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 Cardigan (Lead Single) • Opening Week Predicts |
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 23rd July 2020, 01:11 PM
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#1
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 It's a cruel summer.
Joined: 26 May 2014
Posts: 35,256 User: 20,947 
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with Cardigan being the lead single on the album out tomorrow with a vid incoming, what's your guys predictions?
Me and LWYMMD's both opened in the high 60k's but obvs they had weeks of hype behind them and weren't competing with 16 other tracks x Polls: Poll 1 - UK Debut Position Poll 2 - UK Spotify Debut Position Poll 3 - UK Sales Poll 4 - US Debut Position (I've put first full week, cos her songs usually debut early due to radio -> LWYMMD debuted at like 68 cos of that then went straight to 1 the next week) Poll 5 - Will Cardigan debut early in US? (like LWYMMD did at 68 and Me at 100) Poll 6 - Will Taylor get 3 tracks in the UK top 40 opening week Poll 7 - How much of Folklore will chart in the US hot 100 |
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23rd July 2020, 03:22 PM
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#2
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It's a cruel summer.
Joined: 26 May 2014
Posts: 35,256 User: 20,947
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Obviously got no clue so its making predicting more fun!!
UK: #3 UK Spotify: #2 UK Sales: 47k Top 40 tracks: Yes, she'll get three (probs similar debuts to CS) I'm going under the presumption this gets pushed properly on Spotify with HHUK/TTH high placements & is pushed as a single US: #1 (I feel confident this time, me and YNTCD has enough points to be #1 nearly every single week this week, acc I think Me would've been #1 with its debut every single week of 2020 ffs) US debut early: No (if me only got in at 100, hopefully that's the end of ugly early debuts) US songs in chart: 17 -> remember all of Lover cracked the top 100! |
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24th July 2020, 05:27 PM
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#3
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It's a cruel summer.
Joined: 26 May 2014
Posts: 35,256 User: 20,947
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yep I def overpredicted this
 then again its HHUK placement is horrendous and it ain't even 1 on TTH so xx
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25th July 2020, 12:56 PM
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#4
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It's a cruel summer.
Joined: 26 May 2014
Posts: 35,256 User: 20,947
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okay so two polls down:
UK Spotify Debut Position #1 [ 1 ] ** [14.29%] #2 [ 2 ] ** [28.57%] #3 [ 0 ] ** [0.00%] Top 5 [ 1 ] ** [14.29%] Top 10 [ 1 ] ** [14.29%] Top 20 [ 2 ] ** [28.57%] two of us were right, inc me 
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29th July 2020, 11:39 AM
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#5
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It's a cruel summer.
Joined: 26 May 2014
Posts: 35,256 User: 20,947
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will cardigan debut early:
Yes - 4 No - 7 and the answer was, no tf for that and I called this one right *.* #1 debut hopefully coming *.*
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31st July 2020, 10:58 PM
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#6
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It's a cruel summer.
Joined: 26 May 2014
Posts: 35,256 User: 20,947
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UK Debut Position
#1 [ 0 ] ** [0.00%] #2 [ 1 ] ** [8.33%] #3 [ 1 ] ** [8.33%] Top 5 [ 2 ] ** [16.67%] Top 10 [ 3 ] ** [25.00%] Top 20 [ 5 ] ** [41.67%] 25% we're correct so congrats to the 3 of you! I overestimated this with #3 but damn SO close to the top 5. UK Opening Week Sales +100k [ 0 ] ** [0.00%] 81k-99k [ 0 ] ** [0.00%] 71k-80k [ 0 ] ** [0.00%] 61k-70k [ 0 ] ** [0.00%] 51k-60k [ 0 ] ** [0.00%] 41k-50k [ 2 ] ** [16.67%] 31k-40k [ 4 ] ** [33.33%] 21k-30k [ 4 ] ** [33.33%] under 20k [ 2 ] ** [16.67%] v. successful here with 33% of y'all giving the correct answer as it sells 35k, again on the higher end of the predictions! <3 personally I went too high but then I wasn't expecting another song to pass 30k + another one nearly to Will Taylor get 3 tracks in the UK top 40 opening week Yes [ 8 ] ** [66.67%] No [ 4 ] ** [33.33%] and the most successful poll yet as 66% are right. HOWEVER, this was much closer between yes and no before the Saturday Spotify numbers however let alone top 40, she managed 3 top 10 (me just realising I'm talking to myself in this thread atm )
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