8,969 #4: 7,103 #5: 6,234 #6: 5,544 #7: 5,077 #8: 4,722 #9: 4,498 #10: 4,231 I mean I'm probably going to jinx it, but I imagine if it sells 6k+ then it's likely it'll manage Top 10. My concern is that it'll underwhelm and do quite a bit less... but hopefully I'm just being pessimistic. Thanks Jay. I guess Im just a bit  cos Sugababes did quite a bit worse than what was expected, and ended up at #18. Like, I know it is a very different group but the Spice Girls havent exactly set the charts alight either as a group or as solo for decades, so it is worrying at least.Specially when there is like no promo and this is not a new album... |
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23rd October 2021, 07:16 PM
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#34
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 16 November 2009
Posts: 7,600 User: 9,988
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One Touch was never a hit album to begin with. There isn't a generation that grew up with it as their 1st cd or cassette. I actually think #18 for what was a bit of a flop album to begin with was a decent effort. Again multiple formats helped it greatly.
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23rd October 2021, 07:42 PM
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#35
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 6 September 2017
Posts: 11,840 User: 39,568
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Yeah didn’t one touch outpeak itself on the rerelease? It didn’t initially go top 20 did it?
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6th November 2021, 02:54 AM
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#36
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BuzzJack Idol
Joined: 29 June 2006
Posts: 128,434 User: 845
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Interesting looking g back on the votes now that we know the outcome.
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6th November 2021, 03:02 AM
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#37
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"Jayrusaleminians" - Umi.
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 4 April 2007 Posts: 41,453 User: 3,217
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Well done to the 3 voters of #5, and the 3 voters of 7,000-7,999!
I was one position off with my prediction of #4 (it was sooo close to achieving that!) but I definitely overpredicted the sales, hoping for 10,000-14,999! |
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6th November 2021, 07:40 PM
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#38
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 16 November 2009
Posts: 7,600 User: 9,988
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I think these predictions show that a lot of people don't get how dire sales are in general on the album chart right now. Most people thought it would peak outside the top 10 yet also most people thought it would sell 10-15k which is enough most weeks for top 3 if not #1 on slow weeks.
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